메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 80, Issue 3, 2007, Pages 378-391

Limiting youth access to tobacco: Comparing the long-term health impacts of increasing cigarette excise taxes and raising the legal smoking age to 21 in the United States

Author keywords

Legal smoking age; Policy; QALYs; Simulation; Smoking prevalence; System dynamics; Tobacco taxes; Youth smoking

Indexed keywords

ADOLESCENT; ADOLESCENT SMOKING; ADULT; ARTICLE; FEMALE; HEALTH CARE POLICY; HEALTH SURVEY; HUMAN; LEGAL ASPECT; MALE; MODEL; PREVALENCE; PURCHASING; QUALITY ADJUSTED LIFE YEAR; SIMULATION; SMOKING CESSATION; TAX; UNITED STATES;

EID: 33846292214     PISSN: 01688510     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.healthpol.2006.04.001     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (67)

References (75)
  • 1
    • 0034091733 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Smoking prevalence in 2010: why the healthy people goal is unattainable
    • Mendez D., and Warner K.E. Smoking prevalence in 2010: why the healthy people goal is unattainable. American Journal of Public Health 90 3 (2000) 401-403
    • (2000) American Journal of Public Health , vol.90 , Issue.3 , pp. 401-403
    • Mendez, D.1    Warner, K.E.2
  • 2
    • 2442651653 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Cigarette smoking among adults-United States, 2002
    • . Accessed May 20, 2004
    • Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Cigarette smoking among adults-United States, 2002. MMWR 53 20 (2004) 428-431. http://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/preview/mmwrhtml/mm5320a2.htm . Accessed May 20, 2004
    • (2004) MMWR , vol.53 , Issue.20 , pp. 428-431
    • Centers for Disease Control and Prevention1
  • 3
    • 33846267487 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Tobacco Information and Prevention Source (TIPS). Smoking prevalence among U.S. adults. Available at: http://www.cdc.gov/tobacco/research_data/adults_prev/prevali.htm. Accessed September 9, 2004.
  • 5
    • 4043155791 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The effects of tobacco control policies on smoking rates: a tobacco control scorecard
    • Levy D.T., Chaloupka F., and Gitchell J. The effects of tobacco control policies on smoking rates: a tobacco control scorecard. Journal of Public Health Management and Practice 10 4 (2004) 338-353
    • (2004) Journal of Public Health Management and Practice , vol.10 , Issue.4 , pp. 338-353
    • Levy, D.T.1    Chaloupka, F.2    Gitchell, J.3
  • 6
    • 0020168448 scopus 로고
    • The potential for using excise taxes to reduce smoking
    • Lewit E.M., and Coate D. The potential for using excise taxes to reduce smoking. Journal of Health Economics 1 (1982) 121-145
    • (1982) Journal of Health Economics , vol.1 , pp. 121-145
    • Lewit, E.M.1    Coate, D.2
  • 7
    • 0032958750 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The continuum-of-addiction: cigarette smoking in relation to price among Americans aged 15-29
    • Harris J.E., and Chan S.W. The continuum-of-addiction: cigarette smoking in relation to price among Americans aged 15-29. Health Economics 8 (1999) 81-86
    • (1999) Health Economics , vol.8 , pp. 81-86
    • Harris, J.E.1    Chan, S.W.2
  • 8
    • 0030738531 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Price, tobacco control policies and smoking among young adults
    • Chaloupka F., and Wechsler H. Price, tobacco control policies and smoking among young adults. Journal of Health Economics 16 3 (1997) 359-373
    • (1997) Journal of Health Economics , vol.16 , Issue.3 , pp. 359-373
    • Chaloupka, F.1    Wechsler, H.2
  • 9
    • 19944423428 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Increasing excise taxes on cigarettes in California: a dynamic simulation of health and economic impacts
    • Ahmad S. Increasing excise taxes on cigarettes in California: a dynamic simulation of health and economic impacts. Preventive Medicine 41 1 (2005) 276-283
    • (2005) Preventive Medicine , vol.41 , Issue.1 , pp. 276-283
    • Ahmad, S.1
  • 10
    • 0035150696 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Simulated effect of tobacco tax variation on population health in California
    • Kaplan R.M., Ake C.F., Emery S.L., and Navarro A.M. Simulated effect of tobacco tax variation on population health in California. American Journal of Public Health 91 2 (2001) 239-244
    • (2001) American Journal of Public Health , vol.91 , Issue.2 , pp. 239-244
    • Kaplan, R.M.1    Ake, C.F.2    Emery, S.L.3    Navarro, A.M.4
  • 11
    • 33846289381 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Campaign for tobacco free kids. State cigarette tax increases since January 1, 2002. Available at: http://tobaccofreekids.org/research/factsheets/pdf/0239.pdf. Accessed August 20, 2004.
  • 13
    • 0842284052 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Poor smokers, poor quitters, and cigarette tax regressivity
    • Remler D.K. Poor smokers, poor quitters, and cigarette tax regressivity. American Journal of Public Health 94 2 (2004) 225-229
    • (2004) American Journal of Public Health , vol.94 , Issue.2 , pp. 225-229
    • Remler, D.K.1
  • 14
    • 0035657029 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Sources of tobacco for youths in communities with strong enforcement of youth access laws
    • DiFranza J.R., and Coleman M. Sources of tobacco for youths in communities with strong enforcement of youth access laws. Tobacco Control 10 (2001) 323-328
    • (2001) Tobacco Control , vol.10 , pp. 323-328
    • DiFranza, J.R.1    Coleman, M.2
  • 15
    • 33846266008 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Youth Risk Behavior Surveillance System (YRBSS), 1995-2003. Atlanta, GA: National Center for Chronic Disease Prevention and Health Promotion; 2003 [database online]. Available at: http://www.cdc.gov/HealthyYouth/yrbs/data/index.htm. Accessed August 9, 2004.
  • 16
    • 0035487363 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The public health impact of changes in smoking behavior: results from the tobacco policy model
    • Tengs T.O., Osgood N.D., and Lin T.H. The public health impact of changes in smoking behavior: results from the tobacco policy model. Medical Care 39 (2001) 1131-1141
    • (2001) Medical Care , vol.39 , pp. 1131-1141
    • Tengs, T.O.1    Osgood, N.D.2    Lin, T.H.3
  • 17
    • 0004049970 scopus 로고
    • U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, Public Health Service, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, National Center for Chronic Disease Prevention and Health Promotion, Office on Smoking and Health, Atlanta, GA
    • U.S. Department of Health and Human Services. Preventing tobacco use among young people: a report of the Surgeon General (1994), U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, Public Health Service, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, National Center for Chronic Disease Prevention and Health Promotion, Office on Smoking and Health, Atlanta, GA
    • (1994) Preventing tobacco use among young people: a report of the Surgeon General
    • U.S. Department of Health and Human Services1
  • 18
    • 0030063377 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • How long will today's new adolescent smoker be addicted to cigarettes?
    • Pierce J.P., and Gilpin E. How long will today's new adolescent smoker be addicted to cigarettes?. American Journal of Public Health 86 2 (1996) 253-256
    • (1996) American Journal of Public Health , vol.86 , Issue.2 , pp. 253-256
    • Pierce, J.P.1    Gilpin, E.2
  • 19
    • 0032018392 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Age of smoking initiation: implications for quitting
    • Chen J., and Millar W.J. Age of smoking initiation: implications for quitting. Health Reports 9 4 (1998) 39-46
    • (1998) Health Reports , vol.9 , Issue.4 , pp. 39-46
    • Chen, J.1    Millar, W.J.2
  • 20
  • 22
    • 0036260677 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Youth access interventions do not affect youth smoking
    • Fichtenberg C.M., and Glantz S.A. Youth access interventions do not affect youth smoking. Pediatrics 109 (2002) 1088-1092
    • (2002) Pediatrics , vol.109 , pp. 1088-1092
    • Fichtenberg, C.M.1    Glantz, S.A.2
  • 23
    • 0036518889 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • It is time to abandon youth access tobacco programmes
    • Ling P.M., Landman A., and Glantz S.A. It is time to abandon youth access tobacco programmes. Tobacco Control 11 (2002) 3-6
    • (2002) Tobacco Control , vol.11 , pp. 3-6
    • Ling, P.M.1    Landman, A.2    Glantz, S.A.3
  • 24
    • 0011779411 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • It is time to abandon bad science
    • [electronic letter to the editor]
    • DiFranza J.R. It is time to abandon bad science. Tobacco control (13 May 2002) [electronic letter to the editor]
    • (2002) Tobacco control
    • DiFranza, J.R.1
  • 26
    • 0037384698 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • It is premature to abandon youth access to tobacco programs
    • [letter to editor]
    • Jason L.A., Pokorny S.B., Schoeny M.E., Fichtenberg C.M., and Glantz S.A. It is premature to abandon youth access to tobacco programs. Pediatrics 111 4 (2003) 920-921 [letter to editor]
    • (2003) Pediatrics , vol.111 , Issue.4 , pp. 920-921
    • Jason, L.A.1    Pokorny, S.B.2    Schoeny, M.E.3    Fichtenberg, C.M.4    Glantz, S.A.5
  • 27
    • 18844451776 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The cost-effectiveness of raising the legal smoking age in California
    • Ahmad S. The cost-effectiveness of raising the legal smoking age in California. Medical Decision Making 25 3 (2005) 330-340
    • (2005) Medical Decision Making , vol.25 , Issue.3 , pp. 330-340
    • Ahmad, S.1
  • 28
    • 27644442597 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Closing the youth access gap: the projected health benefits and cost savings of a national policy to raise the legal smoking age to 21 in the United States
    • Ahmad S. Closing the youth access gap: the projected health benefits and cost savings of a national policy to raise the legal smoking age to 21 in the United States. Health Policy 75 1 (2005) 74-84
    • (2005) Health Policy , vol.75 , Issue.1 , pp. 74-84
    • Ahmad, S.1
  • 29
    • 33846307946 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Illinois Assembly Bill 1034. Available at: http://www.ilga.gov/legislation/legisnet92/summary/920HB1034.html. Accessed November 10, 2005.
  • 30
    • 33846285040 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Massachusetts Assembly Bill #1824. Available at: http://www.mass.gov/legis/184history/h01824.htm. Accessed November 10, 2005.
  • 31
    • 33846275105 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Maine Assembly Bill #LD982. Available at: http://www.mainelegislature.org/legis/bills_121st/billtexts/ld098201-1.a sp. Accessed November 10, 2005.
  • 32
    • 33846285546 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • California Assembly Bill #AB221. Available at: http://info.sen.ca.gov/cgi-bin/postquery?bill_number=ab_221&sess=PRE V&house=B&site=sen. Accessed November 10, 2005.
  • 33
    • 33846281010 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Connecticut Assembly Bill #769. Available at http://search.cga.state.ct.us/2003/tob/s/2003SB-00769-R00-SB.html. Accessed November 10, 2005.
  • 34
    • 33846314901 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • New Jersey Assembly Bill #A279 (2006-07 session). Available at http://www.njleg.state.nj.us/bills/bills0001.asp. Accessed March 22, 2006.
  • 35
    • 33846333309 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • New York Assembly Bill #S05301. Available at: http://assembly.state.ny.us/leg/?bn=S05301&sh=t. Accessed November 10, 2005.
  • 36
    • 33846313006 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • North Dakota Assembly Bill #1183. Available at http://www.state.nd.us/lr/assembly/59-2005/bill-text/FATR0200.pdf. Last accessed on November 10, 2005.
  • 37
    • 33846327735 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Oregon Assembly Bill #2753. Available at http://www.leg.state.or.us/03reg/measures/hb2700.dir/hb2753.intro.html. Accessed November 10, 2005.
  • 38
    • 33846273261 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • South Carolina Assembly Bill #H3404. Available at http://www.scstatehouse.net/cgi-bin/query2003.exe?first=DOC&querytex t=tobacco&category=Legislation&session=115&conid=1571057 &result_pos=0&keyval=1153404&printornot=N. Accessed November 10, 2005.
  • 39
    • 33846268179 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Texas Assembly Bill #HB 345. Available at http://www.capitol.state.tx.us/cgi-bin/db2www/tlo/billhist/billhist.d2w/ report?LEG=78&SESS=R&CHAMBER=H&BILLTYPE=B&BILLSUFFIX=003 42. Accessed November 10, 2005.
  • 40
    • 33846303691 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Vermont Assembly Bill #H0105. Available at http://www.leg.state.vt.us/database/status/summary.cfm?Bill=H%2E0105 &Session=2006. Accessed November 10, 2005.
  • 41
    • 33846332174 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Merkle D. Too young to smoke? Most in new poll would stub out cigarette sales to teens. ABCNEWS.com. Available at: http://more.abcnews.go.com/sections/business/dailynews/smokingage_poll02 0613.html. Accessed September 2, 2003.
  • 42
    • 33846274362 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Preventing Tobacco Addiction Foundation. The case for Tobacco 21. Available at: http://www.tobacco21.org/california/thecase.asp. Accessed August 9, 2004.
  • 43
    • 28244431708 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • What fraction of young adults are at risk for future smoking, and who are they?
    • Gilpin E.A., White V.M., and Pierce J.P. What fraction of young adults are at risk for future smoking, and who are they?. Nicotine Tobacco Research 7 5 (2005) 747-759
    • (2005) Nicotine Tobacco Research , vol.7 , Issue.5 , pp. 747-759
    • Gilpin, E.A.1    White, V.M.2    Pierce, J.P.3
  • 44
    • 0033916914 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A simulation of the effects of youth initiation policies on overall cigarette use
    • Levy D.T., Cummings K.M., and Hyland A. A simulation of the effects of youth initiation policies on overall cigarette use. American Journal of Public Health 90 (2000) 1311-1314
    • (2000) American Journal of Public Health , vol.90 , pp. 1311-1314
    • Levy, D.T.1    Cummings, K.M.2    Hyland, A.3
  • 45
    • 0033634705 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A simulation model of tobacco youth access policies
    • Levy D.T. A simulation model of tobacco youth access policies. Journal of Health Politics, Policy and Law 25 6 (2000) 1023-1050
    • (2000) Journal of Health Politics, Policy and Law , vol.25 , Issue.6 , pp. 1023-1050
    • Levy, D.T.1
  • 46
    • 0035378498 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Effect of policies directed at youth access to smoking: results from the SimSmoke computer simulation model
    • Levy D.T., Friend K., Holder H., and Carmona M. Effect of policies directed at youth access to smoking: results from the SimSmoke computer simulation model. Tobacco Control 10 (2001) 108-116
    • (2001) Tobacco Control , vol.10 , pp. 108-116
    • Levy, D.T.1    Friend, K.2    Holder, H.3    Carmona, M.4
  • 47
    • 33846326670 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Vensim [object-oriented modeling environment]. Release 5.1. Harvard, MA: Ventana Systems Inc; 2001.
  • 48
    • 7944222898 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The AMA proposal to mandate nicotine reduction in cigarettes: a simulation of the population health impacts
    • Tengs T., Ahmad S., Savage J., Moore R., and Gage E. The AMA proposal to mandate nicotine reduction in cigarettes: a simulation of the population health impacts. Preventive Medicine 40 2 (2005) 170-180
    • (2005) Preventive Medicine , vol.40 , Issue.2 , pp. 170-180
    • Tengs, T.1    Ahmad, S.2    Savage, J.3    Moore, R.4    Gage, E.5
  • 49
    • 4944235868 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Federal policy mandating safer cigarettes: a hypothetical simulation of the anticipated population health gains or losses
    • Tengs T., Ahmad S., Moore R., and Gage E. Federal policy mandating safer cigarettes: a hypothetical simulation of the anticipated population health gains or losses. Journal of Policy Analysis and Management 23 4 (2004) 857-872
    • (2004) Journal of Policy Analysis and Management , vol.23 , Issue.4 , pp. 857-872
    • Tengs, T.1    Ahmad, S.2    Moore, R.3    Gage, E.4
  • 50
    • 27644513375 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Estimating the health impacts of tobacco harm reduction: a simulation modeling approach
    • Ahmad S., and Billimek J. Estimating the health impacts of tobacco harm reduction: a simulation modeling approach. Risk Analysis 25 4 (2005) 801-812
    • (2005) Risk Analysis , vol.25 , Issue.4 , pp. 801-812
    • Ahmad, S.1    Billimek, J.2
  • 51
    • 33846304047 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • US Census Bureau, Population Division, (NP-D1-A). Annual projections of the resident population by age, sex, race, and Hispanic origin: middle series 1999 to 2100; 2001. http://www.census.gov/population/www/projections/natdet-D1A.html. Accessed March 12, 2003.
  • 53
    • 33846301218 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System (BRFSS). Atlanta, GA: National Center for Chronic Disease Prevention and Health Promotion; 1995 [database online]. Available at: http://www.cdc.gov/BRFSS/technical_infodata/surveydata/1995.htm. Accessed March 28, 2003.
  • 54
    • 33846292352 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • US Bureau of the Census, Population Division. Component assumptions of the resident population by age, sex, race, and Hispanic origin: middle series, 1999 to 2100. Washington, DC: US Bureau of the Census. Publication NP-D5. Available at: http://www.census.gov/population/www/projections/natdet-D5.html. Accessed on October 22, 2002.
  • 55
    • 27744526090 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Inter-University Consortium for Political and Social Research, Ann Arbor, MI
    • U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, National Center for Health Statistics. National mortality followback survey (2000), Inter-University Consortium for Political and Social Research, Ann Arbor, MI
    • (2000) National mortality followback survey
  • 56
    • 33846304814 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • US Bureau of the Census. Methodology and assumptions for the population projections of the United States: 1999 to 2100. Washington, DC: US Bureau of the Census; Population Division Working Paper No. 38.
  • 57
    • 33846300472 scopus 로고
    • Inter-University Consortium for Political and Social Research, Ann Arbor, MI [(ICPSR) 6375]
    • U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, National Center for Health Statistics. Teenage attitudes and practices survey vol. II (1994), Inter-University Consortium for Political and Social Research, Ann Arbor, MI [(ICPSR) 6375]
    • (1994) Teenage attitudes and practices survey , vol.II
  • 58
    • 33846283969 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • US Bureau of the Census. Methodology and assumptions for the population projections of the United States: 1999 to 2100. Washington, DC: US Bureau of the Census; Population Division Working Paper No. 38.
  • 59
    • 33846308630 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, National Center for Health Statistics. National Health Interview Survey. Health Promotion and Disease Prevention Supplement. Washington, DC; 1991. Available at: http://www.icpsr.umich.edu. Accessed March 28, 2003.
  • 61
    • 33846303346 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Hatton Financial Inc. 2002. Life expectancy table [accessed March 29, 2003]. Available at: http://www.hatton.ca/lifeexpectancies.htm.
  • 63
    • 0020168448 scopus 로고
    • The potential for using excise taxes to reduce smoking
    • Lewit E.M., and Coate D. The potential for using excise taxes to reduce smoking. Journal of Health Economics 1 (1982) 121-145
    • (1982) Journal of Health Economics , vol.1 , pp. 121-145
    • Lewit, E.M.1    Coate, D.2
  • 65
    • 33846296764 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Tauras JA, Chaloupka FJ. Price, clean indoor air, and cigarette smoking: evidence from longitudinal data for young adults. National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper No. W6937; 1999.
  • 66
    • 2042439761 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Public policy and smoking cessation among young adults in the United States
    • Tauras J.A. Public policy and smoking cessation among young adults in the United States. Health Policy 68 3 (2004) 321-332
    • (2004) Health Policy , vol.68 , Issue.3 , pp. 321-332
    • Tauras, J.A.1
  • 67
    • 33846275638 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Ross H, Chaloupka FJ. The effect of cigarette prices on youth smoking research paper series, no. 7; February 2001. ImpacTeen research initiative. Available at: http://www.uic.edu/orgs/impacteen/generalarea_PDFs/pricepaperFebruary200 1.pdf. Last accessed November 24, 2004.
  • 68
    • 0842348910 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Adult cigarette smoking prevalence: declining as expected (not as desired)
    • Mendez D., and Warner K.E. Adult cigarette smoking prevalence: declining as expected (not as desired). American Journal of Public Health 94 2 (2004) 251-252
    • (2004) American Journal of Public Health , vol.94 , Issue.2 , pp. 251-252
    • Mendez, D.1    Warner, K.E.2
  • 69
    • 33846280647 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Sustaining state programs for tobacco control: data highlights 2004. Available at: http://www.cdc.gov/tobacco/datahighlights/DataHighlights.pdf. Accessed August 9, 2004.
  • 71
    • 0041411079 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Internet sales of cigarettes to minors
    • Ribisl K.M., Williams R.S., and Kim A.E. Internet sales of cigarettes to minors. JAMA 290 10 (2003) 1356-1359
    • (2003) JAMA , vol.290 , Issue.10 , pp. 1356-1359
    • Ribisl, K.M.1    Williams, R.S.2    Kim, A.E.3
  • 73
    • 33846278144 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Farrelly MC, Nimsch CT, James J. State cigarette excise taxes: implications for revenue and tax evasion. Research Triangle International Report. Available online at: http://www.rti.org/pubs/8742_Excise_Taxes_FR_5-03.pdf. Accessed July 20, 2004.
  • 74
    • 0041887164 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Estimating price elasticities when there is smuggling: the sensitivity of smoking to price in Canada
    • Gruber J., Sen A., and Stabile M. Estimating price elasticities when there is smuggling: the sensitivity of smoking to price in Canada. Journal of Health Economics 22 5 (2003) 821-842
    • (2003) Journal of Health Economics , vol.22 , Issue.5 , pp. 821-842
    • Gruber, J.1    Sen, A.2    Stabile, M.3
  • 75
    • 33846311190 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Lindblom E. State cigarette taxes benefit lower-income smokers and families. Available at: http://tobaccofreekids.org/research/factsheets/pdf/0147.pdf. Accessed July 20, 2004.


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.