The use of actuarials at civil commitment hearings to predict the likelihood of future sexual violence

Sexual Abuse: Journal of Research and Treatment

Volumn 15, Issue 4, 2003, Pages 377-382

  Berlin, Fred S ^a   Galbreath, Nathan W ^b   Geary, Brendan ^a   McGlone, Gerard ^a  

^a JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY SCHOOL OF MEDICINE   (United States)

^b UNIFORMED SERVICES UNIVERSITY OF THE HEALTH SCIENCES   (United States)

Author keywords

Actuarials; Civil committment; MNSOST R; RRASOR; Sexual predator; Static 99

Indexed keywords

HUMAN; PREDICTION; REVIEW; SCREENING; SEXUAL CRIME; TECHNIQUE; VIOLENCE; CRIMINOLOGY; FORECASTING; FORENSIC PSYCHIATRY; METHODOLOGY; NOTE; PREDICTION AND FORECASTING; PSYCHOLOGICAL ASPECT; REPRODUCIBILITY; RISK ASSESSMENT; RISK FACTOR; STANDARD; STATISTICAL ANALYSIS; UNITED STATES;

ACTUARIAL ANALYSIS; CRIMINAL PSYCHOLOGY; FORECASTING; FORENSIC PSYCHIATRY; HUMANS; PREDICTIVE VALUE OF TESTS; REPRODUCIBILITY OF RESULTS; RISK ASSESSMENT; RISK FACTORS; SEX OFFENSES; UNITED STATES; VIOLENCE;

EID: 1542439248     PISSN: 10790632     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1023/A:1025060413844     Document Type: Review

References (11)

1. Doren, D. M. (1997). The RRASOR scoring sheet. Unpublished manuscript.
2. Doren, D. M. (1998). Recidivism base rates, predictions of sex offender recidivism and the "Sexual Predator" commitment laws. Behavioral Sciences and the Law, 16, 97-114.
3. Epperson, D. L., Kaul J. D., & Hesselton, D. (1999, March). Minnesota sex offender screening tool revised: Development, effectiveness and recommended risk level cut scores. Retrieved from psychserver.iastate.edu/faculty/epperson/ mnsost-download.html, Oct. 2001.
4. Hanson, R. K. (1997). The development of a brief actuarial scale for sexual offense recidivism (User report no. 1997-04). Ottawa, Canada: Corrections Research, Ministry of the Solicitor General of Canada. Retrieved from www.sgc.gc.ca, Oct. 2001.
5. Hanson, R. K., & Bussiere, M. T. (1998). Predicting relapse: A meta-analysis of sexual offender recidivism studies. Journal of Consulting and Clinical Psychology, 66, 348-362.
6. Hanson, R. K., and Thornton, D. (1999). Static-99: Improving actuarial assessment of sex offenders. Corrections Research, Ministry of the Solicitor General of Canada. Retrieved from www.sgc.gc.ca, Oct. 2001.
7. Hanson, R. K., and Thornton, D. (2000). Improving risk assessments for sex offenders: A comparison of three actuarial scales. Law and Human Behavior, 24(11), 119-136.
8. Hare, R. D. (1991). The Hare Psychopathy Checklist-Revised. Toronto, ON: Multi-Health Systems.
9. Kansas v Hendricks, 117, Set 2072 (1997).
10. Nunes, K., Firestone, P., Bradford, J., Greenberg, D., & Broom, I. (2002). A comparison of modified versions of the Static-99 and the sex offender risk appraisal guide. Sexual Abuse: A Journal of Research and Treatment, 14(3), 253-269.
11. Wollert, R. (2002), The importance of cross-validation in actuarial test construction for correcting inflated recidivism predictions: Shrinkage in the risk estimates for the Minnesota Sex Offender Screening Tool - Revised. The Journal of Threat Assessment, 2(1), 87-102.