Potential production and environmental effects of switchgrass and traditional crops under current and greenhouse-altered climate in the central United States: A simulation study

Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment

Volumn 78, Issue 1, 2000, Pages 31-47

  Brown, R A ^a   Rosenberg, N J ^a   Hays, C J ^b   Easterling, W E ^c   Mearns, L O ^d  

^a PACIFIC NORTHWEST NATIONAL LABORATORY   (United States)

^b UNIVERSITY OF NEBRASKA LINCOLN   (United States)

^c PENNSYLVANIA STATE UNIVERSITY   (United States)

^d NATIONAL CENTER FOR ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH   (United States)

Author keywords

Biomass energy; Central US; Climate change; EPIC; Switchgrass

Indexed keywords

CLIMATE CHANGE; CROP PRODUCTION; ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT; GREENHOUSE GAS;

UNITED STATES;

GLYCINE MAX; MUSTELA VISON; PANICUM VIRGATUM; SORGHUM BICOLOR; TRITICUM AESTIVUM; ZEA MAYS;

EID: 0033980514     PISSN: 01678809     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/S0167-8809(99)00115-2     Document Type: Article

References (45)

1. Anderson, B., 1989. Establishing Dryland Forage Grasses. NebGuide G81-543. Coop. Extension, Institute of Agriculture and Natural Resources, Univ. of Nebraska, Lincoln, Nebraska.
2. Anderson, B., Shapiro, C.A., 1990. Fertilizing grass pastures and haylands. NebGuide G78-406. Coop. Extension, Institute of Agriculture and Natural Resources, Univ. of Nebraska, Lincoln, Nebraska.
3. Brown R.A., Rosenberg N.J. Climate change impacts on the potential productivity of corn and winter wheat in their primary growing regions. Clim.Change. 41:1999;73-107.
4. Brown, R.A., Rosenberg, N.J., Easterling, W.E., Hays, C.J., 1998. Potential production of switchgrass and traditional crops under current and greenhouse-altered climate in the 'MINK' region of the central United States. Rep. No. PNWD-2432, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Washington, DC.
5. 2 concentrations: a simulation study applying EPIC to the central United States. Agric. For. Meteorology. 83:1997;171-203.
6. Brown, R.A., Rosenberg, N.J., 1996. The potential for biomass energy production in the Missouri-Iowa-Nebraska-Kansas (MINK) region. In: Proc. of the 1995 Society of American Foresters Convention, Society of American Foresters, Bethesda, MD, pp. 204-209.
7. Easterling W.E., Weiss A., Hays C.J., Mearns L.O. Optimum spatial scales of climate information for simulating the effects of climate change on agrosystem productivity: the case of the US Great Plains. Agric. For. Meteorology. 90:1998;51-63.
8. 2. In: Rosenberg, N.J (Ed.), A Methodology for Assessing Regional Agricultural Consequences of Climate Change: Application to the Missouri-Iowa-Nebraska-Kansas (MINK) Region. Agric. and For. Meteorology 59, 17-34.
9. Giampietro M., Ulgiatti S., Pimentel D. Feasibility of large-scale biofuel production. Bioscience. 47:1997;587-600.
10. 2 climate over the central plains of the US. Clim. Change. 40:1998;457-493.
11. Graham R.L., Downing M., Walsh M.F. A framework to assess regional environmental impacts of dedicated energy crop production. Environ. Manage. 20:1996;475-485.
12. 2 emissions. Clim. Change. 22:1992;223-238.
13. Hall D.O. Biomass energy in industrialized countries - a view of the future. For. Ecol. and Manage. 91:1997;17-45.
14. Hall D.O., Mynick H.E., Williams R.H. Cooling the greenhouse with bioenergy. Nature. 353:1993;11-12.
15. Hall, D.O., Mynick, H.E., Williams, R.H., 1990. Carbon sequestration versus fossil fuel substitution: alternative roles for biomass in coping with greenhouse warming. Rep. No. 255. Center for Energy and Environmental Studies, Princeton University, New Jersey.
16. Kiniry J.R., Sanderson M.A., Williams J.R., Tischler C.R., Hussey M.A., Ocumpaugh W.R., Read J.C., Van Esbroeck G., Read R.L. Simulating Alamo switchgrass with the ALMANAC model. Agron. J. 88:1996;602-606.
17. Kiniry, J.R., Spanel, D.A., Williams, J.R., Jones, C.A., 1990. Demonstration and validation of crop grain yield simulation by EPIC. In: Sharpley, A.N., Williams, J.R. (Eds.), EPIC - Erosion Productivity Impact Calculator, Model Documentation, USDA-ARS Tech. Bull. No. 1768, USDA-ARS Grassland, Soil and Water Research Laboratory, Temple, TX, pp. 220-234.
18. Lowenberg-DeBoer J., Cherney J.H. Biophysical simulation for evaluating new crops: the case of switchgrass for biomass energy feedstock. Agric. Systems. 29:1989;233-246.
19. McCarl, B. A., Chang, C., Atwood, J.D., Nayda, W.I., 1998. Documentation of ASM: the US agricultural sector model. Dept. of Agric. Economics Technical Paper, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX.
20. Mearns, L.O., Mavromatis, T., Tsvetsinskaya, E., Hays, C.J., Easterling, W.E., 1999a. Comparative responses of EPIC and CERES crop models to high and low spatial resolution climate change scenarios. In: Giorgi, F. (Ed.), New Developments and Applications with the NCAR Regional Climate Model (RegCM). J. Geophysical Res. 104(D6), 6623-6646.
21. Mearns, L.O., Easterling, W.E., Hays, C.J., 1999b. Comparison of agricultural impacts of climate change calculated from high and low resolution climate model scenarios: Part 1. The uncertainty of spatial scale. Clim. Change, submitted.
22. Mearns, L.O., Giorgi F., Easterling, W.E., Weiss, A., 1996. Development of a nested regional model for the conterminous US and formation of high resolution climate change scenarios with an application to crop-climate models. In: Toward an Integrated Regional Research Program on Global Change and the Nation's Major Grasslands, Report GPRC 96-01, Great Plains Reg. Center for Global Env. Change, Inst. of Agriculture and Nat. Resources, Univ. of Nebraska, Lincoln, NE, pp. 47-50.
23. Mitchell, R., Moser, L., Anderson, B., Waller, S., 1994. Switchgrass and big bluestem for grazing and hay. NebGuide G94-1198-A. Coop. Extension, Institute of Agriculture and Natural Resources, Univ. of Nebraska, Lincoln, Nebraska.
24. Moulton, R.J., Richards, K.R., 1990. Costs of sequestering carbon through tree planting and forest management in the United States. US Dept. of Agriculture Forest Service Report GTR WO-58. Washington, DC.
25. Phillips D.L., White D., Johnson B. Implications of climate change scenarios for soil erosion potential in the USA. Land Degradation and Rehabilitation. 4:1993;61-72.
26. Ranney, J.W., Mann, L.K., 1994. Environmental considerations in energy crop production. In: Wright, L.L., Hohenstein, W.G. (Eds.), Dedicated Feedstock Supply Systems: Their Current Status in the USA, Biomass and Bioenergy 6, pp. 211-228.
27. Reese R.A., Aradhyula S.V., Shogren J.F., Tyson K.S. Herbaceous biomass feedstock production: the economic potential and impacts on US agriculture. Energy Policy. 21:1993;726-734.
28. Richardson, C.W., Nicks, A.D., 1990. Weather generator description. In: Sharpley, A.N., Williams, J.R. (Eds.), EPIC - Erosion Productivity Impact Calculator, Model Documentation, USDA-ARS Tech. Bull. No. 1768, USDA-ARS Grassland, Soil and Water Research Laboratory, Temple, TX, pp. 93-104.
29. Rosenberg N.J., Scott M.J. Implications of policies to prevent climate change for future food security. Global Environ. Change. 4:1994;49-62.
30. Rosenberg, N.J. (Ed.), 1993. A methodology for assessing regional agricultural consequences of climate change: application to the Missouri-Iowa-Nebraska-Kansas (MINK) region. Agric. and For. Meteorology 59, 1-127.
31. 2 conditions: comparisons with census, expert judgement and experimental plot data. In: Rosenberg, A., Methodology for Assessing Regional Agricultural Consequences of Climate Change: Application to the Missouri-Iowa-Nebraska-Kansas (MINK) Region. Agric. and For. Meteorology 59, 35-52.
32. Rosenzweig, C., Curry, B., Ritchie, J.T., Jones, J.W., Chou, T.Y., Goldberg, R., Iglesias, A., 1994. The effects of potential climate change on simulated grain crops in the United States. In: Rosenzweig, C., Iglesias, A. (Eds.), Implications of Climatic Change for International Agriculture: Crop Modeling Study. Report EPA 230-B-94-003, United States Environmental Protection Agency, Office of Policy, Planning, and Evaluation, Washington, DC.
33. Rosenzweig, C., 1989. Potential effects of climate change on agricultural production in the Great Plains: a simulation study. In: Smith, J.B., Tripak, D. (Eds.), The Potential Effects of Global Climate Change on the United States, Appendix C, vol. 1. United States Environmental Protection Agency, Office of Policy, Planning, and Evaluation, Washington, DC.
34. Sampson R.N., Wright L.L., Winjum J.K., Kinsman J.D., Benneman J., Kürsten E., Shurlock J.M.O. Biomass management and energy. Water, Air and Soil Pollution. 70:1993;139-159.
35. Sedjo, R.A., Solomon, A.M.,1989. Climate and Forests. In: Rosenberg, N.J., Easterling, W.E. III, Crosson, P.R., Darmstadter, J. (Eds.), Greenhouse Warming: Abatement and Adaptation. Resources for the Future, Washington, DC, pp. 105-119.
36. Stockle C.O., Williams J.R., Rosenberg N.J., Jones C.A. A method for estimating direct and climatic effects of rising atmospheric carbon dioxide on growth and yield of crops: Part I. Modification of the EPIC model for climate change analysis. Agric. Systems. 38:1992a;225-238.
37. Stockle C.O., Dyke P.T., Williams J.R., Jones C.A., Rosenberg N.J. A method for estimating direct and climatic effects of rising atmospheric carbon dioxide on growth and yield of crops. Part II. Sensitivity analysis at three sites in the Midwestern USA. Agric. Systems. 38:1992;239-256.
38. USDA-National Agricultural Statistics Service, 1983-1993. Crops County Data Database. Washington DC.
39. USDA, 1992. STATSGO - State soils geographic data base. Publication number 1492, Soil Conservation Service, Washington, DC.
40. Vogel, K.P., 1996a. Genetic variation among switchgrasses for agronomic traits, forage quality and biomass fuel production - Annual Report for 1995. Biofuels Feedstock Development Program, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge, TN.
41. Vogel K.P. Energy production from forages (or American agriculture - back to the future). J. Soil and Water Conservation. 51:1996;137-139.
42. 2 climates. Aust. Met. Mag. 44:1995;111-125.
43. Williams, J.R., 1995. The EPIC model. In: Singh, V.P. (Ed.), Computer models of watershed hydrology. Water Resources Publications, Highlands Ranch, CO, pp. 909-1000.
44. Williams, J.R., Dyke, P.T., Fuchs, W.W., Benson, V.W., Rice, O.W., Taylor, E.D., 1990. EPIC - erosion productivity impact calculator: users manual. In: Sharpley, A.N., Williams, J.R. (Eds.), EPIC - Erosion Productivity Impact Calculator, Model Documentation, USDA-ARS Tech. Bull. No. 1768, USDA-ARS Grassland, Soil and Water Research Laboratory, Temple, TX, 127 pp.
45. Wright, L.L., Hohenstein, W.G. (Eds.), 1994. Dedicated feedstock supply systems: their current status in the USA, Biomass and Bioenergy 6, pp. 159-241.