Uncertainty analysis in DUPIC fuel-cycle cost using a probabilistic simulation method

Nuclear Technology

Volumn 127, Issue 1, 1999, Pages 123-140

  Ko, Won Il ^a   Choi, Jong Won ^a   Lee, Jae Sol ^a   Park, Hyun Soo ^a   Lee, Kun Jai ^b  

^a Korea Atomic Energy Research Institute   (South Korea)

^b Korea Advanced Institute of Science and Technology (KAIST)   (South Korea)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

COMPUTER SIMULATION; COSTS; MONTE CARLO METHODS; PRESSURIZED WATER REACTORS; PROBABILITY; RADIOACTIVE WASTE DISPOSAL;

CANADA DEUTERIUM URANIUM (CANDU) REACTORS; NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE; NUCLEAR FUEL MANAGEMENT; UNCERTAINTY ANALYSIS;

NUCLEAR FUELS;

EID: 0032688081     PISSN: 00295450     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.13182/NT99-A2989     Document Type: Article

References (24)

1. R. LEHTINEN, P. SILVENNONEN, and J. VIRA, "Allowing for Uncertainties in the Expected Waste Management Costs," Radioact. Waste Manage., 1, 1, 43 (1980).
2. A. GOICOECHEA, M. R. KROUSE, and L. G. ANTLE, "An Approach to Risk and Uncertainty in Benefit-Cost Analysis of Water Resources Projects," Water Resour. Res., 18, 4, 791 (1982).
3. G. C. DANDY, "An Approximate Method for the Analysis of Uncertainty in Benefit-Cost Ratios," Water Resour. Res., 21, 3, 267 (1985).
4. K. A. WILLIAMS and F. R. FREIMAN, "Probabilistic Risk Analysis in Conjunction with FAST-E Parametric Cost Estimating," CONF-8905119-1, U.S. Department of Energy (1989).
5. D. M. BOAK and L. PAINTON, "A Probabilistic Approach to Cost and Duration Uncertainties in Environmental Decisions," Proc. Int. Topl. Mtg. Nuclear Hazardous Waste Management, SPECTRUM '96, Seattle, Washington, August 18-23, 1996, p. 700.
6. W. I. KO, J. W. CHOI, C. H. KANG, and J. S. LEE, "Nuclear Fuel Cycle Cost Analysis Using a Probabilistic Simulation Technique," Ann. Nucl. Energy, 25, 10, 771 (1998).
7. D. VOSE, Quantitative Risk Analysis: A Guide to Monte Carlo Simulation Modeling, p. 165, John Wiley and Sons, New York (1996).
8. M. EVANS, N. HASTINGS, and B. PEACOCK, Statistical Distribution, 2nd ed., pp. 31 and 149, John Wiley and Sons, New York (1993).
9. D. VOSE, Quantitative Risk Analysis: A Guide to Monte Carlo Simulation Modeling, pp. 55 and 170, John Wiley and Sons, New York (1996).
10. F. S. HILLIER and G. J. LIEBERMAN, Introduction to Operations Research, 5th ed., p. 375, McGraw-Hill Book Company, New York (1990).
11. M. D. McKAY, W. J. CONOVER, and D. A. DAHLGREN, "A Comparison of Three Methods for Selecting Values of Input Variables in the Analysis of Output from a Computer Code," Technometrics, 21, 239 (1979).
12. A. SALTELLI and J. MARIVOET, "Performance of Non-Parametric Statistics in Sensitivity Analysis and Parameter Ranking," EUR 10851, Commission of the European Communities (1987).
13. K. D. SONG, M. K. LEE, K. H. MOON, S. S. KIM, and B. R. LEE, "Economic Evaluation of Nuclear Fuel Cycle in Korea," KAERI/RR-1687/96, Korea Atomic Energy Research Institute (1996).
14. "The Fourth Long-Term Supply and Demand Plan of Nuclear Energy (1998-2015)," MOCIE Notice No. 1998-93, Korean Ministry of Commerce, Industry, and Energy (Aug. 25, 1998).
15. Y. K. YOON, "A Study on the Formulation of Long-Term Nuclear Energy Policy Direction for Korea," Korean Nuclear Society/Korea Ministry of Science and Technology (1994).
16. S. H. CHANG, "A Study on the Establishment of Comprehensive Promotion Plan for Utilization, Research, and Development of Nuclear Energy," Korean Nuclear Society/Korea Ministry of Science and Technology (1994).
17. K. Y. LEE, Y. D. WHANG, J. LEE, and Y. I. KIM, "Establishment of the Phase II NSSS Development Plan for the Next Generation Reactor," KAERI/TR-592/95, Korea Atomic Energy Research Institute (1995).
18. A. G. CROFF, "ORIGEN2: A Versatile Computer Code for Calculating the Nuclide Compositions and Characteristics of Nuclear Materials," Nucl. Technol., 62, 335 (1983).
19. "Radioactive Waste Management Plan in Korea," 249th AEC, Korean Atomic Energy Commission (Sep. 30, 1998).
20. Z. ZARIMPAS and G. H. STEVENS, "A Review of the OECD/NEA Study on the Economics of the Nuclear Fuel Cycle," Trans. Am. Nucl. Soc., 70, 735 (1994).
21. J. W. CHOI, W. I. KO, J. S. LEE, M. S. YANG, and H. S. PARK, "Cost Assessment of a Commercial Scale DUPIC Fuel Fabrication," Proc. 6th Int. Conf. Radioactive Waste Management and Environmental Remediation, ICEM'97, Singapore, October 12-16, 1997, p. 261 (1997).
22. P. BAUMGARTER, Y. ATES, R. J. ELLIS, P. G. BOCZAR, and P. TAYLOR, "Disposal Costs for Advanced CANDU Fuel Cycles," Proc. 11th Pacific Basin Nuclear Conf., Banff, Canada, May 3-7, 1998.
23. H. S. PARK, S. W. PARK, and W. I. KO, "The Construction of an Interim Spent Fuel Storage Facility," KAERI-NEMAC/PR-35/94, Korea Atomic Energy Research Institute (1994).
24. R. K. NAKAGAWA, "New DUPIC Fuel Loading System Feasibility Study," DUPIC-AC-RT-001, Atomic Energy of Canada Ltd. (1992).