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Volumn 280, Issue 5362, 1998, Pages 395-396

The future of human longevity: A demographer's perspective

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

VACCINE;

EID: 0032540417     PISSN: 00368075     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1126/science.280.5362.395     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (99)

References (18)
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    • Preston, S.H.1
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    • B. N. Ames, M. K. Shigenaga, T. M. Hagen, Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. U.S.A. 90, 7915 (1993), K. G. Manton et al., Popul. Dev. Rev. 17, 603 (1991).
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    • For example, a segment of ABC's 20/20 (broadcast on 16 January 1998) reported that this discovery would lead to the development of anti-aging drugs within 5 to 10 years. Michael Fossel, a medical researcher and investor in the Geron Corporation (where this research was conducted), remarked on camera: "I think what you'll see is lifespans of several hundred years - healthy lifespans." The finding itself was reported in A. G. Bodnar et al., Science 279, 349 (1998).
    • (1998) Science , vol.279 , pp. 349
    • Bodnar, A.G.1
  • 9
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    • J. F. Fries, N. Engl. J. Med. 303, 130 (1980); S. J. Olshansky et al., Science 250, 634 (1990).
    • (1980) N. Engl. J. Med. , vol.303 , pp. 130
    • Fries, J.F.1
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    • J. F. Fries, N. Engl. J. Med. 303, 130 (1980); S. J. Olshansky et al., Science 250, 634 (1990).
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    • Olshansky, S.J.1
  • 13
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    • A French demographer asserted in 1978 that the biological limit to human life expectancy at birth was 73.8 years for men and 80.3 years for women. Life expectancy in Japan exceeded these values in 1982 for men and in 1985 for women. See J. Bourgeois-Pichat, Popul. Bull. United Nations 11, 12 (1978); see also the Berkeley Mortality Database (http://demog.berkeley.edu/wilmoth/mortality). Similarly, the United Nations predicted in 1973 that life expectancy at birth for developed countries would equal 72.6 years in 1985-90, though later estimates showed that the life expectancy actually attained was 74.0 years. Corresponding figures are 58.7 and 60.5 years for developing countries, and 60.7 and 63.0 years for the world. See United Nations, World Population Prospects as Assessed in 1973 (United Nations, New York, 1977); World Population Prospects: The 1994 Revision (United Nations, New York, 1995).
    • (1978) Popul. Bull. United Nations , vol.11 , pp. 12
    • Bourgeois-Pichat, J.1
  • 14
    • 84872488063 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A French demographer asserted in 1978 that the biological limit to human life expectancy at birth was 73.8 years for men and 80.3 years for women. Life expectancy in Japan exceeded these values in 1982 for men and in 1985 for women. See J. Bourgeois-Pichat, Popul. Bull. United Nations 11, 12 (1978); see also the Berkeley Mortality Database (http://demog.berkeley.edu/wilmoth/mortality). Similarly, the United Nations predicted in 1973 that life expectancy at birth for developed countries would equal 72.6 years in 1985-90, though later estimates showed that the life expectancy actually attained was 74.0 years. Corresponding figures are 58.7 and 60.5 years for developing countries, and 60.7 and 63.0 years for the world. See United Nations, World Population Prospects as Assessed in 1973 (United Nations, New York, 1977); World Population Prospects: The 1994 Revision (United Nations, New York, 1995).
    • Berkeley Mortality Database
  • 15
    • 0004248041 scopus 로고
    • United Nations, New York
    • A French demographer asserted in 1978 that the biological limit to human life expectancy at birth was 73.8 years for men and 80.3 years for women. Life expectancy in Japan exceeded these values in 1982 for men and in 1985 for women. See J. Bourgeois-Pichat, Popul. Bull. United Nations 11, 12 (1978); see also the Berkeley Mortality Database (http://demog.berkeley.edu/wilmoth/mortality). Similarly, the United Nations predicted in 1973 that life expectancy at birth for developed countries would equal 72.6 years in 1985-90, though later estimates showed that the life expectancy actually attained was 74.0 years. Corresponding figures are 58.7 and 60.5 years for developing countries, and 60.7 and 63.0 years for the world. See United Nations, World Population Prospects as Assessed in 1973 (United Nations, New York, 1977); World Population Prospects: The 1994 Revision (United Nations, New York, 1995).
    • (1977) World Population Prospects as Assessed in 1973
  • 16
    • 0003395671 scopus 로고
    • United Nations, New York
    • A French demographer asserted in 1978 that the biological limit to human life expectancy at birth was 73.8 years for men and 80.3 years for women. Life expectancy in Japan exceeded these values in 1982 for men and in 1985 for women. See J. Bourgeois-Pichat, Popul. Bull. United Nations 11, 12 (1978); see also the Berkeley Mortality Database (http://demog.berkeley.edu/wilmoth/mortality). Similarly, the United Nations predicted in 1973 that life expectancy at birth for developed countries would equal 72.6 years in 1985-90, though later estimates showed that the life expectancy actually attained was 74.0 years. Corresponding figures are 58.7 and 60.5 years for developing countries, and 60.7 and 63.0 years for the world. See United Nations, World Population Prospects as Assessed in 1973 (United Nations, New York, 1977); World Population Prospects: The 1994 Revision (United Nations, New York, 1995).
    • (1995) World Population Prospects: The 1994 Revision
  • 17
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    • Data from the Social Security Administration, 1997. Death rates are standardized to the U.S. population in mid-1990. The break in trends occurs ∼1954 for life expectancy and 1940 for death rates
    • Data from the Social Security Administration, 1997. Death rates are standardized to the U.S. population in mid-1990. The break in trends occurs ∼1954 for life expectancy and 1940 for death rates.
  • 18
    • 2642695860 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • I thank R. Lee, S. Horiuchi, K. Wachter, and J. Campisi for helpful comments
    • I thank R. Lee, S. Horiuchi, K. Wachter, and J. Campisi for helpful comments.


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.