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Volumn 5, Issue , 2002, Pages 111-125

Forecasting for policy making in the post-cold war period

Author keywords

Complexity; Political expected utility models; Prediction; Scenario analysis; Uncertainty

Indexed keywords


EID: 0036408310     PISSN: 10942939     EISSN: None     Source Type: Book Series    
DOI: 10.1146/annurev.polisci.5.102601.115116     Document Type: Review
Times cited : (33)

References (26)
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  • 4
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    • The dissemination of culture: A model with local convergence and global polarization
    • Axelrod R. 1997. The dissemination of culture: a model with local convergence and global polarization. J. Confl. Resolut. 41(2):203-26.
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    • Axelrod, R.1
  • 6
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    • New Haven, CT: Yale Univ. Press
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    • Bueno de Mesquita, B.1
  • 8
    • 0032034282 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The end of the cold war: Predicting an emergent property
    • Bueno de Mesquita B. 1998. The end of the Cold War: predicting an emergent property. J. Confl. Resolut. 42(2):131-55.
    • (1998) J. Confl. Resolut. , vol.42 , Issue.2 , pp. 131-155
    • Bueno de Mesquita, B.1
  • 14
    • 4243370837 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Overcoming "mindsets": What corporations can learn from government intelligence failures
    • Feder S.A. 2000. Overcoming "mindsets": what corporations can learn from government intelligence failures. Compet. Intell. Rev. 11:28-36.
    • (2000) Compet. Intell. Rev. , vol.11 , pp. 28-36
    • Feder, S.A.1
  • 17
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    • International relations theory and the end of the Cold War
    • Gaddis J.L. 1992b. International relations theory and the end of the Cold War. Int. Sec. 17(3):5-58.
    • (1992) Int. Sec. , vol.17 , Issue.3 , pp. 5-58
    • Gaddis, J.L.1
  • 18
    • 0000705329 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Complexity and the analysis of political and social life
    • Jervis R. 1997-1998. Complexity and the analysis of political and social life. Polit. Sci. Q. 112(4):569-93.
    • (1997) Polit. Sci. Q. , vol.112 , Issue.4 , pp. 569-593
    • Jervis, R.1
  • 22
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    • Scenarios: Uncharted waters ahead
    • Wack P. 1985a. Scenarios: uncharted waters ahead. Harv. Bus. Rev. 5:72-89.
    • (1985) Harv. Bus. Rev. , vol.5 , pp. 72-89
    • Wack, P.1
  • 23
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    • Scenarios: Shooting the rapids
    • Wack P. 1985b. Scenarios: shooting the rapids. Harv. Bus. Rev. 6:139-50.
    • (1985) Harv. Bus. Rev. , vol.6 , pp. 139-150
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  • 25
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    • How social science can help policymakers: The relevance of theory
    • ed. M. Nincic, J. Lepgold, pp. 109-28. Ann Arbor: Univ. Mich. Press
    • Wilson E.J. III. 2000. How social science can help policymakers: the relevance of theory. In Being Useful: Policy Relevance and International Relations Theory, ed. M. Nincic, J. Lepgold, pp. 109-28. Ann Arbor: Univ. Mich. Press. 392 pp.
    • (2000) Being Useful: Policy Relevance and International Relations Theory , pp. 392
    • Wilson E.J. III1


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.