Improved skill for the anomaly correlation of geopotential heights at 500 hPa

Monthly Weather Review

Volumn 131, Issue 6, 2003, Pages 1082-1102

  Krishnamurti, T N ^a   Rajendran, K ^a   Vijaya Kumar, T S V ^a   Lord, Stephen ^b   Toth, Zoltan ^b   Zou, Xiaolei ^a   Cocke, Steven ^a   Ahlquist, Jon E ^a   Navon, I Michael ^a  

^a FLORIDA STATE UNIVERSITY   (United States)

^b CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER   (United States)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

CLIMATOLOGY; MATHEMATICAL MODELS; POISSON EQUATION;

GEOPOTENTIAL FIELDS;

WEATHER FORECASTING;

ANOMALY; ENSEMBLE FORECASTING; GEOPOTENTIAL; WEATHER FORECASTING;

EID: 0038508750     PISSN: 00270644     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1175/1520-0493(2003)131<1082:ISFTAC>2.0.CO;2     Document Type: Article

References (16)

1. Brankovic, C., T. N. Palmer, F. Molteni, S. Tibaldi, and U. Cubasch, 1990: Extended-range predictions with ECMWF models-Timelagged ensemble forecasting. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 116, 867-912.
2. Brown, J. A., 1987: Operational numerical weather prediction. Rev. Geophys., 25, 312-322.
3. Heckley, W. A., 1985: Systematic errors of the ECMWF operational forecasting model in tropical regions. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 111, 709-738.
4. Kalnay, E., R. Petersen, M. Kanamitsu, and W. E. Baker, 1991: United States operational numerical weather prediction. Rev. Geophys., 29, 104-114.
5. Kalnay, E. and Coauthors, 1996: The NCEP/NCAR 40-Year Reanalysis Project. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 77, 437-471.
6. Kalnay, E., S. J. Lord, and R. D. McPherson, 1998: Maturity of operational numerical weather prediction: Medium range. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 79, 2753-2892.
7. Kanamitsu, M., 1985: A study of the predictability of the ECMWF Operational Forecast Model in the tropics. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 63, 779-804.
8. Krishnamurti, T. N., J. Xue, H. S. Bedi, and D. Oosterhof, 1991: Physical initialization for numerical weather prediction over the Tropics. Tellus, 43A-B, 51-81.
9. Krishnamurti, T. N., C. M. Kishtawal, T. LaRow, D. Bachiochi, Z. Zhang, C. E. Williford, S. Gadgil, and S. Surendran, 1999: Improved skills for weather and seasonal climate forecasts from multimodel superensemble. Science, 285, 1548-1550.
10. Krishnamurti, T. N., C. M. Kishtawal, T. LaRow, D. Bachiochi, Z. Zhang, C. E. Williford, S. Gadgil, and S. Surendran, 2000a: Improving tropical precipitation forecasts from a multianalysis superensemble. J. Climate, 13, 4217-4227.
11. Krishnamurti, T. N., C. M., Krishtawal, D. W. Shin, and C. E. Williford, 2000b: Multimodel superensemble forecasts for weather and seasonal climate. J. Climate, 13, 4196-4216.
12. Krishnamurti, C. M., and Coauthors, 2001: Real time multianalysis/multimodel superensemble forecasts of precipitation using TRMM and SSM/I products. Mon. Wea. Rev., 129, 2861-2883.
13. Lorenz, E. N., 1963: Deterministic non-periodic flow. J. Atmos. Sci., 20, 130-141.
14. Nieminen, R., 1983: Operational verification of ECMWF forecast fields and results for 1980-1981. ECMWF Tech. Rep. 36, 40 pp. [Available from European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2 9AX, United Kingdom.]
15. Stefanova, L., and T. N. Krishnamurti, 2002: Interpretation of seasonal climate forecast using Brier skill score, FSU superensemble, and the AMIP-1 dataset. J. Climate, 15, 537-544.
16. Sumi, A., and M. Kanamitsu, 1984: A study of systematic-errors in a numerical weather prediction model. I. General aspects of the systematic errors and their relation with the transient eddies. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 62, 234-251.