Internet traffic growth: Sources and implications

Proceedings of SPIE - The International Society for Optical Engineering

Volumn 5247, Issue , 2003, Pages 1-15

  Odlyzko, Andrew M ^a,b  

^a UNIVERSITY OF MINNESOTA   (United States)

^b Digital Technology Center   (United States)

Author keywords

Internet traffic growth; Network economics; QoS; Telecom industry structure

Indexed keywords

BANDWIDTH; INTERNET; NETWORK PROTOCOLS; OPTICAL COMMUNICATION; OUTSOURCING; QUALITY OF SERVICE; TELECOMMUNICATION INDUSTRY;

INTERNET TRAFFIC GROWTH; NETWORK ECONOMICS; TELECOM INDUSTRY STRUCTURE;

TELECOMMUNICATION TRAFFIC;

EID: 1642514523     PISSN: 0277786X     EISSN: None     Source Type: Conference Proceeding    
DOI: 10.1117/12.512942     Document Type: Conference Paper

References (45)

1. Australian Bureau of Statistics, "Internet Activity: September 2002," Report 8153.0, dated March 7, 2003. Available for purchase at 〈http://www.abs.gov.au〉.
2. P. Behr, "Technology investors have a new specter to worry about: The bandwidth glut," Washington Post, Sept. 24, 2000.
3. Cooperative Association for Internet Data Analysis (CAIDA), report page at 〈http://www.caida.org/outreach/papers/〉.
4. K. G. Coffman and A. M. Odlyzko, "The size and growth rate of the Internet," First Monday, 3, no. 10, Oct. 1998, 〈http://firstmonday.org/〉. Also available at 〈http://www.dtc.umn.edu/̃odlyzko〉.
5. K. G. Coffman and A. M. Odlyzko, "Internet growth: Is there a "Moore's Law" for data traffic?," Handbook of Massive Data Sets, J. Abello, P. M. Pardalos, and M. G. C. Resende, eds., pp. 47-93, Kluwer, 2002. Available at 〈http://www.dtc.umn.edu/̃odlyzko〉.
6. K. G. Coffman and A. M. Odlyzko, "Growth of the Internet," Optical Fiber Telecommunications IV B: Systems and Impairments, I. P. Kaminow and T. Li, eds., pp. 17-56, Academic Press, 2002. Available at 〈http://www.dtc.umn.edu/̃odlyzko〉.
7. CTIA, "CTIA's semi-annual wireless industry survey results, June 1985 - December 2002," available at 〈http://www.wow-com.com/industry/stats/surveys/〉.
8. U.S. Department of Commerce, "The Emerging Digital Economy," April 1998 report, available at 〈http://www.esa.doc.gov/TheEmergingDigitalEconomy.cfm〉.
9. S. Donelan, posting to NANOG mailing list, July 2, 2001, on the subject of "Common causes of performance problems and outages." Available in online archives at 〈http://www.nanog.org/mailinglist.html〉.
10. Fiber Optics Online, " MCI WorldCom's Wimmer lays out optical roadmap," April 4, 2000 report, available at 〈http://www.fiberopticsonline.com/content/news/article.asp?DocID= 31D66203-095B-11D4-8C32-009027DE0829〉.
11. P. C. Fishburn and A. M. Odlyzko, "Dynamic behavior of differential pricing and Quality of Service options for the Internet," in Proc. First Intern. Conf. on Information and Computation Economies (ICE-98), pp. 128-139, ACM Press, 1998. Available at 〈http://www.dtc.umn.edu/̃odlyzko〉.
12. S. Helms, "Recapturing an expensive resource: Bandwidth," Cable Datacom News, Oct. 1, 2002. Available at 〈http://www.cabledatacomnews.com/oct02/oct02-6.html〉.
13. P. Heywood, "Bandwidth bonanza 'won't happen'," Light Reading, July 12, 2000. Available at 〈http://http://www.lightreading.com/document.asp?doc_id=1142〉.
14. P. J. Howe, "MCI chief sees big outlays to handle net traffic: Ebbers estimates $100B to upgrade network," Boston Globe, March 7, 2000.
15. R. Hundt, You Say You Want a Revolution, Yale Univ. Press, 2000.
16. P. Kapustka, "Report Heralds IP Doomsday," Light Reading, May 16, 2001. Available at 〈http://www.lightreading.com/document.asp?site=lightreading&doc_id= 5223〉.
17. J. Krause, "Has the Net stopped growing?," The Industry Standard, July 2, 2001. Available at 〈http://www.thestandard.com/article/0,1902,27394,00.html〉.
18. E. Larson, "Report: Internet traffic boom redux, Light Reading, February 28, 2003. Available at 〈http://www.lightreading.com/document.asp?site=lightreading&doc_id= 2902〉.
19. C. Lu, The Race for Bandwidth: Understanding Data Transmission, Microsoft Press, 1998.
20. O. Malik, Broadbandits: Inside the $750 Billion Telecom Heist, Wiley, 2003.
21. M. D. O'Dell, "Racing with an exponential or the dangers of linear thinking in an exponential world," lecture at Stanford symposium, Optical Internet: The Next Generation, May 16, 2000. Available in audio, video, and slides at 〈http://stanford-online.stanford.edu/optic/main.html〉.
22. M. D. O'Dell, email message with subject line "100% per year, etc," posted Nov. 30, 2000 on Dave Farber's IP list, available at 〈http://www.interesting-people.org〉.
23. A. M. Odlyzko, "Data networks are lightly utilized, and will stay that way," 1998 manuscript, available at 〈http://www.dtc.umn.edu/~odlyzko〉. Revised version to appear in Review of Network Economics, Sept. 2003.
24. A. M. Odlyzko, "The economics of the Internet: Utility, utilization, pricing, and Quality of Service," 1998 unpublished manuscript, available at 〈http://www.dtc.umn.edu/̃odlyzko〉.
25. A. M. Odlyzko, "Smart and stupid networks: Why the Internet is like Microsoft," ACM netWorker 2, no. 5, Dec. 1998, pp. 38-46. Available at 〈http://www.dtc.umn.edu/~odlyzko〉.
26. A. M. Odlyzko, "Data networks are mostly empty and for good reason," IT Professional 1, no. 2, March/April 1999, pp. 67-69. Available at 〈http://www.dtc.umn.edu/̃odlyzko〉.
27. A. M. Odlyzko, "The current state and likely evolution of the Internet," in Proc. Globecom'99, pp. 1869-1875, IEEE, 1999. Available at 〈http://www.dtc.umn.edu/̃odlyzko〉.
28. A. M. Odlyzko, "The Internet and other networks: Utilization rates and their implications," Information Economics & Policy, 12 (2000), pp. 341-365. (Presented at the 1998 Telecommunications Policy Research Conference.) Also available at 〈http://www.dtc.umn.edu/̃odlyzko〉.
29. A. M. Odlyzko, "The history of communications and its implications for the Internet," 2000 unpublished manuscript, available at 〈http://www.dtc.umn.edu/~odlyzko〉.
30. A. M. Odlyzko, "Internet growth: Myth and reality, use and abuse," iMP: Information Impacts Magazine, November 2000, 〈http://www.cisp.org/imp/november_2000/odlyzko/11_00odlyzko.htm〉. Also available at 〈http://www.dtc.umn.edu/̃odlyzko〉.
31. A. M. Odlyzko, "Content is not king," First Monday, 6, no. 2, February 2001, 〈http://firstmonday.org/issues/issue6_2/odlyzko/〉. Also available at 〈http://www.dtc.umn.edu/̃odlyzko〉.
32. A.M. Odlyzko, "Internet pricing and the history of communications," Computer Networks, 36 (2001), pp. 493-517. Available at 〈http://www.dtc.umn.edu/̃odlyzko〉.
33. A. M. Odlyzko, "Talk, Talk, Talk: So who needs streaming video on a phone? The killer app for 3G may turn out to be-surprise-voice calls," Forbes, August 20, 2001, p. 28. Available at 〈http://www.dtc.umn.edu/odlyzko/doc/recent.html〉.
34. A. M. Odlyzko, "Comments on the Larry Roberts and Caspian Networks study of Internet traffic growth," The Cook Report on the Internet, Dec. 2001, pp. 12-15. Available at 〈http://www.dtc.umn.edu/̃odlyzko〉.
35. A. M. Odlyzko, "Roxane Googin's predictions and the telecom world," The Cook Report on the Internet, 11, no. 1-2, April-May 2002, pp. 53-58. Available at 〈http://www.dtc.umn.edu/̃odlyzko〉.
36. A. M. Odlyzko, "Comments on 'Solving the broadband paradox' by Adam D. Thierer," letter to the editor, Issues in Science and Technology, 18, no. 4, Summer 2002, pp. 7-8. Available at 〈http://www.dtc.umn.edu/̃odlyzko〉.
37. A. M. Odlyzko, "Internet TV: Implications for the long distance network," in Television over the Internet, E. Noam, J. Groebel, and D. Gerbarg, eds., Lawrence Erlbaum Associates, in press. (Proceedings of workshop held at Columbia University in Nov. 2000.) Available at 〈http://www.dtc.umn.edu/̃odlyzko〉.
38. OECD Communications Outlook 2003, electronic and paper copies can be purchased through 〈http://www.oecd.org/〉.
39. D. Plonka, University of Wisconsin in Madison network performance statistics, available at 〈http://wwwstats.net.wisc.edu/〉.
40. J. Rendleman, "WorldCom soldiers on with new service," Information Week, Aug. 30, 2002. Available at 〈http://www.informationweek.com/story/IWK20020830S0010〉.
41. J. Sidgmore, "The largest ISP and getting larger," Proc. Vortex 1998, pp. 157-166.
42. Sprint Advanced Technology Lab, publications Web site at 〈http://ipmon.sprintlabs.com/pubs_trs/webpages/ATLPUB.php〉.
43. B. St. Arnaud, "The future of the Internet is NOT multimedia," Network World, Nov. 1997. Available at 〈http://www.canarie.ca/̃bstarn/publications.html〉.
44. "Global Internet Geography 2003," TeleGeography, 2003. Can be purchased through 〈http://www.telegeography.com〉.
45. WorldCom announces $300 million expansion of UUNET network, WorldCom press release, Feb. 19, 1997. Available at 〈http://global.mci.com/news/news2.xml?newsid=6221&mode=long&lang= en&width =530=&root=/&langlinks=off〉.