A method to improve prediciton of atmospheric flow transitions

Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences

Volumn 62, Issue 10, 2005, Pages 3818-3824

  Roebber, Paul J ^a   Tsonis, A A ^a  

^a UNIVERSITY OF WISCONSIN MILWAUKEE   (United States)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

ATMOSPHERIC TURBULENCE; BOUNDARY LAYER FLOW; FEEDFORWARD NEURAL NETWORKS; FLOW PATTERNS; LINEAR EQUATIONS; MATHEMATICAL MODELS; WEATHER FORECASTING;

ATMOSPHERIC FLOW TRANSITIONS; CHAOTIC SYSTEMS; FORECAST TRANSITIONS; PREDICTION ERROR;

CLIMATOLOGY;

AIRFLOW; ATMOSPHERIC MODELING; ENSEMBLE FORECASTING; PREDICTION; WEATHER FORECASTING;

EID: 27744505411     PISSN: 00224928     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1175/JAS3572.1     Document Type: Article

References (17)

1. Hall, T., H. E. Brooks, and C. A. Doswell III, 1999: Precipitation forecasting using a neural network. Wea. Forecasting, 14, 338-345.
2. Holton, J. R., 1992: An Introduction to Dynamic Meteorology. 3d ed. Academic Press, 511 pp.
3. Kalnay, E., 2003: Atmospheric Modeling, Data Assimilation and Predictability. Cambridge University Press, 341 pp.
4. Lorenz, E. N., 1963: Deterministic non-periodic flow. J. Atmos. Sci., 20, 130-141.
5. Lorenz, E. N., 1965: A study of the predictability of a 28-variable atmospheric model. Tellus, 17, 321-333.
6. Lorenz, E. N., 1969: The predictability of a flow which possesses many scales of motion. Tellus, 21, 289-307.
7. Lorenz, E. N., 1984: Irregularity: A fundamental property of the atmosphere. Tellus, 36A, 98-110.
8. Lorenz, E. N., 1990: Can chaos and intransitivity lead to interannual variability? Tellus, 42A, 378-389.
9. Lorenz, E. N., 1995: Predictability - A problem partly solved. Proc. ECMWF Seminar on Predictability, Vol. I, Reading, United Kingdom, ECMWF, 1-18.
10. Marzban, C., 2003: Neural networks for postprocessing model output: ARPS. Mon. Wea. Rev., 131, 1103-1111.
11. Nicolis, C., 2003: Dynamics of model error: Some generic features. J. Atmos. Sci., 60, 2208-2218.
12. Nicolis, C., 2004: Dynamics of model error: The role of unresolved scales revisited. J. Atmos. Sci., 61, 1740-1753.
13. Nutter, P. A., S. L. Mullen, and D. P. Baumhefner, 1998: The impact of initial condition uncertainty on numerical simulations of blocking. Mon. Wea. Rev., 126, 2482-2502.
14. Roebber, P. J., 1995: Climate variability in a low-order coupled atmosphere-ocean model. Tellus, 47A, 473-494.
15. Roebber, P. J., S. L. Bruening, D. M. Schultz, and J. V. Cortinas Jr., 2003: Improving snowfall forecasting by diagnosing snow density. Wea. Forecasting, 18, 264-287.
16. Tribbia, J. J., and D. P. Baumhefner, 2004: Scale interactions and atmospheric predictability: An updated perspective. Mon. Wea. Rev., 132, 703-713.
17. Tsonis, A. A., 1992: Chaos: From Theory to Applications. Plenum, 274 pp.