Prediction of wolf (Canis lupus) kill-sites using hidden Markov models

Ecological Modelling

Volumn 197, Issue 1-2, 2006, Pages 237-246

  Franke, Alastair ^a   Caelli, Terry ^b   Kuzyk, Gerald ^a   Hudson, Robert J ^a  

^a UNIVERSITY OF ALBERTA   (Canada)

^b AUSTRALIAN NATIONAL UNIVERSITY   (Australia)

Author keywords

Animal activity; Animal behavior; Animal movement; Canis lupus; GPS; Hidden Markov model; Kill sites; Predation; Predator prey; Wolf

Indexed keywords

DATA ACQUISITION; GLOBAL POSITIONING SYSTEM; MARKOV PROCESSES; MATHEMATICAL MODELS;

ANIMAL ACTIVITY; ANIMAL BEHAVIOR; CANIS LUPUS; PREDATION; WOLF;

BIODIVERSITY;

CANID; ECOLOGICAL MODELING; GPS; LOCOMOTION AND MOVEMENT; PREDATION; PREDATOR-PREY INTERACTION; UNGULATE;

BIODIVERSITY; DATA PROCESSING; MATHEMATICAL MODELS;

ALBERTA; CANADA; NORTH AMERICA;

CANIS FAMILIARIS; CANIS LUPUS; RANGIFER TARANDUS; RANGIFER TARANDUS CARIBOU; UNGULATA;

EID: 33746082060     PISSN: 03043800     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2006.02.043     Document Type: Article

References (41)

1. Ballard W.B., Whitman J.S., and Gardner C.L. Ecology of an exploited wolf population in south-central Alaska. Wildl. Monogr. 114 (1987) 49
2. Boutin S. Predation and moose population dynamics: a critique. J. Wildl. Manag. 56 (1992) 116-127
3. Caelli T., McCabe A., and Briscoe G. Shape tracking and production using hidden Markov models. Int. J. Pattern Recognit. Artif. Intell. 15 (2001) 197-221
4. Caelli, T., McCabe, A., Binsted, G., 2001b. On learning the shape of complex actions. In: Arcelli, C., Cordella, L., Sanniti di Baja, G. (Eds.). International Workshop on Visual Form: IWVF, Visual Form. Lecture Notes in Computer Science, LNCS 2059. Springer, pp. 24-39.
5. Carbyn, L.N., 1975. Wolf predation and behavioral interactions with elk and other ungulates in an area of high prey density. Ph.D. Dissertation. University of Toronto, Toronto, Ont., Canada.
6. Carbyn L.N. Wolf predation on elk in Riding Mountain National Park, Manitoba. J. Wildl. Manag. 47 (1983) 963-976
7. Carbyn L.N., and Trottier T. Descriptions of wolf attacks on bison calves in Wood Buffalo National Park. Arctic 41 (1988) 297-302
8. Dale B., Adams L.G., and Boyer R.T. Functional response of wolves preying on barren-ground caribou in a multiple prey ecosystem. J. Anim. Ecol. 63 (1994) 644-652
9. Franke A., Caelli T., and Hudson R.J. Analysis of movements and behavior of caribou (Rangifer tarandus) using hidden Markov models. Ecol. Modell. 173 (2004) 259-270
10. Fuller T.K. Population dynamics of wolves in North-Central Minnesota. Wildl. Monogr. 105 (1989) 41
11. Guilford T., Roberts S., Biro D., and Rezek I. Positional entropy during pigeon homing II: navigational interpretation of Bayesian latent state models. J. Theor. Biol. 227 (2004) 25-38
12. Hayes R.D., and Harestad A.S. Wolf functional response and regulation of moose in the Yukon. Can. J. Zool. 78 (2000) 60-66
13. Hayes R.D., Baer A.M., Wotschikowsky, and Harestad A.S. Kill-rate by wolves on moose in the Yukon. Can. J. Zool. 78 1 (2000) 49-59
14. Henderson J., Salzberg S., and Fasman K.H. Finding genes in DNA with a hidden Markov model. J. Comput. Biol. 4 (1997) 127-141
15. Hollings C.S. The components of predation as revealed by a study of small mammal predation of the European pine sawfly. Can. Entomol. 91 (1959) 293-320
16. James, A.R.C., 1999. Effects of industrial development on the predator-prey relationship between wolves and caribou in northeastern Alberta. Ph.D. University of Alberta, Edmonton, Alta., 70 pp.
17. Kuzyk, G., 2002. Wolf distribution and movements on Caribou Ranges in West-Central Alberta. M.Sc. University of Alberta, Edmonton, Alta., 125 pp.
18. Legendre P. Spatial autocorrelation: trouble or a new paradigm?. Ecology 74 6 (1993) 1659-1673
19. Leslie P.H. On the use of matrices in certain population mathematics. Biometrika 35 (1945) 183-212
20. Levinson S.E., Rabiner L.R., and Sondhi M.M. An introduction to the application of the theory of probabilistic functions of a Markov process to automatic speech recognition. Bell Syst. Tech. J. 62 (1983) 1035-1074
21. Lotek Engineering Inc., 2000. Lotek GPS 1000 Animal Location System Users Manual Version 2.40. Newmarket, Ontario.
22. Marshall J.P., and Boutin S. Power analysis of wolf-moose functional responses. J. Wildl. Manag. 63 (1999) 396-402
23. McAuliffe J.R. Markovian dynamics of simple and complex desert plant communities. Am. Nat. 131 (1988) 459-490
24. Mech, L.D., 1966. The Wolves of Isle Royale. Fauna of National Parks of the U.S. Govt. Printing Office: Faunal Series Number 7, 210 pp.
25. Mech L.D. Wolf Ecology and Management of an Endangered Species (1970), University of Minnesota Press p. 384
26. Mech L.D. Regular and homeward travel speeds of arctic wolves. J. Mammal. 75 (1994) 741-742
27. Mech L.D. What do we know about wolves and what more do we need to learn?. In: Carbyn L.N., Fritts S.H., and Seip D.R. (Eds). Ecology and Conservation of Wolves in a Changing World (1995), Canadian Circumpolar Institute, University of Alberta, Edmonton 537-548
28. Mech L.D. The Arctic Wolf-Ten Years with the Pack (1997), Raincoast Books Publishing, Vancouver, BC p. 144
29. Mech L.D., Adams L.G., Meier T.J., Burch J.W., and Dale B.W. The Wolves of Denali (1998), University of Minnesota Press p. 225
30. Messier F. The significance of limiting and regulating factors on the demography of moose and white-tailed deer. J. Anim. Ecol. 60 (1991) 377-393
31. Messier F. Ungulate population models with predation: a case study with North American moose. Ecology 75 (1994) 478-488
32. Musiani M., Okarma H., and Jedrzejewski W. Speed and actual distance travelled by radiocollared wolves in Bialowieza Primeval Forest (Poland). Acta Theriol. 43 (1998) 409-416
33. Oaten A., and Murdoch W.W. Functional response and stability in predator-prey systems. Am. Nat. 109 (1975)
34. Peterson, R.O., 1977. Wolf Ecology and Prey Relationships on Isle Royale. U.S. National Park Service Science Monograph Series, No. 11, 210 pp.
35. Pimlott D.H., Shannon J.A., and Kolenosky G.B. The Ecology of the Timber Wolf in Algonquin Park (1969), Ontario Department of Lands and Forests, Toronto, Ont., Canada
36. Post E., Stenseth N.C., Peterson R.O., Vucetich J.A., and Ellis A.M. Phase dependence and population cycles in a large-mammal predator-prey system. Ecology 83 11 (2002) 2997-3002
37. Potvin F. Wolf movements and populations dynamics in Papineau-Labelle reserve, Quebec. Can. J. Zool. 66 (1988) 1266-1273
38. Rabiner L.R. A tutorial on hidden Markov models and selected applications in speech recognition. Proc. IEEE 77 2 (1989) 257-286
39. Tanner J.E., Hughes T.P., and Connell J.H. The role of history in community dynamics: a modeling approach. Ecology 77 (1996) 108-117
40. Tucker B.C., and Anand M. On the use of stationary versus hidden Markov models to detect simple versus complex ecological dynamics. Ecol. Model. 185 (2005) 177-193
41. Vucetich J.A., Peterson R.O., and Schaefer C.L. The effect of prey and predator densities on wolf predation. Ecology 83 11 (2002) 3003-3013