A mechanism of interdecadal variability of tropical cyclone activity over the western North Pacific

Climate Dynamics

Volumn 21, Issue 2, 2003, Pages 105-117

  Matsuura, T ^a   Yumoto, M ^a   Iizuka, S ^a  

^a National Research Institute for Earth Science and Disaster Prevention   (Japan)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

DECADAL VARIATION; MARINE ATMOSPHERE; SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE; TROPICAL CYCLONE;

PACIFIC OCEAN;

EID: 0141576827     PISSN: 09307575     EISSN: 14320894     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-003-0327-3     Document Type: Article

References (51)

1. Arakawa A, Shubert WH (1974) Interaction of a cumulus cloud ensemble with the long-scale environment, Part I. J Atmos Sci 31: 674-701
2. Bengtsson L, Botzet M, Esch M (1996) Will greenhouse gas-induced warming over the next 50 years lead to higher frequency and greater intensity of hurricanes? Tellus 48A: 57-73
3. Broccoli AJ, Manabe S (1990) Can existing climate models be used to study anthropogenic changes in tropical cyclone climate? Geophys Res Lett 17: 1917-1920
4. Chan JCL, Shi J (1996) Long-term trends and interannual variability in tropical cyclone activity over the western North Pacific. Geophys Res Lett 23: 2765-2767
5. Chu PS (2002) Larege-scale circulation features associated with decadal variations of tropical cyclone activity over the central North Pacific. J Clim 15: 2678-2689
6. Chu PS, Clark JD (1999) Decadal variations of tropical cyclone activity over the central North Pacific. Bull Am Meteorol Soc 80: 1875-1881
7. Clark JD, Chu PS (2002) Interannual variation of tropical cyclone activity over the Central North Pacific. J Meteorol Soc Japan 80: 403-418
8. Dukowicz JK, Smith RD (1994) Implicit free-surface method for the Bryan-Cox-Semtner ocean model. J Geophys Res 99: 7991-8014
9. Elsner JB, Jagger T, Niu XF (2000) Changes in the rates of North Atlantic major hurricane activity during the 20th century. Geophys Res Lett 27: 1743-1746
10. Goldenberg SB, Landsea CB, Mestas-Nunez AM, Gray WM (2001) The recent increase in Atlantic hurricane activity: causes and implications. Science 293: 474-479
11. Gray WM (1968) Global view of the origin of tropical disturbances and storms. Mon Weather Rev 96: 669-700
12. Gray WM (1979) Hurricanes: their formation, structure and likely role in the tropical circulation. In: Shaw DB (ed) Meteorology over the tropical oceans. Royal Meteorol Society, pp 155-218
13. Iwasaki T, Yamada S, Tada K (1989) A parametrization scheme at orographic gravity wave drag with the different vertical partitionings. Part I: impact on medium range forecasts. J Meteorol Soc Japan 67: 11-27
14. JMA (1993) Appendix to progress report on numerical weather prediction. JMA: 128
15. Kalnay E, Kanamitu M, Kistler R, Collins W, Woollen DJ, Zhu M, Chelliah M, Ebisuzaki W, Higgins W, Janowiak J, Mo KC, Ropelewski C, Wang J, Leetmaa A, Reynolds R, Jenne R, Joseph D (1996) The NCEP/NCAR 40-year reanalysis project. Bull Am Meteorol Soc 77: 437-471
16. Kar SC, Sugi M, Sato N (1996) Simulation of Indian summer monsoon and its variability using JMA global model. Meteorol Res Inst Pap 47: 65-101
17. Katayama A (1972) A simplified scheme for computing radiative transfer in the troposphere. Tech Rep 6 UCLA
18. Kleeman R, McCreary JP, Klinger BA (1999) A mechanism for generating ENSO decadal variability. Geophys Res Lett 26: 1743-1746
19. Knutson TR, Manabe S (1998) Model assessment of decadal variability and trends in the Tropical Pacific Ocean. J Clim 11: 2273-2296
20. Kuo HL (1974) Further studies of the influence of cumulus convection on large scale flow. J Atmos Sci 31: 1232-1240
21. Latif M (1998) Dynamics of interdecadal variability in coupled ocean-atmosphere models. J Clim 11: 602-624
22. Lacis AA, Hansen JE (1974) A parametrization for the abosrption of solar radiation in the earth's atmosphere. J Atmos Sci 31: 118-133
23. Levitus S (1982) Climatological atlas of the world ocean. NOAA Prof Pap 13: 178 pp, US Government Printing Office Washington DC, USA
24. Lighthill J, Holland G, Gray W, Landsea C, Graig G, Evans J, Kurihara Y, Guard G (1994) Global climate change and tropical cyclones. Bull Am Meteorol Soc 75: 2147-2157
25. Louis J, Tiedtke M, Geleyn JF (1982) A short history of PBL parametrization at ECMWF. Workshop on planetary boundary layer parametrization, ECMWF: 59-80
26. Matsuura T, Yumoto M, Iizuka S, Kawamura R (1999) Typhoon and ENSO simulation using a high-resolution coupled GCM. Geophys Res Lett 26: 1755-1758
27. Marotzke J (1991) Influence of convective adjustment on the stability of the thermocline circulation. J Phys Oceanogr 21: 903-907
28. Mechoso CR, Robertson AW, Barth N, Davey MK, Deleculuse P, Gent PR, Ineson S, Kirtman B, Latif M, LeTreut H, Nagai T, Neelin JD, Philander SGH, Polcher J, Schopf PS, Stochdale T, Suarez MJ, Terray L, Thual O, Tribbia JJ (1995) The seasonal cycle over the tropical Pacific in general circulation models. Mon Weather Rev 123: 2825-2838
29. Mellor GL, Yamada T (1974) A hierarchy of turbulence closure models for planetary boundary layers. J Atmos Sci 31: 1791-1806
30. Pacanowski RC (1996) Documentation user's guide and reference manual (MOM2). GFDL Ocean Tech Rep 3.2: 329
31. Pacanowski RC, Philander SGH (1981) Parameterization of vertical mixing in numerical models
32. Paulson EA, Simpson JJ (1977) Irradiance measurements in the upper ocean. J Phys Oceanogr 8: 1572-1583
33. Ramage CS (1974) Monsoonal influences on the annual variation of tropical cyclone development over the Indian and Pacific Oceans. Mon Weather Rev 102: 745-753
34. Raper SC (1993) Climate and sea level change: observations, projections and implications. In: Warick RA, Barrow EM, Wigley TML (eds) Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, pp 192-212
35. Regional Specialized Meteorological Center Tokyo-Typhoon Center (1992) Tropical cyclone tracks in the western North Pacific 1951-1990. Japan Meteorol Agency: 192
36. Reynolds RW, Smith TM (1995) A high resolution global sea surface temperature climatology. J Clim 7: 929-948
37. Ritchie A, Holland GJ (1999) Large-scale patterns associated with tropical cyclogenesis in the western Pacific. Mon Weather Rev 127: 2027-2043
38. Saito K, Baba A (1988) A statistical relation between relative humidity and the GMS observed cloud amount. J Meteorol Soc Japan 66: 187-192
39. Sato N, Sellers PJ, Randall DA, Schneider EK, Shukla J, Kinter JL, Hou YT, Albertazzi E (1989) Effects of inplementing the simple biosphere model in a general circulation model. J Atmos Sci 46: 2757-2782
40. Sellers PJ, Mintz Y, Sud YC, Dalcher A (1986) A simple biosphere model (SiB) for use within general circulation moels. J Atmos Sci 43: 505-531
41. Sugi M, Kuma K, Tada K, Tamiya K, Hasegawa N, Iwasaki T, Yamada S, Kitade T (1990) Description and performance of the JMA operational global spectral model (JMA-GSM88). Geophys Mag 43: 105-130
42. Sugi M, Kawamura R, Sato N (1995a) The climate simulated by the JMA global model. Part I: global feature. Report of National Research institute 54: 155-180
43. Sugi M, Nair RD, Sato N (1995b) The climate simulated by the JMA global model. Part II: tropical precipitation. Report of National Research institute 54: 181-197
44. Sugi M, Noda A, Sato N (2002) Influence of global warming on tropical cyclone climatology-an experiment with the JMA global model. J Meteorol Soc Japan 80: 249-272
45. Tiedtke M (1985) The sensitivity of the time-mean large scale flow to cumulus convection in ECMWF model. Workshop on convection in large scale numerical models. ECMWF: 297-316
46. Tukey JW (1977) Exploratory data analysis. Addison-Wesley Reading, Massachusetts, pp 688
47. Xie P, Arkin PA (1996) Analyses of global monthly precipitation using gauge observations, satellite estimates and numerical model predictions. J Clim 9: 840-858
48. Xie SP (1996) Westward propagation of latitudinal asymmetry in a coupled ocean-atmosphere model. J Atmos Sci 53: 3236-3250
49. Xie SP, Philander SGH (1994) A coupled ocean-atmosphere model of relevance to the ITCZ in the eastern. Tellus 46A: 340-350
50. Yukimoto S, Endo M, Kitamura Y, Kitoh A, Motoi T, Noda A (2000) ENSO-like interdecadal variability in the Pacific Ocean as simulated in a coupled general circulation model. J Geophys Res 105: 13,945-13,963
51. Yumoto M, Matsuura T (2001) Interdecadal variability of tropical cyclone activity in the western North Pacific. J Meteorol Soc Japan 79: 23-35