메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 30, Issue 6, 2003, Pages 901-923

Application of neural networks to an emerging financial market: Forecasting and trading the Taiwan Stock Index

Author keywords

Emerging economy; Forecasting; Generalized methods of moments (GMM); Neural networks; Trading strategy

Indexed keywords

COMMERCE; FORECASTING; KALMAN FILTERING; METHOD OF MOMENTS; NEURAL NETWORKS;

EID: 0037404567     PISSN: 03050548     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/S0305-0548(02)00037-0     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (383)

References (43)
  • 2
    • 0000172347 scopus 로고
    • Sample-dependent results using accounting and market data: Some evidence
    • Banz R, Breen W. Sample-dependent results using accounting and market data: some evidence. Journal of Finance 1986;41:779-93.
    • (1986) Journal of Finance , vol.41 , pp. 779-793
    • Banz, R.1    Breen, W.2
  • 3
    • 84977717050 scopus 로고
    • Earnings yields, market values and stock returns
    • Jaffe J, Keim D, Westerfield R. Earnings yields, market values and stock returns. Journal of Finance 1989;44:135-48.
    • (1989) Journal of Finance , vol.44 , pp. 135-148
    • Jaffe, J.1    Keim, D.2    Westerfield, R.3
  • 4
    • 84977737676 scopus 로고
    • The cross-section of expected stock returns
    • Fama E, French K. The cross-section of expected stock returns. Journal of Finance 1992;47:427-65.
    • (1992) Journal of Finance , vol.47 , pp. 427-465
    • Fama, E.1    French, K.2
  • 5
    • 21344486016 scopus 로고
    • The risk and predictability of international equity returns
    • Ferson WE, Harvey CR. The risk and predictability of international equity returns. Review of Financial Studies 1993;6:527-66.
    • (1993) Review of Financial Studies , vol.6 , pp. 527-566
    • Ferson, W.E.1    Harvey, C.R.2
  • 7
    • 84974449914 scopus 로고
    • Patterns in Japanese common stock returns: Day of the week and turn of the year effects
    • Jaffe J, Westerfield R. Patterns in Japanese common stock returns: day of the week and turn of the year effects. Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis 1985;20:261-72.
    • (1985) Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis , vol.20 , pp. 261-272
    • Jaffe, J.1    Westerfield, R.2
  • 8
    • 84910870415 scopus 로고
    • Day of the week effects in Japanese stocks
    • Elton E, Grubber M, editors. New York: Harper & Row
    • Kato K, Ziemba W, Schwartz S. Day of the week effects in Japanese stocks. In: Elton E, Grubber M, editors. Japanese capital markets. New York: Harper & Row, 1990.
    • (1990) Japanese Capital Markets
    • Kato, K.1    Ziemba, W.2    Schwartz, S.3
  • 9
    • 38549147867 scopus 로고
    • Common risk factors in the returns on stocks and bonds
    • Fama E, French K. Common risk factors in the returns on stocks and bonds. Journal of Financial Economics 1993;33:3-56.
    • (1993) Journal of Financial Economics , vol.33 , pp. 3-56
    • Fama, E.1    French, K.2
  • 11
    • 0002940613 scopus 로고
    • Dividend yields are equity risk premiums
    • Rozeff M. Dividend yields are equity risk premiums. Journal of Portfolio Management 1984;11:68-75.
    • (1984) Journal of Portfolio Management , vol.11 , pp. 68-75
    • Rozeff, M.1
  • 12
    • 46149129689 scopus 로고
    • Predicting returns in the stock and bond markets
    • Keim D, Stambaugh R. Predicting returns in the stock and bond markets. Journal of Financial Economics 1986;17:357-90.
    • (1986) Journal of Financial Economics , vol.17 , pp. 357-390
    • Keim, D.1    Stambaugh, R.2
  • 13
    • 0344839169 scopus 로고
    • Stock returns and the term structure
    • Campbell J. Stock returns and the term structure. Journal of Financial Economics 1987;18:373-99.
    • (1987) Journal of Financial Economics , vol.18 , pp. 373-399
    • Campbell, J.1
  • 14
    • 0000064728 scopus 로고
    • The information in long-maturity forward rates
    • Fama E, Bliss R. The information in long-maturity forward rates. American Economic Review 1987;77:680-92.
    • (1987) American Economic Review , vol.77 , pp. 680-692
    • Fama, E.1    Bliss, R.2
  • 15
    • 84936823605 scopus 로고
    • Permanent and temporary components of stock prices
    • Fama E, French K. Permanent and temporary components of stock prices. Journal of Political Economy 1988;96:246-73.
    • (1988) Journal of Political Economy , vol.96 , pp. 246-273
    • Fama, E.1    French, K.2
  • 17
    • 34250890715 scopus 로고
    • Business conditions and expected returns on stocks and bonds
    • Fama E, French K. Business conditions and expected returns on stocks and bonds. Journal of Financial Economics 1990;25:23-49.
    • (1990) Journal of Financial Economics , vol.25 , pp. 23-49
    • Fama, E.1    French, K.2
  • 18
    • 0000496978 scopus 로고
    • Economic forces and the stock market
    • Chen N, Roll R, Ross S. Economic forces and the stock market. Journal of Business 1986;59:383-403.
    • (1986) Journal of Business , vol.59 , pp. 383-403
    • Chen, N.1    Roll, R.2    Ross, S.3
  • 19
  • 20
    • 21844487168 scopus 로고
    • Predictable risk and returns in emerging markets
    • Harvey CR. Predictable risk and returns in emerging markets. Review of Financial Studies 1995;8:773-816.
    • (1995) Review of Financial Studies , vol.8 , pp. 773-816
    • Harvey, C.R.1
  • 21
    • 0031206592 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Forward premiums as unbiased predictors of future currency depreciation: A non-parametric analysis
    • Wu Y, Zhang H. Forward premiums as unbiased predictors of future currency depreciation: a non-parametric analysis. Journal of International Money and Finance 1997;16:609-23.
    • (1997) Journal of International Money and Finance , vol.16 , pp. 609-623
    • Wu, Y.1    Zhang, H.2
  • 22
    • 0031511574 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Using derivatives in major currencies for cross-hedging currency risks in Asian emerging markets
    • Aggarwal R, Demaskey A. Using derivatives in major currencies for cross-hedging currency risks in Asian emerging markets. Journal of Futures Markets 1997;17:781-96.
    • (1997) Journal of Futures Markets , vol.17 , pp. 781-796
    • Aggarwal, R.1    Demaskey, A.2
  • 23
    • 84979367539 scopus 로고
    • The informational content of the interday price change with respect to stock index futures
    • Maberly ED. The informational content of the interday price change with respect to stock index futures. Journal of Futures Markets 1986;6:385-95.
    • (1986) Journal of Futures Markets , vol.6 , pp. 385-395
    • Maberly, E.D.1
  • 24
    • 0001832515 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Going up-going down: How good are people at forecasting trends and changes in trends?
    • O'Connor M, Remus W, Griggs K. Going up-going down: how good are people at forecasting trends and changes in trends? Journal of Forecasting 1997;16:165-76.
    • (1997) Journal of Forecasting , vol.16 , pp. 165-176
    • O'Connor, M.1    Remus, W.2    Griggs, K.3
  • 25
    • 85012197044 scopus 로고
    • The impact of index futures markets on Australian share market volatility
    • Hodgson A, Nicholls D. The impact of index futures markets on Australian share market volatility. Journal of Business Finance and Accounting 1991;18:267-80.
    • (1991) Journal of Business Finance and Accounting , vol.18 , pp. 267-280
    • Hodgson, A.1    Nicholls, D.2
  • 28
    • 0002797650 scopus 로고
    • Artificial neural systems: A new tool for financial decision-making
    • Hawley D, Johnson J, Raina D. Artificial neural systems: a new tool for financial decision-making. Financial Analysts Journal 1990;46:63-72.
    • (1990) Financial Analysts Journal , vol.46 , pp. 63-72
    • Hawley, D.1    Johnson, J.2    Raina, D.3
  • 29
    • 0013170890 scopus 로고
    • Neural network fundamentals for financial analysts
    • Trippi R, Turban E, editors. Chicago: Probes Publishing
    • Medsker L, Turban E, Trippi R. Neural network fundamentals for financial analysts. In: Trippi R, Turban E, editors. Neural networks in finance and investing. Chicago: Probes Publishing, 1993.
    • (1993) Neural Networks in Finance and Investing
    • Medsker, L.1    Turban, E.2    Trippi, R.3
  • 30
    • 0024123401 scopus 로고
    • Probabilistic neural networks for classification, mapping, or associative memory
    • Specht D. Probabilistic neural networks for classification, mapping, or associative memory. IEEE International Conference on Neural Networks, 1988;1:525-532.
    • (1988) IEEE International Conference on Neural Networks , vol.1 , pp. 525-532
    • Specht, D.1
  • 31
    • 0025206332 scopus 로고
    • Probabilistic neural networks
    • Specht D. Probabilistic neural networks. Neural Networks 1990;3:109-18.
    • (1990) Neural Networks , vol.3 , pp. 109-118
    • Specht, D.1
  • 33
    • 0001473437 scopus 로고
    • On estimation of a probability density function and mode
    • Parzen E. On estimation of a probability density function and mode. Annals of Mathematical Statistics 1962;33:1065-76.
    • (1962) Annals of Mathematical Statistics , vol.33 , pp. 1065-1076
    • Parzen, E.1
  • 35
    • 0010021683 scopus 로고
    • Constructive learning and its application to currency exchange rate forecasting
    • Trippi R, Turban E, editors. Chicago: Probes Publishing
    • Refenes A. Constructive learning and its application to currency exchange rate forecasting. In: Trippi R, Turban E, editors. Neural networks in finance and investing. Chicago: Probes Publishing, 1993.
    • (1993) Neural Networks in Finance and Investing
    • Refenes, A.1
  • 36
    • 84950613755 scopus 로고
    • Autoregression modeling of Canadian money and income data
    • Hsiao C. Autoregression modeling of Canadian money and income data. Journal of the American Statistical Association 1979;74:553-60.
    • (1979) Journal of the American Statistical Association , vol.74 , pp. 553-560
    • Hsiao, C.1
  • 37
    • 0000899712 scopus 로고
    • Vector autoregression forecasting models: Recent developments applied to the US hog market
    • Kaylen MS. Vector autoregression forecasting models: recent developments applied to the US hog market. American Journal of Agricultural Economics 1988;70:701-12.
    • (1988) American Journal of Agricultural Economics , vol.70 , pp. 701-712
    • Kaylen, M.S.1
  • 38
    • 84977727648 scopus 로고
    • Heteroscedasticity in stock returns
    • Schwert G, Seguin P. Heteroscedasticity in stock returns. Journal of Finance 1990;45:1129-55.
    • (1990) Journal of Finance , vol.45 , pp. 1129-1155
    • Schwert, G.1    Seguin, P.2
  • 39
    • 0000699975 scopus 로고
    • A comparison of the stable and student distributions as statistical models of stock prices
    • Blattberg R, Gonedes N. A comparison of the stable and student distributions as statistical models of stock prices. Journal of Business 1974;47:244-80.
    • (1974) Journal of Business , vol.47 , pp. 244-280
    • Blattberg, R.1    Gonedes, N.2
  • 40
    • 0000414660 scopus 로고
    • Large sample properties of generalized method of moments estimators
    • Hansen L. Large sample properties of generalized method of moments estimators. Econometrica 1982;50:1029-54.
    • (1982) Econometrica , vol.50 , pp. 1029-1054
    • Hansen, L.1
  • 41
    • 0000095552 scopus 로고
    • Options values under stochastic volatility: Theory and empirical estimates
    • White J. Options values under stochastic volatility: theory and empirical estimates. Econometrica 1980;48:817-38.
    • (1980) Econometrica , vol.48 , pp. 817-838
    • White, J.1
  • 42
    • 0000714094 scopus 로고
    • Forward exchange rates as optimal predictors of future spot rates
    • Hansen L, Hodrick R. Forward exchange rates as optimal predictors of future spot rates. Journal of Political Economy 1980;88:829-53.
    • (1980) Journal of Political Economy , vol.88 , pp. 829-853
    • Hansen, L.1    Hodrick, R.2
  • 43
    • 84993915193 scopus 로고
    • Predicting volatility in the foreign exchange market
    • Jorion P. Predicting volatility in the foreign exchange market. Journal of Finance 1995;2:507-28.
    • (1995) Journal of Finance , vol.2 , pp. 507-528
    • Jorion, P.1


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.