메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 7, Issue 6, 2006, Pages 611-629

Fast and frugal heuristics in sports

Author keywords

Ecological rationality; Judgment and decision making; Recognition heuristic; Sport psychology and leisure; Take The Best; Take The First

Indexed keywords


EID: 33748928160     PISSN: 14690292     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.psychsport.2006.06.002     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (48)

References (64)
  • 1
    • 17144426137 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The hot hand fallacy and the gambler's fallacy: Two faces of subjective randomness?
    • Ayton P., and Fischer I. The hot hand fallacy and the gambler's fallacy: Two faces of subjective randomness?. Memory & Cognition 32 (2004) 1369-1378
    • (2004) Memory & Cognition , vol.32 , pp. 1369-1378
    • Ayton, P.1    Fischer, I.2
  • 2
    • 33748942010 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Ayton, P., & Önkal, D. (2004). Effects of ignorance and information on judgmental forecasting. Submitted for publication.
  • 3
    • 33748924250 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Bar-Eli, M., Avugos, S., & Raab, M. (in press). Twenty years of "Hot Hand" research Review and critique. Psychology of Sport & Exercise.
  • 5
    • 1842733230 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Norms and bounded rationality
    • Gigerenzer G., and Selten R. (Eds), MIT Press, Cambridge, MA
    • Boyd R., and Richerson P.J. Norms and bounded rationality. In: Gigerenzer G., and Selten R. (Eds). Bounded rationality: The adaptive toolbox (2001), MIT Press, Cambridge, MA 281-296
    • (2001) Bounded rationality: The adaptive toolbox , pp. 281-296
    • Boyd, R.1    Richerson, P.J.2
  • 6
    • 0034277438 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Assessing the empirical validity of the "Take-The-Best" heuristic as a model of human probabilistic inference
    • Bröder A. Assessing the empirical validity of the "Take-The-Best" heuristic as a model of human probabilistic inference. Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, & Cognition 26 (2000) 1332-1346
    • (2000) Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, & Cognition , vol.26 , pp. 1332-1346
    • Bröder, A.1
  • 7
    • 1542378368 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Heuristics as beliefs and as behaviors: The adaptiveness of the "hot hand"
    • Burns B.D. Heuristics as beliefs and as behaviors: The adaptiveness of the "hot hand". Cognitive Psychology 48 (2004) 295-311
    • (2004) Cognitive Psychology , vol.48 , pp. 295-311
    • Burns, B.D.1
  • 9
    • 0011780476 scopus 로고
    • The robust beauty of improper linear models in decision making
    • Dawes R.M. The robust beauty of improper linear models in decision making. American Psychologist 34 (1979) 571-582
    • (1979) American Psychologist , vol.34 , pp. 571-582
    • Dawes, R.M.1
  • 12
    • 0036232691 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The use of heuristics during route planning by expert and novice orienteers
    • Eccles D.W., Walsh S.E., and Ingledew D.K. The use of heuristics during route planning by expert and novice orienteers. Journal of Sports Sciences 20 (2002) 327-337
    • (2002) Journal of Sports Sciences , vol.20 , pp. 327-337
    • Eccles, D.W.1    Walsh, S.E.2    Ingledew, D.K.3
  • 14
    • 33748925654 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Frame, D., Hughson, E., & Leach, J. C. (2006). Runs, regimes, and rationality: The hot hand strikes back. Working paper.
  • 15
    • 0000714472 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • On narrow norms and vague heuristics: A reply to Kahneman and Tversky (1996)
    • Gigerenzer G. On narrow norms and vague heuristics: A reply to Kahneman and Tversky (1996). Psychological Review 103 (1996) 592-596
    • (1996) Psychological Review , vol.103 , pp. 592-596
    • Gigerenzer, G.1
  • 16
    • 0032396987 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Surrogates for theories
    • Gigerenzer G. Surrogates for theories. Theory & Psychology 8 (1998) 195-204
    • (1998) Theory & Psychology , vol.8 , pp. 195-204
    • Gigerenzer, G.1
  • 18
    • 17544373432 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Fast and frugal heuristics: The tools of bounded rationality
    • Koehler D.J., and Harvey N. (Eds), Blackwell, Oxford, UK
    • Gigerenzer G. Fast and frugal heuristics: The tools of bounded rationality. In: Koehler D.J., and Harvey N. (Eds). Handbook of judgment and decision making (2004), Blackwell, Oxford, UK
    • (2004) Handbook of judgment and decision making
    • Gigerenzer, G.1
  • 20
    • 0030266119 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Reasoning the fast and frugal way: Models of bounded rationality
    • Gigerenzer G., and Goldstein D.G. Reasoning the fast and frugal way: Models of bounded rationality. Psychological Review 103 (1996) 650-669
    • (1996) Psychological Review , vol.103 , pp. 650-669
    • Gigerenzer, G.1    Goldstein, D.G.2
  • 21
    • 33748930731 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Gigerenzer, G., Martignon, L., Hoffrage, U., Rieskamp, J., Czerlinski, J., & Goldstein, D. G. (in press). One-reason decision making. In: C. Plott, V. L. Smith (Eds.), Handbook of experimental economics results. Vol. 1, North Holland: Elsevier.
  • 22
    • 21844523169 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • How do we tell an association from a rule? Comment on Sloman (1996)
    • Gigerenzer G., and Regier T. How do we tell an association from a rule? Comment on Sloman (1996). Psychological Bulletin 119 (1996) 23-26
    • (1996) Psychological Bulletin , vol.119 , pp. 23-26
    • Gigerenzer, G.1    Regier, T.2
  • 24
    • 0001571109 scopus 로고
    • The hot hand in basketball: On the misperception of random sequences
    • Gilovich T.D., Vallone R., and Tversky A. The hot hand in basketball: On the misperception of random sequences. Cognitive Psychology 17 (1985) 295-314
    • (1985) Cognitive Psychology , vol.17 , pp. 295-314
    • Gilovich, T.D.1    Vallone, R.2    Tversky, A.3
  • 25
    • 0036358569 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Models of ecological rationality: The recognition heuristic
    • Goldstein D.G., and Gigerenzer G. Models of ecological rationality: The recognition heuristic. Psychological Review 109 (2002) 75-90
    • (2002) Psychological Review , vol.109 , pp. 75-90
    • Goldstein, D.G.1    Gigerenzer, G.2
  • 26
    • 33745111719 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Social judgment theory: Applying and extending Brunswik's probabilistic functionalism
    • Koehler D.J., and Harvey N. (Eds), Blackwell, Oxford
    • Goldstein W.M. Social judgment theory: Applying and extending Brunswik's probabilistic functionalism. In: Koehler D.J., and Harvey N. (Eds). Handbook of judgment and decision making (2004), Blackwell, Oxford
    • (2004) Handbook of judgment and decision making
    • Goldstein, W.M.1
  • 27
    • 33748932974 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Gröschner, C., & Raab, M. (in press). Wer wird Deutscher Meister? Deskriptive und normative Aspekte von Vorhersagemodellen im Sport. Zeitschrift für Sportpsychologie.
  • 28
    • 1642338679 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Hot hand belief and hot hand behavior: A comment on Koehler and Conley
    • Gula B., and Raab M. Hot hand belief and hot hand behavior: A comment on Koehler and Conley. Journal of Sport and Exercise Psychology 26 (2004) 167-170
    • (2004) Journal of Sport and Exercise Psychology , vol.26 , pp. 167-170
    • Gula, B.1    Raab, M.2
  • 30
    • 54949115282 scopus 로고
    • Beyond discrete biases: Functional and dysfunctional aspects of judgmental heuristics
    • Hogarth R.M. Beyond discrete biases: Functional and dysfunctional aspects of judgmental heuristics. Psychological Bulletin 90 (1981) 197-217
    • (1981) Psychological Bulletin , vol.90 , pp. 197-217
    • Hogarth, R.M.1
  • 31
    • 17044396814 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Ignoring information in binary choice with continuous variables: When is less "more"?
    • Hogarth R.M., and Karelaia N. Ignoring information in binary choice with continuous variables: When is less "more"?. Journal of Mathematical Psychology 49 (2005) 115-124
    • (2005) Journal of Mathematical Psychology , vol.49 , pp. 115-124
    • Hogarth, R.M.1    Karelaia, N.2
  • 32
    • 33748941513 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Hogarth, R. M., & Karelaia, N. (in press). Regions of rationality: Maps for bounded agents. Decision Analysis.
  • 33
    • 0036240796 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Perceiving patterns in random series: Dynamic processing of sequence in prefrontal cortex
    • Huettel S.A., Mack P.B., and McCarthy G. Perceiving patterns in random series: Dynamic processing of sequence in prefrontal cortex. Nature Neuroscience 5 (2002) 485-490
    • (2002) Nature Neuroscience , vol.5 , pp. 485-490
    • Huettel, S.A.1    Mack, P.B.2    McCarthy, G.3
  • 34
    • 0003354106 scopus 로고
    • Understanding Micronesian navigation
    • Gentner D., and Stevens A.L. (Eds), Lawrence Erlbaum Associates, Hillsdle, NJ
    • Hutchins E. Understanding Micronesian navigation. In: Gentner D., and Stevens A.L. (Eds). Mental models (1983), Lawrence Erlbaum Associates, Hillsdle, NJ 191-225
    • (1983) Mental models , pp. 191-225
    • Hutchins, E.1
  • 35
    • 0021730115 scopus 로고
    • Why the islands move
    • Hutchins E., and Hinton G.E. Why the islands move. Perception 13 (1984) 629-632
    • (1984) Perception , vol.13 , pp. 629-632
    • Hutchins, E.1    Hinton, G.E.2
  • 39
    • 14544303983 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Koehler D.J., and Harvey N. (Eds), Blackwell, Oxford, UK
    • In: Koehler D.J., and Harvey N. (Eds). Handbook of judgment and decision making (2004), Blackwell, Oxford, UK
    • (2004) Handbook of judgment and decision making
  • 41
    • 0038483873 scopus 로고
    • It's okay to believe in the 'Hot Hand'
    • Larkey P.D., Smith R.A., and Kadane J.B. It's okay to believe in the 'Hot Hand'. Chance 2 4 (1989) 22-30
    • (1989) Chance , vol.2 , Issue.4 , pp. 22-30
    • Larkey, P.D.1    Smith, R.A.2    Kadane, J.B.3
  • 42
    • 0036478578 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Fast, frugal, and fit: Simple heuristics for paired comparisons
    • Martignon L., and Hoffrage U. Fast, frugal, and fit: Simple heuristics for paired comparisons. Theory and Decision 52 (2002) 29-71
    • (2002) Theory and Decision , vol.52 , pp. 29-71
    • Martignon, L.1    Hoffrage, U.2
  • 44
    • 0036788684 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The influence of crowd noise and experience upon refereeing decisions in football
    • Nevill A.M., Balmerb N.J., and Williams A.M. The influence of crowd noise and experience upon refereeing decisions in football. Psychology of Sport and Exercise 3 (2002) 261-272
    • (2002) Psychology of Sport and Exercise , vol.3 , pp. 261-272
    • Nevill, A.M.1    Balmerb, N.J.2    Williams, A.M.3
  • 45
    • 33748924763 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Pachur, T., & Biele, G. (in press). Forecasting by ignorance: The use and usefulness of recognition in lay predictions of sports events. Acta Psychologica.
  • 49
    • 33748946321 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Serwe, S., & Frings, C. (in press). Who will win Wimbledon 2003? The recognition heuristic in predicting sports events. Journal of Behavioral Decision Making.
  • 50
    • 84959810873 scopus 로고
    • A behavioral model of rational choice
    • Simon H.A. A behavioral model of rational choice. Quarterly Journal of Economics 69 (1955) 99-118
    • (1955) Quarterly Journal of Economics , vol.69 , pp. 99-118
    • Simon, H.A.1
  • 54
    • 0347533007 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Horseshoe pitchers' hot hands
    • Smith G. Horseshoe pitchers' hot hands. Psychonomic Bulletin & Review 10 (2003) 753-758
    • (2003) Psychonomic Bulletin & Review , vol.10 , pp. 753-758
    • Smith, G.1
  • 55
    • 33646181234 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Recognizing national hockey league greatness with an ignorance-based heuristic
    • Snook B., and Cullen R.M. Recognizing national hockey league greatness with an ignorance-based heuristic. Canadian Journal of Experimental Psychology 60 (2006) 33-43
    • (2006) Canadian Journal of Experimental Psychology , vol.60 , pp. 33-43
    • Snook, B.1    Cullen, R.M.2
  • 56
    • 84980190325 scopus 로고
    • Efficient decision heuristics
    • Thorngate W. Efficient decision heuristics. Behavioral Science 25 (1980) 219-225
    • (1980) Behavioral Science , vol.25 , pp. 219-225
    • Thorngate, W.1
  • 57
    • 0003244207 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Fast and frugal heuristics for environmentally bounded minds
    • Gigerenzer G., and Selten R. (Eds), MIT Press, Cambridge, MA
    • Todd P.M. Fast and frugal heuristics for environmentally bounded minds. In: Gigerenzer G., and Selten R. (Eds). Bounded rationality: The adaptive toolbox (2001), MIT Press, Cambridge, MA
    • (2001) Bounded rationality: The adaptive toolbox
    • Todd, P.M.1
  • 58
    • 0034488945 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Précis of simple heuristics that make us smart
    • Todd P.M., and Gigerenzer G. Précis of simple heuristics that make us smart. Behavioral and Brain Sciences 23 (2000) 727-780
    • (2000) Behavioral and Brain Sciences , vol.23 , pp. 727-780
    • Todd, P.M.1    Gigerenzer, G.2
  • 60
    • 33748937456 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Todorov, A. (2001). Predicting real outcomes: When heuristics are as smart as statistical models. Unpublished manuscript.
  • 61
    • 58149416322 scopus 로고
    • Elimination by aspects: A theory of choice
    • Tversky A. Elimination by aspects: A theory of choice. Psychological Review 79 (1972)
    • (1972) Psychological Review , vol.79
    • Tversky, A.1
  • 62
    • 0002309738 scopus 로고
    • The cold facts about the "hot hand" in basketball
    • Tversky A., and Gilovich T.D. The cold facts about the "hot hand" in basketball. Chance 2 1 (1989) 16-21
    • (1989) Chance , vol.2 , Issue.1 , pp. 16-21
    • Tversky, A.1    Gilovich, T.D.2
  • 63
    • 0002254521 scopus 로고
    • The "hot hand": Statistical reality or cognitive illusion
    • Tversky A., and Gilovich T.D. The "hot hand": Statistical reality or cognitive illusion. Chance 2 4 (1989) 31-34
    • (1989) Chance , vol.2 , Issue.4 , pp. 31-34
    • Tversky, A.1    Gilovich, T.D.2


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.