메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 12, Issue 5, 2006, Pages 502-510

Does seasonal fine-tuning of climatic variables improve the performance of bioclimatic envelope models for migratory birds?

Author keywords

Bird atlas; Boreal regions; Distribution; Model accuracy; Species climate model

Indexed keywords

ARRIVAL DATE; ATLAS; BIOCLIMATOLOGY; BIRD; CLIMATE EFFECT; CLIMATE MODELING; ECOLOGICAL MODELING; MIGRATORY BEHAVIOR; REPRODUCTIVE BEHAVIOR; SEASONAL VARIATION;

EID: 33747428769     PISSN: 13669516     EISSN: 14724642     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1111/j.1366-9516.2006.00284.x     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (28)

References (53)
  • 1
    • 4744337566 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Variation in climate warming along the migration route uncouples arrival and breeding dates
    • Ahola, M., Laaksonen, T., Sippola, K., Eeva, T., Rainio, K. & Lehikoinen, E. (2004) Variation in climate warming along the migration route uncouples arrival and breeding dates. Global Change Biology, 10, 1610-1617.
    • (2004) Global Change Biology , vol.10 , pp. 1610-1617
    • Ahola, M.1    Laaksonen, T.2    Sippola, K.3    Eeva, T.4    Rainio, K.5    Lehikoinen, E.6
  • 2
    • 0016355478 scopus 로고
    • A new look at statistical model identification
    • Akaike, H. (1974) A new look at statistical model identification. IEEE Transactions on Automatic Control, AU-19, 716-722.
    • (1974) IEEE Transactions on Automatic Control , vol.AU-19 , pp. 716-722
    • Akaike, H.1
  • 3
    • 24344464067 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Validation of species-climate impact models under climate change
    • Araújo, M.B., Pearson, R.G., Thuiller, W. & Erhard, M. (2005a) Validation of species-climate impact models under climate change. Global Change Biology, 11, 1504-1513.
    • (2005) Global Change Biology , vol.11 , pp. 1504-1513
    • Araújo, M.B.1    Pearson, R.G.2    Thuiller, W.3    Erhard, M.4
  • 5
    • 0034779637 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Exploring spatial vegetation dynamics using logistic regression and a multinomial logit model
    • Augustin, N.H., Cummings, R.P. & French, D.D. (2001) Exploring spatial vegetation dynamics using logistic regression and a multinomial logit model. Journal of Applied Ecology, 38, 991-1006.
    • (2001) Journal of Applied Ecology , vol.38 , pp. 991-1006
    • Augustin, N.H.1    Cummings, R.P.2    French, D.D.3
  • 6
    • 0037202447 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Spatial prediction of species distribution: An interface between ecological theory and statistical modelling
    • Austin, M.P. (2002) Spatial prediction of species distribution: an interface between ecological theory and statistical modelling. Ecological Modelling, 157, 101-118.
    • (2002) Ecological Modelling , vol.157 , pp. 101-118
    • Austin, M.P.1
  • 7
    • 21344447510 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Predicting species distributions: Use of climatic parameters in BIOCLIM and its impact on predictions of species' current and future distributions
    • Beaumont, L.J., Hughes, L. & Poulsen, M. (2005) Predicting species distributions: use of climatic parameters in BIOCLIM and its impact on predictions of species' current and future distributions. Ecological Modelling, 186, 250-269.
    • (2005) Ecological Modelling , vol.186 , pp. 250-269
    • Beaumont, L.J.1    Hughes, L.2    Poulsen, M.3
  • 9
    • 0036881561 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modelling potential impacts of climate change on the bioclimatic envelope of species in Britain and Ireland
    • Berry, P.M., Dawson, T.P., Harrison, P.A. & Pearson, R.G. (2002) Modelling potential impacts of climate change on the bioclimatic envelope of species in Britain and Ireland. Global Ecology and Biogeography, 11, 453-462.
    • (2002) Global Ecology and Biogeography , vol.11 , pp. 453-462
    • Berry, P.M.1    Dawson, T.P.2    Harrison, P.A.3    Pearson, R.G.4
  • 10
    • 0035902152 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Adjustment to climate change is constrained by arrival date in a long-distance migrant bird
    • Both, C. & Visser, M.E. (2001) Adjustment to climate change is constrained by arrival date in a long-distance migrant bird. Nature, 411, 296-298.
    • (2001) Nature , vol.411 , pp. 296-298
    • Both, C.1    Visser, M.E.2
  • 11
    • 2342623254 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The range margins of northern birds shift polewards
    • Brommer, J.E. (2004) The range margins of northern birds shift polewards. Annales Zoologici Fennici, 41, 391-397.
    • (2004) Annales Zoologici Fennici , vol.41 , pp. 391-397
    • Brommer, J.E.1
  • 12
    • 10944222464 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Presence-absence versus presence-only habitat suitability models: The role of species ecology and prevalence
    • Brotons, L., Thuiller, W., Araújo, M.B. & Hirzel, A.H. (2004) Presence-absence versus presence-only habitat suitability models: the role of species ecology and prevalence. Ecography, 27, 165-172.
    • (2004) Ecography , vol.27 , pp. 165-172
    • Brotons, L.1    Thuiller, W.2    Araújo, M.B.3    Hirzel, A.H.4
  • 13
    • 26644475023 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The impact of climate change on birds
    • Crick, H.Q.P. (2004) The impact of climate change on birds. Ibis, 146 (Suppl. 1), 48-56.
    • (2004) Ibis , vol.146 , Issue.1 SUPPL. , pp. 48-56
    • Crick, H.Q.P.1
  • 16
    • 0030953391 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A review of methods for the assessment of prediction errors in conservation presence/absence models
    • Fielding, A. & Bell, J. (1997) A review of methods for the assessment of prediction errors in conservation presence/absence models. Environmental Conservation, 24, 38-49.
    • (1997) Environmental Conservation , vol.24 , pp. 38-49
    • Fielding, A.1    Bell, J.2
  • 17
    • 0037261870 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The role of climate in limiting European resident bird populations
    • Forsman, J.T. & Mönkkönen, M. (2003) The role of climate in limiting European resident bird populations. Journal of Biogeography, 30, 55-70.
    • (2003) Journal of Biogeography , vol.30 , pp. 55-70
    • Forsman, J.T.1    Mönkkönen, M.2
  • 18
    • 24344493920 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Predicting species distributions: Offering more than simple habitat models
    • Guisan, A. & Thuiller, W. (2005) Predicting species distributions: offering more than simple habitat models. Ecology Letters, 8, 993-1009.
    • (2005) Ecology Letters , vol.8 , pp. 993-1009
    • Guisan, A.1    Thuiller, W.2
  • 19
    • 24144434307 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Bioclimate envelope models: What they detect and what they hide
    • Hampe, A. (2004) Bioclimate envelope models: what they detect and what they hide. Global Ecology and Biogeography, 13, 469-476.
    • (2004) Global Ecology and Biogeography , vol.13 , pp. 469-476
    • Hampe, A.1
  • 22
    • 0028797562 scopus 로고
    • Plant species' response to climate change: Implications for the conservation of European birds
    • Huntley, B. (1995) Plant species' response to climate change: implications for the conservation of European birds. Ibis, 137 (Suppl. 1), 127-138.
    • (1995) Ibis , vol.137 , Issue.1 SUPPL. , pp. 127-138
    • Huntley, B.1
  • 23
    • 0029519647 scopus 로고
    • Modelling present and potential future ranges of some European higher plants using climate response surfaces
    • Huntley, B., Berry, P.M., Cramer, W. & McDonald, A.P. (1995) Modelling present and potential future ranges of some European higher plants using climate response surfaces. Journal of Biogeography, 22, 967-1001.
    • (1995) Journal of Biogeography , vol.22 , pp. 967-1001
    • Huntley, B.1    Berry, P.M.2    Cramer, W.3    McDonald, A.P.4
  • 24
    • 0024525427 scopus 로고
    • Geographical variation in temperature variability and predictability and their implications for the breeding strategy of the pied flycatcher Ficedula hypoleuca
    • Järvinen, A. (1989) Geographical variation in temperature variability and predictability and their implications for the breeding strategy of the pied flycatcher Ficedula hypoleuca. Oikos, 54, 331-336.
    • (1989) Oikos , vol.54 , pp. 331-336
    • Järvinen, A.1
  • 25
    • 4544325269 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Age-related environmental sensitivity and weather-mediated nestling mortality in white storks Ciconia ciconia
    • Jovani, R. & Tella, J.L. (2004) Age-related environmental sensitivity and weather-mediated nestling mortality in white storks Ciconia ciconia. Ecography, 27, 611-618.
    • (2004) Ecography , vol.27 , pp. 611-618
    • Jovani, R.1    Tella, J.L.2
  • 26
    • 0346361819 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A systematic analysis of factors affecting the performance of climatic envelope models
    • Kadmon, R., Farber, O. & Danin, A. (2003) A systematic analysis of factors affecting the performance of climatic envelope models. Ecological Applications, 13, 853-867.
    • (2003) Ecological Applications , vol.13 , pp. 853-867
    • Kadmon, R.1    Farber, O.2    Danin, A.3
  • 27
    • 0343283750 scopus 로고
    • Changes in the geographic distribution of Finnish birds and mammals in relation to recent changes in climate
    • Kalela, O. (1952) Changes in the geographic distribution of Finnish birds and mammals in relation to recent changes in climate. Fennia, 75, 38-51.
    • (1952) Fennia , vol.75 , pp. 38-51
    • Kalela, O.1
  • 28
    • 0033016226 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Spatial autocorrelation of ecological phenomena
    • Koenig, W.D. (1999) Spatial autocorrelation of ecological phenomena. Trends in Ecology and Evolution, 14, 22-25.
    • (1999) Trends in Ecology and Evolution , vol.14 , pp. 22-25
    • Koenig, W.D.1
  • 29
    • 0027881344 scopus 로고
    • Spatial autocorrelation: Trouble or new paradigm?
    • Legendre, P. (1993) Spatial autocorrelation: trouble or new paradigm? Ecology, 74, 1659-1673.
    • (1993) Ecology , vol.74 , pp. 1659-1673
    • Legendre, P.1
  • 30
    • 0242276377 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • GRASP: Generalized regression analysis and spatial prediction
    • Lehmann, A., Overton, J.M. & Leathwick, J.R. (2003) GRASP: generalized regression analysis and spatial prediction. Ecological Modelling, 160, 165-183.
    • (2003) Ecological Modelling , vol.160 , pp. 165-183
    • Lehmann, A.1    Overton, J.M.2    Leathwick, J.R.3
  • 31
    • 0042740745 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Potential impact of global climate change on species richness of long-distance migrants
    • Lemoine, N. & Böhning-Gaese, K. (2003) Potential impact of global climate change on species richness of long-distance migrants. Conservation Biology, 17, 577-586.
    • (2003) Conservation Biology , vol.17 , pp. 577-586
    • Lemoine, N.1    Böhning-Gaese, K.2
  • 32
    • 0033902103 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Bird diversity and environmental gradients in Britain: A test of the species-energy hypothesis
    • Lennon, J.J., Greenwood, J.J.D. & Turner, J.R.G. (2000) Bird diversity and environmental gradients in Britain: a test of the species-energy hypothesis. Journal of Animal Ecology, 69, 581-598.
    • (2000) Journal of Animal Ecology , vol.69 , pp. 581-598
    • Lennon, J.J.1    Greenwood, J.J.D.2    Turner, J.R.G.3
  • 34
    • 20444488428 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Selecting thresholds of occurrence in the prediction of species distributions
    • Liu, C., Berry, P.M., Dawson, T.P. & Pearson, R.G. (2005) Selecting thresholds of occurrence in the prediction of species distributions. Ecography, 28, 385-393.
    • (2005) Ecography , vol.28 , pp. 385-393
    • Liu, C.1    Berry, P.M.2    Dawson, T.P.3    Pearson, R.G.4
  • 35
    • 28244499981 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Uncertainty of bioclimate envelope models based on geographical distribution of species
    • Luoto, M., Pöyry, J., Heikkinen, R.K. & Saarinen, K. (2005) Uncertainty of bioclimate envelope models based on geographical distribution of species. Global Ecology and Biogeography, 14, 575-584.
    • (2005) Global Ecology and Biogeography , vol.14 , pp. 575-584
    • Luoto, M.1    Pöyry, J.2    Heikkinen, R.K.3    Saarinen, K.4
  • 36
    • 0029666959 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Relationship between migration and latitude among the west European birds
    • Newton, I. & Dale, L. (1996) Relationship between migration and latitude among the west European birds. Journal of Animal Ecology, 65, 137-146.
    • (1996) Journal of Animal Ecology , vol.65 , pp. 137-146
    • Newton, I.1    Dale, L.2
  • 37
    • 0141856572 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Predicting the impacts of climate change on the distribution of species: Are bioclimate envelope models useful?
    • Pearson, R.G. & Dawson, T.P. (2003) Predicting the impacts of climate change on the distribution of species: are bioclimate envelope models useful? Global Ecology and Biogeography, 12, 361-371.
    • (2003) Global Ecology and Biogeography , vol.12 , pp. 361-371
    • Pearson, R.G.1    Dawson, T.P.2
  • 38
    • 0034864959 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Predicting species' geographic distributions based on ecological niche modeling
    • Peterson, A.T. (2001) Predicting species' geographic distributions based on ecological niche modeling. Condor, 103, 599-605.
    • (2001) Condor , vol.103 , pp. 599-605
    • Peterson, A.T.1
  • 39
    • 0037984541 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Projected climate change effects on Rocky Mountain and Great Plain birds: Generalities on biodiversity consequences
    • Peterson, A.T. (2003) Projected climate change effects on Rocky Mountain and Great Plain birds: generalities on biodiversity consequences. Global Change Biology, 9, 647-655.
    • (2003) Global Change Biology , vol.9 , pp. 647-655
    • Peterson, A.T.1
  • 41
    • 84860480388 scopus 로고
    • Kustannusosakeyhtiö Otava, Helsinki. (in Finnish)
    • Pöyhönen, M. (1995) Muuttolintujen matkassa. Kustannusosakeyhtiö Otava, Helsinki. (in Finnish)
    • (1995) Muuttolintujen Matkassa
    • Pöyhönen, M.1
  • 42
    • 0036779385 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Temperature and hen harrier productivity: From local mechanisms to geographical patterns
    • Redpath, S.M., Arroyo, B.E., Leckie, F., Bouwman, K. & Thirgood, S.J. (2002) Temperature and hen harrier productivity: from local mechanisms to geographical patterns. Ecography, 25, 533-540.
    • (2002) Ecography , vol.25 , pp. 533-540
    • Redpath, S.M.1    Arroyo, B.E.2    Leckie, F.3    Bouwman, K.4    Thirgood, S.J.5
  • 43
    • 0043198483 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The effect of weather on lesser kestrel breeding success: Can climate change explain historical population declines?
    • Rodríguez, C. & Bustamante, J. (2003) The effect of weather on lesser kestrel breeding success: can climate change explain historical population declines? Journal of Animal Ecology, 72, 793-810.
    • (2003) Journal of Animal Ecology , vol.72 , pp. 793-810
    • Rodríguez, C.1    Bustamante, J.2
  • 44
    • 0242584371 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The effects of land use and climate on red kite distribution in the Iberian peninsula
    • Seoane, J., Viñuela, J., Díaz-Delgado, R. & Bustamante, J. (2003) The effects of land use and climate on red kite distribution in the Iberian peninsula. Biological Conservation, 111, 401-414.
    • (2003) Biological Conservation , vol.111 , pp. 401-414
    • Seoane, J.1    Viñuela, J.2    Díaz-Delgado, R.3    Bustamante, J.4
  • 45
    • 0033587045 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Birds extend their ranges northwards
    • Thomas, C.D. & Lennon, J.J. (1999) Birds extend their ranges northwards. Nature, 399, 213.
    • (1999) Nature , vol.399 , pp. 213
    • Thomas, C.D.1    Lennon, J.J.2
  • 46
    • 0242275331 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • BIOMOD - Optimizing predictions of species distributions and projecting potential future shifts under global change
    • Thuiller, W. (2003) BIOMOD - optimizing predictions of species distributions and projecting potential future shifts under global change. Global Change Biology, 9, 1353-1362.
    • (2003) Global Change Biology , vol.9 , pp. 1353-1362
    • Thuiller, W.1
  • 47
    • 10944234906 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Patterns and uncertainties of species' range shifts under climate change
    • Thuiller, W. (2004) Patterns and uncertainties of species' range shifts under climate change. Global Change Biology, 10, 2020-2027.
    • (2004) Global Change Biology , vol.10 , pp. 2020-2027
    • Thuiller, W.1
  • 48
    • 4744352914 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Effects of restricting environmental range of data to project current and future distributions
    • Thuiller, W., Brotons, L., Araújo, M.B. & Lavorel, S. (2004) Effects of restricting environmental range of data to project current and future distributions. Ecography, 27, 165-172.
    • (2004) Ecography , vol.27 , pp. 165-172
    • Thuiller, W.1    Brotons, L.2    Araújo, M.B.3    Lavorel, S.4
  • 49
    • 0021538127 scopus 로고
    • A circumboreal system of climaticphytogeographical regions
    • Tuhkanen, S. (1984) A circumboreal system of climaticphytogeographical regions. Acta Botanica Fennica, 127, 1-50.
    • (1984) Acta Botanica Fennica , vol.127 , pp. 1-50
    • Tuhkanen, S.1
  • 52
    • 0025955058 scopus 로고
    • Population trends of forest birds in a Finnish Lapland landscape of large habitat blocks: Consequences of stochastic environmental variation or regional habitat alteration?
    • Virkkala, R. (1991) Population trends of forest birds in a Finnish Lapland landscape of large habitat blocks: consequences of stochastic environmental variation or regional habitat alteration? Biological Conservation, 56, 223-240.
    • (1991) Biological Conservation , vol.56 , pp. 223-240
    • Virkkala, R.1
  • 53
    • 33745290206 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Distribution patterns of boreal marshland birds: Modelling the relationships to land cover and climate
    • Virkkala, R., Luoto, M., Heikkinen, R.K. & Leikola, N. (2005) Distribution patterns of boreal marshland birds: modelling the relationships to land cover and climate. Journal of Biogeography, 32, 1957-1970.
    • (2005) Journal of Biogeography , vol.32 , pp. 1957-1970
    • Virkkala, R.1    Luoto, M.2    Heikkinen, R.K.3    Leikola, N.4


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.