Modelling the distribution of badgers Meles meles: Comparing predictions from field-based and remotely derived habitat data

Mammal Review

Volumn 37, Issue 1, 2007, Pages 54-70

  Newton Cross, Geraldine ^a   White, Piran C L ^a   Harris, Stephen ^b  

^a UNIVERSITY OF YORK   (United Kingdom)

^b UNIVERSITY OF BRISTOL   (United Kingdom)

Author keywords

Digital data; GIS; Logistic regression; Species habitat model; Wildlife

Indexed keywords

ABUNDANCE; DATA SET; ECOSYSTEM MODELING; EPIDEMIOLOGY; HABITAT; HETEROGENEITY; MODELING; REGRESSION ANALYSIS; SMALL MAMMAL; SPATIAL DISTRIBUTION;

BOS; BOVINAE; MELES MELES; MYCOBACTERIUM BOVIS; TAXIDIINAE;

EID: 34147150562     PISSN: 03051838     EISSN: 13652907     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1111/j.1365-2907.2007.00103.x     Document Type: Review

References (72)

1. Avery, B.W. (1980) Soil Classification for England and Wales (Higher Categories). Soil Survey Technical Monograph, Report no. 14. Soil Survey, Harpenden.
2. Bennett, A.F. (1991) Roads, roadsides and wildlife conservation. In: Nature Conservation 2: The Role of Corridors (Ed. by D.A. Saunders & R.J. Hobbs), pp. 99-117. Surrey Beatty & Sons, Chipping Norton, New South Wales.
3. Boyce, M.S. & McDonald, L.L. (1999) Relating populations to habitats using resource selection functions. Trends in Ecology and Evolution, 14, 268-272.
4. Brennan, L.A., Block, W.M. & Gutierrez, R.J. (1986) The use of multivariate statistics for developing habitat suitability index models. In: Wildlife 2000: Modeling Habitat Relationships of Terrestrial Vertebrates (Ed. by J.A. Verner, M.L. Morrison & C.J. Ralph), pp. 177-182. The University of Wisconsin Press, Madison, NJ, USA.
5. Brotons, L., Thuiller, W., Araûjo, M.B. & Hirzel, A.H. (2004) Presence-absence versus presence-only modelling methods for predicting bird habitat suitability. Ecography, 27, 437-448.
6. Capen, D.E., Fenwick, J.W., Inkley, D.B. & Boynton, A.C. (1986) Multivariate models of songbird habitat in New England forests. In: Wildlife 2000: Modelling Habitat Relationships of Terrestrial Vertebrates (Ed. by J.A. Verner, M.L. Morrison & C.J. Ralph), pp. 171-175. The University of Wisconsin Press, Madison, NJ, USA.
7. Cardillo, M., Macdonald, D.W. & Rushton, S.P. (1999) Predicting mammal species richness and distributions: Testing the effectiveness of satellite-derived land cover data. Landscape Ecology, 14, 423-435.
8. Carroll, C., Phillips, M.K., Schumaker, N.H. & Smith, D.W. (2003) Impacts of landscape change on wolf restoration success: Planning a reintroduction program based on static and dynamic spatial models. Conservation Biology, 17, 536-548.
9. Cayuela, L. (2004) Habitat evaluation for the Iberian wolf Canis lupus in Picos de Europa National Park, Spain. Applied Geography, 24, 199-215.
10. Cheeseman, C.L., Wilesmith, J.W., Ryan, J. & Mallinson, P.J. (1987) Badger population dynamics in a high-density area. Symposia of the Zoological Society of London, 58, 279-294.
11. Cheeseman, C.L., Wilesmith, J.W., Stuart, F.A. & Mallinson, P.J. (1988) Dynamics of tuberculosis in a naturally infected badger population. Mammal Review, 18, 61-72.
12. Cheeseman, C.L., Wilesmith, J.W. & Stuart, F.A. (1989) Tuberculosis: the disease and its epidemiology in the badger, a review. Epidemiology and Infection, 103, 113-125.
13. Clarke, G.P., White, P.C.L. & Harris, S. (1998) Effects of roads on badger Meles meles populations in south-west England. Biological Conservation, 86, 117-124.
14. Clements, E.D., Neal, E.G. & Yalden, D.W. (1988) The national badger sett survey. Mammal Review, 18, 1-9.
15. Cresswell, P., Harris, S. & Jefferies, D.J. (1990) The History, Distribution, Status and Habitat Requirements of the Badger in Britain. Nature Conservancy Council, Peterborough.
16. Davies, J.M., Roper, T.J. & Sheperdson, D.J. (1987) Seasonal distribution of road kills in the European badger (Meles meles). Journal of Zoology, 211, 525-529.
17. Durr, P.A. (2004) Spatial epidemiology and animal disease: Introduction and overview. In: GIS and Spatial Analysis in Veterinary Science (Ed. by P.A. Durr & A.C. Gattrell), pp. 35-67. CABI Publishing, Wallingford, CT.
18. Efron, B. (1975) The efficiency of logistic regression compared to normal discriminant analysis. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 70, 892-898.
19. Field, A. (2000) Discovering Statistics Using SPSS for Windows. SAGE, London.
20. Fielding, A.H. & Bell, J.F. (1997) A review of methods for the assessment of prediction errors in conservation presence/absence models. Environmental Conservation, 24, 38-49.
21. Foody, G.M. (1992) On the compensation for chance agreement in image classification accuracy assessment. Photogrammetric Engineering and Remote Sensing, 58, 1459-1460.
22. Fuller, R.M., Smith, G.M., Sanderson, J.M., Hill, R.A., Thomson, A.G., Cox, R., Brown, N.J., Clarke, R.T., Rothery, P. & Gerard, F.F. (2002) Land Cover Map 2000 Final Report. Centre for Ecology and Hydrology, Cambridge.
23. Gibson, L.A., Wilson, B.A., Cahill, D.M. & Hill, J. (2004) Spatial prediction of rufous bristlebird habitat in a coastal heathland: A GIS-based approach. Journal of Applied Ecology, 41, 213-223.
24. Gough, M.C. & Rushton, S.P. (2000) The application of Geographic Information Systems and computer modelling to mustelid research. In: Mustelids in a Modern World. Management and Conservation Aspects of Small Carnivore: Human Interactions (Ed. by H.I. Griffiths), pp. 185-199. Backhuys Publishers, Leiden.
25. Griffiths, H.I. & Thomas, D.H. (1993) The status of the badger (Meles meles) (L., 1958) (Carnivora, Mustelidae) in Europe. Mammal Review, 23, 17-58.
26. Haines-Young, R.H., Barr, C.J., Black, H.I.J., Briggs, D.J., Bunce, R.G.H., Clarke, R.T., Cooper, A., Dawson, F.H., Firbank, L.G., Fuller, R.M., Furse, M.T., Gillespie, M.K., Hill, R., Hornung, M., Howard, D.C., McCann, T., Morecroft, M.D., Petit, S., Sier, A.R.J., Smart, S.M., Smith, G.M., Stott, A.P., Stuart, R.C. & Watkins, J.W. (2000) Accounting for Nature: Assessing Habitats in the UK Countryside. Department for Environment, Transport and the Regions, London.
27. Hammond, R.F., McGrath, G. & Martin, S.W. (2001) Irish soil and land-use classifications as predictors of numbers of badgers and badger setts. Preventive Veterinary Medicine, 51, 137-148.
28. Harris, S. (1993) The status of the badger (Meles meles) in Britain, with particular reference to East Anglia. Transactions of the Suffolk Naturalists' Society, 29, 104-112.
29. Harris, S. & Cresswell, W.J. (1987) Dynamics of a suburban badger (Meles meles) population. Symposia of the Zoological Society of London, 58, 295-311.
30. Harris, S. & White, P.C.L. (2003) TB in cattle in Britain: Can badger culling ever solve the problem? In: Conservation and Conflict: Mammals and Farming in Britain (Ed. by F. Tattersall & W. Manley), pp. 152-164. Westbury Publishing, Otley.
31. Harris, S., Cresswell, W. & Reason, P. (1992) An integrated approach to monitoring badger (Meles meles) population changes in Britain. In: Wildlife 2001: Populations (Ed. by D.R. McCullough & R.H. Barrett), pp. 945-953. Elsevier Applied Science, London.
32. Harris, S., Jefferies, D., Cheeseman, C. & Booty, C. (1994) Problems with Badgers? 3rd edn. RSPCA, Horsham.
33. Hirzel, A.H., Hausser, J., Chessel, D. & Perrin, N. (2002) Ecological-niche factor analysis: How to compute habitat-suitability maps without absence data? Ecology, 83, 2027-2036.
34. Hirzel, A.H., Posse, B., Oggier, P.-A., Crettenand, Y., Glenz, C. & Arlettaz, R. (2004) Ecological requirements of reintroduced species and the implications for release policy: The case of the bearded vulture. Journal of Applied Ecology, 41, 1103-1116.
35. Hosmer, D.W. & Lemeshow, S. (1989) Applied Logistic Regression. Wiley, New York.
36. Jackson, D.L. (2000) Guidance on the Interpretation of the Biodiversity Broad Habitat Classification (Terrestrial and Freshwater Types): Definitions and the Relationship with Other Habitat Classifications. Report No. 307. Joint Nature Conservation Committee, Peterborough.
37. Johnson, D.H. (1981) The use and misuse of statistics in wildlife habitat studies. In: The Use of Multivariate Statistics in Studies of Wildlife Habitat (Ed. by D. E. Capen), pp. 11-19. USDA Forest Service General Technical Report RM-87. USDA, Fort Collins.
38. Kruuk, H. & Parish, T. (1982) Factors affecting population density, group size and territory size of the European badger, Meles meles. Journal of Zoology, 196, 31-39.
39. Landis, J.R. & Koch, G.C. (1977) The measurement of observer agreement for categorical data. Biometrics, 33, 159-174.
40. Lodwick, W.A., Monson, W. & Svoboda, L. (1990) Attribute error and sensitivity analysis of map operations in geographical information systems. International Journal of Geographical Information Systems, 4, 413-428.
41. Lyon, J.G., Heinen, J.T., Mead, R.A. & Roller, N.E.G. (1987) Spatial data for modelling wildlife habitat. Journal of Surveying Engineering, 113, 88-100.
42. Macdonald, D.W., Mitchelmore, F. & Bacon, P.J. (1996) Predicting badger sett numbers: Evaluating methods in East Sussex. Journal of Biogeography, 23, 649-655.
43. Manel, S., Dias, J.M., Buckton, S.T. & Ormerod, S.J. (1999) Alternative models for predicting bird species distribution: An illustration with Himalayan river birds. Journal of Applied Ecology, 36, 734-747.
44. Manel, S., Williams, C. & Ormerod, S.J. (2001) Evaluating presence-absence models in ecology: The need to account for prevalence. Journal of Applied Ecology, 38, 921-931.
45. Morrison, M.L., Marcot, B.G. & Mannan, R.W. (1998) Wildlife-Habitat Relationships: Concepts and Applications, 2nd edn. The University of Wisconsin Press, Madison, USA.
46. Neal, E.G. (1986) The Natural History of Badgers. Croom-Helm, Beckenham.
47. Neal, E. & Cheeseman, C.L. (1996) Badgers. T & A D Poyser, London.
48. Pfeiffer, D.U. & Hugh-Jones, M. (2002) Geographical information systems as a tool in epidemiological assessment and wildlife disease management. Revue Scientifique et technique Office International des Epizooties, 21, 91-102.
49. Press, F. & Siever, R. (1982) Earth, 3rd edn. W.H. Freeman and Company, New York.
50. Press, S.J. & Wilson, S. (1978) Choosing between logistic regression and discriminant analysis. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 73, 699-705.
51. Reason, P., Harris, S. & Cresswell, P. (1993) Estimating the impact of past persecution and habitat changes on the numbers of badgers Meles meles in Britain. Mammal Review, 23, 1-15.
52. Revilla, E. & Palomares, F. (2002) Spatial organisation, group living and ecological correlates in low-density populations of Eurasian badgers, Meles meles. Journal of Animal Ecology, 71, 497-512.
53. Rodriguez, A., Martin, R. & Delibes, M. (1996) Space use and activity in a Mediterranean population of badgers Meles meles. Acta Theriologica, 41, 59-72.
54. Rogers, L.M., Cheeseman, C.L. & Mallinson, P.J. (1997) The demography of a high-density badger (Meles meles) population in the south west of England. Journal of Zoology, 242, 705-728.
55. Rushton, S.P., Ormerod, S.J. & Kerby, G. (2004) New paradigms for modelling species distributions? Journal of Applied Ecology, 41, 193-200.
56. Schadt, S., Revilla, E., Wiegand, T., Knauer, F., Kaczensky, P., Breitenmoser, U., Bufla, L., Cerveny, J., Koubek, P., Huber, T., Stanisa, C. & Trepl, L. (2002) Assessing the suitability of European landscapes for the reintroduction of Eurasian lynx. Journal of Applied Ecology, 39, 189-203.
57. Skinner, C., Skinner, P. & Harris, S. (1991) An analysis of some of the factors affecting the current distribution of badger Meles meles setts in Essex. Mammal Review, 21, 51-67.
58. Stewart, A.J.A., John, E.A. & Hutchings, M.J. (2000) The world is heterogeneous: Ecological consequences of living in a patchy environment. In: The Ecological Consequences of Environmental Heterogeneity (Ed. by M.J. Hutchings, E.A. John & A.J.A. Stewart), pp. 1-8. Blackwell Science, Oxford.
59. Stockman, A.K., Beamer, D.A. & Bond, J.E. (2006) An evaluation of a GARP model as an approach to predicting the spatial distribution of non-vagile invertebrate species. Diversity and Distributions, 12, 81-89.
60. Stockwell, D.R.B. & Peters, D.P. (1999) The GARP modeling system: problems and solutions to automated spatial prediction. International Journal of Geographical Information Systems, 13, 143-158.
61. Stoms, D.M., Davis, F.W. & Cogan, C.B. (1992) Sensitivity of wildlife habitat models to uncertainties in GIS data. Photogrammetric Engineering and Remote Sensing, 58, 843-850.
62. Tabachnick, B.G. & Fidell, L.S. (1996) Using Multivariate Statistics, 3rd edn. HarperCollins, New York.
63. Thornton, P.S. (1988) Density and distribution of badgers in south-west England - a predictive model. Mammal Review, 18, 1-23.
64. Tuyttens, F.A.M., Delahay, R.J., Macdonald, D.W., Cheeseman, C.L., Long, B. & Donnelly, C.A. (2000a) Spatial perturbation caused by a badger (Meles meles) culling operation: Implications for the function of territoriality and the control of bovine tuberculosis (Mycobacterium bovis). Journal of Animal Ecology, 69, 815-828.
65. Tuyttens, F.A.M., Macdonald, D.W., Rogers, L.M., Cheeseman, C.L. & Roddam, A.W. (2000b) Comparative study on the consequences of culling badgers (Meles meles) on biometrics, population dynamics and movement. Journal of Animal Ecology, 69, 567-580.
66. Verlinden, A. & Masogo, R. (1997) Satellite remote sensing of habitat suitability for ungulates and ostrich in the Kalahari of Botswana. Journal of Arid Environments, 35, 118-123.
67. Virgos, E. & Casanovas, J.G. (1999) Environmental constraints at the edge of a species' distribution, the Eurasian badger: A biogeographic approach. Journal of Biogeography, 26, 559-565.
68. White, P.C.L. & Harris, S. (1995) Bovine tuberculosis in badger (Meles meles) populations in southwest England: An assessment of past, present and possible future control strategies using simulation modelling. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London B, 349, 415-432.
69. Wilson, G.J., Harris, S. & McLaren, G. (1997) Changes in the British Badger Population, 1988-1997. People's Trust for Endangered Species, London.
70. Woodroffe, R. & Macdonald, D.W. (1993) Badger sociality - models of spatial grouping. Symposia of the Zoological Society of London, 65, 149-169.
71. Wright, A., Fielding, A.H. & Wheater, C.P. (2000) Predicting the distribution of European badger (Meles meles) setts over an urbanised landscape: A GIS approach. Photogrammetric Engineering and Remote Sensing, 66, 423-428.
72. Zweig, M.H. & Campbell, G. (1993) Receiver-operating characteristics (ROC) plots: A fundamental evaluation tool in clinical medicine. Clinical Chemistry, 39, 561-577.