Interannual variability of precipitation in an ensemble of AMIP climate simulations conducted with the CCC GCM2

Journal of Climate

Volumn 12, Issue 5 I, 1999, Pages 1322-1335

  Wang, Xiaolan L ^a,b   Zwiers, Francis W ^a,b  

^a ENVIRONMENT CANADA   (Canada)

^b UNIVERSITY OF VICTORIA   (Canada)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

ATMOSPHERIC TEMPERATURE; CLIMATE CHANGE; COMPUTER SIMULATION; PRECIPITATION (METEOROLOGY); TROPICS; WEATHER FORECASTING;

GENERAL CIRCULATION MODEL; INTERANNUAL VARIABILITY; SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE;

CLIMATOLOGY;

CLIMATE PREDICTION; GENERAL CIRCULATION MODEL; PRECIPITATION (CLIMATOLOGY); TEMPORAL VARIATION;

EID: 0032862735     PISSN: 08948755     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1175/1520-0442(1999)012<1322:IVOPIA>2.0.CO;2     Document Type: Article

References (32)

1. Anderson, J. L., and W. F. Stern, 1996: Evaluating the potential predictive utility of ensemble forecasts. J. Climate, 9, 260-269.
2. Barnston, A. G., 1994: Linear statistical short-term climate predictive skill in the Northern Hemisphere. J. Climate, 7, 1513-1564.
3. Bengtsson, L., M. Kanamitsu, P. Kallberg, and S. Uppsala, 1982: FGGE 4-dimensional data assimilation at ECMWF. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 63, 29-43.
4. Boer, G. J., N. A. McFarlane, R. Laprise, J. D. Henderson, and J.-P. Blancher, 1984: The Canadian Climate Centre spectral atmospheric general circulation model. Atmos.-Ocean, 22, 397-429.
5. Dix, M. R., and B. G. Hunt, 1995: Chaotic influences and the problem of deterministic seasonal predictions. Int. J. Climatol., 15, 729-752.
6. Everitt, B. S., 1992: The Analysis of Contingency Tables. 2d ed. Chapman and Hall, 164 pp.
7. Gates, W. L., 1992: The Atmospheric Model Intercomparison Project. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 73, 1962-1970.
8. Huitson, A., 1966: The Analysis of Variance. Charles Griffin, 83 pp.
9. Jaeger, L., 1976: Monatskarten des Niedersclags fur die ganz Erde. Ber. Dtsch. Wetterdienstes, No. 139, 38 pp.
10. Katz, R. W., and M. B. Parlange, 1996: Mixtures of stochastic processes: Application to statistical downscaling. Climate Res., 7 (2), 185-193.
11. Kennedy, J. J., 1983: Analyzing Qualitative Data: Introductory Log-Linear Analysis for Behavioral Research. Praeger, 262 pp.
12. Kumar, A., and M. P. Hoerling, 1995: Prospects and limitations of seasonal atmospheric GCM predictions. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 76, 335-345.
13. _, M. Ji, A. Leetmaa, and P. Sardeshmukh, 1996: Assessing a GCM's suitability for making seasonal predictions. J. Climate, 9, 115-129.
14. Legates, D. R., and C. J. Willmott, 1990: Mean seasonal and spatial variability in gauge-corrected global precipitation. Int. J. Climatol., 10, 111-127.
15. Livezey, R. E., and W. Y. Chen, 1983: Statistical field significance and its determination by Monte Carlo techniques. Mon. Wea. Rev., 111, 46-59.
16. Madden, R. A., 1976: Estimates of the natural variability of time-averaged sea-level pressure. Mon. Wea. Rev., 104, 942-952.
17. McFarlane, N. A., G. J. Boer, and M. Lazare, 1992: The Canadian Climate Centre second-generation general circulation model and its equilibrium climate. J. Climate, 5, 1013-1044.
18. Ropelewski, C. F., and M. S. Halpert, 1987: Global and regional scale precipitation patterns associated with the El Niño/Southern Oscillation. Mon. Wea. Rev., 115, 1606-1626.
19. _, and _, 1989: Precipitation patterns associated with the high index phase of the Southern Oscillation. J. Climate, 2, 268-284.
20. Rowell, D. P., 1998: Assessing potential seasonal predictability with an ensemble of multidecadal GCM simulations. J. Climate, 11, 109-120.
21. _, and F. W. Zwiers, 1997: Sources of atmospheric decadal variability. Preprints, Seventh Conf. on Climate Variations, Long Beach, CA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 87-89.
22. Shabbar, A., and A. Barnston, 1996: Skill of seasonal climate forecasts in Canada using canonical correlation analysis. Mon. Wea. Rev., 124, 2370-2385.
23. Shea, D. J., N. A. Sontakke, R. A. Madden, and R. W. Katz, 1995: The potential for long-range prediction of precipitation over the southwest monsoon season: An analysis of variance approach. Preprints, Sixth Int. Meeting on Statistical Climatology, Galway, Ireland, 475-477.
24. Sheng, J., and F. W. Zwiers, 1998: A time-interpolation scheme for bottom boundary conditions in atmospheric general circulation models. Climate Dyn., 14, 609-613.
25. Stern, W., and K. Miyakoda, 1995: Feasibility of seasonal forecasts inferred from multiple GCM simulations. J. Climate, 8, 1071-1085.
26. Wilks, D. S., 1997: Resampling hypothesis tests for autocorrelated fields. J. Climate, 10, 65-82.
27. Xie, P., and P. A. Arkin, 1996: Analysis of global monthly precipitation using gauge observations, satellite estimates, and numerical model predictions. J. Climate, 9, 840-858.
28. _, B. Rudolf, U. Schneider, and P. A. Arkin, 1996: Gauge-based monthly analysis of global precipitation from 1971 to 1994. J. Geophys. Res., 101 (D14), 19 023-19 034.
29. Zwiers, F. W., 1987: A potential predictability study conducted with an atmospheric general circulation model. Mon. Wea. Rev., 115, 2957-2974.
30. _, 1990: The effect of serial correlation on statistical inferences made with resampling procedures. J. Climate, 3, 1452-1461.
31. _, 1996: Interannual variability and predictability in an ensemble of AMIP climate simulations conducted with the CCC GCM2. Climate Dyn., 12, 825-847.
32. 2 doubling. J. Climate, 11, 2200-2222.