Are weed population dynamics chaotic?

Journal of Applied Ecology

Volumn 39, Issue 5, 2002, Pages 699-707

  Freckleton, Robert P ^a   Watkinson, Andrew R ^b  

^a UNIVERSITY OF OXFORD   (United Kingdom)

^b UNIVERSITY OF EAST ANGLIA   (United Kingdom)

Author keywords

Arable weeds; Non linear dynamics; Population model; Stability analysis

Indexed keywords

POPULATION DYNAMICS; STABILITY ANALYSIS; WEED;

EID: 0036785243     PISSN: 00218901     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1046/j.1365-2664.2002.00748.x     Document Type: Review

References (56)

1. 2 enrichment and dependence of reproduction on density in an annual plant and a simulation of its population dynamics. Journal of Ecology, 80, 643-651.
2. Buckley, Y.M., Hinz, H.L., Matthies, D. & Rees, M. (2001) Interactions between density-dependent process, population dynamics and control of an invasive plant species, Tripleurospermum perforatum (scentless camomile). Ecology Letters, 4, 551-558.
3. Clark, S.J., Perry, J.N. & Marshall, E.J.P. (1996) Estimating Taylor's power law parameters for weeds and the effect of spatial scale. Weed Research, 36, 405-417.
4. Collingham, Y.C., Wadsworth, R.A., Huntley, B. & Hulme, P.E. (2000) Predicting the spatial distribution of non-indigenous riparian weeds: issues of spatial scale and extent. Journal of Applied Ecology, 37, 13-27.
5. Cousens, R. (1995) Can we determine the intrinsic dynamics of real plant populations? Functional Ecology, 9, 15-20.
6. Cousens, R., Doyle, C.J., Wilson, B.J. & Cussans, G.W. (1986) Modelling the economics of controlling Avena fatua in winter wheat. Pesticide Science, 17, 1-12.
7. Crone, E.E. (1997) Parental environmental effects and cyclical dynamics in plant populations. American Naturalist, 150, 708-729.
8. Crone, E.E. & Taylor, D.R. (1996) Complex dynamics in experimental populations of an annual plant, Cardamine pensylvanica. Ecology, 77, 289-299.
9. Doyle, C.J., Cousens, R. & Moss, S.R. (1986) A model of the economics of controlling Alpecurus myosuroides Huds. in winter wheat. Crop Protection, 5, 143-150.
10. El Titi, A. (1991) The Lautenbach Project 1978-89: integrated wheat production on a commercial arable farm, south-west Germany. The Ecology of Temperate Cereal Fields (eds L.G. Firbank, N. Carter, J.F. Darbyshire & G.R. Potts), pp. 209-231. Blackwell Scientific Publications, Oxford, UK.
11. Fenner, M. (1985) Seed Ecology. Chapman & Hall, London, UK.
12. Firbank, L.G. (1991) Interactions between weeds and crops. The Ecology of Temperate Cereal Fields (eds L.G. Firbank, N. Carter & J.F. Darbyshire), pp. 209-231. Blackwell Scientific Publications, Oxford, UK.
13. Firbank, L.G. (1993) Short-term variability of plant populations within a regularly disturbed habitat. Oecologia, 94, 351-355.
14. Firbank, L.G. & Watkinson, A.R. (1986) Modelling the population dynamics of an arable weed and its effects upon crop yield. Journal of Applied Ecology, 23, 147-159.
15. Freckleton, R.P. & Watkinson, A.R. (1998a) How does temporal variability affect predictions of weed population numbers? Journal of Applied Ecology, 35, 340-344.
16. Freckleton, R.P. & Watkinson, A.R. (1998b) Predicting the determinants of weed abundance: a model for the population dynamics of Chenopodium album in sugar beet. Journal of Applied Ecology, 35, 904-920.
17. Freckleton, R.P. Watkinson, A.R. Dowling, P.M. & Leys, A.R. (2000) Determinants of the abundance of invasive annual weeds: community structure and non-equilibrium dynamics. Proceedings of the Royal Society Series B, 267, 1153-1161.
18. Gonzalez-Andujar, J.L. (1996) High control measures cannot produce extinction in weed populations. Ecological Modelling, 91, 293-294.
19. Gonzalez-Andujar, J.L. & Hughes, G. (2000) Complex dynamics in weed populations. Functional Ecology, 14, 524-526.
20. Grigulis, K., Sheppard, A.W., Ash, J.E. & Groves, R.H. (2001) The comparative demography of the pasture weed Echium plantagineum between its native and invaded ranges. Journal of Applied Ecology, 38, 281-290.
21. Grundy, A.C., Mead, A. & Burston, S. (1999) Modelling the effect of cultivation on seed movement with application to the prediction of weed seedling emergence. Journal of Applied Ecology, 36, 663-678.
22. Hassell, M.P. (1975) Density dependence in single species populations. Journal of Animal Ecology, 44, 283-295.
23. Hofbauer, J. & Sigmund, K. (1998) Evolutionary Games and Population Dynamics. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK.
24. Jones, R. & Medd, R. (1997) Economic analysis of integrated management of wild oats involving fallow, herbicide and crop rotational options. Australian Journal of Experimental Agriculture, 37, 683-691.
25. Kira, T.K., Ogawa, H. & Sakazaki, N. (1953) Intraspecific competition among higher plants. I. Competition-yield-density interrelationship in regularly dispersed populations. Journal of the Institute of Polytechnics, Osaka City University, Series D, 4, 1-16.
26. Kleijn, D. & Verbeek, M. (2000) Factors affecting the species composition of arable field boundary vegetation. Journal of Applied Ecology, 37, 256-266.
27. Lintell Smith, G., Freckleton, R.P., Firbank, L.G. & Watkinson, A.R. (1999) The population dynamics of Anisantha sterilis in winter wheat: comparative demography, and the role of management. Journal of Applied Ecology, 36, 455-471.
28. Lonsdale, W.M. (1996) The balance of weed populations. Frontiers of Population Ecology (eds R.B. Floyd & A.W. Sheppard), pp. 573-588. CSIRO Publishing, Melbourne, Australia.
29. MacDonald, N. & Watkinson, A.R. (1981) Models of an annual plant population with a seedbank. Journal of Theoretical Biology, 93, 643-653.
30. May, R.M. & Oster, G.F. (1976) Bifurcations and dynamic complexity in simple ecological models. American Naturalist, 110, 573-599.
31. Pacala, S.W. (1986) Neighbourhood models of plant population dynamics. IV. Single and multi-species models of annuals with dormant seed. American Naturalist, 128, 859-878.
32. Pollard, E., Lakhani, K.H. & Rothery, P. (1987) The detection of density dependence from a series of annual censuses. Ecology, 68, 2046-2055.
33. Rees, M. & Crawley, M.J. (1989) Growth, reproduction and population dynamics. Functional Ecology, 3, 645-653.
34. Rees, M. & Crawley, M.J. (1991) Do plant populations cycle? Functional Ecology, 5, 580-582.
35. Rees, M., Grubb, P.J. & Kelly, D. (1996) Quantifying the impact of competition and spatial heterogeneity on the structure and dynamics of a four species guild of winter annuals. American Naturalist, 147, 1-32.
36. Rosenbrock, H.H. (1960) An automatic method for finding the greatest or least value of a function. Computing Journal, 3, 175-184.
37. Shenk, T.M., White, G.C. & Burnham, K.P. (1998) Sampling variance effects on detecting density dependence from temporal trends in natural populations. Ecological Monographs, 68, 445-463.
38. Silvertown, J. (1991) Modularity, reproductive thresholds and plant population dynamics. Functional Ecology, 5, 577-582.
39. Symonides, E., Silvertown, J. & Andreasen, V. (1986) Population cycles caused by overcompensating density dependence in an annual plant. Oecologia, 71, 156-158.
40. Thompson, L. (1994) The spatio-temporal effects of nitrogen and litter on the population dynamics of Arabidopsis thaliana. Journal of Ecology, 82, 63-68.
41. Thompson, K., Bakker, J.P. & Bekker, R.M. (1997) The Soil Seed Banks of North West Europe: Methodology, Density and Longevity. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK.
42. Thrall, P., Pacala, S.W. & Silander, J.A.J. (1989) Oscillatory dynamics in populations of an annual weed species (Abutilon theophraxti). Journal of Ecology, 77, 1135-1149.
43. Thurston, J. (1968) Weed Studies on Broadbalk. Rothamsted Experimental Station Annual Report for 1968. HMSO, London, UK.
44. Tilman, D. & Wedin, D. (1991) Oscillations and chaos in the dynamics of a perennial grass. Nature, 353, 653-655.
45. Wallinga, J. & van Oijen, M. (1997) Level of threshold weed density does not affect the long-term frequency of weed control. Crop Protection, 16, 273-278.
46. Wallinga, J., Grasman, J., Groeneveld, R.M.W., Kropff, M.J. & Lotz, L.A.P. (1999) Prediction of weed density: the increase of error with prediction interval, and the use of long-term prediction for weed management. Journal of Applied Ecology, 36, 307-316.
47. Watkinson, A.R. (1980) Density dependence in single-species populations of plants. Journal of Theoretical Biology, 83, 345-357.
48. Watkinson, A.R. (1996) Plant population dynamics. Plant Ecology (ed. M.J. Crawley), pp. 359-400. Blackwell Scientific Publications, Oxford, UK.
49. Watkinson, A.R. & Davy, A.J. (1985) Population biology of salt-marsh and sand-dune annuals. Vegetatio, 62, 487-497.
50. Watkinson, A.R., Freckleton, R.P. & Dowling, P.M. (2000a) Weed invasions of Australian farming systems: from ecology to economics. The Economics of Biological Invasions (eds C. Perrings, M. Williamson & S. Dalmazzone), pp. 94-114. Edward Elgar Publishing, Cheltenham, UK.
51. Watkinson, A.R., Freckleton, R.P. & Forrester, L. (2000b) Population dynamics of Vulpia ciliata: regional, meta-population and local dynamics. Journal of Ecology, 88, 1012-1029.
52. Watkinson, A.R., Freckleton, R.P., Robinson, R.A. & Sutherland, W.J. (2000c) Prediction of biodiversity responses to GM technology. Science, 289, 1554-1557.
53. Watkinson, A.R., Lintell Smith, G., Newsham, K.K. & Rowcliffe, J.M. (1993) Population interaction and the determinants of population size. Plant Species Biology, 8, 149-158.
54. Weiner, J. (1988) Variation in the performance of individuals in plant populations. Plant Population Ecology (eds A.J. Davy, M.J. Hutchings & A.R. Watkinson), pp. 59-81. Blackwell Scientific Publications, Oxford, UK.
55. Wilson, B.J. & Brain, P. (1991) Long-term stability of distribution of Alopecurus myosuroides on a commercial arable and dairy farm. Weed Research, 31, 367-373.
56. Wilson, B.J. & Lawson, H.M. (1992) Seedbank persistence and seedling emergence of seven weed species in autumn-sown crops following a single year's seeding. Annals of Applied Biology, 120, 105-116.