The importance of independent risk-factors for long-term mortality prediction after cardiac surgery

European Journal of Clinical Investigation

Volumn 36, Issue 9, 2006, Pages 599-607

  Toumpoulis, I K ^a,d,e   Anagnostopoulos, C E ^a,d   Ioannidis, J P ^b,c   Toumpoulis, S K ^d   Chamogeorgakis, T ^d   Swistel, D G ^a   DeRose, J J ^a  

^a New York Presbyterian Columbia University Medical Center   (United States)

^b UNIVERSITY OF IOANNINA   (Greece)

^c TUFTS UNIVERSITY SCHOOL OF MEDICINE   (United States)

^d UNIVERSITY OF ATHENS MEDICAL SCHOOL   (Greece)

^e St Luke's Roosevelt Hospital Center ^*  (Greece)

Author keywords

Cardiac surgery; EuroSCORE; Independent predictors; Long term mortality

Indexed keywords

ADULT; AGED; EVALUATION; FEMALE; HEART SURGERY; HIGH RISK POPULATION; HUMAN; LONG TERM CARE; MAJOR CLINICAL STUDY; MALE; MORTALITY; PEROPERATIVE CARE; POSTOPERATIVE CARE; PREDICTION; PREOPERATIVE EVALUATION; PRIORITY JOURNAL; PROPORTIONAL HAZARDS MODEL; RETROSPECTIVE STUDY; REVIEW; RISK FACTOR; SURGICAL RISK; SURVIVAL TIME; VALIDATION PROCESS;

CARDIAC SURGICAL PROCEDURES; FEMALE; HOSPITAL MORTALITY; HUMANS; KAPLAN-MEIER ESTIMATE; KAPLAN-MEIERS ESTIMATE; MALE; MIDDLE AGED; MODELS, STATISTICAL; RETROSPECTIVE STUDIES; RISK ASSESSMENT; RISK FACTORS;

EID: 33747039785     PISSN: 00142972     EISSN: 13652362     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1111/j.1365-2362.2006.01703.x     Document Type: Review

References (38)

1. Roques F, Nashef SA, Michel P, Gauducheau E, de Vincentiis C, Baudet E et al. Risk factors and outcome in European cardiac surgery: analysis of the EuroSCORE multinational database of 19030 patients. Eur J Cardiothorac Surg 1999;15 (6):816-22.
2. Nashef SA, Roques F, Michel P, Gauducheau E, Lemeshow S, Salamon R. European system for cardiac operative risk evaluation (EuroSCORE). Eur J Cardiothorac Surg 1999;16 (1):9-13.
3. Nashef SA, Roques F, Hammill BG, Peterson ED, Michel P, Grover FL et al. Validation of European System for Cardiac Operative Risk Evaluation (EuroSCORE) in North American cardiac surgery. Eur J Cardiothorac Surg 2002;22 (1):101-5.
4. Michel P, Roques F, Nashef SA. Logistic or additive EuroSCORE for high-risk patients? Eur J Cardiothorac Surg 2003;23 (5):684-7.
5. Roques F, Michel P, Goldstone AR, Nashef SA. The logistic EuroSCORE. Eur Heart J 2003;24 (9):881-2.
6. Roques F, Nashef SA, Michel P, Pinna PP, David M, Baudet E et al. Does EuroSCORE work in individual European countries? Eur J Cardiothorac Surg 2000;18 (1):27-30.
7. Kawachi Y, Nakashima A, Toshima Y, Arinaga K, Kawano H. Evaluation of the quality of cardiovascular surgery care using risk stratification analysis according to the EuroSCORE additive model. Circ J 2002;66 (2):145-8.
8. De Maria R, Mazzoni M, Parolini M, Gregori D, Bortone F, Arena V et al. Predictive value of EuroSCORE on long term outcome in cardiac surgery patients: a single institution study. Heart 2005;91 (6):779-84.
9. Toumpoulis IK, Anagnostopoulos CE, DeRose JJ, Swistel DG. European system for cardiac operative risk evaluation predicts long-term survival in patients with coronary artery bypass grafting. Eur J Cardiothorac Surg 2004;25 (1):51-8.
10. Toumpoulis IK, Anagnostopoulos CE, Toumpoulis SK, DeRose JJ Jr, Swistel DG. EuroSCORE predicts long-term mortality after heart valve surgery. Ann Thorac Surg 2005;79 (6):1902-8.
11. Williams BC, Demitrack LB, Fries BE. The accuracy of the National Death Index when personal identifiers other than Social Security number are used. Am J Public Health 1992;82 (8):1145-7.
12. Cox DR. Regression models and life-tables. J R Stat Soc 1972;34:187-220.
13. Kaplan EL, Meier P. Nonparametric estimation from incomplete observations. J Am Stat Assoc 1958;53:547-81.
14. Ioannidis JP, Lau J. Heterogeneity of the baseline risk within patient populations of clinical trials: a proposed evaluation algorithm. Am J Epidemiol 1998;148 (11):1117-26.
15. Chassin MR, Hannan EL, DeBuono BA. Benefits and hazards of reporting medical outcomes publicly. N Engl J Med 1996;334 (6):394-8.
16. Hammermeister KE. Risk, predicting outcomes, and improving care. Circulation 1995;91 (3):899-900.
17. Nashef SA. Monitoring of cardiac surgical results. Lancet 1998;351 (9096):143-4.
18. Asimakopoulos G, Al Ruzzeh S, Ambler G, Omar RZ, Punjabi P, Amrani M et al. An evaluation of existing risk stratification models as a tool for comparison of surgical performances for coronary artery bypass grafting between institutions. Eur J Cardiothorac Surg 2003;23 (6):935-41.
19. Geissler HJ, Holzl P, Marohl S, Kuhn-Regnier F, Mehlhorn U, Sudkamp M et al. Risk stratification in heart surgery: comparison of six score systems. Eur J Cardiothorac Surg 2000;17 (4):400-6.
20. Hannan EL, Kilburn H Jr, O'Donnell JF, Lukacik G, Shields EP. Adult open heart surgery in New York State: an analysis of risk factors and hospital mortality rates. JAMA 1990;264 (21):2768-74.
21. Jones RH, Hannan EL, Hammermeister KE, Delong ER, O'Connor GT, Luepker RV et al. Identification of preoperative variables needed for risk adjustment of short-term mortality after coronary artery bypass graft surgery. The Working Group Panel on the Cooperative CABG Database Project. J Am Coll Cardiol 1996;28 (6):1478-87.
22. Kurki TS, Jarvinen O, Kataja MJ, Laurikka J, Tarkka M. Performance of three preoperative risk indices; CABDEAL, EuroSCORE and Cleveland models in a prospective coronary bypass database. Eur J Cardiothorac Surg 2002;21 (3):406-10.
23. Parsonnet V, Dean D, Bernstein AD. A method of uniform stratification of risk for evaluating the results of surgery in acquired adult heart disease. Circulation 1989;79 (6 Part 2):I3-I12.
24. Tu JV, Jaglal SB, Naylor CD. Multicenter validation of a risk index for mortality, intensive care unit stay, and overall hospital length of stay after cardiac surgery. Steering Committee of the Provincial Adult Cardiac Care Network of Ontario. Circulation 1995;91 (3):677-84.
25. Tu JV, Naylor CD. Coronary artery bypass mortality rates in Ontario: a Canadian approach to quality assurance in cardiac surgery. Steering Committee of the Provincial Adult Cardiac Care Network of Ontario. Circulation 1996;94 (10):2429-33.
26. Martinez-Alario J, Tuesta ID, Plasencia E, Santana M, Mora ML. Mortality prediction in cardiac surgery patients: comparative performance of Parsonnet and general severity systems. Circulation 1999;99 (18):2378-82.
27. Eagle KA, Guyton RA, Davidoff R, Ewy GA, Fonger J, Gardner TJ et al. ACC/AHA guidelines for coronary artery bypass graft surgery: executive summary and recommendations: a report of the American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association Task Force on Practice Guidelines (Committee to revise the 1991 guidelines for coronary artery bypass graft surgery). Circulation 1999;100 (13):1464-80.
28. Kurki TS. Prediction of outcome in cardiac surgery. Mt Sinai J Med 2002;69 (1-2):68-72.
29. Sergeant P, Meyns B. La critique est aisee mais l'art est difficile. [Criticism is easy but the method is hard: comment]. Lancet 1997;350 (9085):1114-15.
30. Wyse RK, Taylor KM. Using the STS and multinational cardiac surgical databases to establish risk-adjusted benchmarks for clinical outcomes. Heart Surg Forum 2002;5 (3):258-64.
31. Toumpoulis IK, Anagnostopoulos CE, DeRose JJ Jr, Swistel DG. The impact of deep sternal wound infection on long-term survival after coronary artery bypass grafting. Chest 2005;127 (2):464-71.
32. Toumpoulis IK, Anagnostopoulos CE, De Toumpoulis SK, DeRose JJ Jr, Swistel DG. Risk factors for sepsis and endocarditis and long-term survival following coronary artery bypass grafting. World J Surg 2005;29 (5):621-7.
33. Toumpoulis IK, Anagnostopoulos CE, Swistel DG, DeRose JJ Jr. Does EuroSCORE predict length of stay and specific postoperative complications after cardiac surgery? Eur J Cardiothorac Surg 2005;27 (1):128-33.
34. Toumpoulis IK, Anagnostopoulos CE, Katritsis DG, DeRose JJ Jr, Swistel DG. The impact of preoperative thrombolysis on long-term survival after coronary artery bypass grafting. Circulation 2005;112 (Suppl. 9):I351-7.
35. Toumpoulis IK, Anagnostopoulos CE, Katritsis DG, Shennib H, DeRose JJ, Swistel DG. Influence of innovative techniques on midterm results in patients with minimally invasive direct coronary artery bypass and off-pump coronary artery bypass. Heart Surg Forum 2004;7 (1):31-6.
36. Gao D, Grunwald GK, Rumsfeld JS, Mackenzie T, Grover FL, Perlin JB et al. Variation in mortality risk factors with time after coronary artery bypass graft operation. Ann Thorac Surg 2003;75 (1):74-81.
37. Gardner SC, Grunwald GK, Rumsfeld JS, Mackenzie T, Gao D, Perlin JB et al. Risk factors for intermediate-term survival after coronary artery bypass grafting. Ann Thorac Surg 2001;72 (6):2033-7.
38. Ghahramani M, Dean CB, Spinelli JJ. Simultaneous modelling of operative mortality and long-term survival after coronary artery bypass surgery. Stat Med 2001;20 (13):1931-45.