메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 90, Issue 1, 2005, Pages 167-174

Causal attribution and hindsight bias for economic developments

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

ADULT; ARTICLE; ATTITUDE; COMMERCIAL PHENOMENA; ECONOMICS; FEMALE; FORECASTING; HUMAN; KNOWLEDGE; MALE; PERCEPTION; RANDOMIZATION;

EID: 12944258615     PISSN: 00219010     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1037/0021-9010.90.1.167     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (11)

References (40)
  • 1
    • 21844514188 scopus 로고
    • The hindsight bias: The role of the availability heuristic and perceived risk
    • Agans, R. P., & Shaffer, L. S. (1994). The hindsight bias: The role of the availability heuristic and perceived risk. Basic and Applied Social Psychology, 15, 439-449.
    • (1994) Basic and Applied Social Psychology , vol.15 , pp. 439-449
    • Agans, R.P.1    Shaffer, L.S.2
  • 4
    • 0001865571 scopus 로고
    • Self-serving biases in the attribution process: A reexamination of the fact or fiction question
    • Bradley, G. W. (1978). Self-serving biases in the attribution process: A reexamination of the fact or fiction question. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 36, 56-71.
    • (1978) Journal of Personality and Social Psychology , vol.36 , pp. 56-71
    • Bradley, G.W.1
  • 5
    • 0031481456 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Hindsight bias in reaction to the verdict in the O. J. Simpson criminal trial
    • Bryant, F. B., & Brockway, J. H. (1997). Hindsight bias in reaction to the verdict in the O. J. Simpson criminal trial. Basic and Applied Social Psychology, 19, 225-241.
    • (1997) Basic and Applied Social Psychology , vol.19 , pp. 225-241
    • Bryant, F.B.1    Brockway, J.H.2
  • 6
    • 84985279235 scopus 로고
    • Motivational interpretations of hindsight bias: An individual difference analysis
    • Campbell, J. D., & Tesser, A. (1983). Motivational interpretations of hindsight bias: An individual difference analysis. Journal of Personality, 51, 605-620.
    • (1983) Journal of Personality , vol.51 , pp. 605-620
    • Campbell, J.D.1    Tesser, A.2
  • 7
    • 0033245629 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Cognitive reconstruction, hindsight, and reactions to victims and perpetrators
    • Carli, L. L. (1999). Cognitive reconstruction, hindsight, and reactions to victims and perpetrators. Personality and Social Psychology Bulletin, 25, 966-979.
    • (1999) Personality and Social Psychology Bulletin , vol.25 , pp. 966-979
    • Carli, L.L.1
  • 8
    • 0000412860 scopus 로고
    • Does consumer sentiment forecast household spending? if so, why?
    • Carroll, C. D., Fuhrer, J. C., & Wilcox, D. W. (1994). Does consumer sentiment forecast household spending? If so, why? American Economic Review, 84, 1397-1408.
    • (1994) American Economic Review , vol.84 , pp. 1397-1408
    • Carroll, C.D.1    Fuhrer, J.C.2    Wilcox, D.W.3
  • 13
    • 0032363203 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Decomposing the hindsight bias: A multinomial processing tree model for separating recollection and reconstruction in hindsight
    • Erdfelder, E., & Buchner, A. (1998). Decomposing the hindsight bias: A multinomial processing tree model for separating recollection and reconstruction in hindsight. Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, and Cognition, 24, 387-413.
    • (1998) Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, and Cognition , vol.24 , pp. 387-413
    • Erdfelder, E.1    Buchner, A.2
  • 14
    • 12944310758 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Brussels, Belgium: European Commission
    • European Commission. (2001). Eurobarometer 56. Brussels, Belgium: European Commission.
    • (2001) Eurobarometer , vol.56
    • Commission, E.1
  • 15
    • 12944289125 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Brussels, Belgium: European Commission
    • European Commission. (2002). Eurobarometer 57. Brussels, Belgium: European Commission.
    • (2002) Eurobarometer , vol.57
    • Commission, E.1
  • 17
    • 3142686505 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Planung von Untersuchungen zur Prüfung von Wirksamkeits- Und Wirksamkeitsunterschiedshypothesen
    • W. Hager, J.-L. Patry, & H. Brezing (Eds.). Bern, Switzerland: Hans Huber
    • Hager, W. (2000). Planung von Untersuchungen zur Prüfung von Wirksamkeits- und Wirksamkeitsunterschiedshypothesen [Design of studies to test hypotheses on effectiveness and hypotheses on differences in effectiveness]. In W. Hager, J.-L. Patry, & H. Brezing (Eds.), Evaluation psychologischer Interventionsmassnahmen (pp. 202-239). Bern, Switzerland: Hans Huber.
    • (2000) Evaluation Psychologischer Interventionsmassnahmen , pp. 202-239
    • Hager, W.1
  • 18
    • 11944269217 scopus 로고
    • Hindsight: Biased judgments of past events after the outcomes are known
    • Hawkins, S. A., & Hastie, R. (1990). Hindsight: Biased judgments of past events after the outcomes are known. Psychological Bulletin, 107, 311-327.
    • (1990) Psychological Bulletin , vol.107 , pp. 311-327
    • Hawkins, S.A.1    Hastie, R.2
  • 19
    • 0024115061 scopus 로고
    • Hindsight bias: An interaction of automatic and motivational factors?
    • Hell, W., Gigerenzer, G., Gauggel, S., Mall, M., & Mueller, M. (1988). Hindsight bias: An interaction of automatic and motivational factors? Memory & Cognition, 16, 533-538.
    • (1988) Memory & Cognition , vol.16 , pp. 533-538
    • Hell, W.1    Gigerenzer, G.2    Gauggel, S.3    Mall, M.4    Mueller, M.5
  • 22
    • 0036626069 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Hindsight bias in economic expectations: I knew all along what I want to hear
    • Hölzl, E., Kirchler, E., & Rodler, C. (2002). Hindsight bias in economic expectations: I knew all along what I want to hear. Journal of Applied Psychology, 87, 437-443.
    • (2002) Journal of Applied Psychology , vol.87 , pp. 437-443
    • Hölzl, E.1    Kirchler, E.2    Rodler, C.3
  • 23
    • 0035622020 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The predictive power of the Index of Consumer Sentiment
    • Howrey, E. P. (2001). The predictive power of the Index of Consumer Sentiment. Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 1, 175-207.
    • (2001) Brookings Papers on Economic Activity , vol.1 , pp. 175-207
    • Howrey, E.P.1
  • 24
    • 0025520005 scopus 로고
    • The case for motivated reasoning
    • Kunda, Z. (1990). The case for motivated reasoning. Psychological Bulletin, 108, 480-498.
    • (1990) Psychological Bulletin , vol.108 , pp. 480-498
    • Kunda, Z.1
  • 26
    • 0033241293 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Decision makers' hindsight bias after receiving favorable and unfavorable feedback
    • Louie, T. A. (1999). Decision makers' hindsight bias after receiving favorable and unfavorable feedback. Journal of Applied Psychology, 84, 29-41.
    • (1999) Journal of Applied Psychology , vol.84 , pp. 29-41
    • Louie, T.A.1
  • 27
    • 0034164673 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • "I knew we would win": Hindsight bias for favorable and unfavorable team decision outcomes
    • Louie, T. A., Curren, M. T., & Harich, K. R. (2000). "I knew we would win": Hindsight bias for favorable and unfavorable team decision outcomes. Journal of Applied Psychology, 85, 264-272.
    • (2000) Journal of Applied Psychology , vol.85 , pp. 264-272
    • Louie, T.A.1    Curren, M.T.2    Harich, K.R.3
  • 28
    • 0012203865 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Social representations of the euro in Austria
    • Meier, K., & Kirchler, E. (1998). Social representations of the euro in Austria. Journal of Economic Psychology, 19, 755-774.
    • (1998) Journal of Economic Psychology , vol.19 , pp. 755-774
    • Meier, K.1    Kirchler, E.2
  • 33
    • 0001300227 scopus 로고
    • A test of the knew-it-all-along effect in the 1984 presidential and statewide elections
    • Powell, J. L. (1988). A test of the knew-it-all-along effect in the 1984 presidential and statewide elections. Journal of Applied Social Psychology, 18, 760-773.
    • (1988) Journal of Applied Social Psychology , vol.18 , pp. 760-773
    • Powell, J.L.1
  • 34
    • 16144366429 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Counterfactuals, causal attributions, and the hindsight bias: A conceptual integration
    • Roese, N. J., & Olson, J. M. (1996). Counterfactuals, causal attributions, and the hindsight bias: A conceptual integration. Journal of Experimental Social Psychology, 32, 197-227.
    • (1996) Journal of Experimental Social Psychology , vol.32 , pp. 197-227
    • Roese, N.J.1    Olson, J.M.2
  • 35
    • 0038276988 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Debiasing the hindsight bias: The role of accessibility experiences and (mis)attributions
    • Sanna, L. J., & Schwarz, N. (2003). Debiasing the hindsight bias: The role of accessibility experiences and (mis)attributions. Journal of Experimental Social Psychology, 39, 287-295.
    • (2003) Journal of Experimental Social Psychology , vol.39 , pp. 287-295
    • Sanna, L.J.1    Schwarz, N.2
  • 37
    • 0001798648 scopus 로고
    • Der knew-it-all-along-effekt in urteilssituationen von hoher und geringer selbstwertrelevanz
    • Stahlberg, D., Eller, F., Romahn, A., & Frey, D. (1993). Der knew-it-all-along-effekt in urteilssituationen von hoher und geringer selbstwertrelevanz [The knew-it-all-along effect in judgmental settings of high and low self-esteem]. Zeitschrift für Sozialpsychologie, 24, 94-102.
    • (1993) Zeitschrift für Sozialpsychologie , vol.24 , pp. 94-102
    • Stahlberg, D.1    Eller, F.2    Romahn, A.3    Frey, D.4
  • 38
    • 0026196763 scopus 로고
    • Asymmetrical effects of positive and negative events: The mobilization-minimization hypothesis
    • Taylor, S. E. (1991). Asymmetrical effects of positive and negative events: The mobilization-minimization hypothesis. Psychological Bulletin, 110, 67-85.
    • (1991) Psychological Bulletin , vol.110 , pp. 67-85
    • Taylor, S.E.1
  • 39
    • 0016264378 scopus 로고
    • Judgment under uncertainty: Heuristics and biases
    • September 27
    • Tversky, A., & Kahneman, D. (1974, September 27). Judgment under uncertainty: Heuristics and biases. Science, 185, 1124-1131.
    • (1974) Science , vol.185 , pp. 1124-1131
    • Tversky, A.1    Kahneman, D.2


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.