메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 76, Issue 3, 2000, Pages 179-193

Gigerenzer's normative critique of Kahneman and Tversky

Author keywords

Concepts of probability; Frequentism; Heuristics and biases; Judgment under uncertainty; Norms of reasoning

Indexed keywords

ARTICLE; CALIBRATION; DECISION MAKING; PRIORITY JOURNAL; PROBABILITY; STATISTICS;

EID: 0034648924     PISSN: 00100277     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/S0010-0277(99)00084-0     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (56)

References (51)
  • 1
    • 0002560333 scopus 로고
    • A progress report on the training of probability assessors
    • D. Kahneman, P. Slovic, & A. Tversky. New York: Cambridge University Press
    • Alpert M., Raiffa H. A progress report on the training of probability assessors. Kahneman D., Slovic P., Tversky A. Judgment under uncertainty: heuristics and biases. 1982;294-305 Cambridge University Press, New York.
    • (1982) Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases , pp. 294-305
    • Alpert, M.1    Raiffa, H.2
  • 2
    • 0002774299 scopus 로고
    • Base rates in Bayesian inference: Signal detection analysis of the cab problem
    • Birnbaum M.H. Base rates in Bayesian inference: signal detection analysis of the cab problem. American Journal of Psychology. 96:1983;85-94.
    • (1983) American Journal of Psychology , vol.96 , pp. 85-94
    • Birnbaum, M.H.1
  • 4
    • 0042123195 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Are humans good intuitive statisticians after all? Rethinking some conclusions from the literature on judgment under uncertainty
    • Cosmides L., Tooby J. Are humans good intuitive statisticians after all? Rethinking some conclusions from the literature on judgment under uncertainty. Cognition. 58:1996;1-73.
    • (1996) Cognition , vol.58 , pp. 1-73
    • Cosmides, L.1    Tooby, J.2
  • 6
    • 0003320783 scopus 로고
    • Foresight: Its logical laws, its subjective sources
    • H.E. Jr. Kyburg, & H.E. Smokler. Huntington, NY: Krieger. (Original work published 1937)
    • Finetti B.de. Foresight: its logical laws, its subjective sources. Kyburg H.E. Jr., Smokler H.E. Studies in subjective probability. 2nd ed :1980;53-118 Krieger, Huntington, NY. (Original work published 1937).
    • (1980) Studies in Subjective Probability 2nd Ed , pp. 53-118
    • Finetti, B.D.1
  • 7
    • 84953484366 scopus 로고
    • How to make cognitive illusions disappear: Beyond "heuristics and biases"
    • W. Stroebe, Hewstone M. Chichester, UK: Wiley
    • Gigerenzer G. How to make cognitive illusions disappear: beyond "heuristics and biases" Stroebe W., Hewstone M. European review of social psychology. 1991;83-115 Wiley, Chichester, UK.
    • (1991) European Review of Social Psychology , pp. 83-115
    • Gigerenzer, G.1
  • 9
    • 0011569394 scopus 로고
    • The bounded rationality of probabilistic mental models
    • K.I. Manktelow, & D.E. Over. London: Routledge
    • Gigerenzer G. The bounded rationality of probabilistic mental models. Manktelow K.I., Over D.E. Rationality: psychological and philosophical perspectives. 1993;284-313 Routledge, London.
    • (1993) Rationality: Psychological and Philosophical Perspectives , pp. 284-313
    • Gigerenzer, G.1
  • 10
    • 0001939454 scopus 로고
    • Why the distinction between single-event probabilities and frequencies is important for psychology (and vice versa)
    • G. Wright, & P. Ayton. Chichester, UK: Wiley
    • Gigerenzer G. Why the distinction between single-event probabilities and frequencies is important for psychology (and vice versa). Wright G., Ayton P. Subjective probability. 1994;129-161 Wiley, Chichester, UK.
    • (1994) Subjective Probability , pp. 129-161
    • Gigerenzer, G.1
  • 11
    • 0000714472 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • On narrow norms and vague heuristics: A reply to Kahneman and Tversky (1996)
    • Gigerenzer G. On narrow norms and vague heuristics: a reply to Kahneman and Tversky (1996). Psychological Review. 103:1996;592-596.
    • (1996) Psychological Review , vol.103 , pp. 592-596
    • Gigerenzer, G.1
  • 12
    • 0001878380 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Ecological intelligence: An adaptation for frequencies
    • D.D. Cummins, & C. Allen. New York: Oxford University Press
    • Gigerenzer G. Ecological intelligence: an adaptation for frequencies. Cummins D.D., Allen C. The evolution of mind. 1998;9-29 Oxford University Press, New York.
    • (1998) The Evolution of Mind , pp. 9-29
    • Gigerenzer, G.1
  • 14
    • 11944267218 scopus 로고
    • How to improve Bayesian reasoning without instruction: Frequency formats
    • Gigerenzer G., Hoffrage U. How to improve Bayesian reasoning without instruction: frequency formats. Psychological Review. 102:1995;684-704.
    • (1995) Psychological Review , vol.102 , pp. 684-704
    • Gigerenzer, G.1    Hoffrage, U.2
  • 15
    • 0026234897 scopus 로고
    • Probabilistic mental models: A Brunswikian theory of confidence
    • Gigerenzer G., Hoffrage U., Kleinbölting H. Probabilistic mental models: a Brunswikian theory of confidence. Psychological Review. 98:1991;506-528.
    • (1991) Psychological Review , vol.98 , pp. 506-528
    • Gigerenzer, G.1    Hoffrage, U.2    Kleinbölting, H.3
  • 19
    • 0010914508 scopus 로고
    • Kinds of probability
    • Good I.J. Kinds of probability. Science. 129:1959;443-447.
    • (1959) Science , vol.129 , pp. 443-447
    • Good, I.J.1
  • 21
    • 22844456018 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The "conjunction fallacy" revisited: How intelligent inferences look like reasoning errors
    • Hertwig R., Gigerenzer G. The "conjunction fallacy" revisited: how intelligent inferences look like reasoning errors. Journal of Behavioral Decision Making. 12:1999;275-305.
    • (1999) Journal of Behavioral Decision Making , vol.12 , pp. 275-305
    • Hertwig, R.1    Gigerenzer, G.2
  • 25
    • 0043097906 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A nonpragmatic vindication of probabilism
    • Joyce J. A nonpragmatic vindication of probabilism. Philosophy of Science. 65:1998;575-603.
    • (1998) Philosophy of Science , vol.65 , pp. 575-603
    • Joyce, J.1
  • 28
    • 19244362077 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • On the reality of cognitive illusions
    • Kahneman D., Tversky A. On the reality of cognitive illusions. Psychological Review. 103:1996;582-591.
    • (1996) Psychological Review , vol.103 , pp. 582-591
    • Kahneman, D.1    Tversky, A.2
  • 29
    • 0001037403 scopus 로고
    • Calibration and probability judgments: Conceptual and methodological issues
    • Keren G. Calibration and probability judgments: conceptual and methodological issues. Acta Psychologica. 77:1991;217-273.
    • (1991) Acta Psychologica , vol.77 , pp. 217-273
    • Keren, G.1
  • 30
    • 0029969593 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The base rate fallacy reconsidered: Descriptive, normative, and methodological challenges
    • Koehler J.J. The base rate fallacy reconsidered: descriptive, normative, and methodological challenges. Behavioral and Brain Sciences. 19:1996;1-17.
    • (1996) Behavioral and Brain Sciences , vol.19 , pp. 1-17
    • Koehler, J.J.1
  • 32
    • 0002941732 scopus 로고
    • Calibration of probabilities: The state of the art to 1980
    • D. Kahneman, P. Slovic, & A. Tversky. New York: Cambridge University Press
    • Lichtenstein S., Fischhoff B., Phillips L.D. Calibration of probabilities: the state of the art to 1980. Kahneman D., Slovic P., Tversky A. Judgment under uncertainty: heuristics and biases. 1982;306-334 Cambridge University Press, New York.
    • (1982) Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases , pp. 306-334
    • Lichtenstein, S.1    Fischhoff, B.2    Phillips, L.D.3
  • 34
    • 0004156401 scopus 로고
    • New York: Cambridge University Press
    • Maher P. Betting on theories. 1993;Cambridge University Press, New York.
    • (1993) Betting on Theories
    • Maher, P.1
  • 35
    • 0009072417 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Depragmatized Dutch book arguments
    • Maher P. Depragmatized Dutch book arguments. Philosophy of Science. 64:1997;291-305.
    • (1997) Philosophy of Science , vol.64 , pp. 291-305
    • Maher, P.1
  • 37
    • 0032603211 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A generalized signal detection model to predict rational variation in base rate use
    • Mueser P.R., Cowan N., Mueser K.T. A generalized signal detection model to predict rational variation in base rate use. Cognition. 69:1999;267-312.
    • (1999) Cognition , vol.69 , pp. 267-312
    • Mueser, P.R.1    Cowan, N.2    Mueser, K.T.3
  • 40
    • 0002783468 scopus 로고
    • Truth and probability
    • H.E. Jr. Kyburg, & H.E. Smokler. Huntington, NY: Krieger. (Original work published 1926)
    • Ramsey F.P. Truth and probability. Kyburg H.E. Jr., Smokler H.E. Studies in subjective probability. 2nd ed. 1980;23-52 Krieger, Huntington, NY. (Original work published 1926).
    • (1980) Studies in Subjective Probability 2nd Ed. , pp. 23-52
    • Ramsey, F.P.1
  • 43
    • 77957059915 scopus 로고
    • Judgment in a social context: Biases, shortcomings, and the logic of conversation
    • Zanna M. San Diego, CA: Academic Press
    • Schwarz N. Judgment in a social context: biases, shortcomings, and the logic of conversation. Zanna M. Advances in Experimental Social Psychology. 1994;123-162 Academic Press, San Diego, CA.
    • (1994) Advances in Experimental Social Psychology , pp. 123-162
    • Schwarz, N.1
  • 47
    • 0016264378 scopus 로고
    • Judgment under uncertainty: Heuristics and biases
    • Tversky A., Kahneman D. Judgment under uncertainty: heuristics and biases. Science. 185:1974;1124-1131.
    • (1974) Science , vol.185 , pp. 1124-1131
    • Tversky, A.1    Kahneman, D.2
  • 48
    • 84942607494 scopus 로고
    • Causal schemas in judgments under uncertainty
    • M. Fishbein. Hillsdale, NJ: Erlbaum
    • Tversky A., Kahneman D. Causal schemas in judgments under uncertainty. Fishbein M. Progress in social psychology. 1980;49-72 Erlbaum, Hillsdale, NJ.
    • (1980) Progress in Social Psychology , pp. 49-72
    • Tversky, A.1    Kahneman, D.2
  • 49
    • 0002554835 scopus 로고
    • Evidential impact of base rates
    • D. Kahneman, P. Slovic, & A. Tversky. New York: Cambridge University Press
    • Tversky A., Kahneman D. Evidential impact of base rates. Kahneman D., Slovic P., Tversky A. Judgment under uncertainty: heuristics and biases. 1982;153-160 Cambridge University Press, New York.
    • (1982) Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases , pp. 153-160
    • Tversky, A.1    Kahneman, D.2
  • 50
    • 43249084062 scopus 로고
    • Extensional versus intuitive reasoning: The conjunction fallacy in probability judgment
    • Tversky A., Kahneman D. Extensional versus intuitive reasoning: the conjunction fallacy in probability judgment. Psychological Review. 90:1983;293-315.
    • (1983) Psychological Review , vol.90 , pp. 293-315
    • Tversky, A.1    Kahneman, D.2


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.