The varied contexts of environmental decision problems and their implications for decision support

Environmental Science and Policy

Volumn 8, Issue 4, 2005, Pages 378-391

  French, Simon ^a   Geldermann, Jutta ^b  

^a UNIVERSITY OF MANCHESTER   (United Kingdom)

^b UNIVERSITY OF KARLSRUHE   (Germany)

Author keywords

Artificial intelligence (AI); Decision analysis; Decision support systems (DSS); Emission reduction strategies (ERS); Environmental decisions; Environmental emergency management (EM); Life cycle assessment (LCA); Multi criteria decision analysis; Operational research; Risk; Stakeholder involvement; Uncertainty

Indexed keywords

ANALYTIC METHOD; ARTICLE; ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE; COST BENEFIT ANALYSIS; DECISION MAKING; DECISION SUPPORT SYSTEM; ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT ASSESSMENT; ENVIRONMENTAL MANAGEMENT; LIFE CYCLE ASSESSMENT; MATHEMATICAL COMPUTING; MATHEMATICAL MODEL; PRIORITY JOURNAL; RISK MANAGEMENT; SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS; STATISTICAL ANALYSIS; SYSTEM ANALYSIS; UNCERTAINTY;

EID: 22144469065     PISSN: 14629011     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.envsci.2005.04.008     Document Type: Article

References (104)

1. J. Alcamo R. Shaw L. Hordijk The RAINS Model of Acidification: Science and Strategies in Europe 1990 Kluwer Dordrecht
2. E. Atherton S. French Issues in supporting intertemporal choice in: M.H. Karwan J. Spronk J. Wallenius (Eds.) Essays in Decision-Making 1997 Springer Berlin
3. E. Atherton S. French Valuing the future: A MADA example involving nuclear waste storage J. Multi Crit. Decis. Anal. 7 1998 304-321
4. E. Atherton S. French Structuring long-term decisions J. Environ. Assess. Policy Manage. 1 1999 213-338
5. M.H. Bazerman Managerial Decision-Making 2002 John Wiley and Sons Chichester p. 5
6. Bechmann, G., 1996. Praxisfelder der Technikfolgenforschung: Konzepte. Methoden, Optionen, Campus, Frankfurt/Main.
7. Beck, U., 1998. Risikogesellschaft: Auf dem Weg in Eine Andere Moderne, vol. 14. Suhrkamp, Frankfurt am Main.
8. V. Belton T. Stewart Multiple Criteria Decision analysis: An Integrated Approach 2002 Kluwer Academic Press Boston
9. P.G. Bennett K.C. Calman Risk Communication and Public Health: Policy, Science and Participation 1999 Oxford University Press Oxford
10. D. Bouyssou T. Marchant M. Pirlot P. Perny A. Tsoukias P. Vincke Evaluation and Decision Models: A Critical Perspective 2000 Kluwer Dordrecht
11. V.T. Covello The perception of technological risks: A literature review Technol. Forecast. Soc. Change 1993
12. Cox, D., Darby, S. (Eds.), 2003. The communication of risk. J. R. Stat. Soc. A166 (Part 2), 203-270 (special issue).
13. E.V. Denardo The Science of Decision-Making 2002 John Wiley and Sons New York
14. D.J. DeTombe Compram: A method for handling complex societal problems Eur. J. Oper. Res. 128 2 2001 266-282
15. M. Douglas Risk and Blame: Essays in Cultural Theory 1992 Routledge London
16. Džeroski, S., 2002. Data-mining in the environmental sciences. In: Klösgen, W., Zytkow, J.M. (Eds.), Handbook of Data-Mining and Knowledge Discovery. Oxford University Press, Oxford, pp. 817-830.
17. 2 emission reduction strategies on air pollution Int. J. Glob. Environ. Issues 3 3 2003 245-265
18. B. Fischhoff Cost benefit analysis and the art of motorcycle maintenance Policy Sci. 8 1977 177-202
19. B. Fischhoff Risk perception and communication unplugged: Twenty years of process Risk Anal. 15 1995 137-145
20. S. French Decision Theory: An Introduction to the Mathematics of Rationality 1986 Ellis Horwood Ltd.
21. S. French Uncertainty and imprecision: Modelling and analysis J. Oper. Res. Soc. 46 1995 70-79
22. S. French Multi-attribute decision support in the event of a nuclear accident J. Multi Crit. Decis. Anal. 5 1996 39-57
23. French, S., 2000. Decision support, data assimilation and uncertainty handling within RODOS. In: Ehrhardt, J., Weiss, A. (Eds.), RODOS: Decision Support System for Off-Site Nuclear Emergency Management in Europe. European Commission, Office for Official Publications of the European Communities, Luxemburg, EUR 19144 en (Chapter 3.6).
24. French, S., 2002. Utility theory. In: El-Shaarawi, A.H., Piegorsch, W.W. (Eds.), Encyclopedia of Environmetrics. John Wiley and Sons, Chichester, pp. 2302-2309.
25. S. French Modelling making inferences and making decisions: The role of sensitivity analysis TOP 11 2 2003 229-252
26. French, S., Niculae, C., 2005. Believe in the model: Mishandle the emergency. J. Homeland Secur. Emerg. Manage. 2 (1), http://www.bepress.com/jhsem/vol2/iss1/2
27. S. French N. Papamichail Decision Behaviour, Analysis and Support-Decision-Making and How Computers and Analysis Bay Support This 2003 Manchester Business School (MBS) Manchester
28. S. French D. Rios Insua Statistical Decision Theory 2000 Edward Arnold London
29. S. French J.Q. Smith The Practice of Bayesian Analysis 1997 Arnold London
30. French, S., Harrison, M.T., Ranyard, D.C., 1997. Event conditional attribute modelling in decision-making when there is a threat of a nuclear accident. In: French, S., Smith, J.Q. (Eds.). The Practice of Bayesian Analysis. Arnold, London, pp. 131-150.
31. French, S., Bartzis, J., Ehrhardt, J., Lochard, J., Morrey, M., Papamichail, N., Sinkko, K., Sohier, A., 2000. RODOS: Decision support for nuclear emergencies. In: Zanakis, S.H., Doukidis, G., Zopounidis, G. (Eds.), Recent Developments and Applications in Decision-Making. Kluwer Academic Publishers, Dordrecht, pp. 379-394.
32. S. French T. Bedford E. Atherton Supporting ALARP decision-making by cost benefit analysis and multi-attribute utility theory J. Risk Res. 2004
33. French, S., Maule, J., Mythen, G., 2005. Soft modelling in risk communication and management: Examples in handling food risk. J. Oper. Res. Soc., in press.
34. Geldermann, J., 1999. Entwicklung eines multikriteriellen Entscheidungsunterstützungssystems zur integrierten Technikbewertung, vol. 16 (Technik und Wirtschaft). VDI Verlag, VDI Fortschrittsberichte, Düsseldorf.
35. J. Geldermann O. Rentz Integrated technique assessment with imprecise information as a support for the identification of best available techniques (BAT) OR Spectr. 23 2001 137-157
36. J. Geldermann O. Rentz Decision support for the development of national emission reduction strategies according to the NEC-directive with the dynamic mass flow optimisation model ARGUS Ecol. Econ. 2004a
37. J. Geldermann O. Rentz Decision support through mass and energy flow management in the vehicle-refinishing sector J. Ind. Ecol. 8 4 2004b 173-188
38. Geldermann, J., Rentz, O., 2004c. Multi-criteria analysis for technique assessment: Case study from industrial coating. J. Ind. Ecol., in press.
39. J. Geldermann C. Jahn T. Spengler O. Rentz Proposal for an integrated approach for the assessment of cross-media aspects relevant for the determination of "best available techniques" BAT in the European Union Int. J. Life Cycle Assess. 4 2 1999 94-106
40. Geldermann, J., Avci, N., Wenzel, S., Rentz, O., 2003. Decision support for the national implementation of emission reduction measures by the dynamic mass flow optimisation model ARGUS. In: Leopold-Wildburger, U., Rendl, F., Wäscher, G. (Eds.), Operations Research Proceedings 2002. Springer Verlagapp, Heidelberg, pp. 296-301.
41. J. Geldermann K. Zhang O. Rentz Development of an integrated multicriteria group decision-support system (MGDSS) J. Group Decis. Negotiat. 2003b
42. Geldermann, J., Zhang, K., Rentz, O., 2003c. Sensitivitätsanalysen für das Outranking-Verfahren PROMETHEE. In: Habenicht, W., Scheubrein, B., Scheubrein, R. (Eds.), Multicriteria-und Fuzzy-Systeme in Theorie und Praxis. Deutscher Universitäts-Verlag, Stuttgart, pp. 127-152.
43. G. Gigerenzer Reckoning With Risk: Learning to Live With Uncertainty 2002 Penguin Books Harmondsworth
44. A. Goicoechea D.R. Hansen L. Duckstein Multi-Objective Decision analysis With Engineering and Business Applications 1982 John Wiley and Sons New York
45. L.H.J. Goossens G.N. Kelly Expert judgement and accident consequence uncertainty analysis Radiat. Protect. Dosimetry 90 2000 3
46. Graedel, T., Allenby, B.R., Industrial Ecology, AT&T, 2003.
47. J. Grin A. Grunwald Vision Assessment: Shaping Technology in 21st Century Society: Towards a Repertoire for Technology Assessment 2000 Springer Heidelberg
48. J.B. Guinée M. Gorrée R. Heijungs G. Huppes R. Kleijn A. de Koning L. van Oers A. Wegener Sleeswijk S. Suh H.A. Udo de Haes H. de Bruijn R. Van Duin M.A.J. Huijbregts Handbook on Life Cycle Assessment: Operational Guide to the ISO Standards 2002 Kluwer Academic Publishers Dordrecht
49. R.P. Hämäläinen Reversing the perspective on the applications of decision analysis Decis. Anal. 2003
50. Hansjürgens, B., 1999. Umweltrisikopolitik. Zeitschrift für angewandte Umweltforschung (Sonderheft), vol. 10.
51. A.J. Hatfield K.W. Hippel Risk and systems theory Risk Anal. 22 2002 1043-1057
52. B.F. Hobbs P. Meier Energy Decisions and the Environment. A Guide to the Use of Multicriteria Methods 2000 Kluwer Academic Publishers Boston/ Dordrecht/London
53. G.H. Hofstede Culture's Consequences: International Differences in Work-Related Values 1980 Sage Publications Beverly Hills
54. P. Hofstetter Perspectives in Life Cycle Impact Assessment: A Structured Approach to Combine Models of the Technosphere, Ecosphere and Valuesphere 1998 Kluwer Academic Publishers Dordrecht
55. L. Hordijk C. Kroeze Integrated assessment models for acid rain Eur. J. Oper. Res. 102 1997 405-417
56. HSE, 1998. Reducing risks, protecting people. Health and Safety Executive. HMSO, London, Rose Court, 2 Southwark Bridge Road, London SE1 9HS.
57. Huijbregts, M.A.J., 2001. Uncertainty and Variability in Environmental Life-Cycle Assessment. Amsterdam.
58. ILGRA, 1998. Risk Communication: A Guide to Regulatory Practice. Health and Safety Executive Report.
59. D. Kahneman P. Slovic A. Tversky Judgment Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases 1982 Cambridge University Press Cambridge
60. Karaoglou, A., Desmet, G., Kelly, G.N., Menzel, H.G. (Eds.), 1996. The Radiological Consequences of the Chernobyl Accident. CEC, Luxembourg, eur 16544 en.
61. D.L. Keefer C.W. Kirkwood J.L. Corner Perspective on decision analysis applications, 1990-2001 Decision Analysis 1 2004 4-22
62. R.L. Keeney Value-Focused Thinking: A Path to Creative Decision-Making 1996 Harvard University Press
63. R.L. Keeney H. Raiffa Decisions with Multiple Objectives: Preferences and Value Tradeoffs 1976 John Wiley New York
64. G.N. Kelly R. Jones M.J. Crick W. Weiss M. Morrey J. Lochard S. French Summary and conclusions: Capabilities and challenges Radiat. Protect. Dosimetry 109 2004 155-164
65. P.R. Kleindorfer H.C. Kunreuther P.J. Schoemaker Decision Sciences 1993 Cambridge University Press Cambridge
66. W. Klösgen J.M. Zytkow Handbook of Data Mining and Knowledge Discovery 2002 Oxford University Press Oxford
67. K.B. Korb A.E. Nicholson Bayesian Artificial Intelligence 2004 Chapman and Hall/CRC Boca Raton
68. Landrieu, G., Mudgal, S., 2000. Simple is beautiful and efficient. Commentaries on the results of studies requested from IIASA by the French Ministry for Land-Use Planning and the Environment. Task Force on Integrated Assessment Modelling, 25th Session.
69. L.B. Lave H. Dowlatabadi Climate change policy: The effects of personal beliefs and scientific uncertainty Environ. Sci. Technol. 27 10 1993 1962-1972
70. P. Levy L'intelligence Collective 1995 Dunod Paris
71. Lochard, J., Schneider, T., French, S., International Chernobyl Project. EC Report EUR 14543 EN (ISBN 92-826-4631-9). Summary Report of Decision Conferences held in the USSR, October-November 1990, 1992.
72. Mai, M., 2001. Technikbewertung in Politik und Wirtschaft: Beitrag zum Problem ihrer Institutionalisierung. Baden-Baden.
73. M. Makowski Modeling paradigms applied to the analysis of European air quality Eur. J. Oper. Res. 122 2000 219-241
74. G.A. Miller The magic number seven plus or minus two: Some limits on our capacity for communicating information Psychol. Rev. 63 1956 81-97
75. G. Munda Multicriteria Evaluation in a Fuzzy Environment: Theory and Applications in Ecological Economics 1995 Physica-Verlag Heidelberg
76. C. Niculae E. Carter S. French Emergency management: Does it have a sufficiently comprehensive understanding of decision-making, process and context? Radiat. Protect. Dosimetry 109 2004 97-100
77. T. O'Riordan Frameworks for choice: Core beliefs and the environment Environment 37 8 1995 4-9
78. J.W. Owen LCA impact assessment categories: Technical feasibility and accuracy Int. J. Life Cycle Assess. I 1 1996 151-159
79. Pateau, J., 1998. Une étrange alchimie: La dimension interculturelle dans la coopération franco-allemande; Travaux et documents du CIRAC, Levallois-Perret.
80. D. Paton R. Flin Disaster stress: An emergency management perspective Disaster Prev. Manage. 8 1999 261-267
81. J.W. Payne J.R. Bettman E.J. Johnson The Adaptive Decision Maker 1993 Cambridge University Press Cambridge
82. L.D. Phillips On the adequacy of human judgements In: G. Wright P. Ayton (Eds.) Judgemental Forecasting 1987 John Wiley and Sons Chichester 11-30
83. Phillips (Lord), 2000. The Phillips Report on the BSE Crisis. HMSO, London.
84. K. Politis L. Roberson Bayesian updating of atmospheric dispersion after a nuclear accident J. R. Stat. Soc. C53 4 2004 583-600
85. C.T. Ragsdale Spreadsheet Modelling and Decision analysis 2001 South Western College Publishing Cincinnati
86. O. Renn The role of risk communication and public dialogue for improving risk management Risk Decis. Policy 3 1998 5-30
87. O. Renn T. Webler P. Wiedermann Fairness and Competence in Citizen Participation: Evaluating Models and Environmental Discourse 1995 Kluwer Dordrecht
88. O. Rentz Operations research and environmental policy In: H.-D. Haasis T. Spengler (Eds.) Produktion und Umwelt 2004 Springer Heidelberg 1-26
89. J. Rosenhead J. Mingers Rational Analysis for a Problematic World Revisited 2001 John Wiley and Sons Chichester
90. Rotmans, J., van Asselt, M.B.A., de Bruin, A.J., den Elzen, M.G.J., de Greef, J., Hilderink, H., Hoekstra, A.Y., Janssen, M.A., Koster, H.W., Martens, W.J.M., Niessen, L.W., de Vries, H.J.M., 1994. Global change and sustainable development: A modeling perspective for the next decade. RIVM-Report No. 46150200. National Institute of Public Health and Environmental Protection (RIVM), Bilthoven (NL).
91. B. Roy Multi-Criteria Modelling for Decision Aiding 1996 Kluwer Dordrecht
92. A. Saltelli K. Chan E.M. Scott Sensitivity Analysis 2000 John Wiley and Sons Chichester
93. L. Schleisner Comparison of methodologies for externality assessment Energy Policy 28 2000 1127-1136
94. J. Seppälä L. Basson G.A. Norris Decision analysis frameworks for life-cycle impact assessment J. Ind. Ecol. 5 4 2002 45-68
95. H. Simon The New Science of Management Decision 1960 Harper New York
96. P. Slovic Perceptions of Risk 2001 Earthscan Library London
97. J.Q. Smith S. French Bayesian updating of atmospheric dispersion models for use after an accidental release of radiation Statistician 42 1993 501-511
98. D. Snowdon Complex acts of knowing-paradox and descriptive self-awareness J. Knowledge Manage. 6 2002 100-111
99. T. Spengler J. Geldermann S. Hähre A. Sieverdingbeck O. Rentz Development of a multiple criteria based decision-support system for environmental assessment of recycling measures in the iron and steel making industry J. Cleaner Prod. 6 1 1998 37-52
100. M. Teale J. Dispenza J. Flynn D. Currie Management Decision-Making: Towards an Integrative Approach 2003 FT Prentice Hall Harlow
101. TED, 2003. European Science Foundation Programme Towards Electronic Democracy-Internet-based Complex Decision Support.
102. M. Thompson R. Ellis A. Wildavsky Cultural Theory 1990 Westview Print Boulder USA
103. E. Turban J. Aronson Decision-Support Systems and Intelligent Systems 2001 Prentice-Hall New Jersey
104. N. Wrisberg H.A. Udo de Haes U. Triebswetter P. Eder R. Clift Analytical Tools for Environmental Design and Management in a Systems Perspective 2002 Kluwer Academic Publishers Dordrecht