N-PLS regression as empirical downscaling tool in climate change studies

Theoretical and Applied Climatology

Volumn 81, Issue 1-2, 2005, Pages 11-23

  Bergant, Klemen ^a   Kajfez Bogataj L ^b  

^a UNIVERSITY OF NOVA GORICA   (Slovenia)

^b UNIVERSITY OF LJUBLJANA   (Slovenia)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

CLIMATE CHANGE; MODELING;

EID: 19544366052     PISSN: 0177798X     EISSN: 14344483     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1007/s00704-004-0083-2     Document Type: Article

References (60)

1. Abdi H (2003) Partial least squares (PLS) regression. In: Lweis-Beck M, Bryman A, Futing T (eds) Encyclopedia of social sciences research methods. Thousand OAKS (CA), Sage, 7 pp (in press)
2. Beckmann B-R, Buishand TA (2002) Statistical downscaling relationships for precipitation in the Netherlands and north Germany. Int J Climatol 22: 15-32
3. Benestad RE (2001a) The cause of warming over Norway in the ECHAM4/OPYC3 GHG integration. Int J Climatol 21: 371-387
4. Benestad RE (2001b) A comparison between two empirical downscaling strategies. Int J Climatol 21: 1645-1668
5. Benestad RE (2002a) Empirically downscaled multimodel ensemble temperature and precipitation scenarios for Norway. J Climate 15: 3008-3027
6. Benestad RE (2002b) Empirically downscaled temperature scenarios for northern Europe based on a multi-model ensemble. Climate Res 21: 105-125
7. Benestad RE, Førland EJ, Hanssen-Bauer I (2002) Empirically downscaled temperature scenarios for Svalbard. Atmos Sci Lett 3(2-4): 71-93
8. Bergant K, Kajfež-Bogataj L, Črepinšek Z (2002) Statistical downscaling of general-circulation-model-simulated average monthly air temperature to the beginning of flowering of dandelion (Taraxacum officinale) in Slovenia. Int J Biomet 46: 22-32
9. Boer GJ, Flato GM, Reader MC, Ramsden D (2000a) A transient climate change simulation with greenhouse gas and aerosol forcing: Experimental design and comparison with the instrumental record from the 20th century. Clim Dynam 16: 405-425
10. Boer GJ, Flato GM, Reader MC, Ramsden D (2000b) A transient climate change simulation with greenhouse gas and aerosol forcing: Projected climate change in the 21st century. Clim Dynam 16: 427-450
11. Bretherton CS, Smith C, Wallace JM (1992) An intercomparison of methods for finding coupled patterns in climate data. J Clim 5: 541-560
12. Bro R (1996) Multi-way calibration. Multi-linear PLS. J Chemometr 10(1): 47-62
13. Bro R (1998) Multi-way analysis in the food industry. Ph.D. thesis, University of Amsterdam, The Netherlands (Cum Laude), 300 pp
14. Bro R, Smilde AK, de Jong S (2001) On the difference between low-rank and subspace approximation: Improved model for multi-linear PLS regression. Chemometr Intell Lab 58: 3-13
15. Busuioc A, Chen D, Hellström C (2001) Performance of statistical downscaling models in GCM validation and regional climate change estimates: Application for Swedish precipitation. Int J Climatol 21: 557-578
16. Busuioc A, von Storch H (2003) Conditional stochastic model for generating daily precipitation time series. Climate Res 24: 181-195
17. Busuioc A, von Storch H, Schnur R (1999) Verification of GCM-generated regional seasonal precipitation for current climate and of statistical downscaling estimates under changing climate conditions. J Climate 12: 258-272
18. Cavazos T (1997) Downscaling large-scale circulation to local winter rainfall in north-eastern Mexico. Int J Climatol 17: 1069-1082
19. de Jong S (1998) Regression coefficients in multilinear PLS. J Chemometr 12: 77-81
20. de Jong S (1993) PLS fits closer than PCR. J Chemometr 7: 551-557
21. Denham MC (2000) Choosing the number of factors in partial least squares regression: Estimating and minimizing the mean squared error of prediction. J Chemometr 14: 351-361
22. Flato GM, Boer GJ (2001) Warming asymmetry in climate change simulations. Geophys Res Lett 28(1): 195-198
23. Giorgi F (2002) Variability and trends of sub-continental scale surface climate in the twentieth century. Part I: Observations. Clim Dynam 18: 675-691
24. Giorgi F, Mearns LO (2002) Calculations of average, uncertainty range, and reliability of regional climate changes from AOGCM simulations via the 'reliability ensemble averaging' (REA) method. J Climate 15: 1141-1158
25. Gordon C, Cooper C, Senior CA, Banks H, Gregory JM, Johns TC, Mitchell JFB, Wood RA (2000) The simulation of SST, sea ice extents and ocean heat transports in a version of Hadley Centre coupled model without flux adjustments. Clim Dynam 16: 147-168
26. Gordon HB, O'Farrel SP (1997) Transient climate change in the CSIRO coupled model with dynamic sea ice. Mon Wea Rev 12: 875-907
27. Grotch S, MacCracken M (1991) The use of general circulation models to predict regional climate change. J Climate 4: 286-303
28. Hewitson BC, Crane RG (1996) Climate downscaling: Techniques and application. Climate Res 7: 85-95
29. Kalnay E, Kanamitsu M, Kistler R, Collins W, Deaven D, Gandin L, Iredell M, Saha S, White G, Wollen J, Zhu Y, Chelliah M, Ebisuzaki W, Higgins W, Janowiak J, Mo KC, Ropelewski C, Wang J, Leetmaa A, Reynolds R, Jenne R, Joseph D (1996) The NCEP/NCAR 40-year reanalysis project. BAMS 77(3): 437-471
30. Kistler R, Kalnay E, Collins W, Saha S, White G, Wollen J, Chelliah M, Ebisuzaki W, Kanamitzu M, Kousky V, van den Dool H, Jenne R, Fiorino M (2001) The NCEP/ NCAR 50-year reanalysis: Monthly Means CD-ROM and Documentation. BAMS 2: 247-267
31. Lambert SJ, Boer GJ (2001) CMIP: Evaluation and intercomparison of coupled climate models. Clim Dynam 17: 83-106
32. Landman WA, Tennant WJ (2000) Statistical downscaling of monthly forecasts. Int J Climatol 20: 1521-1532
33. Li B, Morris J, Martin EB (2002) Model selection for partial least squares regression. Chemometr Intell Lab Sys 64: 79-89
34. Liu S (1999) Matrix results on the Khatri-Rao and Tracy-Singh products. Linear Algebra Appl 289: 267-277
35. Nakićenović N, Davidson O, Davis G, Grübler A, Kram T, Rovere ELL, Metz B, Morita T, Pepper W, Pitcher H, Sankovski A, Shukla P, Swart R, Watson R, Dadi Z (2000) Emissions scenarios - summary for policymakers. A special report of working group III, Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, 21 pp
36. Nilsson J, de Jong S, Smilde AK (1997) Multiway calibration in 3D QSAR. J Chemometr 11: 511-524
37. Pope VD, Gallani ML, Rowntree PR, Stratton RA (2000) The impact of new physical parameterisations in the Hadley Centre climate model - HadAM3. Clim Dynam 16: 123-146
38. Press WH, Teukolosky AA, Vetterling WT, Flannery BF (2001) Numerical recipes in Fortran 77: The art of scientific computing, 2nd edn. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, pp 99-122
39. Roeckner E, Arpe K, Bengtsson L, Christoph M, Claussen M, Dümenil L, Esch M, Giorgetta M, Schlese U, Schulzweida U (1996) The atmospheric general circulation model ECHAM4: Model description and simulation of present-day climate. MPI report no. 218, Hamburg, Germany: Max-Planck-Institut für Meteorologie, 90 pp
40. Rummukainen M (1997) Methods for statistical downscaling of GCM simulations. Tech. Rep. 80, Norrkoping, Rossby Centrem SMHI, 33 pp
41. Schubert S (1998) Downscaling local extreme temperature changes in south-eastern Australia from the CSIRO MARK2 GCM. Int J Climatol 18: 1419-1438
42. Smilde AK (1997) Comments on multilinear PLS. J Chemometr 11: 367-377
43. Stendell M, Schmith T, Roeckner E, Cubasch U (2000) The climate of the 21st century: Transient simulations with a coupled atmosphere-ocean general circulation model. Rep. 00-6, Danmark, Danmarks Klimacenter, 51 pp
44. Swart R, Mitchell J, Morita T, Raper S (2002) Stabilization scenarios for climate impact assessment. Global Environ Chang 12: 155-165
45. Timbal B, Dufour A, McAvaney B (2003) An estimate of future climate change for western France using a statistical downscaling technique. Clim Dynam 20: 807-823
46. Trigo RM, Palutikof JP (2001) Precipitation scenarios over Iberia: A comparison between direct GCM output and different downscaling techniques. J Climate 14: 4421-4446
47. von Storch H (1995) Inconsistencies at the interface of climate impact studies and global climate research. Meteorol Z 4(NF): 72-80
48. von Storch H, Hewitson B, Mearns L (2000) Review of empirical downscaling techniques. In: Iversen T, Høiskar BAK (eds) Regional climate development under global warming. General technical report No. 4 Conference proceedings RegClim spring meeting Jevnaker, Torbjørnrud, Norway, 8-9. May 2000: 29-46 pp
49. von Storch H, Zorita E, Cubasch U (1993) Downscaling of global climate change estimates to regional scales: An application to Iberian rainfall in wintertime. J Climate 6: 1161-1171
50. von Storch H, Zwiers FW (1999) Statistical analysis in climatology. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 484 pp
51. Vrhovec T, Gregorič G, Rakovec Žagar M (2001) Observed versus forcasted precipitation in the south east Alps. Meteorol Z 10: 17-27
52. Washington WM, Weatherly JW, Meehl GA, Semtner AJ, Beetge TW, Craig AP, Strand WG, Arblaster J, Wayland VB, James R, Zhang Y (2000) Parallel climate model (PCM) control transient simulations. Clim Dynam 16(10/11): 755-774
53. Weichert A, Bürger G (1998) Linear versus nonlinear techniques in downscaling. Climate Res 10: 83-93
54. Wentzell PD, Montoto LV (2003) Comparison of principal components regression and partial least squares regression through generic simulations of complex mixtures. Chemometr Intell Lab Sys 65: 257-279
55. Wilby RL (2001) Downscaling summer rainfall in the UK from North Atlantic ocean temperatures. Hydrol Earth Syst Sc 5(2): 245-257
56. Wilby RL, Hay LE, Leavesly GH (1999) A comparison of downscaling and raw GCM output: Implications for climate change scenarios in the San Juan River basin, Colorado. J Hydrol 225: 67-91
57. Wilby RL, Wigley TML (1997) Downscaling general circulation model output: A review of methods and limitations. Prog Phys Geog 21(4): 530-548
58. Wilby RL, Wigley TML, Conway D, Jones PD, Hewitson BC, Main J, Wilks DS (1998) Statistical downscaling of general circulation model output: A comparison of methods. Water Resour Res 34(11): 2995-3008
59. Wilks DS (1995) Statistical methods in atmospheric sciences. San Diego: Academic Press, 467 pp
60. Zorita E, von Storch H (1999) The analog method as a simple statistical downscaling technique: Comparison with more complicated methods. J Climate 12: 2474-2489