메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 19, Issue 13, 1999, Pages 1477-1492

Change in the association between Indian Ocean sea-surface temperatures and summer rainfall over South Africa and Namibia

Author keywords

El Nino Southern Oscillation; Indian Ocean; Namibia; Principal component analysis; Rainfall variability; Sea surface temperatures; Seasonal forecasting; South Africa

Indexed keywords

EL NINO-SOUTHERN OSCILLATION; PRINCIPAL COMPONENT ANALYSIS; RAINFALL; SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE; SUMMER;

EID: 0033570683     PISSN: 08998418     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1002/(SICI)1097-0088(19991115)19:13<1477::AID-JOC432>3.0.CO;2-W     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (79)

References (50)
  • 1
    • 0029476675 scopus 로고
    • Multidecadal variability in the climate system over the Indian Ocean region during the austral summer
    • Allan, R.J., Lindesay, J.A. and Reason, C.J.C. 1995. 'Multidecadal variability in the climate system over the Indian Ocean region during the austral summer', J. Climatol., 8, 1953-1873.
    • (1995) J. Climatol. , vol.8 , pp. 1953-11873
    • Allan, R.J.1    Lindesay, J.A.2    Reason, C.J.C.3
  • 2
    • 0027070241 scopus 로고
    • Prediction of ENSO using canonical correlation analysis
    • Barnston, A.G. and Ropelewski, C.F. 1992. 'Prediction of ENSO using canonical correlation analysis', J. Climatol., 5, 1316-1345.
    • (1992) J. Climatol. , vol.5 , pp. 1316-1345
    • Barnston, A.G.1    Ropelewski, C.F.2
  • 3
    • 0022208728 scopus 로고
    • The southern oscillation over the Indian Ocean
    • Cadet, D.L. 1985. 'The Southern Oscillation over the Indian Ocean', J. Climatol., 5, 189-212.
    • (1985) J. Climatol. , vol.5 , pp. 189-212
    • Cadet, D.L.1
  • 4
    • 0033414872 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The extreme precipitation event of 11 to 16 February 1996 over South Africa
    • in press
    • Crimp, S.J. and Mason, S.J. 1999. 'The extreme precipitation event of 11 to 16 February 1996 over South Africa', Meteorol. Atmos. Phys., in press.
    • (1999) Meteorol. Atmos. Phys.
    • Crimp, S.J.1    Mason, S.J.2
  • 5
    • 84986642701 scopus 로고
    • Water vapour transport over southern Africa during wet and dry early and summer months
    • D'Abreton, P.C. and Lindesay, J.A. 1993. 'Water vapour transport over southern Africa during wet and dry early and summer months', Int. J. Climatol., 13, 151-170.
    • (1993) Int. J. Climatol. , vol.13 , pp. 151-170
    • D'Abreton, P.C.1    Lindesay, J.A.2
  • 6
    • 21844508772 scopus 로고
    • Divergent and non-divergent water vapour transport over southern Africa during wet and dry conditions
    • D'Abreton, P.C. and Tyson, P.D. 1995. 'Divergent and non-divergent water vapour transport over southern Africa during wet and dry conditions', Meteorol. Atmos. Phys., 55, 47-59.
    • (1995) Meteorol. Atmos. Phys. , vol.55 , pp. 47-59
    • D'Abreton, P.C.1    Tyson, P.D.2
  • 7
    • 0030452833 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Three dimensional kinematic trajectory modelling of water vapour transport over southern Africa
    • D'Abreton, P.C. and Tyson, P.D. 1996. 'Three dimensional kinematic trajectory modelling of water vapour transport over southern Africa', WaterSA, 22, 297-305.
    • (1996) WaterSA , vol.22 , pp. 297-305
    • D'Abreton, P.C.1    Tyson, P.D.2
  • 9
    • 0033609587 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The importance of the Indian Ocean for simulating rainfall anomalies over eastern and southern Africa
    • accepted for publication
    • Goddard, L.M. and Graham, N.B. 1999. 'The importance of the Indian Ocean for simulating rainfall anomalies over eastern and southern Africa', J. Geophys. Res., accepted for publication.
    • (1999) J. Geophys. Res.
    • Goddard, L.M.1    Graham, N.E.2
  • 10
    • 0028571653 scopus 로고
    • Decadal-scale climate variability in the tropical and North Pacific during the 1970s and 1980s: Observations and model results
    • Graham, N.E. 1994. 'Decadal-scale climate variability in the tropical and North Pacific during the 1970s and 1980s: observations and model results', Climate Dyn., 10, 135-162.
    • (1994) Climate Dyn. , vol.10 , pp. 135-162
    • Graham, N.E.1
  • 11
    • 0028976251 scopus 로고
    • Simulation of recent global temperature trends
    • Graham, N.E. 1995. 'Simulation of recent global temperature trends', Science, 267, 666-671.
    • (1995) Science , vol.267 , pp. 666-671
    • Graham, N.E.1
  • 12
    • 0000262973 scopus 로고
    • Atmospheric-hydrospheric mechanisms of climate anomalies in the western Equatorial Indian Ocean
    • Hastenrath, S., Nicklis, A. and Greischar, L. 1993. 'Atmospheric-hydrospheric mechanisms of climate anomalies in the Western Equatorial Indian Ocean', J. Geophys. Res., 98, 20219-20235.
    • (1993) J. Geophys. Res. , vol.98 , pp. 20219-20235
    • Hastenrath, S.1    Nicklis, A.2    Greischar, L.3
  • 13
    • 0029729784 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Recent climate change in the world's drylands
    • Hulme, M. 1996. 'Recent climate change in the world's drylands', Geophys. Res. Lett., 23, 61-64.
    • (1996) Geophys. Res. Lett. , vol.23 , pp. 61-64
    • Hulme, M.1
  • 15
    • 0002478318 scopus 로고
    • A study of climate and weather variability over the tropical southwest Indian Ocean
    • Jury, M.R. and Pathack, B. 1991. 'A study of climate and weather variability over the tropical southwest Indian Ocean', Meteorol. Atmos. Phys., 47, 37-48.
    • (1991) Meteorol. Atmos. Phys. , vol.47 , pp. 37-48
    • Jury, M.R.1    Pathack, B.2
  • 16
    • 0027796280 scopus 로고
    • Influence of the Agulhas current on summer rainfall along the southeast coast of South Africa
    • Jury, M.R., Valentine, H.R. and Lutjeharms, J.R.E. 1993. 'Influence of the Agulhas current on summer rainfall along the southeast coast of South Africa', J. Appl. Meteorol., 32, 1282-1287.
    • (1993) J. Appl. Meteorol. , vol.32 , pp. 1282-1287
    • Jury, M.R.1    Valentine, H.R.2    Lutjeharms, J.R.E.3
  • 18
    • 0028333193 scopus 로고
    • A rotated EOF analysis of global sea surface temperature variability with interannual and interdecadal scales
    • Kawamura, R. 1994. 'A rotated EOF analysis of global sea surface temperature variability with interannual and interdecadal scales', J. Phys. Ocean., 24, 707-715.
    • (1994) J. Phys. Ocean. , vol.24 , pp. 707-715
    • Kawamura, R.1
  • 19
    • 0001327505 scopus 로고
    • Unmasking a shifty climate system
    • Kerr, R.A. 1992. 'Unmasking a shifty climate system', Science, 255, 1508-1510.
    • (1992) Science , vol.255 , pp. 1508-1510
    • Kerr, R.A.1
  • 20
    • 0032722690 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Operational long-lead prediction of South African rainfall using canonical correlation analysis
    • in press
    • Landman, W.A. and Mason, S.J. 1999. 'Operational long-lead prediction of South African rainfall using canonical correlation analysis', Int. J. Climatol., in press.
    • (1999) Int. J. Climatol.
    • Landman, W.A.1    Mason, S.J.2
  • 21
    • 0029413453 scopus 로고
    • Interactions of the tropical oceans
    • Latif, M. and Barnett, T.P. 1995. 'Interactions of the tropical oceans', J. Climatol., 8, 952-964.
    • (1995) J. Climatol. , vol.8 , pp. 952-964
    • Latif, M.1    Barnett, T.P.2
  • 22
    • 0000523962 scopus 로고
    • Climate variability in a coupled GCM. Part II: The Indian Ocean and monsoon
    • Latif, M., Sterl, A., Assenbaum, M., Junge, M.M. and Maier-Reimer, E. 1994. 'Climate variability in a coupled GCM. Part II: the Indian Ocean and monsoon', J. Climatol., 7, 1449-1462.
    • (1994) J. Climatol. , vol.7 , pp. 1449-1462
    • Latif, M.1    Sterl, A.2    Assenbaum, M.3    Junge, M.M.4    Maier-Reimer, E.5
  • 23
    • 0026289974 scopus 로고
    • Atmospheric circulation controls and characteristics of a flood event in central South Africa
    • Lindesay, J.A. and Jury, M.R. 1991. 'Atmospheric circulation controls and characteristics of a flood event in central South Africa', Int. J. Climatol., 11, 609-627.
    • (1991) Int. J. Climatol. , vol.11 , pp. 609-627
    • Lindesay, J.A.1    Jury, M.R.2
  • 24
    • 0000299553 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Predictability of Zimbabwe summer rainfall
    • Makarau, A. and Jury, M.R. 1997. 'Predictability of Zimbabwe summer rainfall', Int. J. Climatol., 17, 1421-1432.
    • (1997) Int. J. Climatol. , vol.17 , pp. 1421-1432
    • Makarau, A.1    Jury, M.R.2
  • 25
    • 0025666071 scopus 로고
    • Temporal variability of sea surface temperatures around southern Africa: A possible forcing mechanism for the 18-year rainfall oscillation?
    • Mason, S.J. 1990. 'Temporal variability of sea surface temperatures around Southern Africa: a possible forcing mechanism for the 18-year rainfall oscillation?', S. Afr. J. Sci., 86, 243-252.
    • (1990) S. Afr. J. Sci. , vol.86 , pp. 243-252
    • Mason, S.J.1
  • 26
    • 0028789580 scopus 로고
    • Sea-surface temperature-South African rainfall associations, 1910-1989
    • Mason, S.J. 1995. 'Sea-surface temperature-South African rainfall associations, 1910-1989', Int. J. Climatol., 15, 119-135.
    • (1995) Int. J. Climatol. , vol.15 , pp. 119-135
    • Mason, S.J.1
  • 27
    • 0031960914 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Seasonal forecasting of South African rainfall using a non-linear discriminant analysis model
    • Mason, S.J. 1998. 'Seasonal forecasting of South African rainfall using a non-linear discriminant analysis model', Int. J. Climatol., 18, 147-164.
    • (1998) Int. J. Climatol. , vol.18 , pp. 147-164
    • Mason, S.J.1
  • 28
    • 0031465846 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate variability and change over southern Africa: A reflection on underlying processes
    • Mason, S.J. and Jury, M.R. 1997. 'Climate variability and change over southern Africa: a reflection on underlying processes', Prog. Phys. Geog., 21, 23-50.
    • (1997) Prog. Phys. Geog. , vol.21 , pp. 23-50
    • Mason, S.J.1    Jury, M.R.2
  • 29
    • 0343811220 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The occurrence and predictability of droughts over southern Africa
    • Wilhite, D.A. (ed.), Routledge, London, in press
    • Mason, S.J. and Tyson, P.D. 1999. The occurrence and predictability of droughts over southern Africa', in Wilhite, D.A. (ed.), Hazards and Disasters: A Series of Definitive Major Works, Routledge, London, in press.
    • (1999) Hazards and Disasters: A Series of Definitive Major Works
    • Mason, S.J.1    Tyson, P.D.2
  • 30
    • 0001847107 scopus 로고
    • Simulating drought in southern Africa using sea-surface temperature variations
    • Mason, S.J., Lindesay, J.A. and Tyson, P.D. 1994. 'Simulating drought in southern Africa using sea-surface temperature variations', WaterSA, 20, 15-22.
    • (1994) WaterSA , vol.20 , pp. 15-22
    • Mason, S.J.1    Lindesay, J.A.2    Tyson, P.D.3
  • 31
    • 0002859305 scopus 로고
    • A coupled air-sea biennial mechanism in the tropical Indian and Pacific regions: Role of the oceans
    • Meehl, G.A. 1993. 'A coupled air-sea biennial mechanism in the tropical Indian and Pacific regions: role of the oceans', J. Climatol., 6, 31-41.
    • (1993) J. Climatol. , vol.6 , pp. 31-41
    • Meehl, G.A.1
  • 32
    • 0030429264 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • ENSO seasonality: 1950-78 Versus 1979-92
    • Mitchell, T.P. and Wallace, J.M. 1996. 'ENSO seasonality: 1950-78 versus 1979-92', J. Climate, 9, 3149-3161.
    • (1996) J. Climate , vol.9 , pp. 3149-3161
    • Mitchell, T.P.1    Wallace, J.M.2
  • 33
    • 0028827938 scopus 로고
    • Coupled atmosphere-ocean model simulations of El Niño/Southern Oscillation with and without an active Indian Ocean
    • Nagai, T., Kitamura, Y., Endoh, M. and Tokioka, T. 1995. 'Coupled atmosphere-ocean model simulations of El Niño/Southern Oscillation with and without an active Indian Ocean', J. Climatol., 8, 3-14.
    • (1995) J. Climatol. , vol.8 , pp. 3-14
    • Nagai, T.1    Kitamura, Y.2    Endoh, M.3    Tokioka, T.4
  • 34
    • 0030921026 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • An analysis of the ENSO signal in the tropical Atlantic and western Indian oceans
    • Nicholson, S.E. 1997. 'An analysis of the ENSO signal in the tropical Atlantic and western Indian Oceans', Int. J. Climatol., 17, 345-375.
    • (1997) Int. J. Climatol. , vol.17 , pp. 345-375
    • Nicholson, S.E.1
  • 35
    • 0023470245 scopus 로고
    • Rainfall variability in equatorial and southern Africa: Relationships with sea surface temperatures along the southwestern coast of Africa
    • Nicholson, S.E. and Entekhabi, D. 1987. 'Rainfall variability in equatorial and southern Africa: relationships with sea surface temperatures along the southwestern coast of Africa', J. Clim. Appl. Meteorol., 26, 561-578.
    • (1987) J. Clim. Appl. Meteorol. , vol.26 , pp. 561-578
    • Nicholson, S.E.1    Entekhabi, D.2
  • 36
    • 0029480465 scopus 로고
    • Marine surface temperature: Observed variations and data requirements
    • Parker, D.E., Folland, C.K. and Jackson, M. 1995. 'Marine surface temperature: observed variations and data requirements', Clim. Change, 31, 559-600.
    • (1995) Clim. Change , vol.31 , pp. 559-600
    • Parker, D.E.1    Folland, C.K.2    Jackson, M.3
  • 39
    • 0002397310 scopus 로고
    • A real-time global sea surface temperature analysis
    • Reynolds, R.W. 1988. 'A real-time global sea surface temperature analysis', J. Climatol., 1, 75-86.
    • (1988) J. Climatol. , vol.1 , pp. 75-86
    • Reynolds, R.W.1
  • 40
    • 0028581380 scopus 로고
    • Improved global sea surface temperature analysis using optimal interpolation
    • Reynolds, R.W. and Smith, T.M. 1994. 'Improved global sea surface temperature analysis using optimal interpolation', J. Climatol., 7, 929-948.
    • (1994) J. Climatol. , vol.7 , pp. 929-948
    • Reynolds, R.W.1    Smith, T.M.2
  • 41
    • 0022891638 scopus 로고
    • Rotation of principal components
    • Richman, M.B. 1986. 'Rotation of principal components', J. Climatol., 6, 293-335.
    • (1986) J. Climatol. , vol.6 , pp. 293-335
    • Richman, M.B.1
  • 42
    • 0030680168 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Interannual variability of south-eastern African summer rainfall. Part I: Relationships with air-sea interaction processes
    • Rocha, A. and Simmonds, I.T. 1997. 'Interannual variability of south-eastern African summer rainfall. Part I: relationships with air-sea interaction processes', Int. J. Climatol., 17, 235-266.
    • (1997) Int. J. Climatol. , vol.17 , pp. 235-266
    • Rocha, A.1    Simmonds, I.T.2
  • 43
    • 0029669590 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Influence of Indian Ocean sea-surface temperature anomalies on the general circulation of southern Africa
    • Tennant, W.J. 1996. 'Influence of Indian Ocean sea-surface temperature anomalies on the general circulation of southern Africa', S. Afr. J. Sci., 92, 289-295.
    • (1996) S. Afr. J. Sci. , vol.92 , pp. 289-295
    • Tennant, W.J.1
  • 44
    • 0000148490 scopus 로고
    • Precipitation averages for large areas
    • Thiessen, A.H. 1911. 'Precipitation averages for large areas', Mon. Wea. Rev., 39, 1082-1084.
    • (1911) Mon. Wea. Rev. , vol.39 , pp. 1082-1084
    • Thiessen, A.H.1
  • 45
    • 0025590085 scopus 로고
    • Recent observed interdecadal climate changes in the northern hemisphere
    • Trenberth, K.E. 1990. 'Recent observed interdecadal climate changes in the Northern Hemisphere', Bull. Amer. Meteorol. Soc., 71, 988-993.
    • (1990) Bull. Amer. Meteorol. Soc. , vol.71 , pp. 988-993
    • Trenberth, K.E.1
  • 46
    • 0029752972 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The 1990-1995 El Niño-Southern Oscillation event: Longest on record
    • Trenberth, K.E. and Hoar, T.J. 1996. 'The 1990-1995 El Niño-Southern Oscillation event: longest on record', Geophys. Res. Lett., 23, 57-60.
    • Geophys. Res. Lett. , vol.23 , pp. 57-60
    • Trenberth, K.E.1    Hoar, T.J.2
  • 48
    • 0025206097 scopus 로고
    • Links between South African summer rainfall and temperature variability of the Agulhas and Benguela currents systems
    • Walker, N.D. 1990. 'Links between South African summer rainfall and temperature variability of the Agulhas and Benguela currents systems', J. Geophys. Res., 95, 3297-3319.
    • (1990) J. Geophys. Res. , vol.95 , pp. 3297-3319
    • Walker, N.D.1
  • 49
    • 0024855338 scopus 로고
    • Preliminary observations of oceanic influences on the February-March 1988 floods in central South Africa
    • Walker, N.D. and Lindesay, J.A. 1989. 'Preliminary observations of oceanic influences on the February-March 1988 floods in central South Africa', S. Afr. J. Sci., 85, 164-169.
    • (1989) S. Afr. J. Sci. , vol.85 , pp. 164-169
    • Walker, N.D.1    Lindesay, J.A.2
  • 50
    • 0029412478 scopus 로고
    • Interdecadal changes in El Niño onset in the last four decades
    • Wang, B. 1995. 'Interdecadal changes in El Niño onset in the last four decades', J. Clim., 8, 267-285.
    • (1995) J. Clim. , vol.8 , pp. 267-285
    • Wang, B.1


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.