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1
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0032148294
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Does enlistment propensity predict accession? High school seniors' plans and subsequent behavior
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J. G. Bachman, D. R. Segal, P. Freedman-Doan, and P. M. O'Malley, "Does Enlistment Propensity Predict Accession? High School Seniors' Plans and Subsequent Behavior," Armed Forces & Society 25 (1998): 59-80:
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(1998)
Armed Forces & Society
, vol.25
, pp. 59-80
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Bachman, J.G.1
Segal, D.R.2
Freedman-Doan, P.3
O'Malley, P.M.4
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4
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85081441674
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Research Report 723. U.S. Army Research Institute for the Behavioral and Social Sciences, Arlington, VA
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R. D. Nord, E. J. Schmitz, and T. A. Weiland, Propensity and the Enlistment Decision (Research Report 723. U.S. Army Research Institute for the Behavioral and Social Sciences, Arlington, VA. 1986).
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(1986)
Propensity and the Enlistment Decision
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Nord, R.D.1
Schmitz, E.J.2
Weiland, T.A.3
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5
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0039061143
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Who chooses military service? Correlates of propensity and enlistment in the U.S. armed forces
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J. G. Bachman, D. R. Segal, P. Freedman-Doan, and P. M. O'Malley, "Who Chooses Military Service? Correlates of Propensity and Enlistment in the U.S. Armed Forces," Military Psychology 12 (2000): 1-30.
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(2000)
Military Psychology
, vol.12
, pp. 1-30
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Bachman, J.G.1
Segal, D.R.2
Freedman-Doan, P.3
O'Malley, P.M.4
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8
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0033449660
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Propensity to serve in the U.S. military: Temporal trends and subgroup differences
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D. R. Segal, J. G. Bachman, P. Freedman-Doan, and P. M. O'Malley, "Propensity to Serve in the U.S. Military: Temporal Trends and Subgroup Differences," Armed Forces & Society 25 (1999): 407-27.
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(1999)
Armed Forces & Society
, vol.25
, pp. 407-427
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Segal, D.R.1
Bachman, J.G.2
Freedman-Doan, P.3
O'Malley, P.M.4
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14
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0348032472
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Monitoring the Future Occasional Paper Series 41, Institute for Social Research. University of Michigan, Ann Arbor
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J. G. Bachman, D. R. Segal, P. Freedman-Doan, and P. M. O'Malley, "Military Propensity and Enlistments: Cross-Sectional and Panel Analyses of Correlates and Predictors" (Monitoring the Future Occasional Paper Series 41, Institute for Social Research. University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, 1998):
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(1998)
Military Propensity and Enlistments: Cross-sectional and Panel Analyses of Correlates and Predictors
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Bachman, J.G.1
Segal, D.R.2
Freedman-Doan, P.3
O'Malley, P.M.4
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15
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33645688537
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Research Note 98-19, U.S. Army Research Institute for the Behavioral and Social Sciences, Arlington. VA
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D. R. Morrison and D. E. Meyers, Factors Influencing the Enlistment Aspirations and Decisions of Hispanic, Black and White Male Youth (Research Note 98-19, U.S. Army Research Institute for the Behavioral and Social Sciences, Arlington. VA, 1998);
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(1998)
Factors Influencing the Enlistment Aspirations and Decisions of Hispanic, Black and White Male Youth
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Morrison, D.R.1
Meyers, D.E.2
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16
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33645697921
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Gender and the propensity to enlist in the U.S. military
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M. W. Segal, D. R. Segal, J. G. Bachman, P. Freedman-Doan, and P. M. O'Malley, "Gender and the Propensity to Enlist in the U.S. Military," Gender Issues 16, no. 3 (1998): 64-87;
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(1998)
Gender Issues
, vol.16
, Issue.3
, pp. 64-87
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Segal, M.W.1
Segal, D.R.2
Bachman, J.G.3
Freedman-Doan, P.4
O'Malley, P.M.5
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17
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85081435905
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Washington, DC: Scientific Parallel Processing Applied Research Center, University of the District of Columbia
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and M. Drillings and M. A. Fischl, Predicting Enlistment Propensity of Young African-Americans (Washington, DC: Scientific Parallel Processing Applied Research Center, University of the District of Columbia, 1999).
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(1999)
Predicting Enlistment Propensity of Young African-Americans
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Drillings, M.1
Fischl, M.A.2
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21
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85081433525
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Technical Report 889. U.S. Army Research Institute for the Behavioral and Social Sciences, Arlington, VA
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C. E. Kearl and A. Nelson, Delayed Entry Program (DEP) Attrition: A Microdata Model (Technical Report 889. U.S. Army Research Institute for the Behavioral and Social Sciences, Arlington, VA. 1990);
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(1990)
Delayed Entry Program (DEP) Attrition: A Microdata Model
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Kearl, C.E.1
Nelson, A.2
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23
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33645664954
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Research Report 702, U.S. Army Research Institute for the Behavioral and Social Sciences, Arlington, VA
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R. M. Pliske, T. M. Elig, and R. M. Johnson, Towards an Understanding of Army Enlistment Motivation Patterns (Research Report 702, U.S. Army Research Institute for the Behavioral and Social Sciences, Arlington, VA, 1986):
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(1986)
Towards an Understanding of Army Enlistment Motivation Patterns
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Pliske, R.M.1
Elig, T.M.2
Johnson, R.M.3
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25
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0347401609
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Arlington, VA: Defense Manpower Data Center, Program Evaluation Branch
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and S. M. Tarver, A. E. Miller, and E. M. Ginexi, A Qualitative Evaluation of Reasons for Enlisting in the Military: Interview's with New Active Duty Recruits (Arlington, VA: Defense Manpower Data Center, Program Evaluation Branch, 1994).
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(1994)
A Qualitative Evaluation of Reasons for Enlisting in the Military: Interview's with New Active Duty Recruits
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Tarver, S.M.1
Miller, A.E.2
Ginexi, E.M.3
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26
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45849148071
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P. Sackett and A. Mavor, eds. (Washington, DC: National Academies Press)
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P. Sackett and A. Mavor, eds., Attitudes, Aptitudes, and Aspirations of American Youth: Implications for Military Recruitment (Washington, DC: National Academies Press, 2003), 202-12. We recognize that the National Research Council (NRC) study presents a more detailed description of enlistment and propensity. In this article, we focus on the elements from the NRC study common to the traditional and highly referenced institutional and occupational model developed by Moskos.
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(2003)
Attitudes, Aptitudes, and Aspirations of American Youth: Implications for Military Recruitment
, pp. 202-212
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27
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84965953916
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From institution to occupation: Trends in military organization
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C. C. Moskos, "From Institution to Occupation: Trends in Military Organization," Armed Forces & Society 4 (1977): 44.
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(1977)
Armed Forces & Society
, vol.4
, pp. 44
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Moskos, C.C.1
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29
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32944471015
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C. C. Moskos and F. R. Wood. eds. (New York: Pergamon-Brassey's International Defense Publishers)
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and C. C. Moskos and F. R. Wood. eds., Introduction to The Military: More than Just a Job? (New York: Pergamon-Brassey's International Defense Publishers, 1988), 3-14.
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(1988)
Introduction to the Military: More Than Just a Job?
, pp. 3-14
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31
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0003631507
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Lawrence: University Press of Kansas
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See D. R. Segal, Recruiting for Uncle Sam (Lawrence: University Press of Kansas, 1989).
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(1989)
Recruiting for Uncle Sam
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Segal, D.R.1
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33
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0009176593
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The institutional organizational model and the military
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ed. by C. C. Moskos and F. R. Wood (New York: Pergamon-Brassey's International Defense Publishers)
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C. A. Cotton, "The Institutional Organizational Model and the Military," in The Military: More than Just a Job?, ed. by C. C. Moskos and F. R. Wood (New York: Pergamon-Brassey's International Defense Publishers. 1988), 39-56;
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(1988)
The Military: More Than Just a Job?
, pp. 39-56
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Cotton, C.A.1
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34
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0000302177
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Alternative opportunities and withdrawal decisions: Empirical and theoretical discrepancies and integration
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C. L. Hulin, M. Roznowski, and D. Hachiya, "Alternative Opportunities and Withdrawal Decisions: Empirical and Theoretical Discrepancies and Integration," Journal of Applied Psychology 97, no. 2 (1985): 233-50;
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(1985)
Journal of Applied Psychology
, vol.97
, Issue.2
, pp. 233-250
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Hulin, C.L.1
Roznowski, M.2
Hachiya, D.3
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37
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0034555591
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The impact of multiple deployments on soldiers" Peacekeeping attitudes, Morale, and retention"
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and B. J. Reed and D. R. Segal, "The Impact of Multiple Deployments on Soldiers" Peacekeeping Attitudes, Morale, and Retention," Armed Forces & Society 27, no. 1 (2000): 57-78.
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(2000)
Armed Forces & Society
, vol.27
, Issue.1
, pp. 57-78
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Reed, B.J.1
Segal, D.R.2
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39
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0009177942
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Institutional and occupational trends in armed forces
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ed. C. C. Moskos and F. R. Wood (New York: Pergamon-Brassey's International Defense Publishers)
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C. C. Moskos, "Institutional and Occupational Trends in Armed Forces," in The Military: More than Just a Job?, ed. C. C. Moskos and F. R. Wood (New York: Pergamon-Brassey's International Defense Publishers, 1988), 15-26.
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(1988)
The Military: More Than Just a Job?
, pp. 15-26
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Moskos, C.C.1
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44
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84965923219
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Measuring the institutional/occupational change thesis
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D. R. Segal, "Measuring the Institutional/Occupational Change Thesis," Armed Forces & Society 1, no. 3 (1986): 351-76.
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(1986)
Armed Forces & Society
, vol.1
, Issue.3
, pp. 351-376
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Segal, D.R.1
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45
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33645677833
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Attitudes of entry-level enlisted personnel: Pro-military and politically mainstreamed
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ed. P. D. Feaver and R. H. Kohn (Cambridge, MA: MIT Press)
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D. R. Segal, P. Freedman-Doan, J. G. Bachman, and P. M. O'Malley, "Attitudes of Entry-level Enlisted Personnel: Pro-Military and Politically Mainstreamed," in Soldiers and Civilians: The Civil-Military Gap and American National Security, ed. P. D. Feaver and R. H. Kohn (Cambridge, MA: MIT Press, 2001). 207.
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(2001)
Soldiers and Civilians: The Civil-military Gap and American National Security
, pp. 207
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Segal, D.R.1
Freedman-Doan, P.2
Bachman, J.G.3
O'Malley, P.M.4
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46
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33748300884
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America's military population
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See D. R. Segal and M. W. Segal, "America's Military Population," Population Bulletin 5. no. 94 (2004): 18-20.
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(2004)
Population Bulletin
, vol.5
, Issue.94
, pp. 18-20
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Segal, D.R.1
Segal, M.W.2
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47
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85081440237
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note
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Most studies on propensity have collected data from high school students prior to enlisting for military service. This study uses data collected after soldiers have completed basic training and have been stationed with their active-duty units. While this measure raises issues of memory and maturation, these concerns are mitigated by two factors. First, the sample used in this study consists entirely of first-term soldiers, placing them relatively close to the time that they are being asked to recall. Second, enlisting in the military is assumed to be a watershed decision - one that people put a good deal of thought into and should tend to remember.
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85081435414
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note
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The army is increasingly recruiting high school graduates as opposed to high school seniors. This may have an effect on the number of soldiers reporting "no plans for military service" since those with high propensity may be more likely to enlist immediately following graduation. Given the close correspondence of our propensity data with that collected prior to the army's recruitment focus on high school graduates, we feel confident that our data represent a good estimate of the enlistment propensity of America's youth.
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85081439575
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Orvis, Garhart, and Ludwig, Validity and Usefulness. Research conducted by R. Kelty and D. R. Segal (forthcoming) found similar propensity numbers to those presented in this study. In studies of an army combat aviation squadron (n = 191) and a navy ship in the Pacific fleet (n = 100), service members with low propensity constituted 77 percent and 63 percent of the samples, respectively.
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Validity and Usefulness
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Orvis1
Garhart2
Ludwig3
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51
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85081433966
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note
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Data were collected less than a year after September 11, 2001. Given the proximity in dates, most of the soldiers in this sample enlisted prior to the terrorist attacks. It may be that in the wake of these terrorist attacks, soldiers' motivations for enlistment have shifted. If such a shift has occurred, it is predicted to be in the direction of increased institutional motivations for enlistment, which would make our current findings on the relative importance of institutional motivations conservative. It is not clear how educational benefits might be affected by the events of September 11. Additional research is necessary to determine whether the current findings are consistent with those of soldiers enlisting post-September 11, 2001.
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0035637375
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Should U.S. military recruiters write off the college-bound?
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J. G. Bachman, P. Freedman-Doan, and P. M. O'Malley, "Should U.S. Military Recruiters Write Off the College-Bound?" Armed Forces & Society 27, no. 3 (2001): 461-76.
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(2001)
Armed Forces & Society
, vol.27
, Issue.3
, pp. 461-476
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Bachman, J.G.1
Freedman-Doan, P.2
O'Malley, P.M.3
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54
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33645693718
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Coming of age in wartime: How world war II and the Korean war changed lives
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ed. K. W. Schaie and G. Elder (New York: Springer)
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J. H. Laub and R. J. Sampson, "Coming of Age in Wartime: How World War II and the Korean War Changed Lives," in Historical Influences on Lives and Aging, ed. K. W. Schaie and G. Elder (New York: Springer, 2005), 208-228;
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(2005)
Historical Influences on Lives and Aging
, pp. 208-228
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Laub, J.H.1
Sampson, R.J.2
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56
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0000624895
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Socioeconomic achievement in the life course of disadvantaged men: Military service as a turning point, circa 1940-1965
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R. J. Sampson and J. H. Laub, "Socioeconomic Achievement in the Life Course of Disadvantaged Men: Military Service as a Turning Point, Circa 1940-1965," American Sociological Review 61 (1996): 347-67:
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(1996)
American Sociological Review
, vol.61
, pp. 347-367
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Sampson, R.J.1
Laub, J.H.2
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57
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0030096553
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The effect of military service on educational, occupational, and income attainment
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and J. D. Teachman and V. R. A. Call, "The Effect of Military Service on Educational, Occupational, and Income Attainment," Social Science Research 25 (1996): 1-31.
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(1996)
Social Science Research
, vol.25
, pp. 1-31
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Teachman, J.D.1
Call, V.R.A.2
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