Characterizing the spatial and temporal variability of June-July moisture conditions in the Canadian prairies

International Journal of Climatology

Volumn 25, Issue 1, 2005, Pages 117-138

  Quiring, S M ^a   Papakyriakou, T N ^b  

^a UNIVERSITY OF DELAWARE   (United States)

^b UNIVERSITY OF MANITOBA   (Canada)

Author keywords

Canadian prairies; Drought; Fast Fourier transform; Moisture variability; Palmer's moisture anomaly index (Z index); Principal component analysis

Indexed keywords

CLIMATOLOGY; CORRELATION METHODS; CROPS; DROUGHT; MOISTURE; VEGETATION;

PALMER'S MOISTURE ANOMALY INDEX; SPATIAL ANALYSIS; TEMPORAL ANALYSIS; TEMPORAL VARIABILITY;

CLIMATE CHANGE;

CROP PRODUCTION; DROUGHT; MOISTURE; PRAIRIE; SUMMER;

DROUGHT; FARM CROPS; METEOROLOGY; MOISTURE; PLANTS;

CANADA; NORTH AMERICA; WESTERN HEMISPHERE; WORLD;

EID: 13644269754     PISSN: 08998418     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1002/joc.1104     Document Type: Article

References (64)

1. Akinremi OO, McGinn SM. 1999. Precipitation trends on the Canadian prairies. Journal of Climate 12: 2996-3003.
2. Allan RJ. 2000. ENSO and climatic variability in the past 150 years. In El Nino and the Southern Oscillation: Multiscale Variability and Global and Regional Impacts, Diaz HF, Markgraf V (eds). Cambridge University Press: Cambridge, UK; 3-55.
3. Alley WM. 1984. The Palmer drought severity index: limitation and assumptions. Journal of Climate and Applied Meteorology 23: 1100-1109.
4. Arora VK, Prihar SS, Gajri PR. 1987. Synthesis of a simplified water use simulation model for predicting wheat yields. Water Resources Research 23: 903-910.
5. Ash GHB, Shaykewich CF, Raddatz RL. 2000. Agricultural climate of the eastern Canadian prairies. Manitoba Agriculture. http://www.gov.mb.ca/agriculture/climate/waa00s00.html [2003].
6. Baldwin CK, Lall U. 1999. Seasonality of streamflow: the upper Mississippi River. Water Resources Research 35: 1143-1154.
7. Baldwin MP, Gray LJ, Dunkerton TJ, Hamilton K, Haynes PH, Randel WJ, Holton JR, Alexander MJ, Hirota I, Horinouchi T, Jones DBA, Kinnersley JS, Marquardt C, Sato K, Takahashi M. 2001. The quasi-biennial oscillation. Reviews of Geophysics 39: 179-229.
8. Barry RG, Chorley RJ. 1987. Atmosphere, Weather, and Climate. Meuthuen: New York.
9. Bonsal BR, Lawford RG. 1999. Teleconnections between El Nino and La Nina events and summer extended dry spells on the Canadian prairies. International Journal of Climatology 19: 1445-1458.
10. Bonsai BR, Chakravarti AK, Lawford RG. 1993. Teleconnections between North Pacific SST anomalies and growing season extended dry spells on the Canadian prairies. International Journal of Climatology 13 865-878.
11. Bonsai BR, Zhang X, Hogg WD. 1999. Canadian prairie growing season precipitation variability and associated atmospheric circulation. Climate Research 11: 191-208.
12. Briffa KR, Bartholin TS, Eckstein D, Jones PD, Karlen W, Schweingruber H, Zetterberg P. 1990. A 1,400-year tree-ring record of summer temperatures in Fermoscandia. Nature 346: 434-439.
13. Cattell RB. 1966. The scree test for the number of factors. Multivariate Behavioral Research 1: 245-276.
14. Cerveny RS, Shaffer JA. 2001. The moon and El Nino. Geophysical Research Letters 28: 25-28.
15. Chakravarti AK. 1972. The June-July precipitation pattern in the prairie provinces of Canada. The Journal of Geography 71: 155-160.
16. Cook E, Meko DM, Stockton CW. 1997. A new assessment of possible solar and lunar forcing of the bidecadal drought rhythm in the western United States. Journal of Climate 10: 1343-1356.
17. Currie RG. 1993a. Deterministic signals in European fish catches, wine harvests, and sea-level, and further experiments. International Journal of Climatology 13: 665-687.
18. Currie RG. 1993b. Luni-solar 18.6- and 10-11-year solar cycle signals in South African rainfall. International Journal of Climatology 13 237-256.
19. Currie RG. 1993c. Luni-solar 18.6-year and solar-cycle 10-11-year signals in USA air-temperature records. International Journal of Climatology 13: 31-50.
20. c signals in Australian rainfall data. International Journal of Climatology 16: 1243-1265.
21. De Jong R, Sheilds JA. 1988. Available water-holding capacity maps of Alberta, Saskatchewan, and Manitoba. Canadian Journal of Soil Science 68: 157-163.
22. Dey B. 1977. Nature and possible causes of heavy summer precipitation in the Canadian prairies. Geographical Perspective 40: 26-33.
23. Dey B. 1982. Nature and possible causes of droughts on the Canadian prairies. Journal of Climatology 2: 233-249.
24. Diaz HF. 1983. Some aspects of major dry and wet periods in the contiguous United States, 1895-1981. Journal of Climate and Applied Meterology 22: 3-16.
25. Estrela MJ, Penarrocha D, Millán M. 2000. Multi-annual drought episodes in the Mediterranean (Valencia region) from 1950-1996. A spatio-temporal analysis. International Journal of Climatology 20: 1599-1618.
26. Garnett ER, Khandekar ML. 1992. The impact of large-scale atmospheric circulations and anomalies on Indian monsoon droughts and floods and on world grain yields - a statistical analysis. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 61: 113-128.
27. Garnett ER, Khandekar ML, Babb JC. 1998. On the utility of ENSO and PNA indices for long-lead forecasting of summer weather over the crop-growing region of the Canadian prairies. Theoretical and Applied Climatology 60: 37-45.
28. Guttman NB, Wallis JR, Hosking JRM. 1992. Spatial comparability of the Palmer drought severity index. Water Resources Bulletin 28: 1111-1119.
29. Herring D. 2000. Dry times in North America. Earth Observatory, NASA. http://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/Study/NAmerDrought/[2003].
30. Hsieh JD, Tang W, Garnett ER. 1999. Teleconnections between Pacific sea surface temperatures and Canadian prairie wheat yield. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 96: 209-217.
31. Hurrell JW. 1995. Decadal trends in the North Atlantic oscillation: regional temperatures and precipitation. Science 269: 676-679.
32. Kane RP. 2000. Trends, spectral characteristics, and rainfall relationships of low-latitude sea surface temperatures at different longitudes. Journal of Geophysical Research 105: 2071-2089.
33. Karl T. 1986. The sensitivity of the Palmer drought severity index and Palmer's Z-index to their calibration coefficients including potential evapotranspiration. Journal of Climate and Applied Meteorology 25: 77-86.
34. Karl TR. 1983. Some spatial characteristics of drought duration in the United States. Journal of Climate and Applied Meteorology 22 1356-1366.
35. Karl TR, Koscielny AL 1982. Drought in the United States: 1895-1981. Journal of Climatology 2: 313-329.
36. Kingman MR. 1978. Drought in the upper midwest, 1931-1969. Journal of Applied Meteorology 17: 1425-1431.
37. Laird KR, Fritz SC, Maasch KA, Cumming BF. 1996. Greater drought intensity and frequency before AD 1200 in the Northern Great Plains, USA. Nature 384: 552-554.
38. Lana X, Burgueno A. 1998. Spatial and temporal characteristics of annual extreme droughts in Catalonia (northeast Spain). International Journal of Climatology 18: 93-110.
39. Legates DR. 1991. An evaluation of procedures to estimate monthly precipitation probabilities. Journal of Hydrology 122: 129-140.
40. Longley RW. 1974. Spatial variation of precipitation over the Canadian prairies. Monthly Weather Review 102: 307-312.
41. Mann M, Park J. 1996. Joint spatiotemporal modes of surface temperature and sea level pressure variability in the Northern Hemisphere during the last century. Journal of Climate 9: 2137-2162.
42. Mason BJ. 1976. Towards the understanding and predicting of climatic variations. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society 102: 478-498.
43. Maybank J, Bonsai B, Jones K, Lawford R, O'Brien EG, Ripley EA, Wheaton E. 1995. Drought as a natural disaster. Atmosphere-Ocean 33: 195-222.
44. Min S, Kwon W, Park E, Choi Y. 2003. Spatial and temporal comparisons of droughts over Korea with East Asia. International Journal of Climatology 23: 223-233.
45. Nkemdirim L, Weber L. 1999. Comparison between the droughts of the 1930s and the 1980s in the southern Canadian prairies. Journal of Climate 12: 2434-2450.
46. Oladipo EO. 1986. Spatial patterns of drought in the interior plains of North America. Journal of Climatology 6: 495-513.
47. Oladipo EO. 1987. Power spectra and coherence of drought in the interior plains. Journal of Climatology 7: 477-491.
48. Padmanabhan G, Ramachandra Rao A. 1990. On the correlation between drought indices and solar activity. Theoretical and Applied Climatology 41: 55-61.
49. Phillips D. 2002. The top ten Canadian weather stories for 2001. CMOS Bulletin 30: 19-23.
50. Phillips D. 2003. The top ten weather stories for 2002. CMOS Bulletin 31: 35-40.
51. Palmer WC. 1965. Meteorological drought. Research Paper No. 45, US Weather Bureau, Washington, DC.
52. Quiring SM, Papakyriakou TN. 2003. An evaluation of agricultural drought indices for the Canadian prairies. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 118: 49-62.
53. Raddatz RL. 2000. Summer rainfall recycling for an agricultural region of the Canadian prairies. Canadian Journal of Soil Science 80: 367-373.
54. Rajagopalan B, Cook E, Lall U, Ray BK. 2000. Spatioternporal variability of ENSO and SST telecormections to summer drought over the United States during the twentieth century. Joumal of Climate 13: 4244-4255.
55. Richard Y, Fauchereau N, Poccard 1, Rouault M, Trzaska S. 2001. 20th century droughts in southern Africa: spatial and temporal variability, teleconnections with oceanic and atmospheric conditions. International Journal of Climatology 21: 873-885.
56. Richman MB, Lamb PJ. 1987. Pattern analysis of growing season precipitation in southern Canada. Atmosphere- Ocean 25: 137-158.
57. Sauchyn DJ, Skinner WR. 2001. A proxy record of drought severity for the southwestern Canadian plains. Canadian Water Resources Journal 26: 253-272.
58. Soule PT. 1990. A comparison of regional drought patterns in the contiguous United States using four measures of drought severity. Geographical Bulletin 32: 72-80.
59. Stable DW, Cook ER, Cleaveland MK, Therrell MD, Meko DM, Grissino-Mayer HD, Watson E, Luckman BH. 2000. Tree-ring data document 16th century megadrought over North America. EOS 81: 124-125.
60. ThejlI PA. 2001. Decadal power in land air temperatures: is it statistically significant? Journal of Geophysical Research 106: 31693-31702.
61. Trenberth KE, Guillemot CJ. 1996. Physical processes involved in the 1988 drought and 1993 floods in North America. Journal of Climate 9: 1288-1298.
62. Walsh J, Richman MB, Allen DW. 1982. Spatial coherence of monthly precipitation in the United States. Monthly Weather Review 110: 272-286.
63. Weber L, Nkerndirim L. 1998. Palmer's drought indices revisited. Geografiska Annaler A 80: 153-172.
64. Woodhouse CA, Overpeck JT. 1998. 2000 years of drought variability in the central United States. Bulletin olf the American Meteorological Society 79: 2693-2714.