Demographic consequences of age-structure in extreme environments: Population models for arctic and alpine ptarmigan

Oecologia

Volumn 146, Issue 1, 2005, Pages 13-24

  Sandercock, Brett K ^a   Martin, Kathy ^b   Hannon, Susan J ^c  

^a KANSAS STATE UNIVERSITY   (United States)

^b UNIVERSITY OF BRITISH COLUMBIA   (Canada)

^c UNIVERSITY OF ALBERTA   (Canada)

Author keywords

Conservation; Lagopus; Life history; Population model; Projection Matrix

Indexed keywords

AGE STRUCTURE; ALPINE ENVIRONMENT; ARCTIC ENVIRONMENT; CONSERVATION; DEMOGRAPHY; GLOBAL CHANGE; POPULATION MODELING;

AGE DISTRIBUTION; ANIMAL; ARCTIC; ARTICLE; BIRD; CANADA; FEMALE; FERTILITY; GROWTH, DEVELOPMENT AND AGING; MALE; PHYSIOLOGY; POPULATION GROWTH; SENSITIVITY AND SPECIFICITY; SPECIES DIFFERENCE; STATISTICAL MODEL;

AGE DISTRIBUTION; ANIMALS; ARCTIC REGIONS; BIRDS; CANADA; FEMALE; FERTILITY; MALE; MODELS, STATISTICAL; POPULATION GROWTH; SENSITIVITY AND SPECIFICITY; SPECIES SPECIFICITY;

LAGOPUS; LAGOPUS LAGOPUS; LAGOPUS LEUCURUS; SALIX;

EID: 27644473167     PISSN: 00298549     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1007/s00442-005-0174-5     Document Type: Article

References (79)

1. Barbraud C, Weimerskirch H (2001) Emperor penguins and climate change. Nature 411:183-186
2. Baur A, Baur B (1998) Altitudinal variation in size and composition of eggs in the land snail Arianta arbustorum. Can J Zool 76:2067-2074
3. Bergerud AT, Mossop DH, Myrberget S (1985) A critique of the mechanics of annual changes in ptarmigan numbers. Can J Zool 63:2240-2248
4. Berven KA (1982) The genetic basis of altitudinal variation in the wood frog Rana sylvatica. I. An experimental analysis of life history traits. Evolution 36:962-983
5. Blais JM, Schindler DW, Muir DCG, Kimpe LE, Donald DB, Rosenberg B (1998) Accumulation of persistent organochlorine compounds in mountains of western Canada. Nature 395:585-588
6. Blanckenhorn WU (1997) Altitudinal life history variation in the dung flies Scathophaga stercoraria and Sepsis cynipsea. Oecologia 109:342-352
7. Blomberg SP, Shine R (2001) Modelling life history strategies with capture-recapture data: evolutionary demography of the water skink Eulamprus tympanum. Austral Ecol 26:349-359
8. Blums P, Mednis A (1996) Secondary sex ratio in Anatinae. Auk 113:505-511
9. Burnham KP, Anderson DR (1998) Model selection and inference: a practical information-theoretic approach. Springer-Verlag, New York
10. Caizergues A, Ellison LN (1997) Survival of black grouse Tetrao tetrix in the French Alps. Wildlife Biology 3:177-186
11. Caizergues A, Ellison LN (2000) Age-specific reproductive performance of black grouse Tetrao tetrix females. Bird Study 47:344-351
12. Caswell H (2001) Matrix population models: construction, analysis, and interpretation. Sinauer Associates, Inc. Publishers, Sunderland, Massachusetts
13. Chapin III FS, Körner C (1994) Arctic and alpine biodiversity: patterns, causes and ecosystem consequences. TREE 9:45-47
14. Clarke JA, Johnson RE (1992) The influence of spring snow depth on white-tailed ptarmigan breeding success in the Sierra Nevada. Condor 94:622-627
15. Cooch E, Lank D, Robertson R, Cooke F (1997) Effects of parental age and environmental change on offspring sex ratio in a precocial bird. J Anim Ecol 66:189-202
16. Cooch E, Rockwell RF, Brault S (2001) Retrospective analysis of demographic responses to environmental change: a lesser snow goose example. Ecol Monogr 71:377-400
17. Crone EE (2001) Is survivorship a better fitness surrogate than fecundity? Evolution 55:2611-2614
18. Derocher AE, Lunn NJ, Stirling I (2004) Polar bears in a warming climate. Integr Comp Biol 44:163-176
19. Dobson FS (1992) Body mass, structural size, and life-history patterns of the Columbian ground squirrel. Am Nat 139:109-125
20. Eriksen B, Molau U, Sevensson M (1993) Reproductive strategies in two arctic Pedicularis species (Scrophulariaceae). Ecography 16:154-166
21. Fieberg J, Ellner SP (2001) Stochastic matrix models for conservation and management: a comparative review of methods. Ecol Letters 4:244-266
22. Franken RJ, Hik DS (2004a) Influence of habitat quality, patch size and connectivity on colonization and extinction dynamics of collared pikas Ochotona collaris. J Anim Ecol 73:889-896
23. Franken RJ, Hik DS (2004b) Interannual variation in timing of parturition and growth of collared pikas Ochotona collaris in the southwest Yukon. Integr Comp Biol 44:186-193
24. Ganter B, Boyd H (2000) A tropical volcano, high predation pressure, and the breeding biology of arctic waterbirds: a circumpolar review of breeding failure in the summer of 1992. Arctic 53:289-305
25. Giesen KM, Braun CE (1993) Natal dispersal and recruitment of juvenile white-tailed ptarmigan in Colorado. J Wildl Manage 57:72-77
26. Gould WR, Nichols JD (1998) Estimation of temporal variability of survival in animal populations. Ecology 79:2531-2538
27. Gugerli F (1998) Effect of elevation on sexual reproduction in alpine populations of Saxifraga oppositifolia (Saxifragaceae). Oecologia 114:60-66
28. Gutiérrez RJ, Barrowclough GF, Groth JG (2000) A classification of the grouse (Aves: Tetroninae) based on mitochondrial DNA sequences. Wildlife Biology 6:205-211
29. Hagen CA, Pitman JC, Sandercock BK, Robel RJ, Applegate RD (2005) Age-specific variation in apparent survival rates of male lesser prairie-chickens. Condor 107:78-86
30. Hannon SJ, Martin K (1996) Mate fidelity and divorce in ptarmigan: polygyny avoidance on the tundra. In: Black JM (eds) Partnerships in birds: the study of monogamy. Oxford University Press, Oxford, pp 192-210
31. Hannon SJ, Smith JNM (1984) Factors influencing age-related reproductive success in the willow ptarmigan. Auk 101:848-854
32. Hannon SJ, Eason PK, Martin K (1998) Willow ptarmigan (Lagopus lagopus). In: Poole A, Gill F (eds) The Birds of North America. The Birds of North America, Inc., Philadelphia, PA, pp 1-28
33. Haydon DT, Gillis EA, Stefan CI, Krebs CJ (1999) Biases in the estimation of the demographic parameters of a snowshoe hare population. J Anim Ecol 68:501-512
34. Hines JE, Sauer JR (1989) Program CONTRAST: a general program for the analysis of several survival or recovery rate estimates. Fish and Wildlife Service Technical Report 24, Washington, DC
35. Hitchcock C, Gratto-Trevor CL (1997) Diagnosing a shorebird local population decline with a stage-structured population model. Ecology 78:522-534
36. Hudson PJ (1992) Grouse in space and time: the population biology of a managed gamebird. The Game Conservancy Trust, Fordingbridge, United Kingdom
37. Inouye DW, Barr B, Armitage KB, Inouye BD (2000) Climate change is affecting altitudinal migrants and hibernating species. Proc Nat Acad Sci USA 97:1630-1633
38. Johnson KH, Braun CE (1999) Viability and conservation of an exploited sage grouse population. Cons Biol 13:77-84
39. Kelly BC, Gobas FAPC (2003) An arctic terrestrial food-chain bioaccumulation model for persistent organic pollutants. Environ Sci Technol 37:2966-2974
40. Krajick K (2004) All downhill from here? Science 303:1600-1602
41. Krementz DG, Handford P (1984) Does avian clutch size increase with altitude? Oikos 43:256-259
42. Larison JR, Likens GE, Fitzpatrick JW, Crock JG (2000) Cadmium toxicity among wildlife in the Colorado Rocky Mountains. Nature 406:181-183
43. Møller AP, de Lope F (1999) Senescence in a short-lived migratory bird: age-dependent morphology, migration, reproduction and parasitism. J Anim Ecol 68:163-171
44. Mani MS (1968) Ecology and biogeography of high altitude insects. Dr. W. Junk N.V. Publishers, The Hague, Netherlands
45. Martin K (2001) Wildlife in alpine and sub-alpine habitats. In: Johnson DH, O'Neil TA (eds) Wildlife-habitat relationships in Oregon and Washington. Oregon State University Press, Corvallis, Oregon, pp 285-310
46. Martin K, Hannon SJ (1987) Natal philopatry and recruitment of willow ptarmigan in north central and northwestern Canada. Oecologia 71:518-524
47. Martin K, Wiebe KL (2004) Coping mechanisms of alpine and arctic breeding birds: extreme weather and limitations to reproductive resilience. Integr Comp Biol 44:97-105
48. Martin K, Hannon SJ, Rockwell RF (1989) Clutch size variation and patterns of attrition in fecundity of willow ptarmigan. Ecology 70:1788-1799
49. Martin K, Stacey PB, Braun CE (2000) Recruitment, dispersal, and demographic rescue in spatially-structured white-tailed ptarmigan populations. Condor 102:503-516
50. Mathworks (2000) Matlab, Ver. 6. Mathworks Inc., Natick, MA
51. Meats A (1971) The relative importance to population increase of fluctuations in mortality, fecundity and the time variables of the reproductive schedule. Oecologia 6:223-237
52. Morris WF, Doak DF (1998) Life history of the long-lived gynodioecious cushion plant Silene acaulis (Caryophyllaceae), inferred from size-based population projection matrices. Amer J Bot 85:784-793
53. Morris WF, Doak DF (2004) Buffering of life histories against environmental stochasticity: accounting for a spurious correlation between the variabilities of vital rates and their contributions to fitness. Am Nat 163:579-590
54. Moss R, Watson A (2001) Population cycles in birds of the grouse family (Tetraonidae). Adv Ecol Res 32:53-111
55. Moss R, Picozzi N, Summers RW, Baines D (2000) Capercaillie Tetrao urogallus in Scotland - demography of a declining population. Ibis 142:259-267
56. Myklebust I, Pedersen HC (1999) Accumulation and distribution of cadmium in willow ptarmigan. Ecotoxicology 8:457-465
57. Nichols JD, Hines JE (2002) Approaches for the direct estimation of λ, and demographic contributions to λ, using capture-recapture data. J Appl Stat 29:539-568
58. Orell M, Belda EJ (2002) Delayed cost of reproduction and senescence in the willow tit Parus montanus. J Anim Ecol 71:55-64
59. Parmesan C, Yohe G (2003) A globally coherent fingerprint of climate change impacts across natural systems. Nature 421:37-42
60. Pedersen HC, Steen H, Kastdalen L, Brøseth H, Ims RA, Svendsen W, Yoccuz NG (2004) Weak compensation of harvest despite strong density-dependent growth in willow ptarmigan. Proc R Soc Lond B 271:381-385
61. Robb LA, Martin K, Hannon SJ (1992) Spring body condition, fecundity and survival in female willow ptarmigan. J Anim Ecol 61:215-233
62. Sandercock BK, Martin K, Hannon SJ (2005) Life history strategies in extreme environments: comparative demography of arctic and alpine ptarmigan. Ecology (in press)
63. SAS Institute (2000) SAS User's Guide: Statistics, ver. 8. SAS Institute, Cary, NC
64. Schieck JO, Hannon SJ (1989) Breeding site fidelity in willow ptarmigan: the influence of previous reproductive success and familiarity with partner and territory. Oecologia 81:465-472
65. Schieck JO, Hannon SJ (1993) Clutch predation, cover and the overdispersion of nests of the willow ptarmigan. Ecology 74:743-750
66. Smith A, Willebrand T (1999) Mortality causes and survival rates of hunted and unhunted willow grouse. J Wildl Manage 63:722-730
67. Steen H, Erikstad KE (1996) Sensitivity of willow grouse Lagopus lagopus population dynamics to variations in demographic parameters. Wildlife Biology 2:27-35
68. Tharme AP, Green RE, Baines D, Bainbridge IP, O'Brien M (2001) The effect of management for red grouse shooting on the population density of breeding birds on heather-dominated moorland. J Appl Ecol 38:439-457
69. Van Vuren D, Armitage KB (1991) Duration of snow cover and its influence on life-history variation in yellow-bellied marmots. Can J Zool 69:1755-1758
70. Walther G-R, Post E, Convey P, Menzel A, Parmesan C, Beebee TJC, Fromentin J-M, Hoegh-Guldberg O, Bairlein F (2002) Ecological responses to recent climate change. Nature 416:389-395
71. Wang G, Hobbs NT, Giesen KM, Galbraith H, Ojima DS, Braun CE (2002) Relationships between climate and population dynamics of white-tailed ptarmigan Lagopus leucurus in Rocky Mountain National Park, Colorado, USA. Climate Res 23:81-87
72. Watson A, Moss R (2004) Impacts of ski-development on ptarmigan (Lagopus mutus) at Cairn Gorm, Scotland. Biol Cons 116:267-275
73. Watson A, Moss R, Rothery P, Parr R (1984) Demographic causes and predictive models of population fluctuations in red grouse. J Anim Ecol 53:639-662
74. Watson A, Moss R, Rae S (1998) Population dynamics of Scottish rock ptarmigan cycles. Ecology 79:1174-1192
75. White GC, Burnham KP (1999) Program MARK: survival estimation from populations of marked animals. Bird Study (Suppl) 46:S120-S139
76. Wiebe KL, Martin K (1998a) Age-specific patterns of reproduction in white-tailed and willow ptarmigan Lagopus leucurus and L. lagopus. Ibis 140:14-24
77. Wiebe KL, Martin K (1998b) Costs and benefits of nest cover for ptarmigan: changes within and between years. Anim Behav 56:1137-1144
78. Willebrand T (1992) Breeding and age in female black grouse Tetrao tetrix. Ornis Scand 23:29-32
79. Wisdom MJ, Mills LS (1997) Sensitivity analysis to guide population recovery: prairie-chickens as an example. J Wildl Manage 61:302-312