Additional flaws in the minnesota sex offender screening tool-revised: A response to Doren and Dow (2002)

Journal of Threat Assessment

Volumn 2, Issue 4, 2003, Pages 65-78

  Wollert, Richard ^a  

^a Institute for the Study of Mandated Treatment   (United States)

Author keywords

Actuarial tests; Civil commitment; Cross validation; Ethical principles for test construction; Minnesota sex offender screening tool revised (MnSOST R); Sexually violent predators

Indexed keywords

EID: 33644910348     PISSN: 15332608     EISSN: 15332616     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1300/J177v02n04_05     Document Type: Article

References (25)

1. American Psychological Association (1985). Standards for educational and psychological testing. Washington, DC: Author.
2. American Psychological Association (1992). Ethical principles of psychologists and code of conduct. American Psychologist, 47, 1597-1611.
3. American Psychological Association (1999). Standards for educational and psychological testing. Washington, DC: Author.
4. Anastasi, A. (1988). Psychological testing. New York: Macmillan.
5. Barbaree, H. E., Seto, M., Langton, C., & Peacock, E. (2001). Evaluating the accuracy of six risk assessment instruments for adult sex offenders. Criminal Justice and Behavior, 28, 490-521.
6. Bartosh, D. L., Garby, T., Lewis, D.,&Gray, S. (in press). Differences in the predictive validity of actuarial risk assessments in relation to sex offender type. International Journal of Offender Therapy and Comparative Criminology.
7. Bruning, J. L., & Kintz, B. (1977). Computational handbook of statistics. Glenview, IL: Scott, Foresman and Company.
8. Cronbach, L. J. (1970). Essentials of psychological testing. New York: Harper&Row.
9. Doren, D. (August/September 2000). Evidentiary issues, actuarial scales, and sex offender civil commitments. Sex Offender Law Report, 1(5), 65-66, 78-79.
10. Doren, D. M. & Dow, E. (2003). What "shrinkage" of the MnSOST-R? A response to Wollert (2002b). Journal of Threat Assessment, 2(4), 49-64.
11. Epperson, D. (2000). Description of the MnSOST-R cross-validation sample. Available: http://psych-server.iastate.edu/faculty/epperson/crossvalidationupdate.
12. Epperson, D., Kaul, J., & Hesselton, D. (1999). Minnesota Sex Offender Screening Tool-Revised (MnSOST-R): Development, performance, and recommended risk level cut scores. Unpublished manuscript.
13. Epperson, D. L., Kaul, J.,&Huot, S. (1995). Predicting risk of recidivism for incarcerated sex offenders. Paper presented at the annual ATSA conference, New Orleans, LA.
14. Epperson, D., Kaul, J., Huot, S., Hesselton, D., Alexander, W., & Gilman, M. (2000). Cross- validation of the MnSOST-R. Paper presented at the annual ATSA conference, San Diego, CA.
15. Janus, E. S.&Meehl, P. (1997). Assessing the legal standard for predictions of dangerousness in sex offender commitment proceedings. Psychology, Public Policy, and Law, 3, 33-64.
16. Langton, C. M. (2003). Contrasting risk approaches to risk assessment with adult male sexual offenders. Doctoral dissertation: University of Toronto.
17. McCall, R. B. (1975). Fundamental statistics for psychology. New York: Harcourt Brace Jovanovich.
18. Meehl, P. E. & Rosen, A. (1955). Antecedent probability and the efficiency of psychometric signs, patterns, and cutting scores. Psychological Bulletin, 52, 194-216.
19. Pagano, R. R. (1986). Understanding statistics in the behavioral sciences. St. Paul, MN: West Publishing Company.
20. Simon, F. H. (1971). Prediction methods in criminology. London: Her Majesty’s Stationery Office.
21. Stott, D. H. (1960). The prediction of delinquency from non-delinquent behavior. British Journal of Delinquency, 10, 195-210.
22. Turner, S. M., DeMers, S., Fox, H., & Reed, G. (2001). APA’s guidelines for test user qualifications. American Psychologist, 56, 1099-1113.
23. Walters, A. A. (1955-56). A note on statistical methods of predicting delinquency. British Journal of Delinquency, 6, 297-301.
24. Wollert, R. (2000). The value of archiving actuarial data from commitment cases for analyzing test validity, expert judgment, and average sexual recidivism risk. Unpublished manuscript.
25. Wollert, R. W. (2002). The importance of cross-validation in actuarial test construction: Shrinkage in the risk estimates for the Minnesota Sex Offender Screening Tool-Revised. Journal of Threat Assessment, 2(1), 87-102.