Prior information in behavioral capture-recapture methods: Demographic influences on drug injectors' propensity to be listed in data sources and their drug-related mortality

American Journal of Epidemiology

Volumn 162, Issue 7, 2005, Pages 694-703

  King, Ruth ^a   Bird, Sheila M ^b,c   Brooks, Steve P ^b   Hutchinson, Sharon J ^d,e   Hay, Gordon ^e  

^a UNIVERSITY OF ST ANDREWS   (United Kingdom)

^b UNIVERSITY OF CAMBRIDGE   (United Kingdom)

^c UNIVERSITY OF STRATHCLYDE   (United Kingdom)

^d HEALTH PROTECTION SCOTLAND   (United Kingdom)

^e UNIVERSITY OF GLASGOW   (United Kingdom)

Author keywords

Bayes theorem; Data collection; Epidemiologic methods; Models, statistical; Mortality; Prevalence; Substance abuse, intravenous

Indexed keywords

DRUG USER;

ADOLESCENT; ADULT; ARTICLE; BAYES THEOREM; CONTROLLED STUDY; DEMOGRAPHY; DRUG ABUSE; DRUG FATALITY; EPIDEMIOLOGICAL DATA; EUROPE; EXPERT WITNESS; FEMALE; HUMAN; INJECTION; MAJOR CLINICAL STUDY; MALE; PROBABILITY; SEX RATIO; UNITED KINGDOM;

ADOLESCENT; ADULT; BAYES THEOREM; DATA COLLECTION; DEMOGRAPHY; EPIDEMIOLOGIC METHODS; FEMALE; HUMANS; MALE; MIDDLE AGED; PREVALENCE; SCOTLAND; SUBSTANCE ABUSE, INTRAVENOUS;

EID: 26444496444     PISSN: 00029262     EISSN: 14766256     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1093/aje/kwi263     Document Type: Article

References (26)

1. Cormack RM. Interval estimation for mark-recapture studies of closed populations. Biometrics 1992;48:567-76.
2. Hook EB, Regal RR. Capture-recapture methods in epidemiology: methods and limitations. Epidemiol Rev 1995;17:243-64.
3. Nanan DJ, White F. Capture-recapture: reconnaissance of a demographic technique in epidemiology. Chronic Dis Can 1997;18:1-6.
4. Mastro TD, Kitayaporn D, Weniger BG, et al. Estimating the number of HIV-infected injection drug users in Bangkok: a capture-recapture method. Am J Public Health 1994;84:1094-9.
5. Hook EB, Regal RR. Accuracy of alternative approaches to capture-recapture estimates of disease frequency: internal validity analysis of data from five sources. Am J Epidemiol 2000;152:771-9.
6. Frischer M, Bloor M, Finlay A, et al. A new method for estimating prevalence of injecting drug use in an urban population: results from a Scottish city. Int J Epidemiol 1991;20:997-1000.
7. Hay G, McKeganey N, Hutchinson S. Estimating the national and local prevalence of problem drug misuse in Scotland: executive report. Glasgow, United Kingdom: University of Glasgow and Scottish Centre for Infection and Environmental Health, NHS Scotland, 2001.
8. Beynon C, Bellis MA, Millar T, et al. Hidden need for drug treatment services: measuring levels of problematic drug use in the North West of England. J Public Health Med 2001;23:286-91.
9. Bird SM, Hutchinson SJ, Goldberg DJ. Drug-related deaths by region, sex, and age group per 100 injecting drug users in Scotland, 2000-01. Lancet 2003;362:941-4.
10. King R, Brooks SP. On the Bayesian analysis of population size. Biometrika 2001;88:317-36.
11. k contingency tables. Biometrika 1972;59:591-603.
12. King R, Brooks SP. Model selection for integrated recovery/recapture data. Biometrics 2002;58:841-51.
13. King R, Brooks SP. Bayesian model discrimination for multiple strata capture-recapture data. Biometrika 2002;58:841-51.
14. Madigan D, York JC. Bayesian methods for estimation of the size of a closed population. Biometrika 1997;84:19-32.
15. Fienberg SE, Johnson MS, Junker BW. Classical multilevel and Bayesian approaches to population size estimation using multiple lists. J R Stat Soc Ser A 1999;162:383-405.
16. Hoeting JA, Madigan D, Raftery AE. Bayesian model averaging: a tutorial. Stat Sci 1999;14:382-401.
17. Kass RE, Raftery AE. Bayes factors. J Am Stat Assoc 1995;90:773-95.
18. Brooks SP. Markov chain Monte Carlo method and application. Statistician 1998;47:69-100.
19. Green PJ. Reversible jump Markov chain Monte Carlo computation and Bayesian model determination. Biometrika 1995;82:711-32.
20. Bernado JM, Smith AF. Bayesian theory. (Wiley series in probability and statistics). New York, NY: John Wiley and Sons, Inc, 1994:357-62.
21. European Monitoring Centre for Drugs and Drug Addiction. Annual report 2003: the state of the drugs problem in the European Union and Norway. Lisbon, Portugal: European Monitoring Centre for Drugs and Drug Addiction, 2003. (http://ar2003.emcdda.eu.int/en/home-en.html).
22. Frischer M, Goldberg D, Rahman M, et al. Mortality and survival among a cohort of drug injectors in Glasgow, 1982-1999. Addiction 1997;92:419-27.
23. Hutchinson SJ, Taylor A, Gruer L, et al. One-year follow-up of opiate injectors treated with oral methadone in a GP-centred programme. Addiction 2000;95:1055-68.
24. Copeland L, Budd J, Robertson JR, et al. Changing patterns in causes of death in a cohort of injecting drug users, 1980-2001. Arch Intern Med 2004;164:1214-20.
25. Ditton J, Frischer M. Computerized projection of future heroin epidemics: a necessity for the 21st century? Subst Use Misuse 2001;36:151-66.
26. Hutchinson SJ, Goldberg DJ, King M, et al. Hepatitis C virus among childbearing women in Scotland: prevalence, deprivation, and diagnosis. Gut 2004;53:593-8.