Intra- to multidecadal climate variability over the continental United States: 1932-99

Journal of Climate

Volumn 16, Issue 13, 2003, Pages 2215-2231

  Mauget, Steven A ^a  

^a US Dept Agric Agric Res Serv   (United States)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

COOLING; DATA REDUCTION; DROUGHT; RAIN;

SURFACE TEMPERATURE;

CLIMATOLOGY;

CLIMATE VARIATION; DECADAL VARIATION; PRECIPITATION (CLIMATOLOGY); STATISTICAL ANALYSIS; TEMPERATURE;

UNITED STATES;

EID: 0041566923     PISSN: 08948755     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1175/2751.1     Document Type: Article

References (75)

1. Akaike, H., 1974: A new look at the statistical model identification. IEEE Trans. Autom. Control. AC-19, 716-723.
2. Barlow, M., S. Nigam, and E. H. Berbery, 2001: ENSO, Pacific decadal variability, and U.S. summertime precipitation, drought, and streamflow. J. Climate, 14, 2105-2128.
3. Charney, J. G., W. J. Quirk, S. Chow, and J. Kornfield, 1977: A comparative study of the effects of albedo change on drought in semi-arid regions. J. Atmos. Sci., 34, 1366-1385.
4. Dirmeyer, P. A., 1994: Vegetation stress as a feedback mechanism in midlatitude drought. J. Climate, 7, 1463-1483.
5. Gershunov, A., and T. P. Barnett, 1998: Interdecadal modulation of ENSO teleconnections. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 79, 2715-2725.
6. Gershunov, A., T. Barnett, and D. Cayan, 1999: North Pacific interdecadal oscillation seen as factor in ENSO-related North American climate anomalies. Eos. Trans. Amer. Geophys. Union, 80, 25.
7. Glantz, M. H., 1994: Drought Follows the Plow. Cambridge University Press, 175 pp.
8. 2 climate experiment. J. Climate, 10, 662-686.
9. Groisman, P. Y., and D. R. Easterling, 1994: Variability and trends of total precipitation and snowfall over the United States and Canada. J. Climate, 7, 184-205.
10. Groisman, P. Y., and D. R. Legates, 1994: The accuracy of United States precipitation data. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 75, 215-227.
11. Groisman, P. Y., R. W. Knight, and T. R. Karl, 2001: Heavy precipitation and high streamflow in the contiguous United States: Trends in the twentieth century. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 82, 219-246.
12. Guttman, N. B., and R. G. Quayle, 1996: A historical perspective of U.S. climate divisions. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 77, 293-303.
13. Halpert, M. S., and C. F. Ropelewski, 1992: Surface temperature patterns associated with the Southern Oscillation. J. Climate, 5, 577-593.
14. Hollander, M., and D. A. Wolfe, 1999: Nonparametric Statistical Methods. 2d ed. Wiley and Sons, 787 pp.
15. Hu, Q., C. M. Woodruff, and S. E. Mudrick, 1998: Interdecadal variations of annual precipitation in the central United States. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 79, 221-229.
16. Hurrell, J. W., 1995: Decadal trends in the North Atlantic Oscillation and relationships to regional temperature and precipitation. Science, 269, 676-679.
17. Jones, P. D., cited 2001: Gridded hemispheric and global temperature averages. [Available online at http://www.cru.uea.ac.uk/ cru/data/temperature.]
18. Kaplan, A., M. Cane, Y. Kushnir, A. Clement, M. Blumenthal, and B. Rajagopalan, 1998: Analyses of global sea surface temperature 1856-1991. J. Geophys. Res, 103, 18 567-18 589.
19. Karl, T. R., and P. D. Jones, 1989: Urban bias in area-averaged surface temperature trends. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 70, 265-270.
20. Karl, T. R., and R. W. Knight, 1998: Secular trends of precipitation amount, frequency, and intensity in the USA. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 79, 231-241.
21. Karl, T. R., L. Metcalf, M. L. Nicodemus, and R. Quayle, 1983: Statewide average climatic history. Historical Climatology Series 6-1, National Climate Data Center. 35 pp.
22. Karl, T. R., C. N. Williams Jr., P. J. Young, and W. Wendland, 1986: A model to estimate the time of observation bias associated with monthly mean maximum, minimum and mean temperatures for the United States. J. Climate Appl. Meteor., 25, 145-160.
23. Karl, T. R., and Coauthors, 1993: A new perspective on recent global warming: Asymmetric trends in daily maximum and minimum temperature. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 74, 1007-1023.
24. Karl, T. R., R. W. Knight, and N. Plummer, 1995: Trends in high frequency climate variability during the 20th century. Nature, 377, 217-220.
25. Karl, T. R., R. W. Knight, D. R. Easterling, and R. G. Quayle, 1996: Indices of climate change for the United States. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 77, 279-292.
26. Kiladis, G. N., and H. F. Diaz, 1989: Global climatic anomalies associated with extremes in the Southern Oscillation. J. Climate, 2, 1069-1090.
27. Kunkel, K. E., K. Andsager, and D. R. Easterling, 1999: Long-term trends in extreme precipitation events over the conterminous United States and Canada. J. Climate, 12, 2515-2527.
28. Langbein, W. B., and J. R. Slack, 1982: Yearly variations in runoff and frequency of dry years for the conterminous United States. U.S. Geological Survey Open File Rep, 82-751, 85 pp.
29. Lau, K. M., and H. Weng, 1995: Climate signal detection using wavelet transform: How to make a time series sing. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 76, 2391-2402.
30. Legates, D. R., 1995: Precipitation measurement biases and climate change detection. Preprints, Sixth Symp, on Global Change Studies, Dallas, TX, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 168-173.
31. Lettenmaier, D. P., E. F. Wood, and J. R. Wallis, 1994: Hydro-climatological trends in the continental United States. 1948-88. J. Climate, 7, 586-607.
32. Lins, H. F., and J. R. Slack, 1999: Streamflow trends in the United States. Geophys. Res. Lett., 26, 227-230.
33. Livezey, R. E., M. Masutani, A. Leetma, H. Rui, M. Ji, and A. Kumar, 1997: Teleconnective response of the Pacific-North American region to large central equatorial Pacific SST anomalies. J. Climate, 10, 1787-1820.
34. Lockeretz, W., 1978: The lessons of the dust bowl. Amer. Sci., 66, 560-569.
35. Manabe, S., and R. T. Wetherald, 1987: Large-scale changes of soil wetness induced by an increase in atmospheric carbon dioxide. J. Atmos. Sci., 44, 1211-1235.
36. Mann, H. B., and D. R. Whitney, 1947: On a test of whether one of two random variables is stochastically larger than the other. Ann. Math. Stat., 18, 50-60.
37. Mantua, N. J., S. R. Hare, Y. Zhang, J. M. Wallace, and R. C. Francis, 1997: A Pacific interdecadal climate oscillation with impacts on salmon production. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 78, 1069-1079.
38. Mauget, S. A., and D. R. Upchurch, 1999: El Niño and La Niña related climate and agricultural impacts over the Great Plains and Midwest. J. Prod. Agric., 12, 203-214.
39. Mendenhall, W., D. D. Wackerly, and R. L. Sheaffer, 1990: Mathematical Statistics with Applications. 4th ed. PWS-Kent, 788 pp.
40. Mote, T., 1996: Influence of ENSO on maximum, minimum, and mean temperatures in the southeast United States. Phys. Geogr., 17, 497-512.
41. Namias, J., 1966: Nature and possible causes of the northeastern United States drought during 1962-1965. Mon. Wea. Rev., 94, 543-554.
42. Namias, J., 1982: Anatomy of Great Plains protracted heat waves (especially the 1980 U.S. summer drought). Mon. Wea. Rev., 110, 824-838.
43. Namias, J., 1989: Cold waters and hot summers. Nature, 338, 15-16.
44. Namias, J., 1991: Spring and summer drought over the contiguous U.S.-Causes and prediction. J. Climate, 4, 54-65.
45. Namias, J., X. Yuan, and D. R. Cayan, 1988: Persistence of North Pacific sea surface temperature and atmospheric flow patterns. J. Climate, 1, 682-703.
46. National Academy of Sciences, 1975: Understanding Climatic Change: A Program for Action. National Academy of Sciences, 239 pp.
47. National Research Council, 2002: Abrupt Climate Change: Inevitable Surprises. National Academy Press, 244 pp.
48. Oglesby, R. J., and D. J. Erickson, 1989: Soil moisture and the persistence of North American drought. J. Climate, 2, 1362-1380.
49. Palmer, T. N., and C. Brankoviê, 1989: The 1988 U.S. drought linked to anomalous sea surface temperature. Nature, 338, 54-57.
50. Parker, D. E., P. D. Jones, C. K. Folland, and A. Bevan, 1994: Interdecadal changes of surface temperature since the late 19th century. J. Geophys. Res., 99, 14 373-14 399.
51. Ponte, L., 1976: The Cooling. Prentice-Hall, 268 pp.
52. Puckett, W. E., J. H. Dane, and B. F. Hajek, 1985: Physical and mineralogical data to determine soil hydraulic properties. Soil Sci. Soc. Amer. J., 49, 831-836.
53. Quayle, R. G., D. R. Easterling, T. R. Karl, and P. J. Hughes, 1991: Effects of recent thermometer changes in the cooperative station network. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 72, 1718-1723.
54. Rind, D., 1982: The influence of ground moisture conditions in North America on summer climate as modeled in the GISS GCM. Mon. Wea. Rev., 110, 1487-1493.
55. Rind, D., R. Goldberg, J. Hansen, C. Rosenzweig, and R. Ruedy, 1990: Potential evaporation and the likelihood of future drought. J. Geophys. Res., 95 (D7), 9983-10 004.
56. Rogers, J., 1990: Patterns of low-frequency monthly sea level pressure variability (1899-1986) and associated wave cyclone frequencies. J. Climate, 3, 1364-1379.
57. Ropelewski, C. F., and M. S. Halpert, 1989: Precipitation patterns associated with the high index phase of the Southern Oscillation. J. Climate, 2, 268-283.
58. Rosenzweig, C., and D. Hillel, 1993: The Dust Bowl of the 1930's: Analog of greenhouse effect in the Great Plains? J. Environ. Qual., 22, 9-22.
59. Schaal, L. A., and R. F. Dale, 1977: Time of observation temperature bias and "climate change." J. Appl. Meteor., 16, 215-222.
60. Shabbar, A., and M. Khandekar, 1996: The impact of El Niño-Southern Oscillation on the temperature field over Canada. Atmos.-Ocean, 34, 401-416.
61. Shukla, J., and Y. Mintz, 1982: Influence of land-surface evapotranspiration on the Earth's climate. Science, 215, 1498-1500.
62. Stephenson, D. B., cited 1999: The North Atlantic Oscillation thematic website. [Available online at http://www.met.rdg.ac.uk/ cag/NAO/.]
63. Tannehill, I. R., 1947: Drought, Its Causes and Effects. Princeton University Press, 264 pp.
64. Thiebaux, H. J., and F. W. Zwiers, 1984: The interpretation and estimation of effective sample size. J. Climate Appl. Meteor., 23, 800-811.
65. Trenberth, K. E., 1990: Recent observed climate changes in the Northern Hemisphere. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 71, 988-993.
66. Trenberth, K. E., and G. W. Branstator, 1992: Issues in establishing causes of the 1988 drought over North America. J. Climate, 5, 159-172.
67. Trenberth, K. E., and J. W. Hurrell, 1994: Decadal atmosphere-ocean variations in the Pacific. Climate Dyn., 9, 303-319.
68. Trenberth, K. E., G. W. Branstator, and P. A. Arkin, 1988: Origins of the 1988 North American Drought. Science. 242, 1640-1645.
69. Wessel, P., and W. H. F. Smith, 1995: New version of the Generic Mapping Tools released. Eos. Trans. Amer. Geophys. Union, 76, 329.
70. Wilcoxon, F., 1945: Individual comparisons by ranking methods. Biometrics Bull., 1, 80-83.
71. Wilks, D. S., 1995: Statistical Methods in the Atmospheric Sciences. Academic Press, 464 pp.
72. Wolfson, N., R. Atlas, and Y. C. Sud, 1987: Numerical experiments related to the summer 1980 heat wave. Mon. Wea. Rev., 115, 1345-1357.
73. Woodhouse, C. A., and J. T. Overpeck, 1998: 2000 years of drought variability over the central United States. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 79, 1145-1162.
74. Worster, D., 1979: The Dust Bowl: The Southern Plains in the 1930's. Oxford University Press, 277 pp.
75. Zhang, Y., J. M. Wallace, and D. S. Battisti, 1997: ENSO-like interdecadal variability: 1900-93. J. Climate, 10, 1004-1020.