메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 29, Issue 4, 2007, Pages 423-440

Probabilistic clustering of extratropical cyclones using regression mixture models

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

ALGORITHM; CLUSTER ANALYSIS; CYCLONE; DATA SET; EXTRATROPICAL ENVIRONMENT; GENERAL CIRCULATION MODEL; NORTH ATLANTIC OSCILLATION; PROBABILITY; REGRESSION ANALYSIS; SEA LEVEL PRESSURE; TRACKING;

EID: 34347382165     PISSN: 09307575     EISSN: 14320894     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-007-0235-z     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (149)

References (57)
  • 1
    • 0042925684 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Sensitivity of feature-based analysis methods of storm tracks to the form of background field
    • Anderson D, Hodges KI, Hoskins BJ (2003) Sensitivity of feature-based analysis methods of storm tracks to the form of background field. Mon Wea Rev 131(3):565-573
    • (2003) Mon Wea Rev , vol.131 , Issue.3 , pp. 565-573
    • Anderson, D.1    Hodges, K.I.2    Hoskins, B.J.3
  • 3
    • 0001733464 scopus 로고
    • An observational study of the Northern Hemisphere wintertime circulation
    • Blackmon ML, Wallace JM, Lau N-C, Mullen SL (1977) An observational study of the Northern Hemisphere wintertime circulation. J Atmos Sci 34:1040-1053
    • (1977) J Atmos Sci , vol.34 , pp. 1040-1053
    • Blackmon, M.L.1    Wallace, J.M.2    Lau, N.-C.3    Mullen, S.L.4
  • 4
    • 0030815057 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Identification of cyclone-track regimes in the North Atlantic
    • Blender R, Fraedrich K, Lunkeit F (1997) Identification of cyclone-track regimes in the North Atlantic. Quart J Royal Meteor Soc 123:727-741
    • (1997) Quart J Royal Meteor Soc , vol.123 , pp. 727-741
    • Blender, R.1    Fraedrich, K.2    Lunkeit, F.3
  • 6
    • 34250724191 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Cluster analysis of typhoon tracks. Part II: Large-scale circulation and ENSO
    • (in press)
    • Camargo SJ, Robertson AW, Gaffney SJ, Smyth P (2007b) Cluster analysis of typhoon tracks. Part II: Large-scale circulation and ENSO. J Climate (in press)
    • (2007) J Climate
    • Camargo, S.J.1    Robertson, A.W.2    Gaffney, S.J.3    Smyth, P.4
  • 7
    • 0002629270 scopus 로고
    • Maximum likelihood from incomplete data via the EM algorithm
    • Dempster AP, Laird NM, Rubin DB (1977) Maximum likelihood from incomplete data via the EM algorithm. J Royal Stat Soc B 39:1-38
    • (1977) J Royal Stat Soc B , vol.39 , pp. 1-38
    • Dempster, A.P.1    Laird, N.M.2    Rubin, D.B.3
  • 8
    • 0002629270 scopus 로고
    • Maximum likelihood from incomplete data via the EM algorithm
    • Dempster AP, Laird NM, Rubin DB (1977) Maximum likelihood from incomplete data via the EM algorithm. J Roy Stat Soc B 39:1-38
    • (1977) J Roy Stat Soc B , vol.39 , pp. 1-38
    • Dempster, A.P.1    Laird, N.M.2    Rubin, D.B.3
  • 9
    • 0001237218 scopus 로고
    • A maximum likelihood methodology for clusterwise linear regression
    • DeSarbo WS, Cron WL (1988) A maximum likelihood methodology for clusterwise linear regression. J Classificat 5(1):249-282
    • (1988) J Classificat , vol.5 , Issue.1 , pp. 249-282
    • DeSarbo, W.S.1    Cron, W.L.2
  • 11
    • 0037366132 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Tracking hurricanes
    • Elsner JB (2003) Tracking hurricanes. Bull Amer Meteor Soc 84(3):353-356
    • (2003) Bull Amer Meteor Soc , vol.84 , Issue.3 , pp. 353-356
    • Elsner, J.B.1
  • 12
    • 0034233005 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Spatial variations in major US hurricane activity: Statistics and a physical mechanism
    • Elsner JB, Liu Kb, Kocher B (2000) Spatial variations in major US hurricane activity: Statistics and a physical mechanism. J Climate 13:2293-2305
    • (2000) J Climate , vol.13 , pp. 2293-2305
    • Elsner, J.B.1    Liu, Kb.2    Kocher, B.3
  • 13
    • 0032269108 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • How many clusters? Which clustering methods? Answers via model-based cluster analysis
    • Fraley C, Raftery AE (1998) How many clusters? Which clustering methods? Answers via model-based cluster analysis. Comput J 41(8):578-588
    • (1998) Comput J , vol.41 , Issue.8 , pp. 578-588
    • Fraley, C.1    Raftery, A.E.2
  • 14
    • 0035998835 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Model-based clustering, discriminant analysis, and density estimation
    • Fraley C, Raftery AE (2002) Model-based clustering, discriminant analysis, and density estimation. J Amer Stat Assoc 97(458):611-631
    • (2002) J Amer Stat Assoc , vol.97 , Issue.458 , pp. 611-631
    • Fraley, C.1    Raftery, A.E.2
  • 15
    • 0141975295 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Extratropical southern hemisphere cyclones: Harbingers of climate change
    • Fyfe JC (2003) Extratropical southern hemisphere cyclones: Harbingers of climate change. J Climate 16:2802-2805
    • (2003) J Climate , vol.16 , pp. 2802-2805
    • Fyfe, J.C.1
  • 16
    • 34347401804 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Probabilistic curve-aligned clustering and prediction with regression mixture models
    • Ph.D. Dissertation, Department of Computer Science, University of California, Irvine
    • Gaffney SJ (2004) Probabilistic curve-aligned clustering and prediction with regression mixture models. Ph.D. Dissertation, Department of Computer Science, University of California, Irvine
    • (2004)
    • Gaffney, S.J.1
  • 19
    • 20444487144 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Strictly proper scoring rules, prediction, and estimation
    • Technical Report 463, Department of Statistics, University of Washington
    • Gneiting T, Raftery AE (2004) Strictly proper scoring rules, prediction, and estimation. Technical Report 463, Department of Statistics, University of Washington
    • (2004)
    • Gneiting, T.1    Raftery, A.E.2
  • 20
    • 0031661950 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The hydrologic and thermodynamic characteristics of the NCAR CCM3
    • Hack JJ, Kiehl JT, Hurrell JW (1998) The hydrologic and thermodynamic characteristics of the NCAR CCM3. J Climate 11:1179-1206
    • (1998) J Climate , vol.11 , pp. 1179-1206
    • Hack, J.J.1    Kiehl, J.T.2    Hurrell, J.W.3
  • 21
    • 0035308649 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Atmospheric multiple equilibria and non-Gaussian behaviour in model simulations
    • Hannachi A, O'Neill A (2001) Atmospheric multiple equilibria and non-Gaussian behaviour in model simulations. Quart J Royal Meteor Soc 127(573):939-958
    • (2001) Quart J Royal Meteor Soc , vol.127 , Issue.573 , pp. 939-958
    • Hannachi, A.1    O'Neill, A.2
  • 22
    • 0001138328 scopus 로고
    • Algorithm AS 136: A K-means clustering algorithm
    • Hartigan JA, Wong MA (1978) Algorithm AS 136: A K-means clustering algorithm. Appl Stat 28:100-108
    • (1978) Appl Stat , vol.28 , pp. 100-108
    • Hartigan, J.A.1    Wong, M.A.2
  • 23
    • 0028572982 scopus 로고
    • A general method for tracking analysis and its applications to meteorological data
    • Hodges KI (1994) A general method for tracking analysis and its applications to meteorological data. Mon Wea Rev 122(11):2573-2586
    • (1994) Mon Wea Rev , vol.122 , Issue.11 , pp. 2573-2586
    • Hodges, K.I.1
  • 24
    • 0000461755 scopus 로고
    • Feature tracking on the unit sphere
    • Hodges KI (1995) Feature tracking on the unit sphere. Mon Wea Rev 123(12):3458-3465
    • (1995) Mon Wea Rev , vol.123 , Issue.12 , pp. 3458-3465
    • Hodges, K.I.1
  • 25
    • 0000268377 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Feature-point detection using distance transforms: Application to tracking tropical convective complexes
    • Hodges KI (1998) Feature-point detection using distance transforms: Application to tracking tropical convective complexes. Mon Wea Rev 126(3):785-795
    • (1998) Mon Wea Rev , vol.126 , Issue.3 , pp. 785-795
    • Hodges, K.I.1
  • 26
    • 0036326746 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • New perspectives on the Northern Hemisphere winter storm tracks
    • Hoskins BJ, Hodges KI (2002) New perspectives on the Northern Hemisphere winter storm tracks. J Atmos Sci 59(6):1041-1061
    • (2002) J Atmos Sci , vol.59 , Issue.6 , pp. 1041-1061
    • Hoskins, B.J.1    Hodges, K.I.2
  • 29
    • 0027789331 scopus 로고
    • Multiple flow regimes in the northern hemisphere winter. Part II: Sectorial regimes and preferred transitions
    • Kimoto M, Ghil M (1993) Multiple flow regimes in the northern hemisphere winter. Part II: Sectorial regimes and preferred transitions. J Atmos Sci 16:2645-2673
    • (1993) J Atmos Sci , vol.16 , pp. 2645-2673
    • Kimoto, M.1    Ghil, M.2
  • 30
    • 0027876913 scopus 로고
    • Objective identification of cyclones in GCM simulations
    • König W, Sausen R, Sielman F (1993) Objective identification of cyclones in GCM simulations. J Climate 6(12):2217-2231
    • (1993) J Climate , vol.6 , Issue.12 , pp. 2217-2231
    • König, W.1    Sausen, R.2    Sielman, F.3
  • 31
    • 0000088252 scopus 로고
    • Variability of the observed midlatitude storm tracks in relation to low-frequency changes in the circulation pattern
    • Lau N-C (1988) Variability of the observed midlatitude storm tracks in relation to low-frequency changes in the circulation pattern. J Atmos Sci 45:2718-2743
    • (1988) J Atmos Sci , vol.45 , pp. 2718-2743
    • Lau, N.-C.1
  • 32
    • 0025244817 scopus 로고
    • Comparison of observed and simulated cyclone frequency distribution as determined by an objective method
    • Le Treut H, Kalnay E (1990) Comparison of observed and simulated cyclone frequency distribution as determined by an objective method. Atmosfera 3:57-71
    • (1990) Atmosfera , vol.3 , pp. 57-71
    • Le Treut, H.1    Kalnay, E.2
  • 33
    • 0034147039 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Bayesian inference for finite mixtures of generalized linear models with random effects
    • Lenk PJ, DeSarbo WS (2000) Bayesian inference for finite mixtures of generalized linear models with random effects. Psychometrika 65(1):93-119
    • (2000) Psychometrika , vol.65 , Issue.1 , pp. 93-119
    • Lenk, P.J.1    DeSarbo, W.S.2
  • 34
    • 0024475559 scopus 로고
    • Probits of mixtures
    • Lwin T, Martin PJ (1989) Probits of mixtures. Biometrics 45:721-732
    • (1989) Biometrics , vol.45 , pp. 721-732
    • Lwin, T.1    Martin, P.J.2
  • 36
    • 0003891734 scopus 로고
    • Mixture models: Inference and applications to clustering
    • Marcel Dekker, New York
    • McLachlan GJ, Basford KE (1988) Mixture models: Inference and applications to clustering. Marcel Dekker, New York
    • (1988)
    • McLachlan, G.J.1    Basford, K.E.2
  • 40
    • 0024197506 scopus 로고
    • Cluster analysis of multiple planetary flow regimes
    • Mo K, Ghil M (1988) Cluster analysis of multiple planetary flow regimes. J Geophys Res 93D:10927-10952
    • (1988) J Geophys Res , vol.93 D , pp. 10927-10952
    • Mo, K.1    Ghil, M.2
  • 41
    • 38049102340 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Winter storms in Europe (II). Analysis of 1999 losses and loss potentials
    • Technical Report 302-03109, 72 pp [Available from Münchner Rückversicherungs-Gesellschaft, Königinstr. 107, 80802 München, Germany]
    • MunichRe (2002) Winter storms in Europe (II). Analysis of 1999 losses and loss potentials. Technical Report 302-03109, 72 pp [Available from Münchner Rückversicherungs-Gesellschaft, Königinstr. 107, 80802 München, Germany]
    • (2002)
    • MunichRe1
  • 45
    • 0025592292 scopus 로고
    • Transient-eddy feedbacks derived from linear theory and observations
    • Robertson AW, Metz W (1990) Transient-eddy feedbacks derived from linear theory and observations. J Atmos Sci 47:2743-2764
    • (1990) J Atmos Sci , vol.47 , pp. 2743-2764
    • Robertson, A.W.1    Metz, W.2
  • 46
    • 0026360287 scopus 로고
    • A numerical scheme for tracking cyclone centres from digital data. Part I: Development and operation of the scheme
    • Ross J. Murray, Ian Simmonds (1991) A numerical scheme for tracking cyclone centres from digital data. Part I: Development and operation of the scheme. Aust Meteor Mag 39:155-166
    • (1991) Aust Meteor Mag , vol.39 , pp. 155-166
    • Murray, R.J.1    Simmonds, I.2
  • 48
    • 0000179441 scopus 로고
    • The life cycles of some nonlinear baroclinic waves
    • Simmons AJ, Hoskins BJ (1978) The life cycles of some nonlinear baroclinic waves. J Atmos Sci 35(3):414-432
    • (1978) J Atmos Sci , vol.35 , Issue.3 , pp. 414-432
    • Simmons, A.J.1    Hoskins, B.J.2
  • 49
    • 0033226736 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Multiple regimes in northern hemisphere height fields via mixture model clustering
    • Smyth P, Ide K, Ghil M (1999) Multiple regimes in northern hemisphere height fields via mixture model clustering. J Atmos Sci 56(21):3704-3723
    • (1999) J Atmos Sci , vol.56 , Issue.21 , pp. 3704-3723
    • Smyth, P.1    Ide, K.2    Ghil, M.3
  • 50
    • 0001942153 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Model selection for probabilistic clustering using cross-validated likelihood
    • Smyth P (2000) Model selection for probabilistic clustering using cross-validated likelihood. Stat Comput 10(1):63-72
    • (2000) Stat Comput , vol.10 , Issue.1 , pp. 63-72
    • Smyth, P.1
  • 51
    • 0003973340 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Statistical analysis in climate research
    • Cambridge University Press, Cambridge
    • von Storch H, Zwiers FW (1999) Statistical analysis in climate research. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge
    • (1999)
    • von Storch, H.1    Zwiers, F.W.2
  • 52
    • 0043005758 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Objective cyclone tracking and its applications to ERS-1 scatterometer forecast impact studies
    • In: Norfolk, VA. American Meteorological Society
    • Terry J, Atlas R (1996) Objective cyclone tracking and its applications to ERS-1 scatterometer forecast impact studies. In: 15th conference on weather analysis and forecasting, Norfolk, VA. American Meteorological Society
    • (1996) 15th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting
    • Terry, J.1    Atlas, R.2
  • 53
    • 0022843302 scopus 로고
    • An assessment of the impact of transient eddies on the zonal flow during a blocking episode using localized Eliassen-Palm flux diagnostics
    • Trenberth KE (1986) An assessment of the impact of transient eddies on the zonal flow during a blocking episode using localized Eliassen-Palm flux diagnostics. J Atmos Sci 43:2070-2087
    • (1986) J Atmos Sci , vol.43 , pp. 2070-2087
    • Trenberth, K.E.1
  • 54
    • 34347404271 scopus 로고
    • Multiple weather regimes over the North Atlantic: Analysis of precursors and successors
    • Vautard R (1990) Multiple weather regimes over the North Atlantic: analysis of precursors and successors. Mon Wea Rev 45:2845-2867
    • (1990) Mon Wea Rev , vol.45 , pp. 2845-2867
    • Vautard, R.1
  • 55
    • 27744592432 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Clustering a global field of atmospheric profiles by mixture decomposition of copulas
    • Vrac M, Chedin A, Diday E (2005) Clustering a global field of atmospheric profiles by mixture decomposition of copulas. J Atmos Ocean Technol 22(10):1445-1459
    • (2005) J Atmos Ocean Technol , vol.22 , Issue.10 , pp. 1445-1459
    • Vrac, M.1    Chedin, A.2    Diday, E.3
  • 56
    • 0031486902 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Alignment of curves by dynamic time warping
    • Wang K, Gasser T (1997) Alignment of curves by dynamic time warping. Annal Stat 25:1251-1276
    • (1997) Annal Stat , vol.25 , pp. 1251-1276
    • Wang, K.1    Gasser, T.2
  • 57
    • 3042786147 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Extreme climatic events and weather regimes over the North Atlantic: When and where?
    • doi:10.1029/2003GL019119
    • Yiou P, Nogaj M (2004) Extreme climatic events and weather regimes over the North Atlantic: When and where? Geophys Res Lett 31:L07202. doi:10.1029/2003GL019119
    • (2004) Geophys Res Lett , vol.31
    • Yiou, P.1    Nogaj, M.2


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.