Climate drives the meningitis epidemics onset in West Africa

PLoS Medicine

Volumn 2, Issue , 2005, Pages 0043-0049

  Sultan, Benjamin ^a   Labadi, Karima ^b   Guégan, Jean François ^c   Janicot, Serge ^a  

^a INSTITUT DE RECHERCHE POUR LE DÉVELOPPEMENT   (France)

^b UNIVERSITÉ PARIS DESCARTES   (France)

^c INSTITUT DE RECHERCHE POUR LE DÉVELOPPEMENT   (France)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

AFRICA; ARTICLE; ATMOSPHERE; CLIMATE; DEATH; EPIDEMIC; EPIDEMIC MENINGITIS; HUMAN; POPULATION DYNAMICS; PUBLIC HEALTH; WIND; WINTER; WORLD HEALTH ORGANIZATION; AIR; EPIDEMIOLOGY; SEASON;

AFRICA, WESTERN; AIR MOVEMENTS; CLIMATE; DISEASE OUTBREAKS; EPIDEMIOLOGIC STUDIES; HUMANS; MENINGITIS, MENINGOCOCCAL; SEASONS;

EID: 15744397074     PISSN: 15491277     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1371/journal.pmed.0020006     Document Type: Article

References (23)

1. World Health Organization(2000) Report on global surveillance of epidemic-prone infectious disease. Geneva: WHO. Report Number WHO/CDS/CSR/ISR/2000.1. 127 p.
2. World Health Organization(2003) Meningococcal meningitis: Fact sheet 2003, number 141. Available: http://www.who.int/mediacentre/factsheets/ 2003/fs141/en/index.html. Accessed 23 December 2003.
3. Rodo X, Pascual M, Fuchs G, Faruque AS (2002) ENSO and cholera: A nonstationary link related to climate change? Proc Nat Acad Sci U S A 99: 12901-12906.
4. Pascual M, Rodo X, Ellner S, Colwell R, Bouma M (2000) Cholera dynamics and El Nino-Southern Oscillation. Science 289: 1766-1769.
5. Lapeyssonnie L (1963) [The meningococcal meningitis in Africa] (in French). Bull World Health Organ 28-3: 114 p.
6. Cheesbrough JS, Morse AP, Green SDR (1995) Meningococcal meningitis and carriage in western Zaire: A hypoendemic zone related to climate? Epidemiol Infect 114: 75-92.
7. Molesworth A, Cuevas LE, Morse AP, Herman JR, Thomson MC (2002) Dust clouds and spread of infection. Lancet 359: 81-82.
8. Molesworth AM, Thomson MC, Connor SJ, Cresswell MP, Morse AP, et al. (2002) Where is the Meningitis Belt? Defining an area at risk of epidemic meningitis in Africa. Trans R Soc Med Hyg 96: 242-249.
9. World Health Organization(1998) Guidelines on the control of epidemic meningococcal disease. 2nd ed. Geneva: WHO. Report Number WHO/EMC/BAC/98.3. 84 p.
10. Besancenot JP, Boko M, Oke PC (1997) Weather conditions and cerebrospinal meningitis in Benin (Gulf of Guinea, West Africa). Eur J Epidemiol 13: 807-815.
11. Guégan JF, Morand S, Poulin R (2005) Are there general laws in parasite community ecology? The emergence of spatial parasitology and epidemiology. In: Thomas F, Renaud F, Guégan JF, editors. Parasitism and ecosystems. Oxford: Oxford University Press. In press.
12. Anderson RM, May RM (1991) Infectious diseases of humans: Dynamics and control. Oxford: Oxford University Press. 757 p.
13. Grenfell BT, Dobson AP, editors (1995) Ecology of infectious diseases in natural populations. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. 521 p.
14. Pettitt AN (1979) A non-parametric approach to the change-point problem. Appl Stat 28: 126-135.
15. Kalnay E, Kanamitsu M, Kistler R, Collins W, Deaven D, et al. (1996) The NCEP/NCAR 40-year reanalysis project. Bull Amer Meteorol Soc 77: 437-471.
16. Richman MB (1986) Rotation on principal components. J Climatol 6: 293-335.
17. Sultan B, Labadi K, Beltrando G, Janicot S (2004) [Meningococcal meningitis and the atmospheric dynamics in West Africa]. Environnement, Risques et Santé 3: 23-24.
18. Hastenrath S (1995) Climate dynamics of the tropics. Dordrecht: Kluwer Academic. 488 p.
19. Nicholson SE, Kim J, Hoopingarner J. (1988) Atlas of African rainfall and its interannual variability. Tallahassee: Florida State University, Department of Meteorology. 237 p.
20. Moron V (1994) Guinean and Sahelian rainfall anomaly indices at annual and monthly scales (1993-1990). Int J Climatol 14: 325-341.
21. Sultan B, Janicot S (2003) The West African monsoon dynamics, Part II: The "pre-onset" and the "onset" of the summer monsoon, J Clim 16: 3407-3427.
22. Palmer TN, Alessandri A, Andersen U, Cantelaube P, Davey M, et al. (2004) Development of a European multi-model ensemble system for seasonal to inter-annual prediction (DEMETER). Bull Am Meteorol Soc. 85: 853-872.
23. Molesworth AM, Cuevas LE, Connor SJ, Morse AP, Thomson MC (2003) Environmental risk and meningitis epidemics in Africa. Emerg Infect Dis. Available: http://wwwcdc.gov/ncidod/EID/vol9no10/03-0182.htm. Accessed 23 December 2003.