Environmental stochasticity in dispersal areas can explain the 'mysterious' disappearance of breeding populations

Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences

Volumn 272, Issue 1569, 2005, Pages 1265-1269

  Penteriani, Vincenzo ^a   Otalora, Fermín ^b   Sergio, Fabrizio ^a   Ferrer, Miguel ^a  

^a DEPARTMENT OF CONSERVATION BIOLOGY   (Spain)

^b CSIC   (Spain)

Author keywords

Decline; Extinction; Floaters; Persistence; Settlement areas; Survival

Indexed keywords

BREEDING POPULATION; DISPERSAL; EXTINCTION; HABITAT CONSERVATION; MORTALITY; STOCHASTICITY;

ARTICLE; BREEDING; CONTROLLED STUDY; EAGLE; ENVIRONMENTAL FACTOR; EVOLUTIONARY ADAPTATION; MORTALITY; NONHUMAN; POPULATION BIOLOGY; POPULATION RESEARCH; PRIORITY JOURNAL; SIMULATION; SPECIES EXTINCTION; STOCHASTIC MODEL; ANIMAL; BIOLOGICAL MODEL; COMPARATIVE STUDY; COMPUTER SIMULATION; DEMOGRAPHY; ENVIRONMENT; ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION; PHYSIOLOGY; POPULATION DYNAMICS; REPRODUCTION; SPAIN; STATISTICS;

ANIMALS; COMPUTER SIMULATION; CONSERVATION OF NATURAL RESOURCES; DEMOGRAPHY; EAGLES; ENVIRONMENT; MODELS, BIOLOGICAL; POPULATION DYNAMICS; REPRODUCTION; SPAIN; STOCHASTIC PROCESSES;

EID: 24044532936     PISSN: 09628452     EISSN: 14712970     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1098/rspb.2005.3075     Document Type: Article

References (43)

1. Araújo, M. B., Williams, P. H. & Fuller, R. J. 2002 Dynamics of extinction and the selection of nature reserves. Proc. R. Soc. B 269, 1971-1980.
2. Balbontín, J., Penteriani, V. & Ferrer, M. 2005 Humans act against the natural process of breeder selection: a modern sickness for animal populations? Biodivers. Conserv. 14, 179-186.
3. Bascompte, J., Possingham, H. & Roughgarden, J. 2002 Patchy populations in stochastic environments: critical number of patches for persistence. Am. Nat. 159, 128-137.
4. Beissinger, S. R. 2000 Ecological mechanisms of extinction. Proc. Natl Acad. Sci. USA 97, 11 688-11 689.
5. Bennett, P. M. & Owens, I. P. F. 1997 Variation in extinction risk among birds: chance or evolutionary predisposition? Proc. R. Soc. B 264, 401-408.
6. Brook, B. W., O'Grady, J. J., Chapman, A. P., Burgman, M. A., Akçakaya, H. R. & Frankham, R. 2000 Predictive accuracy of population viability analysis in conservation biology. Nature 404, 385-387.
7. Casagrandi, R. & Gatto, M. 2002 Habitat destruction, environmental catastrophes, and metapopulation extinction. Theor. Popul. Biol. 61, 127-140.
8. Caughley, G. 1994 Directions in conservation biology. J. Anim. Ecol. 63, 215-244.
9. Donald, P. F. & Greenwood, J. J. D. 2001 Spatial patterns of range contraction in British breeding birds. Ibis 143, 593-601.
10. Fagan, W. A., Meir, E., Prendergast, J., Folarin, A. & Karieva, P. 2001 Characterizing population vulnerability for 758 species. Ecol. Lett. 4, 132-138.
11. Ferrer, M. 1993a Reduction in hunting success and settlement strategies in young Spanish imperial eagles. Anim. Behav. 45, 406-408.
12. Ferrer, M. 1993b Juvenile dispersal behaviour and natal philopatry of a long-lived raptor, the Spanish imperial eagle Aquila adalberti. Ibis 135, 132-138.
13. Ferrer, M. 2001 The Spanish imperial eagle. Madrid: Lynx Editions.
14. Ferrer, M. & Donázar, J. A. 1996 Density-dependent fecundity by habitat heterogeneity in an increasing population of Spanish imperial eagles. Ecology 77, 69-74.
15. Ferrer, M. & Harte, M. 1997 Habitat selection by immature Spanish imperial eagles during the dispersal period. J. Appl. Ecol. 34, 1359-1364.
16. Ferrer, M., Penteriani, V., Balbontín, J. & Pandolfi, M. 2003 The proportion of immature breeders as a reliable early warning signal of population decline: evidence from the Spanish imperial eagle in Doñana. Biol. Conserv. 114, 463-466.
17. Gates, S. & Donald, P. F. 2000 Local extinction of British farmland birds and the prediction of further loss. J. Appl. Ecol. 37, 806-820.
18. Hill, M. F., Hastings, A. & Botsford, L. W. 2002 The effects of small dispersal rates on extinction times in structured metapopulation models. Am. Nat. 160, 389-402.
19. Johst, K. & Drechsler, M. 2003 Are spatially correlated or uncorrelated disturbance regimes better for the survival of species. Oikos 103, 449-456.
20. Kenward, R. E., Walls, S. S., Hodder, K. H., Pahkala, M., Freeman, S. N. & Simpson, V. R. 2000 The prevalence of non-breeders in raptor populations: evidence from rings, radio-tags and transect surveys. Oikos 91, 271-279.
21. Kokko, H. & Sutherland, W. J. 1998 Optimal floating and queuing strategies: consequences for density dependence and habitat loss. Am. Nat. 152, 354-366.
22. Leakey, R. & Lewin, R. 1995 The sixth extinction: biodiversity and its survival. London: Phoenix.
23. Liberatori, F. & Penteriani, V. 2001 A long-term analysis of the declining population of the Egyptian vulture in the Italian peninsula: distribution, habitat preference, productivity and conservation implications. Biol. Conserv. 101, 381-389.
24. Matter, S. F. 2001 Synchrony, extinction, and dynamics of spatially segregated, heterogeneous populations. Ecol. Model. 141, 217-226.
25. McKelvey, R. 1996 Viability analysis of endangered species: a decision-theoretic perspective. Ecol. Model. 92, 193-207.
26. Malcolm, S. A. & ReVelle, C. 2002 Rebuilding migratory flyways using directed conditional covering. Environ. Model. Assess. 7, 129-138.
27. Moulton, M. P. & Sanderson, J. 1999 Wildlife issues in a changing world. Boca Raton, FL: CRC Press.
28. Norris, K. 2004 Managing threatened species: the ecological toolbox, evolutionary theory and declining-population paradigm. J. Appl. Ecol. 41, 413-426.
29. O'Grady, J. J., Red, D. H., Brook, B. W. & Frankham, R. 2004 What are the best correlates of predicted extinction risk? Biol. Conserv. 118, 513-520.
30. Ovaskainen, O., Sato, K., Bascompte, J. & Hanski, I. 2002 Metapopulation models for extinction threshold in spatially correlated landscapes. J. Theor. Biol. 215, 95-108.
31. Owens, I. P. F. & Bennet, P. M. 2000 Ecological basis of extinction risk in birds: habitat loss versus human persecution and introduced predators. Proc. Natl Acad. Sci. USA 97, 12 144-12 148.
32. Penteriani, V., Otalora, F. & Ferrer, M. 2005 Floater survival affects population persistence. The role of prey availability and environmental stochasticity. Oikos 108, 523-534.
33. Pimm, S. L., Jones, H. L. & Diamond, J. 1988 On the risk of extinction. Am. Nat. 132, 757-785.
34. Pimm, S. L., Russell, G. J., Gittleman, J. L. & Brooks, T. M. 1995 The future of biodiversity. Science 269, 347-350.
35. Purvis, A., Gittleman, J. L., Cowlishaw, G. & Mace, G. M. 2000 Predicting extinction risk in declining species. Proc. R. Soc. B 267, 1947-1952.
36. Rodrigues, A. S. L., Gregory, R. D. & Gaston, K. J. 2000 Robustness of reserve selection procedures under temporal species turnover. Proc. R. Soc. B 267, 49-55.
37. Sæther, B.-E., Engen, S., Lande, R., Arcese, P. & Smith, J. N. M. 2000 Estimating the time to extinction in an island population of song sparrows. Proc. R. Soc. B 267, 621-626.
38. Sergio, F. & Newton, I. 2003 Occupancy as a measure of territory quality. J. Anim. Ecol. 72, 857-865.
39. Soulé, M. E. 1983 What do we really know about extinction? In Genetics and conservation: a reference for managing wild animal and plant populations (ed. C. M. Schonewald-Cox, S. M. Chambers, B. MacBryde & W. L. Thomas), pp. 111-124. London: Benjamin/Cummings Publishing Company.
40. Tworek, S. 2003 Local extinction, colonisation and turnover rates of breeding birds in fragmented landscapes: differences between migratory guilds. Ornis Fennica 80, 49-62.
41. Williams, J. C. 1998 Delineating protected wildlife corridors with multi-objective programming. Environ. Model. Assess. 3, 77-86.
42. Woodroffe, R. & Ginsberg, J. R. 1998 Edge effects and the extinction of populations inside protected areas. Science 280, 2126-2128.
43. Woodruff, D. S. 2001 Declines of biomes and biotas and the future of evolution. Proc. Natl Acad. Sci. USA 98, 5471-5476.