-
1
-
-
17144426137
-
The hot hand fallacy and the gambler's fallacy: Two faces of subjective randomness?
-
Ayton P., and Fischer I. The hot hand fallacy and the gambler's fallacy: Two faces of subjective randomness?. Memory & Cognition 32 (2004) 1369-1378
-
(2004)
Memory & Cognition
, vol.32
, pp. 1369-1378
-
-
Ayton, P.1
Fischer, I.2
-
2
-
-
33748942010
-
-
Ayton, P., & Önkal, D. (2004). Effects of ignorance and information on judgmental forecasting. Submitted for publication.
-
-
-
-
3
-
-
33748924250
-
-
Bar-Eli, M., Avugos, S., & Raab, M. (in press). Twenty years of "Hot Hand" research Review and critique. Psychology of Sport & Exercise.
-
-
-
-
5
-
-
1842733230
-
Norms and bounded rationality
-
Gigerenzer G., and Selten R. (Eds), MIT Press, Cambridge, MA
-
Boyd R., and Richerson P.J. Norms and bounded rationality. In: Gigerenzer G., and Selten R. (Eds). Bounded rationality: The adaptive toolbox (2001), MIT Press, Cambridge, MA 281-296
-
(2001)
Bounded rationality: The adaptive toolbox
, pp. 281-296
-
-
Boyd, R.1
Richerson, P.J.2
-
6
-
-
0034277438
-
Assessing the empirical validity of the "Take-The-Best" heuristic as a model of human probabilistic inference
-
Bröder A. Assessing the empirical validity of the "Take-The-Best" heuristic as a model of human probabilistic inference. Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, & Cognition 26 (2000) 1332-1346
-
(2000)
Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, & Cognition
, vol.26
, pp. 1332-1346
-
-
Bröder, A.1
-
7
-
-
1542378368
-
Heuristics as beliefs and as behaviors: The adaptiveness of the "hot hand"
-
Burns B.D. Heuristics as beliefs and as behaviors: The adaptiveness of the "hot hand". Cognitive Psychology 48 (2004) 295-311
-
(2004)
Cognitive Psychology
, vol.48
, pp. 295-311
-
-
Burns, B.D.1
-
9
-
-
0011780476
-
The robust beauty of improper linear models in decision making
-
Dawes R.M. The robust beauty of improper linear models in decision making. American Psychologist 34 (1979) 571-582
-
(1979)
American Psychologist
, vol.34
, pp. 571-582
-
-
Dawes, R.M.1
-
12
-
-
0036232691
-
The use of heuristics during route planning by expert and novice orienteers
-
Eccles D.W., Walsh S.E., and Ingledew D.K. The use of heuristics during route planning by expert and novice orienteers. Journal of Sports Sciences 20 (2002) 327-337
-
(2002)
Journal of Sports Sciences
, vol.20
, pp. 327-337
-
-
Eccles, D.W.1
Walsh, S.E.2
Ingledew, D.K.3
-
14
-
-
33748925654
-
-
Frame, D., Hughson, E., & Leach, J. C. (2006). Runs, regimes, and rationality: The hot hand strikes back. Working paper.
-
-
-
-
15
-
-
0000714472
-
On narrow norms and vague heuristics: A reply to Kahneman and Tversky (1996)
-
Gigerenzer G. On narrow norms and vague heuristics: A reply to Kahneman and Tversky (1996). Psychological Review 103 (1996) 592-596
-
(1996)
Psychological Review
, vol.103
, pp. 592-596
-
-
Gigerenzer, G.1
-
16
-
-
0032396987
-
Surrogates for theories
-
Gigerenzer G. Surrogates for theories. Theory & Psychology 8 (1998) 195-204
-
(1998)
Theory & Psychology
, vol.8
, pp. 195-204
-
-
Gigerenzer, G.1
-
18
-
-
17544373432
-
Fast and frugal heuristics: The tools of bounded rationality
-
Koehler D.J., and Harvey N. (Eds), Blackwell, Oxford, UK
-
Gigerenzer G. Fast and frugal heuristics: The tools of bounded rationality. In: Koehler D.J., and Harvey N. (Eds). Handbook of judgment and decision making (2004), Blackwell, Oxford, UK
-
(2004)
Handbook of judgment and decision making
-
-
Gigerenzer, G.1
-
20
-
-
0030266119
-
Reasoning the fast and frugal way: Models of bounded rationality
-
Gigerenzer G., and Goldstein D.G. Reasoning the fast and frugal way: Models of bounded rationality. Psychological Review 103 (1996) 650-669
-
(1996)
Psychological Review
, vol.103
, pp. 650-669
-
-
Gigerenzer, G.1
Goldstein, D.G.2
-
21
-
-
33748930731
-
-
Gigerenzer, G., Martignon, L., Hoffrage, U., Rieskamp, J., Czerlinski, J., & Goldstein, D. G. (in press). One-reason decision making. In: C. Plott, V. L. Smith (Eds.), Handbook of experimental economics results. Vol. 1, North Holland: Elsevier.
-
-
-
-
22
-
-
21844523169
-
How do we tell an association from a rule? Comment on Sloman (1996)
-
Gigerenzer G., and Regier T. How do we tell an association from a rule? Comment on Sloman (1996). Psychological Bulletin 119 (1996) 23-26
-
(1996)
Psychological Bulletin
, vol.119
, pp. 23-26
-
-
Gigerenzer, G.1
Regier, T.2
-
24
-
-
0001571109
-
The hot hand in basketball: On the misperception of random sequences
-
Gilovich T.D., Vallone R., and Tversky A. The hot hand in basketball: On the misperception of random sequences. Cognitive Psychology 17 (1985) 295-314
-
(1985)
Cognitive Psychology
, vol.17
, pp. 295-314
-
-
Gilovich, T.D.1
Vallone, R.2
Tversky, A.3
-
25
-
-
0036358569
-
Models of ecological rationality: The recognition heuristic
-
Goldstein D.G., and Gigerenzer G. Models of ecological rationality: The recognition heuristic. Psychological Review 109 (2002) 75-90
-
(2002)
Psychological Review
, vol.109
, pp. 75-90
-
-
Goldstein, D.G.1
Gigerenzer, G.2
-
26
-
-
33745111719
-
Social judgment theory: Applying and extending Brunswik's probabilistic functionalism
-
Koehler D.J., and Harvey N. (Eds), Blackwell, Oxford
-
Goldstein W.M. Social judgment theory: Applying and extending Brunswik's probabilistic functionalism. In: Koehler D.J., and Harvey N. (Eds). Handbook of judgment and decision making (2004), Blackwell, Oxford
-
(2004)
Handbook of judgment and decision making
-
-
Goldstein, W.M.1
-
27
-
-
33748932974
-
-
Gröschner, C., & Raab, M. (in press). Wer wird Deutscher Meister? Deskriptive und normative Aspekte von Vorhersagemodellen im Sport. Zeitschrift für Sportpsychologie.
-
-
-
-
28
-
-
1642338679
-
Hot hand belief and hot hand behavior: A comment on Koehler and Conley
-
Gula B., and Raab M. Hot hand belief and hot hand behavior: A comment on Koehler and Conley. Journal of Sport and Exercise Psychology 26 (2004) 167-170
-
(2004)
Journal of Sport and Exercise Psychology
, vol.26
, pp. 167-170
-
-
Gula, B.1
Raab, M.2
-
29
-
-
0344043879
-
Group report: What is the role of culture in bounded rationality?
-
Gigerenzer G., and Selten R. (Eds), MIT Press, Cambridge, MA
-
Henrich J., Albers W., Boyd R., Gigerenzer G., McCabe K.A., Ockenfels A., et al. Group report: What is the role of culture in bounded rationality?. In: Gigerenzer G., and Selten R. (Eds). Bounded rationality: The adaptive toolbox (2001), MIT Press, Cambridge, MA
-
(2001)
Bounded rationality: The adaptive toolbox
-
-
Henrich, J.1
Albers, W.2
Boyd, R.3
Gigerenzer, G.4
McCabe, K.A.5
Ockenfels, A.6
-
30
-
-
54949115282
-
Beyond discrete biases: Functional and dysfunctional aspects of judgmental heuristics
-
Hogarth R.M. Beyond discrete biases: Functional and dysfunctional aspects of judgmental heuristics. Psychological Bulletin 90 (1981) 197-217
-
(1981)
Psychological Bulletin
, vol.90
, pp. 197-217
-
-
Hogarth, R.M.1
-
31
-
-
17044396814
-
Ignoring information in binary choice with continuous variables: When is less "more"?
-
Hogarth R.M., and Karelaia N. Ignoring information in binary choice with continuous variables: When is less "more"?. Journal of Mathematical Psychology 49 (2005) 115-124
-
(2005)
Journal of Mathematical Psychology
, vol.49
, pp. 115-124
-
-
Hogarth, R.M.1
Karelaia, N.2
-
32
-
-
33748941513
-
-
Hogarth, R. M., & Karelaia, N. (in press). Regions of rationality: Maps for bounded agents. Decision Analysis.
-
-
-
-
33
-
-
0036240796
-
Perceiving patterns in random series: Dynamic processing of sequence in prefrontal cortex
-
Huettel S.A., Mack P.B., and McCarthy G. Perceiving patterns in random series: Dynamic processing of sequence in prefrontal cortex. Nature Neuroscience 5 (2002) 485-490
-
(2002)
Nature Neuroscience
, vol.5
, pp. 485-490
-
-
Huettel, S.A.1
Mack, P.B.2
McCarthy, G.3
-
34
-
-
0003354106
-
Understanding Micronesian navigation
-
Gentner D., and Stevens A.L. (Eds), Lawrence Erlbaum Associates, Hillsdle, NJ
-
Hutchins E. Understanding Micronesian navigation. In: Gentner D., and Stevens A.L. (Eds). Mental models (1983), Lawrence Erlbaum Associates, Hillsdle, NJ 191-225
-
(1983)
Mental models
, pp. 191-225
-
-
Hutchins, E.1
-
35
-
-
0021730115
-
Why the islands move
-
Hutchins E., and Hinton G.E. Why the islands move. Perception 13 (1984) 629-632
-
(1984)
Perception
, vol.13
, pp. 629-632
-
-
Hutchins, E.1
Hinton, G.E.2
-
39
-
-
14544303983
-
-
Koehler D.J., and Harvey N. (Eds), Blackwell, Oxford, UK
-
In: Koehler D.J., and Harvey N. (Eds). Handbook of judgment and decision making (2004), Blackwell, Oxford, UK
-
(2004)
Handbook of judgment and decision making
-
-
-
41
-
-
0038483873
-
It's okay to believe in the 'Hot Hand'
-
Larkey P.D., Smith R.A., and Kadane J.B. It's okay to believe in the 'Hot Hand'. Chance 2 4 (1989) 22-30
-
(1989)
Chance
, vol.2
, Issue.4
, pp. 22-30
-
-
Larkey, P.D.1
Smith, R.A.2
Kadane, J.B.3
-
42
-
-
0036478578
-
Fast, frugal, and fit: Simple heuristics for paired comparisons
-
Martignon L., and Hoffrage U. Fast, frugal, and fit: Simple heuristics for paired comparisons. Theory and Decision 52 (2002) 29-71
-
(2002)
Theory and Decision
, vol.52
, pp. 29-71
-
-
Martignon, L.1
Hoffrage, U.2
-
44
-
-
0036788684
-
The influence of crowd noise and experience upon refereeing decisions in football
-
Nevill A.M., Balmerb N.J., and Williams A.M. The influence of crowd noise and experience upon refereeing decisions in football. Psychology of Sport and Exercise 3 (2002) 261-272
-
(2002)
Psychology of Sport and Exercise
, vol.3
, pp. 261-272
-
-
Nevill, A.M.1
Balmerb, N.J.2
Williams, A.M.3
-
45
-
-
33748924763
-
-
Pachur, T., & Biele, G. (in press). Forecasting by ignorance: The use and usefulness of recognition in lay predictions of sports events. Acta Psychologica.
-
-
-
-
49
-
-
33748946321
-
-
Serwe, S., & Frings, C. (in press). Who will win Wimbledon 2003? The recognition heuristic in predicting sports events. Journal of Behavioral Decision Making.
-
-
-
-
50
-
-
84959810873
-
A behavioral model of rational choice
-
Simon H.A. A behavioral model of rational choice. Quarterly Journal of Economics 69 (1955) 99-118
-
(1955)
Quarterly Journal of Economics
, vol.69
, pp. 99-118
-
-
Simon, H.A.1
-
54
-
-
0347533007
-
Horseshoe pitchers' hot hands
-
Smith G. Horseshoe pitchers' hot hands. Psychonomic Bulletin & Review 10 (2003) 753-758
-
(2003)
Psychonomic Bulletin & Review
, vol.10
, pp. 753-758
-
-
Smith, G.1
-
55
-
-
33646181234
-
Recognizing national hockey league greatness with an ignorance-based heuristic
-
Snook B., and Cullen R.M. Recognizing national hockey league greatness with an ignorance-based heuristic. Canadian Journal of Experimental Psychology 60 (2006) 33-43
-
(2006)
Canadian Journal of Experimental Psychology
, vol.60
, pp. 33-43
-
-
Snook, B.1
Cullen, R.M.2
-
56
-
-
84980190325
-
Efficient decision heuristics
-
Thorngate W. Efficient decision heuristics. Behavioral Science 25 (1980) 219-225
-
(1980)
Behavioral Science
, vol.25
, pp. 219-225
-
-
Thorngate, W.1
-
57
-
-
0003244207
-
Fast and frugal heuristics for environmentally bounded minds
-
Gigerenzer G., and Selten R. (Eds), MIT Press, Cambridge, MA
-
Todd P.M. Fast and frugal heuristics for environmentally bounded minds. In: Gigerenzer G., and Selten R. (Eds). Bounded rationality: The adaptive toolbox (2001), MIT Press, Cambridge, MA
-
(2001)
Bounded rationality: The adaptive toolbox
-
-
Todd, P.M.1
-
60
-
-
33748937456
-
-
Todorov, A. (2001). Predicting real outcomes: When heuristics are as smart as statistical models. Unpublished manuscript.
-
-
-
-
61
-
-
58149416322
-
Elimination by aspects: A theory of choice
-
Tversky A. Elimination by aspects: A theory of choice. Psychological Review 79 (1972)
-
(1972)
Psychological Review
, vol.79
-
-
Tversky, A.1
-
62
-
-
0002309738
-
The cold facts about the "hot hand" in basketball
-
Tversky A., and Gilovich T.D. The cold facts about the "hot hand" in basketball. Chance 2 1 (1989) 16-21
-
(1989)
Chance
, vol.2
, Issue.1
, pp. 16-21
-
-
Tversky, A.1
Gilovich, T.D.2
-
63
-
-
0002254521
-
The "hot hand": Statistical reality or cognitive illusion
-
Tversky A., and Gilovich T.D. The "hot hand": Statistical reality or cognitive illusion. Chance 2 4 (1989) 31-34
-
(1989)
Chance
, vol.2
, Issue.4
, pp. 31-34
-
-
Tversky, A.1
Gilovich, T.D.2
|