메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 28, Issue 2, 2000, Pages 251-269

Break out the mint juleps? Is New Hampshire the "primary" culprit limiting presidential nomination forecasts?

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords


EID: 0037755943     PISSN: 1532673X     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1177/1532673X00028002006     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (27)

References (29)
  • 1
    • 84976115121 scopus 로고
    • An improved model for predicting presidential outcomes
    • Abramowitz, A. (1988). An improved model for predicting presidential outcomes. PS: Political Science and Politics, 21, 843-847.
    • (1988) PS: Political Science and Politics , vol.21 , pp. 843-847
    • Abramowitz, A.1
  • 2
    • 0001309156 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Bill and Al's excellent adventure: Forecasting the 1996 Presidential election
    • Abramowitz, A. (1996). Bill and Al's excellent adventure: Forecasting the 1996 Presidential election. American Politics Quarterly, 24, 434-442.
    • (1996) American Politics Quarterly , vol.24 , pp. 434-442
    • Abramowitz, A.1
  • 3
    • 0010704024 scopus 로고
    • As New Hampshire goes
    • G. R. Orren & N. W. Polsby (Eds.), Chatham, NJ: Chatham House
    • Adams, W. (1987). As New Hampshire goes.... In G. R. Orren & N. W. Polsby (Eds.), Media and momentum (pp. 42-59). Chatham, NJ: Chatham House.
    • (1987) Media and Momentum , pp. 42-59
    • Adams, W.1
  • 4
    • 0039207930 scopus 로고
    • The Nomination: Process and patterns
    • M. Nelson (Ed.), Washington, DC: Congressional Quarterly
    • Barilleaux, R.J. & Adkins, R.E. (1993). The Nomination: Process and patterns. In M. Nelson (Ed.), The elections of 1992 (pp. 21-56). Washington, DC: Congressional Quarterly.
    • (1993) The Elections of 1992 , pp. 21-56
    • Barilleaux, R.J.1    Adkins, R.E.2
  • 5
    • 84933491918 scopus 로고
    • Forecasting the presidential vote in the states
    • Campbell, J. (1992). Forecasting the presidential vote in the states. American Journal of Political Science, 36, 386-407.
    • (1992) American Journal of Political Science , vol.36 , pp. 386-407
    • Campbell, J.1
  • 6
    • 84974126975 scopus 로고
    • Weather forecasters should be so accurate: A response to "Forewarned before forecast"
    • Campbell, J. (1993). Weather forecasters should be so accurate: A response to "Forewarned before forecast." PS: Political Science and Politics, 26, 165-166.
    • (1993) PS: Political Science and Politics , vol.26 , pp. 165-166
    • Campbell, J.1
  • 7
    • 0001524786 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Polls and votes: The trial-heat presidential election forecasting model, certainty, and political campaigns
    • Campbell, J. (1996). Polls and votes: The trial-heat presidential election forecasting model, certainty, and political campaigns. American Politics Quarterly, 24, 408-433.
    • (1996) American Politics Quarterly , vol.24 , pp. 408-433
    • Campbell, J.1
  • 8
    • 84970749458 scopus 로고
    • Trial-heat forecasts of the presidential vote
    • Campbell, J. & Wink, K. (1990). Trial-heat forecasts of the presidential vote. American Politics Quarterly, 18, 251-269.
    • (1990) American Politics Quarterly , vol.18 , pp. 251-269
    • Campbell, J.1    Wink, K.2
  • 9
    • 8744283232 scopus 로고
    • The nominating process
    • M. Nelson (Ed.), Washington, DC: Congressional Quarterly
    • Cook, R. (1989). The nominating process. In M. Nelson (Ed.), The elections of 1988 (pp. 21-61). Washington, DC: Congressional Quarterly.
    • (1989) The Elections of 1988 , pp. 21-61
    • Cook, R.1
  • 11
    • 0002313891 scopus 로고
    • Multicollinearity in regression analysis: The problem revisited
    • Farrar, D. E., & Glauber, R. R. (1967). Multicollinearity in regression analysis: The problem revisited. Review of Economics and Statistics, 49, 92-107.
    • (1967) Review of Economics and Statistics , vol.49 , pp. 92-107
    • Farrar, D.E.1    Glauber, R.R.2
  • 12
    • 34248249679 scopus 로고
    • Why are American presidential election campaign polls so variable when votes are so predictable?
    • Gelman, A., & King, G. (1993). Why are American presidential election campaign polls so variable when votes are so predictable? British Journal of Political Science, 23, 409-451.
    • (1993) British Journal of Political Science , vol.23 , pp. 409-451
    • Gelman, A.1    King, G.2
  • 13
    • 0011628461 scopus 로고
    • Forewarned before forecast: Presidential election forecasting models and the 1992 election
    • Greene, J. (1993). Forewarned before forecast: Presidential election forecasting models and the 1992 election. PS: Political Science and Politics, 26, 17-21.
    • (1993) PS: Political Science and Politics , vol.26 , pp. 17-21
    • Greene, J.1
  • 14
    • 84925900908 scopus 로고
    • Englewood Cliffs, NJ: Prentice Hall
    • Hadley, A. (1976). The invisible primary. Englewood Cliffs, NJ: Prentice Hall.
    • (1976) The Invisible Primary
    • Hadley, A.1
  • 15
    • 0345968215 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Reading the political tea leaves: A forecasting model of contemporary presidential elections
    • Holbrook, T. (1996). Reading the political tea leaves: A forecasting model of contemporary presidential elections. American Politics Quarterly, 24, 506-519.
    • (1996) American Politics Quarterly , vol.24 , pp. 506-519
    • Holbrook, T.1
  • 18
    • 84974054531 scopus 로고
    • Election forecasts in 1984: How accurate were they?
    • Lewis-Beck, M. S. (1985). Election forecasts in 1984: How accurate were they? PS: Political Science and Politics, 18, 53-62.
    • (1985) PS: Political Science and Politics , vol.18 , pp. 53-62
    • Lewis-Beck, M.S.1
  • 19
    • 0002692256 scopus 로고
    • Forecasting presidential elections: A comparison of naive models
    • Lewis-Beck, M. S., & Rice, T. (1984). Forecasting presidential elections: A comparison of naive models. Political Behavior, 6, 9-21.
    • (1984) Political Behavior , vol.6 , pp. 9-21
    • Lewis-Beck, M.S.1    Rice, T.2
  • 21
    • 0000050435 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The future in forecasting: Prospective presidential models
    • Lewis-Beck, M. S., & Tien, C. (1996). The future in forecasting: Prospective presidential models. American Politics Quarterly, 24, 468-491.
    • (1996) American Politics Quarterly , vol.24 , pp. 468-491
    • Lewis-Beck, M.S.1    Tien, C.2
  • 23
    • 84973985392 scopus 로고
    • Is Clinton doomed? An early forecast for 1996
    • Norpoth, H. (1995). Is Clinton doomed? An early forecast for 1996. PS: Political Science and Politics, 28, 201-207.
    • (1995) PS: Political Science and Politics , vol.28 , pp. 201-207
    • Norpoth, H.1
  • 24
    • 8844236944 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Of time and candidates: A forecast for 1996
    • Norpoth, H. (1996). Of time and candidates: A forecast for 1996. PS: Political Science and Palitics, 24, 433-467.
    • (1996) PS: Political Science and Palitics , vol.24 , pp. 433-467
    • Norpoth, H.1
  • 25
    • 85055297367 scopus 로고
    • Nomination choices: Caucus and primary outcomes, 1976-88
    • Norrander, B. (1993). Nomination choices: Caucus and primary outcomes, 1976-88. American Journal of Political Science, 37, 343-364.
    • (1993) American Journal of Political Science , vol.37 , pp. 343-364
    • Norrander, B.1
  • 29
    • 0001745218 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Temporal horizons and presidential election forecasts
    • Wlezien, C., & Erikson, R. (1996). Temporal horizons and presidential election forecasts. American Politics Quarterly, 24, 492-505.
    • (1996) American Politics Quarterly , vol.24 , pp. 492-505
    • Wlezien, C.1    Erikson, R.2


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.