Evaluation of risk assessment instruments for sex offenders;Rückfallprognosen bei sexualstraftätern - Vergleich der prädiktiven validität von prognoseinstrumenten

Nervenarzt

Volumn 77, Issue 5, 2006, Pages 587-595

  Stadtland, C ^a   Hollweg, M ^b   Kleindienst, N ^a   Dietl, J ^a   Reich, U ^a   Nedopil, N ^a  

^a LUDWIG MAXIMILIANS UNIVERSITY   (Germany)

^b Abteilung für Sozialtherapie   (Germany)

Author keywords

Instruments; Predictive validity; Risk assessment; Sex offenders; Sexual recidivism; Violence

Indexed keywords

ACCURACY; AREA UNDER THE CURVE; ARTICLE; COMPARATIVE STUDY; EVALUATION; FALSE POSITIVE RESULT; FOLLOW UP; GERMANY; HCR 20 SCALE; HUMAN; INSTRUMENT VALIDATION; KAPLAN MEIER METHOD; PCL R SCALE; PREDICTION; RECEIVER OPERATING CHARACTERISTIC; RECIDIVISM; REGISTER; RISK ASSESSMENT; SAMPLE SIZE; SEXUAL CRIME; STATIC 99 SCALE; SVR 20 SCALE; VIOLENCE;

FORENSIC PSYCHIATRY; GERMANY; HUMANS; PROGNOSIS; PSYCHOLOGICAL TESTS; REPRODUCIBILITY OF RESULTS; RISK ASSESSMENT; RISK FACTORS; ROC CURVE; SENSITIVITY AND SPECIFICITY; SEX OFFENSES; VIOLENCE;

EID: 33646542635     PISSN: 00282804     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1007/s00115-005-1945-2     Document Type: Article

References (53)

1. American Psychiatric Association (1994) Diagnostic and statistical manual of mental disorders, 4th edn. (DSM-IV). American Psychiatric Association, Washington DC
2. Barbaree HE, Seto MC, Langton CM et al. (2001) Evaluating the predictive accuracy of six risk assessment instruments for adult sex offenders. Crim Justice Behav 28:490-521
3. Bartosh DL, Garby T, Lewis D et al. (2003) Differences in the predictive validity of actuarial risk assessments in relation to sex offender type. Int J Offender Ther Comp Criminol 47:422-438
4. Beier KM (1995) Dissexualität im Lebenslängsschnitt. Springer, Berlin Heidelberg New York
5. Berner W, Bolterauer J (1995) Five-year follow up study of 46 sex offenders discharged from a special treatment institution in prison. Recht Psychiatr 13
6. Boer DR, Hart SD, Kropp PR et al. (1997) Manual for the Sexual Violence Risk-20. Professional guidelines for assessing risk of sexual violence. Institute Against Family Violence, Vancouver
7. Cleckley H (1976) The mask of sanity (Original work published 1941). Mosby, St. Louis
8. Cooke DJ, Michie C (2001) Refining the construct of psychopathy: towards a hierarchical model. Psychol Assess 13:171-188
9. Cooke DJ, Michie C, Hart SD et al. (2004) Reconstructing psychopathy: clarifying the significance of antisocial and socially deviant behavior in the diagnosis of psychopathic personality disorder. J Personal Disord 18:337-357
10. de Vogel V, de Ruiter C, van Beek D et al. (2004) Predictive validity of the SVR-20 and Static-99 in a Dutch sample of treated sex offenders. Law Hum Behav 28:235-251
11. Dempster RJ, Hart SD (2002) The relative utility of fixed and variable risk factors in discriminating sexual recidivists and nonrecidivists. Sex Abuse 14:121-138
12. Egg R (2001) Rückfälligkeit nach sexuellen Gewalt-und Missbrauchsdelikten-empirische Erkenntnisse und praktische Konsequenzen. Axept, Königslutter
13. Egg R (2004) Rückfälligkeit von Sexualstraftätern. http://www.krimz.de/forschung/sex-rueckfall.html.
14. Elz J (2001) Legalbewährung und kriminelle Karrieren von Sexualstraftätern: Sexuelle Missbrauchsdelikte, Bd 33. Kriminologische Zentralstelle Kriminologie und Praxis, Wiesbaden
15. Fagan PJ, Wise TN, Schmidt CW et al. (2002) Pedophilia. JAMA 288:2458-2465
16. Firestone P, Bradford JM, McCoy M et al. (1998) Recidivism in convicted rapists. J Am Acad Psychiatry Law 26:185-200
17. Firestone P, Bradford JM, McCoy M et al. (2000) Prediction of recidivism in extrafamilial child molesters based on court-related assessments. Sex Abuse 12:203-221
18. Furby L, Weinrott MR, Blackshaw L (1989) Sex offender recidivism: a review. Psychol Bull 105:3-30
19. Greenberg D, Bradford J, Firestone P et al. (2000) Recidivism of child molesters: a study of victim relationship with the perpetrator. Child Abuse Negl 24:1485-1494
20. Greenberg SR, Firestone P, Bradford JM et al. (2002) Prediction of recidivism in exhibitionists: psychological, phallometric, and offense factors. Sex Abuse 14:329-347
21. Grossman LS, Martis B, Fichtner CG (1999) Are sex offenders treatable? A research overview. Psychiatr Serv 50:349-361
22. Hall GC (1995) Sexual offender recidivism revisited: a meta-analysis of recent treatment studies. J Consult Clin Psychol 63:802-809
23. Hanley JA, McNeil BJ (1982) The meaning and use of the area under a receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. Radiology 143:29-36
24. Hanson K, Morton-Bourgon K (2004) Predictors of sexual recidivism: an updated meta-analysis. http://www.psepc.gc.ca/publications/corrections/ pdf/200402_e.pdf.
25. Hanson RK, Bussiere MT (1998) Predicting relapse: a meta-analysis of sexual offender recidivism studies. J Consult Clin Psychol 66:348-362
26. Hanson RK, Gordon A, Harris AJ et al. (2002) First report of the collaborative outcome data project on the effectiveness of psychological treatment for sex offenders. Sex Abuse 14:169-194
27. Hanson RK, Morton KE, Harris AJ (2003) Sexual offender recidivism risk: what we know and what we need to know. Ann NY Acad Sci 989:154-166
28. Hanson RK, Thornton D (1999) Static 99: Improving actuarial risk assessments for sex offenders. Department of the Solicitor General of Canada, Ottawa
29. Hare RD (1991) The Hare psychopathy checklist-revised. Multi-Health Systems, Toronto
30. Hare RD (2003) Manual for the Hare psychopathy checklist-revised, 2nd edn. Multi-Health Systems, Toronto
31. Harris GT, Rice ME (2003) Actuarial assessment of risk among sex offenders. Ann NY Acad Sci 989:198-210
32. Harris GT, Rice ME, Quinsey VL et al. (2003) A multisite comparison of actuarial risk instruments for sex offenders. Psychol Assess 15:413-425
33. Hartmann J, Hollweg M, Nedopil N (2001) Quantitative Erfassung dissozialer und psychopathischer Persönlichkeiten bei der strafrechtlichen Begutachtung. Retrospektive Untersuchung zur Anwendbarkeit der deutschen Version der Hare-Psychopathie-Checkliste. Nervenarzt 72:365-370
34. Hildebrand M, de Ruiter C, de Vogel V (2004) Psychopathy and sexual deviance in treated rapists: association with sexual and nonsexual recidivism. Sex Abuse 16:1-24
35. Bundeszentralregister (2005) http://www.bundeszentralregister.de/.
36. Lösel F (1998) Evaluation der Straftäterbehandlug: Was wir noch erforschen müssen. Forum, Mönchengladbach
37. Marques JK, Wiederanders M, Day DM et al. (2005) Effects of a relapse prevention program on sexual recidivism: final results from California's Sex Offender Treatment and Evaluation Project (SOTEP). Sex Abuse 17:79-107
38. Muller-Isberner R, Freese R, Jockel D et al. (2000) Forensic psychiatric assessment and treatment in Germany. Legal framework, recent developments, and current practice. Int J Law Psychiatry 23:467-480
39. Muller-Isberner R, Gonzalez Cabeza S, Eucker S (2000) Die Vorhersage sexueller Gewalttaten mit dem SVR 20. Institut für Forensische Psychiatrie Haina, Haina
40. Müller-Isberner R, Jöckel D, Gonzalez Cabeza S (1998) Die Vorhersage von Gewalttaten mit dem HCR 20. Institut für Forensische Psychiatrie Haina, Haina
41. Nedopil N (2001) Prediction recidivism in criminal offenders. Psycho 7:363-369
42. Nedopil N, Grassl P, Mende W (1987) [The Forensic Psychiatric Documentation System (FPDS). Development and initial application in penal expertise]. Acta Psychiatr Belg 87:98-113
43. Prentky RA, Lee AF, Knight RA et al. (1997) Recidivism rates among child molesters and rapists: a methodological analysis. Law Hum Behav 21:635-659
44. Rice ME, Harris GT (1995) Violent recidivism: assessing predictive validity. J Consult Clin Psychol 63:737-748
45. Rice ME, Quinsey VL, Harris GT (1991) Sexual recidivism among child molesters released from a maximum security psychiatric institution. J Consult Clin Psychol 59:381-386
46. Sjostedt G, Langstrom N (2001) Actuarial assessment of sex offender recidivism risk: a cross-validation of the RRASOR and the Static-99 in Sweden. Law Hum Behav 25:629-645
47. Stadtland C, Hollweg M, Dietl J et al. (2005) Risk assessment and prediction of violent and sexual recidivism in sex offenders: long-term predictive validity of four risk assessment instruments. J Forensic Psychiatr Psychol 16:92-108
48. Stadtland C, Hollweg M, Dietl J et al. (2004) Langzeitverläufe vom Sexualstraftätern. Monatsschr Krim 5:393-400
49. Stadtland C, Kleindienst N, Kröner C et al. (2005) Psychopathic traits and rises of criminal recidivism in offenders with and without mental disorders, Int J Forensic Ment Health 4:89-97
50. Stadtland C, Nedopil N (2004) Psychiatrische Erkrankungen und die Prognose krimineller Rückfälligkeit. Nervenarzt
51. Thornton D, Mann R, Webster S et al. (2003) Distinguishing and combining risks for sexual and violent recidivism. Ann NY Acad Sci 989:225-235
52. Webster CD, Eaves D, Douglas KS et al. (1995) The HCR-20 scheme: the assessment of dangerousness and risk. Simon Fraser University and British Columbia Forensic Psychiatric Services Commission, Vancouver
53. Worling JR, Curwen T (2000) Adolescent sexual offender recidivism: success of specialized treatment and implications for risk prediction. Child Abuse Negl 24:965-982