Applying Bayesian ideas to the development of medical guidelines

Statistics in Medicine

Volumn 18, Issue 2, 1999, Pages 117-137

  Landrum, Mary Beth ^a   Normand, Sharon Lise T ^a,b  

^a HARVARD MEDICAL SCHOOL   (United States)

^b HARVARD SCHOOL OF PUBLIC HEALTH   (United States)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

ACCURACY; ACUTE HEART INFARCTION; ANGIOCARDIOGRAPHY; ARTICLE; BAYES THEOREM; DIAGNOSTIC TEST; HEALTH CARE QUALITY; MEDICAL PRACTICE; PRACTICE GUIDELINE; PROBABILITY; PROGNOSIS; STATISTICAL ANALYSIS; STATISTICAL CONCEPTS; STATISTICAL MODEL; SYSTEM ANALYSIS; THERAPY;

BAYES THEOREM; CORONARY ANGIOGRAPHY; EXPERT TESTIMONY; HEALTH SERVICES MISUSE; HUMANS; MARKOV CHAINS; MODELS, STATISTICAL; MONTE CARLO METHOD; MYOCARDIAL INFARCTION; NORMAL DISTRIBUTION; PRACTICE GUIDELINES; QUALITY OF HEALTH CARE; REGRESSION ANALYSIS; RISK ASSESSMENT; UNITED STATES;

EID: 0033616447     PISSN: 02776715     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1002/(SICI)1097-0258(19990130)18:2<117::AID-SIM8>3.0.CO;2-7     Document Type: Article

References (52)

1. Epstein, A. E. 'Performance reports on quality prototypes, problems, and prospects', New England Journal of Medicine, 333, 57-61 (1995).
2. Konstam, M. A., Dracup D., et al. Heart Failure: Evaluation and Care of Patients with Left-Ventricular Systolic Dysfunction, Agency for Health Care Policy and Research, Rockville, MD, 1994.
3. Wenger, N. K., Froelicher, E. S., et al. Cardiac Rehabilitation, Agency for Health Care Policy and Research, Rockville, MD, 1994.
4. Park, R. E., Fink, A., Brook, R. H., Chassin, M. R., Kahn, K. L., Merrick, N. J., Kosecoff, J. and Soloman, D. H. 'Physician ratings of appropriate indications for six medical and surgical procedures', American Journal of Public Health, 76, 766-772 (1986).
5. Fleiss, J. L. The Design and Analysis of Clinical Experiments, Wiley, Toronto, Canada, 1986.
6. Chaloner, K., Church, T., Louis, T. A. and Matts, J. P. 'Graphical elicitation of a prior distribution for a clinical trial', Statistician, 42, 341-353 (1993).
7. Chaloner, K. and Duncan, G. T. 'Assessment of a Beta prior distribution', Statistician, 32, 174-180 (1983).
8. Garthwaite, P. H. and Dickey, J. M. 'Elicitation of prior distributions for variable-selection problems in regression', Annals of Statistics, 20, 1697-1719 (1992).
9. Garthwaite, P. H. and Dickey, J. M. 'Quantifying expert opinion in linear regression problems', Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series B, 50, 462-474 (1992).
10. Laud, P. S and Ibrahim, J. G. 'Predictive model selection', Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series B, 57, 247-262 (1995).
11. Laud, P. S. and Ibrahim, J. G. 'Predictive specification of prior model probabilities in variable selection', Biometrika, 83, 267-274 (1996).
12. Singpurwalla, N. D. 'An interactive PC-based procedure for reliability assessment incorporating expert opinion and survival data', Journal of the American Statistical Association, 83, 43-51 (1988).
13. Freedman, L. S. and Spiegelhalter, D. J. 'The assessment of subjective opinion and its use in relation to stopping rules for clinical trial', Statistician, 33, 153-160 (1983).
14. Spiegelhalter, D. J. and Freedman, L. S. 'A predictive approach to selecting the size of a clinical trial, based on subjective clinical opinion', Statistics in Medicine, 5, 1-13 (1986).
15. DeGroot, M. H. 'Reaching a consensus', Journal of the American Statistical Association, 69, 118-121 (1974).
16. Genest, C. and Schervish, M. J. 'Modeling expert judgment for Bayesian updating', Annals of Statistics, 13, 1198-1212 (1985).
17. Gilardoni, G. L. and Clayton, M. K. 'On reaching consensus using DeGroot's iterative pooling', Annals of Statistics, 21, 391-401 (1993).
18. Frazier, H. S. and Mosteller, F. Medicine Worth Paying For: Assessing Medical Innovations, Harvard University Press, Cambridge, MA, 1995.
19. Berstein, S. J., McGlynn, E. A., Siu, A. L., Roth, C. P., Sherwood, M. J., Keesey, J. W., Kosecoff, J., Hicks, N. R. and Brook, R. H. 'The appropriateness of hysterectomy: a comparison of care in seven health plans', Journal of the American Medical Association, 269, 2398-2402 (1993).
20. Bernstein, S. J., Kosecoff, J., Gray, D., Hampton, J. R. and Brook, R. H. 'The appropriateness of the use of cardiovascular procedures: British versus US perspectives', International Journal of Technology Assessments in Health Care, 9, 3-10 (1993).
21. Hilborne, L. H., Leape, L. L., Bernstein, S. J., Park, R. E., Fiske, M. E., Kambery, C. J., Roth, C. P. and Brook, R. H. 'The appropriateness of use of percutaneous transluminal coronary angioplasty in New York State', Journal of the American Medical Association, 269, 761-765 (1993).
22. Brook, R. H., Park, R. E., Chassin, M. R., Solomon, D. H., Keesey, J. and Kosecoff, J. 'Predicting the appropriate use of carotid endarterectomy, upper gastrointestinal endoscopy, and coronary angiography', New England Journal of Medicine, 323, 1173-1177 (1993).
23. Coulter, I., Adams, A. and Shekelle, P. 'Impact of varying panel membership on ratings of appropriateness in consensus panels: A comparison of multi- and single disciplinary panel', Health Services Research, 30, 577-591 (1995).
24. Bernstein, S. J., Laouri, M., Hilborne, L. H., Leape, L. L., Kahan, J. P., Park, R. E., Kamberg, C. J. and Brook, R. H. Coronary Angiography: A Literature Review and Ratings of Appropriateness and Necessity, RAND Corporation, Santa Monica, CA, 1992.
25. Toledano, A. Y. and Gatsonis, C. 'Ordinal regression methodology for ROC curves derived from correlated data', Statistics in Medicine, 15, 1807-1826 (1996).
26. Qu, Y., Peidmonte, M. R. and Medendorp, S. V. 'Latent variable models for clustered ordinal data', Biometrics, 51, 268-275 (1995).
27. Espeland, M. A. and Handelman, S. L. 'Using latent class models to characterize and assess relative error in discrete measurements', Biometrics, 45, 587-599 (1989).
28. Uebersax, J. S. and Grove, W. M. 'Latent class analysis of diagnmostic agreement', Statistics in Medicine, 9, 559-572 (1990).
29. Qu, Y., Ming, T. and Kutner, M. H. 'Random effects models in latent class analysis for evaluating accuracy of diagnostic tests', Biometrics, 52, 797-810 (1996).
30. Uebersax, J. S. and Grove, W. M. 'A latent trait finite mixtue model for the analysis of rating agreement', Biometrics, 49, 823-835 (1993).
31. Uebersax, J. S. 'Statistical modeling of expert ratings on medical treatment appropriateness', Journal of the American Statistical Society, 88, 421-427 (1993).
32. Clogg, C. C. 'Some latent structure models for the analysis of Likert-type data', Social Science Research, 8, 287-301 (1979).
33. Rost, J. 'Rating scale analysis with latent class models', Psychometrika, 53, 327-348 (1988).
34. Hedeker, D. and Gibbons, R. D. 'A random-effects ordinal regression model for multilevel analysis', Biometrics, 50, 933-944 (1994).
35. Crouchley, R. 'Random effects model for ordered categorical data', Journal of the American Statistical Association, 90, 489-498 (1995).
36. Jansen, J. 'On the statistical analysis of ordinal data when extravariation is present', Applied Statistics, 39, 75-84 (1990).
37. Ezzel, F. and Whitehead, J. 'A random effects model for ordinal responses from a crossover trial', Statistics in Medicine, 10, 901-907 (1991).
38. Agresti, A. and Lang, J. B. 'A proportional odds model with subject-specific effects for repeated ordered categorical responses', Biometrika, 80, 527-534 (1993).
39. Harville, D. A. and Mee, R. W. 'A mixed-model procedure for analyzing ordered categorical data', Biometrics, 40, 393-408 (1984).
40. Johnson, V. E. 'On Bayesian analysis of multirater ordinal data: An application to automated essay grading', Journal of the American Statistical Society, 91, 42-51 (1996).
41. Albert, J. H. 'Bayesian analysis of binary and polytomous response data', Journal of the American Statistical Association, 88, 669-679 (1993).
42. Nandram, B. and Chen, M. H. 'Reparameterizing the generalized linear model to accelerate Gibbs sampler convergence', Journal of Statistical Computations and Simulations, 54, 129-144 (1996).
43. Bates, D. W., Miller, E., Bernstein, S. J., Hauptman, P. J. and Leape, L. L. 'Coronary angiography and angioplasty after acute myocardial infarction', Annals of Internal Medicine, 126, 539-550 (1997).
44. Kahan, J. P., Park, R. E., Leape, L. L., Bernstein, S. J., Hilborne L. H., Parker, L., Kamverg, C. J., Ballard, D. J. and Brook, R. H. 'Variations by specialty in physician ratings of the appropriateness and necessity of indications for procedures', Medical Care, 34, 512-523 (1996).
45. Brook, R. H. 'The RAND/UCLA appropriateness method', in McCormick, K. A., Moore, S. R. and Siegel, R. A. (eds), Methodological Perspectives, AHCPR Pub. No 95-0009, Public Health Service, U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, Rockville MD, 1994, pp. 59-70.
46. Sackett, D. L. and Gent, M. 'Controversy in counting and attributing events in clinical trials', New England Journal of Medicine, 301, 1410-1412 (1979).
47. Gilks, W. R., Thomas, A. and Spiegelhalter, D. J. 'A language and program for complex Bayesian modeling', Statistician, 43, 169-178 (1994).
48. Gelman, A. and Rubin, D. B. 'Inference from iteration simulatin using multiple sequences', Statistical Science, 7, 457-472 (1992).
49. Best, N. G., Cowles, M. K. and Vines, S. K. CODA Manual version 0.30, MRC Biostatistics Unit, Cambridge, UK, 1995.
50. Gelman, A., Carlin, J., Stern, H. and Rubin, D. B. Bayesian Data Analysis, Chapman and Hall, New York, NY, 1995.
51. Dempster, A. P. 'The direct use of likelihood for significance testing', in Barndorff-Nielsen, O., Blaesild, P. and Schou, G. (eds), Proceedings of Conference on Foundational Questions in Statistical Inference, Department of Theoretical Statistics, University of Aarhus, 1974, pp. 335-352.
52. Normand, S. L., Glickman, M. E. and Ryan, T. 'Modeling mortality rates for elderly heart attack patients: profiling hospitals in the Cooperative Cardiovascular Project', in Gatsonis, C., Hodges, J. S., Kass, R. E., McCulloch, R., Rossi, P. and Singpurwalla N. D. (eds), Case Studies in Bayesian Statistics, Volume III, Springer-Verlag, New York, NY, 1997, pp. 155-236.