Prediction of weed density: The increase of error with prediction interval, and the use of long-term prediction for weed management

Journal of Applied Ecology

Volumn 36, Issue 2, 1999, Pages 307-316

  Wallinga, J ^a,b   Grasman, J ^a   Groeneveld, R M W ^a   Kropff, M J ^a   Lotz, L A P ^a  

^a WAGENINGEN UNIVERSITY   (Netherlands)

^b NATIONAL INSTITUTE FOR PUBLIC HEALTH AND THE ENVIRONMENT   (Netherlands)

Author keywords

Error propagation; Population dynamics; Stellaria media L.

Indexed keywords

DENSITY; MODEL; PREDICTION; WEED;

STELLARIA MEDIA;

EID: 0033045082     PISSN: 00218901     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1046/j.1365-2664.1999.00403.x     Document Type: Article

References (15)

1. Bélair, J. & Milton, J.G. (1988) Itinerary of a discontinuous map from the continued fraction expansion. Applied Mathematics Letters, 1, 339-342.
2. Cousens, R. & Mortimer, M. (1995) Dynamics of Weed Populations. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.
3. Cousens, R., Moss, S.R., Cussans, G.W. & Wilson, B.J. (1987) Modeling weed populations in cereals. Reviews of Weed Science, 3, 93-112.
4. Doyle, C.J., Cousens, R. & Moss, S.R. (1986) A model of the economics of controlling Alopecurus myosuroides Huds. in winter wheat. Crop Protection, 5, 143-150.
5. Felsenstein, J. (1979) r-and K-selection in a completely chaotic population model. American Naturalist, 113, 499-510.
6. Firbank, L.G. (1991) Interaction between weeds and crops. The Ecology of Temperate Cereal Fields (eds L.G. Firbank, N. Carter, J.F. Darbyshire & G.R. Potts), pp. 209-231. Blackwell Science, Oxford.
7. Firbank, L.G., Manlove, R.J., Mortimer, A.M. & Putwain, P.D. (1984) The management of grass weeds in cereal crops, a population biology approach. Proceedings of the 7th International Symposium on Weed Biology. Ecology and Systematics, pp. 375-384. Columa, Paris.
8. Firbank, L.G. & Watkinson, A.R. (1986) Modelling the population dynamics of an arable weed and its effects upon crop yield. Journal of Applied Ecology, 23, 147-159.
9. Freckleton, R.P. & Watkinson, A.R. (1998) How does temporal variability affect predictions of weed population numbers? Journal of Applied Ecology, 35, 340-344.
10. Hughes, G. & González-Andújar, J.L. (1997) Simple rules with complex outcomes. Nature, 387, 241-242.
11. Mortimer, A.M., Sutton, J.J. & Gould, P. (1989) On robust weed population models. Weed Research, 29, 229-238.
12. Pandey, S. & Medd, R.W. (1991) A stochastic dynamic programming framework for weed control decision making: an application to Avena fatua L. Agricultural Economics, 6, 115-128.
13. Wallinga, J. (1998) Analysis of the rational long-term herbicide use: evidence for herbicide efficacy and critical weed kill rate as key factors. Agricultural Systems, 56, 323-340.
14. Wallinga, J. & Van Oijen, M. (1997) Level of threshold weed density does not affect the long-term frequency of weed control. Crop Protection, 16, 273-278.
15. Watkinson, A.R. (1980) Density-dependence in single-species population of plants. Journal of Theoretical Biology,. 83, 345-357.