Large sensitivity to initial conditions in seasonal predictions with a coupled ocean-atmosphere general circulation model

Geophysical Research Letters

Volumn 29, Issue 8, 2002, Pages

  Ploshay, J J ^a   Anderson, J L ^a  

^a NOAA EARTH SYSTEM RESEARCH LABORATORY   (United States)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

CLIMATOLOGY; FORECASTING; NICKEL; TROPICS; WEATHER FORECASTING;

ENSEMBLE FORECASTS; ENSEMBLE MEMBERS; INITIAL CONDITIONS; OCEAN ATMOSPHERE GENERAL CIRCULATION MODELS; SEASONAL PREDICTION; SENSITIVITY TO INITIAL CONDITIONS; TROPICAL PACIFIC OCEAN; TROPICAL SYSTEMS;

OCEANOGRAPHY;

EID: 0037092368     PISSN: 00948276     EISSN: 19448007     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1029/2000GL012710     Document Type: Article

References (6)

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3. Bengtsson, L., U. Schlese, E. Roeckner, M. Latif, T. P. Barnett, and, N. Graham, A two-tiered approach to long-range climate forecasting, Science, 261, 1026-1029, 1993.
4. Livezey, R. E., M. Masutani, and, M. Ji, SST-forced seasonal simulation and prediction skill for versions of the NCEP/MRF model, Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 77, 507-571, 1996.
5. Pacanowski, R. C., MOM 2 documentation user's guide and reference manual. GFDL Ocean Group Tech. Rep. 3, GFDL/NOAA, 232 pp., 1995. [Available from GFDL/NOAA, P.O. Box 308, Princeton, NJ 08542-0308].
6. Rosati, A., K. Miyakoda, and, R. Gudgel, The impact of ocean initial conditions on ENSO forecasting with a coupled model, Mon. Wea. Rev., 125, 754-772, 1997.