Is there a relationship between election outcomes and perceptions of personal economic well-being? A test using post-election economic expectations

Electoral Studies

Volumn 24, Issue 4, 2005, Pages 581-601

  Glasgow, Garrett ^a   Weber, Roberto A ^b  

^a UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA   (United States)

^b CARNEGIE MELLON UNIVERSITY   (United States)

Author keywords

Economic expectations; Economic individualism; Election outcomes; Germany; Personal economic well being

Indexed keywords

ECONOMIC IMPACT; ELECTION; METHODOLOGY; VOTING BEHAVIOR;

EID: 24344453771     PISSN: 02613794     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.electstud.2005.02.001     Document Type: Article

References (48)

1. A.I. Abramowitz D.J. Lanoue S. Ramesh Economic conditions, causal attributions, and political evaluations in the 1984 presidential election Journal of Politics 50 1988 848-863
2. A. Alesina H. Rosenthal Partisan Politics, Divided Government, and the Economy 1995 Cambridge University Press Cambridge
3. Anderson, C.J., Mendes S.M., Tverdova, Y.V. Endogenous economic voting: evidence from the 1997 British election. Electoral Studies, in press.
4. C.J. Anderson K.M. O'Connor System change, learning and public opinion about the economy British Journal of Political Science 30 2000 147-172
5. P.J. Conover S. Feldman K. Knight Judging inflation and unemployment: the origins of retrospective evaluations Journal of Politics 48 1986 565-588
6. P.J. Conover S. Feldman K. Knight The personal and political underpinnings of economic forecasts American Journal of Political Science 31 1987 559-583
7. R.J. Dalton A divided electorate? In: G. Smith W.E. Patterson S. Padgett (Eds.) Developments in German Politics 2 1996 Duke University Press Durham, NC pp 35-54
8. DeBoef, S., Kellstedt, P.M. The political (and economic) origins of consumer confidence. American Political Science Review, in press.
9. R.M. Duch H.D. Palmer C.J. Anderson Heterogeneity in perceptions of national economic conditions American Journal of Political Science 44 2000 635-652
10. S. Feldman Economic self-interest and political behavior American Journal of Political Science 26 1982 446-466
11. A.W. Finifter Attitudes toward individual responsibility and political reform in the former Soviet Union American Political Science Review 90 1996 138-152
12. A.W. Finifter E. Mickiewicz Redefining the political system of the USSR: mass support for political change American Political Science Review 86 1992 857-874
13. C. Gilligan In a Different Voice 1982 Harvard University Press Cambridge
14. B.T. Gomez J.M. Wilson Political sophistication and economic voting in the American electorate: A theory of heterogeneous attribution American Journal of Political Science 45 2001 899-914
15. H.B. Haller H. Norpoth Let the good times roll: The economic expectations of U.S. voters American Journal of Political Science 38 1994 625-650
16. H.B. Haller H. Norpoth Reality bites: News exposure and economic opinion Public Opinion Quarterly 61 1997 555-575
17. M.J. Hetherington The media's role in forming voters' national economic evaluations in 1992 American Journal of Political Science 40 1996 372-395
18. G. Hofstede Culture's Consequences: International Differences in Work-related Values 1984 Sage Publications Beverly Hills, CA
19. J. Honaker A. Joseph G. King K. Scheve Amelia: A Program for Missing Data (Gauss version) 2001 Harvard University Cambridge, MA http://GKing.Harvard.edu/
20. G. Katona B. Strumpel E. Zahn Aspirations and Affluence 1971 McGraw-Hill New York
21. D.R. Kiewiet Macroeconomics and Micropolitics: The Electoral Effects of Economic Issues 1983 The University of Chicago Press Chicago, IL
22. D.R. Kinder D.R. Kiewiet Sociotropic politics: The American case British Journal of Political Science 11 1981 129-162
23. D.R. Kinder W.R. Mebane Politics and economics in everyday life In: K.R. Monroe (Ed.) The Political Process and Economic Change 1983 Agathon New York
24. G. King J. Honaker A. Joseph K. Scheve Analyzing incomplete political science data: An alternative algorithm for multiple imputation American Political Science Review 95 2001 49-69
25. G.H. Kramer The ecological fallacy revisited: Aggregate- versus individual-level findings on economics and elections, and sociotropic voting American Political Science Review 77 1983 92-111
26. G.A. Krause Voters, information heterogeneity, and the dynamics of aggregate economic expectations American Journal of Political Science 41 1997 1170-1200
27. M.S. Lewis-Beck Economics and Elections 1988 University of Michigan Press Ann Arbor, MI
28. M.S. Lewis-Beck M. Paldam Economic voting: An introduction Electoral Studies 19 2000 113-121
29. R.J.A. Little D. Rubin Statistical Analysis with Missing Data second ed. 2002 Wiley New York
30. M.B. MacKuen R.S. Erikson J.A. Stimson Peasants or bankers? The American electorate and the U.S. economy The American Political Science Review 86 1992 597-611
31. J.J. Mansbridge Beyond Self Interest 1990 University of Chicago Press Chicago
32. D.S. Mason Attitudes toward the market and political participation in the postcommunist states Slavic Review 54 1995 385-406
33. A.H. Miller V.L. Hesli W.M. Reisinger Reassessing mass support for political change in the former USSR American Political Science Review 88 1994 399-411
34. A.H. Miller W.M. Reisinger V.L. Hesli Understanding political change in post-Soviet societies: A further commentary on Finifter and Mickiewicz American Political Science Review 90 1996 153-166
35. K.R. Monroe (Ed.) The Economic Approach to Politics 1991 Harper Collins New York
36. P. Nannestad M. Paldam M. Rosholm System change and economic evaluations: A study of immigrants and natives in Israel Electoral Studies 22 2003 485-501
37. H. Norpoth M.S. Lewis-Beck J.-D. Lafay (Eds.) Economics and Politics: The Calculus of Support 1991 University of Michigan Press Ann Arbor
38. H.D. Palmer R.M. Duch Do surveys provide representative or whimsical assessments of the economy? Political Analysis 9 2001 58-77
39. F.F. Piven Women and the state: Ideology, power, and the welfare state In: A.S. Rossi (Ed.) Gender and the Life Course 1985 Aldine New York
40. G.K. Roberts Party Politics in the New Germany 1997 Pinter London
41. D. Rubin Multiple Imputation for Nonresponse in Surveys 1987 Wiley New York
42. J.L. Schafer Analysis of Incomplete Multivariate Data 1997 Chapman and Hall New York
43. K.L. Schlozman S. Verba Injury to Insult 1979 Harvard University Press Cambridge, MA
44. D.O. Sears R.R. Lau Inducing apparently self-interested political preferences American Journal of Political Science 27 1983 222-252
45. P.M. Sniderman R.A. Brody Coping: The ethic of self-reliance American Journal of Political Science 21 1977 501-521
46. S.M. Weatherford Economic conditions and electoral outcomes: Class differences in the political response to recession American Journal of Political Science 22 1978 917-938
47. S.M. Weatherford Economic voting and the 'symbolic politics' argument: A reinterpretation and synthesis American Political Science Review 77 1983 158-174
48. C. Wlezien M. Franklin D. Twiggs Economic perceptions and vote choice: disentangling the endogeneity Political Behavior 19 1997 7-17