Test of a behavior-based individual-based model: Response of shorebird mortality to habitat loss

Ecological Applications

Volumn 16, Issue 6, 2006, Pages 2215-2222

  Goss Custard, John D ^a,c   Burton, Niall H K ^b   Clark, Nigel A ^b   Ferns, Peter N ^d   McGrorty, Selwyn ^a   Reading, Christopher J ^a   Rehfisch, Mark M ^b   Stillman, Richard A ^a   Townend, Ian ^f   West, Andrew D ^a   Worrall, David H ^d,e  

^a CENTRE FOR ECOLOGY AND HYDROLOGY   (United Kingdom)

^b THE NUNNERY   (United Kingdom)

^c Havering   (United Kingdom)

^d CARDIFF UNIVERSITY   (United Kingdom)

^e Llanion House ^*  (United Kingdom)

^f ABP Marine Environmental Research Ltd   (United Kingdom)

Author keywords

Behavior based model; Charadriid shorebird; Density dependent mortality; Ecological mitigation; Habitat loss; Individual based ecology; Interference competition; Prey depletion; Redshank; Tringa totanus

Indexed keywords

DEMOGRAPHY; DENSITY DEPENDENCE; FEEDING GROUND; HABITAT LOSS; INDIVIDUAL-BASED MODEL; MORTALITY; PHYSIOLOGY; POPULATION DENSITY; WADER;

ANIMAL; ANIMAL BEHAVIOR; ARTICLE; BIOLOGICAL MODEL; CHARADRIIFORMES; ECOSYSTEM; FORECASTING; MORTALITY; SEASON;

ANIMALS; BEHAVIOR, ANIMAL; CHARADRIIFORMES; ECOSYSTEM; FORECASTING; MODELS, BIOLOGICAL; MORTALITY; SEASONS;

ANIMALIA; AVES; CHARADRIIDAE; TRINGA TOTANUS;

EID: 33845493104     PISSN: 10510761     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1890/1051-0761(2006)016[2215:TOABIM]2.0.CO;2     Document Type: Article

References (34)

1. Burton, N. H. K., and M. J. S. Armitage. 2005. Differences in the diurnal and nocturnal use of intertidal feeding grounds by redshank Tringa totanus. Bird Study 52:120-128.
2. Burton, N. H. K., M. M. Rehfisch, and N. A. Clark. 2003. The effect of the Cardiff Bay barrage on waterbird populations. Final Report. BTO [British Trust for Ornithology] Research Report Number 343 to the Council of the City and County of Cardiff. BTO, Thetford, UK.
3. Burton, N. H. K., M. M. Rehfisch, N. A. Clark, and S. G. Dodd. 2006. Impacts of sudden winter habitat loss on the body condition and survival of redshank Tringa totanus. Journal of Applied Ecology 43:464-473.
4. Cunge, J. A. 2003. Of data and models. Journal of Hydroinformatics 5:75-98.
5. DeAngelis, D. L., and W. M. Mooij. 2005. Individual-based modelling of ecological and evolutionary processes. Annual Review of Ecology, Evolution and Systematics 36:147-168.
6. Durell, S. E. A. le V. dit, R. A. Stillman, P. Triplet, C. Aulert, D. Ono dit Biot, A. Bouchet, S. Duhamel, S. Mayot, and J. D. Goss-Custard. 2005. Modelling the efficacy of proposed mitigation areas for shorebirds on the Seine estuary, France. Biological Conservation 123:67-77.
7. Ebbinge, B. S., and B. Spaans. 1995. The importance of body reserves accumulated in spring staging areas in the temperate zone for breeding in Dark-bellied Brent Geese Branta b. bernicla in the high Arctic. Journal of Avian Biology 26:105-113.
8. Esselink, P., and L. Zwarts. 1989. Seasonal trend in burrow depth and tidal variation in feeding activity of Nereis diversicolor. Marine Ecology Progress Series 56:243-254.
9. Goss-Custard, J. D. 1969. The winter feeding ecology of the redshank, Tringa totanus. Ibis 111:338-356.
10. Goss-Custard, J. D. 1977a. Optimal foraging and the size selection of worms by redshank, Tringa totanus, in the field. Animal Behaviour 25:10-29.
11. Goss-Custard, J. D. 1977b. The ecology of the Wash. III. Density-related behaviour and the possible effects of a loss of feeding grounds on wading birds (Charadrii). Journal of Applied Ecology 14:721-739.
12. Goss-Custard, J. D. 1993. The effect of migration and scale on the study of bird populations: 1991 Witherby Lecture. Bird Study 40:81-96.
13. Goss-Custard, J. D., and S. E. A. le V. dit Durell. 1986. The effect of the Taff Estuary barrage on over-wintering shorebirds. Report to the Welsh Office, Swindon, UK.
14. Goss-Custard, J. D., and S. E. A. le V. dit Durell. 1990. Bird behaviour and environmental planning: approaches in the study of wader populations. Ibis 132:273-289.
15. Goss-Custard, J. D., and R. A. Stillman. In press. Individual-based models and the management of shorebird populations. Resource Modelling.
16. Goss-Custard, J. D., R. A. Stillman, R. W. G. Caldow, A. D. West, and M. Guillemain. 2003. Carrying capacity in overwintering birds: when are spatial models needed? Journal of Applied Ecology 40:176-187.
17. Goss-Custard, J. D., R. A. Stillman, A. D. West, R. W. G. Caldow, and S. McGrorty. 2002. Carrying capacity in overwintering migratory birds. Biological Conservation 105:27-41.
18. Goss-Custard, J. D., R. M. Warwick, R. Kirby, S. McGrorty, R. T. Clarke, B. Pearson, W. E. Rispin, S. E. A. le V. dit Durell, and R. J. Rose. 1991. Towards predicting wading bird densities from predicted prey densities in a post-barrage Severn Estuary. Journal of Applied Ecology 28:1004-1026.
19. Goss-Custard, J. D., et al. 2006. Intake rates and the functional response in shorebirds Charadriiformes eating macro-invertebrates. Biological Reviews 81(4)1-29.
20. Grimm, V., and S. F. Railsback. 2005. Individual-based modelling and ecology. Princeton University Press, Princeton, New Jersey, USA.
21. Grimm, V., E. Revilla, U. Berger, F. Jeltsch, W. M. Mooij, S. F. Railsback, H.-H. Thulke, J. Weiner, T. Wiegand, and D. L. DeAngelis. 2005. Pattern-oriented modelling of agent-based complex systems: lessons from ecology. Science 310:987-991.
22. Hydraulics Research Wallingford. 1992. Cardiff Bay barrage design study. Alternative feeding grounds. Report to the Cardiff Bay Development Corporation, Wallingford, UK.
23. Kirby, R. 1988. Changes to the area of shorebird feeding grounds in Cardiff Bay arising from cessation of dredging in the Roath Approach channel. Report to the Nature Conservancy Council, Taunton, UK.
24. Odling-Smee, L. 2005. Conservation: dollars and sense. Nature 437:614-616.
25. Railsback, S. F., B. C. Harvey, R. H. Lamberson, D. E. Lee, N. J. Claasen, and S. Yoshihara. 2002. Population-level analysis and validation of an individual-based cutthroat trout model. Natural Resource Modeling 14:465-474.
26. Railsback, S. F., R. H. Lamberson, B. C. Harvey, and W. E. Duffy. 1999. Movement rules for individual-based models of stream fish. Ecological Modelling 123:73-89.
27. Reading, C. J. 1988. Cardiff Bay barrage feasibility study: Rhymney alternative feeding grounds. Report to the Cardiff Bay Development Corporation, Swindon, UK.
28. Schiegg, K., J. R. Walters, and J. A. Priddy. 2005. Testing a spatially explicit, individual-based model of Red-cockaded Woodpecker population dynamics. Ecological Applications 15:1495-1503.
29. Stephens, P. A., F. Frey-Roos, W. Arnold, and W. J. Sutherland. 2002. Model complexity and population predictions. The alpine marmot as a case study. Journal of Animal Ecology 71:343-361.
30. Stillman, R. A., J. D. Goss-Custard, A. D. West, S. E. A. le V. dit Durell, R. W. G. Caldow, S. McGrorty, and R. T. Clarke. 2000. Predicting to novel environments: tests and sensitivity of a behaviour-based population model. Journal of Applied Ecology 37:564-588.
31. Stillman, R. A., J. D. Goss-Custard, A. D. West, S. McGrorty, R. W. G. Caldow, S. E. A. le V. dit Durell, K. J. Norris, I. G. Johnstone, B. J. Ens, J. van der Meer, and P. Triplet. 2001. Predicting oystercatcher mortality and population size under different regimes of shellfishery management. Journal of Applied Ecology 38:857-868.
32. Stillman, R. A., A. D. West, J. D. Goss-Custard, S. McGrorty, N. J. Frost, D. J. Morrisey, A. J. Kenny, and A. L. Drewitt. 2005. Predicting site quality for shorebird communities: a case study on the Humber Estuary, UK. Marine Ecology Progress Series 305:203-217.
33. Worrall, D. H. 1981. The feeding behavior of dunlin Calidris alpina (L.). Dissertation. University of Wales, Cardiff, Wales, UK.
34. Zwarts, L., and J. Wanink. 1993. How the food supply harvestable by waders in the Wadden Sea depends on the variation in energy density, body weight, biomass, burying depth and behaviour of tidal-flat invertebrates. Netherlands Journal of Sea Research 31:441-476.