On the forecast of the onset and end of the convective season in the Amazon

Theoretical and Applied Climatology

Volumn 73, Issue 3-4, 2002, Pages 169-187

  Gonzalez M ^a   Barros, V ^a,b  

^a UNIVERSIDAD DE BUENOS AIRES   (Argentina)

^b CNICT   (Argentina)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

CIRCULATION; CONVECTIVE SYSTEM; LONGWAVE RADIATION; SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE; TROPOSPHERE;

AMAZON; SOUTH AMERICA;

EID: 0036955106     PISSN: 0177798X     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1007/s00704-002-0684-6     Document Type: Article

References (46)

1. Aceituno P (1988) On the functioning of the Southern Oscillation in the South American sector. Part I: surface climate. Mon Wea Rev 116: 505-524
2. Angell JK, Korshover J (1964) Quasi-biennial oscillations in temperature, total ozone and tropopause height. J Atmos Sci 21: 479-492
3. Arkin PA, Meisner BN (1987) The relationship between large-scale convective rainfall and cold cloud over the Western Hemisphere during 1982-84. Mon Wea Rev 115: 51-74
4. Arkin PA, Ardanuy PE (1989) Estimating climatic scale precipitation from space: a review. J Climate 2: 1229-1238
5. Barros V, Silvestri G (2002) On the relation between Sea Surface Temperature at the subtropical south-central Pacific and precipitation in southeastern South America. J Climate 15: 251-267
6. Brubaker KL, Entekhabi D, Eagleson PS (1993) Estimation of continental precipitation recycling. J Climate 6: 1077-1089
7. Enfield D, Mayer D (1997) Tropical Atlantic sea surface temperature variability and its relation to El Niño-Southern Oscillation. J Geophys Res 102: 929-945
8. Enfield D, Alfaro D (1999) The dependence of Caribbean Rainfall on the interaction on the tropical Atlantic and Pacific Oceans. J Climate 12: 2093-2103
9. Figueroa SN, Satyamurti P, Silva Días PL (1995) Simulations of the summer circulation over the South American region with an eta-coordinate model. J Atmos Sci 52: 1573-1584
10. Fu R, Zhu B, Dickinson R (1999) How does the atmosphere and land surface influence the seasonal changes in convection in Tropical Amazon? J Climate 12: 1306-1321
11. Gandú AW, Geisler JE (1991) A primitive equations model study of the effect of topography on the summer circulation over tropical South America. J Atmos Sci 48: 1822-1836
12. Garreaud RD, Battisti DS (1999) Interannual (ENSO) and interdecadal (ENSO-LIKE) variability in the Southern hemisphere. J Climate 12: 2113-2123
13. Giannini A, Kushnir Y, Cane M (2000) Interannual variability of Caribbean rainfall, ENSO and the Atlantic Ocean. J Climate 13: 297-311
14. González M, Barros V (1998) The relation between tropical convection in South America and the end of the dry period in subtropical Argentina. Int J Climatol 18(15): 1669-1685
15. Gonzalez M, Barros V (1999) The relation of precipitation in subtropical Argentina with tropical convection over South America in autumn. Eighth Conference on Climate Variations, Denver, USA, 112-113
16. Hastenrath S (1984) Interannual variability and annual cycle: mechanisms of circulation and climates in the tropical America sector. Mon Wea Rev 112: 1097-1107
17. Heddinghaus T, Krueger A (1981) Annual and interannual variations in outgoing longwave radiation over the tropics, Mon Wen Rev 109: 1208-1218
18. Horel JD, Hahmann AN, Geisler JF, (1989) An investigation of the annual cycle of convective activity over the tropical Americas. J Climate 2: 1388-1403
19. Janowiak JE, Krueger AF, Arkin PA, Gruber A (1985) Atlas of outgoing longwave radiation derived from NOAA satellite data. NOAA Atlas no. 6, NOAA/NWS/NESDIS, US Department of Commerce, Silver Spring, Maryland, 20907, 44 pp
20. Klein S, Soden B, Lau N (1999) Remote sea surface variations during ENSO: Evidence for a tropical atmospheric bridge. J Climate 12: 917-932
21. Kalnay E, Mo KC, Paegle J (1986) Large-amplitude, short scale stationary Rossby waves in the Southern hemisphere: observations and mechanistics experiments on determine their origin. J Atmos Sci 43: 252-275
22. Kalnay E, Kanamitsu M, Kistler R, Collins W, Deaven D, Gandin L, Iredell M, Saha S, White G, Woollen J, Zhu I, Chelliah M, Ebisuzaki W, Higgings W, Janowiak J, Mo KC. Ropelewski C, Wang J, Leetmaa A. Reynolds R, Jenne R, Joseph D (1996) The NCEP/NCAR Reanalysis 40 years-project. Bull Amer Meteor Soc 77: 437-471
23. Kousky VE (1988) Pentad outgoing longwave radiation climatology for the South America sector. Revista Brasilera de Meteorología 3: 217-231
24. th Global Change Studies. Dallas, USA: 215-217
25. Landbergs HE, Mitchell JM Jr, Crutcher HI, Quinlan FT (1963) Surface signs of the biennial atmospheric pulse. Mon Wea Rev 91: 549-556
26. Lenters JD, Cook KH (1997) On the origin of Bolivian High and related circulation feature of the South American Climate. J Atmos Sci 54: 656-677
27. Liebmann B, Hartmann D (1982) Interannual variations of outgoing IR associated with tropical circulation changes during 1974-78. J Atmos Sci 39: 1153-1162
28. Marengo J (1992) Interannual variability of surface climate in the Amazon Basin. Int J Climatol 12: 853-863
29. Marengo J (1995) Deep convection over the tropical South American sector as deduced from the ISCCP-C2 data. Int J Climatol 15: 995-1010
30. Marengo J, Liebmann B, Kousky V, Filizola N, Wainer I (2001) Onset and end of the rainy season in the Brazilian Amazon basin. J Climate 14: 833-852
31. Mitchell T, Wallace J (1992) The annual cycle in equatorial convection and sea surface temperature. J Climate 5: 1140-1156
32. Nobre C, Shukla J (1996) Variations of sea surface temperature, wind stress and rainfall over tropical Atlantic and South America, J Climate 9: 2464-2479
33. Power S, Casey T, Folland C, Colman A, Metha V (1999) Inter-decadal modulation of the Impact of ENSO on Australia. Climate Dynamics 15: 319-324
34. Prohaska FJ (1976) Climates of Central and South America. World Survey of Climatology, Amsterdam, Elsevier Scientific Publishing Company, pp 57-69
35. Rao G, Erdogan S ( 1989) The atmospheric heat source over the Bolivian Plateau for a mean January. Bound-Layer Meteor 46: 13-33
36. Rao V, Cavalcanti I, Hada K (1996) Annual variation of rainfall over Brazil and water vapor characteristics over South America. J Geophys Res 101: 26539-26551
37. Rayner N, Horton E, Parker D, Folland C, Hackett R (1996) A version 2.2 of the global sea-ice ans sea surface temperature data set, 1903-1994. Hadley Centre for Climate Prediction and Research, Climate Research Tech. Note 74, 42 pp. (Available from htpp://podaac.jpl.nasa. gov)
38. Salati E, Molion L, Marques J (1978) Origen y distribución de las lluvias en el Amazonas. Revista Interciencia 3: 200-205
39. Saravanan R, Chang P (2000) Interaction between tropical Atlantic variability and El Niño-Southern Oscillation. J Climate 13: 2177-2194
40. Silva Días PL, Schubert W, De Maria M (1983) Large-scale response of the tropical atmosphere to transient convection. J Atmos Sci 40: 2689-2707
41. Silva Días PL, Bonatti J, Kousky V (1987) Diurnally forced tropical tropospheric circulation over South America. Mon Wea Rev 115: 1465-1478
42. Trenberth KE (1999) Atmospheric moisture recycling: role of advection and local evaporation. J Climate 12: 1368-1381
43. Virji H (1981) A preliminary study of summertime tropospheric circulation patterns over South America estimated from cloud winds. Mon Wea Rev 109: 599-610
44. Wallace JM, Gutzler SD (1981) Teleconnections in the geopotential height field during the Northern Hemisphere winter. Mon Wea Rev 109: 785-812
45. Wilks DS (1995) Statistical methods in atmospheric sciences, New York: Academic Press, 467 pp
46. Zhou J, Lau KM (1998) Does a monsoon climate exist over South America? J Climate 11: 1020-1040