Circulation regimes due to attractor merging in atmospheric models

Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences

Volumn 64, Issue 6, 2007, Pages 2029-2044

  Sempf, Mario ^a,c   Dethloff, Klaus ^a   Handorf, Dörthe ^a   Kurgansky, Michael V ^b,d  

^a ALFRED WEGENER INSTITUTE FOR POLAR AND MARINE RESEARCH   (Germany)

^b UNIVERSITY OF CONCEPCIÓN   (Chile)

^c MAX PLANCK INSTITUT FÜR PLASMAPHYSIK   (Germany)

^d Institute of Atmospheric Physics   (Russian Federation)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

ATMOSPHERIC TURBULENCE; BIFURCATION (MATHEMATICS); DYNAMICAL SYSTEMS; FRICTION; INTERPOLATION;

BAROCLINIC THREE-LEVEL MODEL; BAROTROPIC MODEL; DIABATIC FORCING; PSEUDOBAROTROPIC MODEL;

METEOROLOGY;

ATMOSPHERIC TURBULENCE; BIFURCATION (MATHEMATICS); DYNAMICAL SYSTEMS; FRICTION; INTERPOLATION; METEOROLOGY;

ATMOSPHERIC CIRCULATION; ATMOSPHERIC DYNAMICS; ATMOSPHERIC MODELING; BAROTROPIC MODE; CHAOS THEORY;

EID: 34147129671     PISSN: 00224928     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1175/JAS3923.1     Document Type: Article

References (39)

1. Achatz, U., and J. D. Opsteegh, 2003: Primitive-equation-based low-order models with seasonal cycle, Part II: Application to complexity and nonlinearity of large-scale atmosphere dynamics. J. Atmos. Sci., 60, 478--490.
2. Argyris, J., G. Faust, and M. Haase, 1994: An Exploration of Chaos: An Introduction for Natural Scientists and Engineers. North-Holland, 751 pp.
3. Baur, F., 1947: Musterbeispiele europäischer Großwetterlagen. Dieterich, 35 pp.
4. Brantstator, G., and J. D. Opsteegh, 1989: Free solutions of the barotropic vorticity equation. J. Atmos. Sci., 46, 1799-1814.
5. Charney, J. G., and J. G. DeVore, 1979: Multiple flow equilibria in the atmosphere and blocking. J. Atmos. Sci., 36, 1205-1216.
6. Charney, J. G., J. Shukla, and K. C. Mo, 1981: Comparison of barotropic blocking theory with observation. J. Atmos. Sci., 38, 762-779.
7. Corti, S., F. Molteni, and T. N. Palmer, 1999: Signature of recent climate change in frequencies of natural atmospheric circulation regimes. Nature, 398, 799-802.
8. Crommelin, D. T., 2003: Regime transitions and heteroclinic connections in a barotropic atmosphere. J. Atmos. Sci., 60, 229-246.
9. Grebogi, C., E. Ott, and J. A. Yorke, 1982: Chaotic attractors in crisis. Phys. Rev. Lett., 48, 1507-1510.
10. Grebogi, C., E. Ott, and J. A. Yorke, 1983: Crises, sudden changes in chaotic attractors, and transient chaos. Physica D, 7, 181-200.
11. Grebogi, C., E. Ott, F. Romeiras, and J. A. Yorke, 1987: Critical exponents for crisis-induced intermittency. Phys. Rev. A, 36, 5365-5380.
12. Hsu, C. J., and R. Zwiers, 2001: Climate change in recurrent regimes and modes of Northern Hemisphere atmospheric variability. J. Geophys. Res., 106, 20 145-20 159.
13. Itoh, H., and M. Kimoto, 1996: Multiple attractors and chaotic itinerancy in a quasigeostrophic model with realistic topography: Implications for weather regimes and low-frequency variability. J. Atmos. Sci., 53, 2217-2231.
14. Itoh, H., and M. Kimoto, 1997: Chaotic itinerancy with preferred transition routes appearing in an atmospheric model. Physica D, 109, 274-292.
15. Itoh, H., and M. Kimoto, 1999: Weather regimes, low-frequency oscillations, and principal patterns of variability: A perspective of extratropical low-frequency variability. J. Atmos. Sci., 56, 2684-2705.
16. Kalnay, E., and Coauthors, 1996: The NCEP/NCAR 40-Year Re-analysis Project. Bull. Amer. Meteor Soc., 77, 437-471.
17. Kaneko, K., 1991: Globally coupled circle maps. Physica D, 54, 5-19.
18. Kimoto, M., and M. Ghil, 1993: Multiple flow regimes in the Northern Hemisphere winter. Part I: Methodology and hemispheric regimes. J. Atmos. Sci., 50, 2625-2643.
19. Kurgansky, M. V., 2002: Adiabatic Invariants in Large-Scale Atmospheric Dynamics. Taylor & Francis, 222 pp.
20. Legras, B., and M. Ghil, 1985: Persistent anomalies, blocking and variations in atmospheric predictability. J. Atmos. Sci., 42, 433-471.
21. Lorenz, E. N., 1968: Climatic determinism. Causes of Climatic Change, Meteor. Monogr., No. 30, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 1-3.
22. Lorenz, E. N., 1976: Nondeterministic theories of climatic change. Quat. Res., 6, 495-506.
23. Michelangeli, P., R. Vautard, and B. Legras, 1995: Weather regimes: Recurrence and quasi stationarity. J. Atmos. Sci., 52, 1237-1256.
24. Namias, J., 1950: The index cycle and its role in the general circulation. J. Meteor., 7, 130-139.
25. Otsuka, K., 1990: Self-induced phase turbulence and chaotic itinerancy in coupled laser systems. Phys. Rev. Lett., 65, 329-332.
26. Ott, E., 1993: Chaos in Dynamical Systems. Cambridge University Press, 385 pp.
27. Reinhold, B. B., and R. T. Pierrehumbert, 1982: Dynamics of weather regimes: Quasi-stationary waves and blocking. Mon. Wea. Rev., 110, 1105-1145.
28. Rex, D. F., 1950a: Blocking action in the middle troposphere and its effect upon regional climate. I. An aerological study of blocking action. Tellus, 2, 196-211.
29. Rex, D. F., 1950b: Blocking action in the middle troposphere and its effect upon regional climate. II. The climatology of blocking action. Tellus, 2, 275-301.
30. Rossby, C. G., 1939: Relation between variations in the intensity of the zonal circulation of the atmosphere and the displacements of the semi-permanent centers of action. J. Mar. Res., 2, 38-55.
31. Selten, R. M., 1995: An efficient description of the dynamics of barotropic flow. J. Atmos. Sci., 52, 915-936.
32. Sempf, M., 2005: Nichtlineare Dynamik atmospharischer Zirkulationsregime in einem idealisierten Modell (in German). Ph.D. thesis, University of Potsdam, 165 pp. [Available online at http://nbn-resolving.de/ urn=urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-5989.]
33. Sempf, M., K. Dethloff, D. Handorf, and M. V. Kurgansky, 2005: Idealised modelling of the Northern Annular Mode: Orographic and thermal impacts. Atmos. Sci. Lett., 6, 140-144.
34. Sempf, M., K. Dethloff, D. Handorf, and M. V. Kurgansky, 2007: Toward understanding the dynamical origin of atmospheric regime behavior in a baroclinic model. J. Atmos. Sci., 64, 887-904.
35. Thompson, J. M. T., and H. B. Stewart, 1986: Nonlinear Dynamics and Chaos: Geometrical Methods for Engineers and Scientists. Wiley, 376 pp.
36. Tung, K. K., and A. J. Rosenthal, 1985: Theories of multiple equilibria - A critical reexamination. Part I: Barotropic models. J. Atmos. Sci., 42, 2804-2819.
37. Weisheimer, A., 2000: Niederfrequente Variabilität großräumiger Zirkulationsstrukturen in spektralen Modellen niederer Ordnung (in German). Alfred Wegener Institute for Polar and Marine Research Polar Research Rep. 356, Bremerhaven, Germany, 174 pp.
38. Weisheimer, A., M. V. Kurgansky, K. Dethloff, and D. Handorf, 2003: Extratropical low-frequency variability in a three-level quasigeostrophic atmospheric model with different spectral resolution. J. Geophys. Res. 108, 4171, doi:10.1029/2001JD001282.
39. Yanagita, T., and K. Kaneko, 1995: Rayleigh-Bénard convection: Patterns, chaos, spatiotemporal chaos and turbulence. Physica D, 82, 288-313.