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A French demographer asserted in 1978 that the biological limit to human life expectancy at birth was 73.8 years for men and 80.3 years for women. Life expectancy in Japan exceeded these values in 1982 for men and in 1985 for women. See J. Bourgeois-Pichat, Popul. Bull. United Nations 11, 12 (1978); see also the Berkeley Mortality Database (http://demog.berkeley.edu/wilmoth/mortality). Similarly, the United Nations predicted in 1973 that life expectancy at birth for developed countries would equal 72.6 years in 1985-90, though later estimates showed that the life expectancy actually attained was 74.0 years. Corresponding figures are 58.7 and 60.5 years for developing countries, and 60.7 and 63.0 years for the world. See United Nations, World Population Prospects as Assessed in 1973 (United Nations, New York, 1977); World Population Prospects: The 1994 Revision (United Nations, New York, 1995).
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Berkeley Mortality Database
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15
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0004248041
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United Nations, New York
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A French demographer asserted in 1978 that the biological limit to human life expectancy at birth was 73.8 years for men and 80.3 years for women. Life expectancy in Japan exceeded these values in 1982 for men and in 1985 for women. See J. Bourgeois-Pichat, Popul. Bull. United Nations 11, 12 (1978); see also the Berkeley Mortality Database (http://demog.berkeley.edu/wilmoth/mortality). Similarly, the United Nations predicted in 1973 that life expectancy at birth for developed countries would equal 72.6 years in 1985-90, though later estimates showed that the life expectancy actually attained was 74.0 years. Corresponding figures are 58.7 and 60.5 years for developing countries, and 60.7 and 63.0 years for the world. See United Nations, World Population Prospects as Assessed in 1973 (United Nations, New York, 1977); World Population Prospects: The 1994 Revision (United Nations, New York, 1995).
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(1977)
World Population Prospects as Assessed in 1973
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16
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0003395671
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United Nations, New York
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A French demographer asserted in 1978 that the biological limit to human life expectancy at birth was 73.8 years for men and 80.3 years for women. Life expectancy in Japan exceeded these values in 1982 for men and in 1985 for women. See J. Bourgeois-Pichat, Popul. Bull. United Nations 11, 12 (1978); see also the Berkeley Mortality Database (http://demog.berkeley.edu/wilmoth/mortality). Similarly, the United Nations predicted in 1973 that life expectancy at birth for developed countries would equal 72.6 years in 1985-90, though later estimates showed that the life expectancy actually attained was 74.0 years. Corresponding figures are 58.7 and 60.5 years for developing countries, and 60.7 and 63.0 years for the world. See United Nations, World Population Prospects as Assessed in 1973 (United Nations, New York, 1977); World Population Prospects: The 1994 Revision (United Nations, New York, 1995).
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(1995)
World Population Prospects: The 1994 Revision
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17
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2642635978
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Data from the Social Security Administration, 1997. Death rates are standardized to the U.S. population in mid-1990. The break in trends occurs ∼1954 for life expectancy and 1940 for death rates
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Data from the Social Security Administration, 1997. Death rates are standardized to the U.S. population in mid-1990. The break in trends occurs ∼1954 for life expectancy and 1940 for death rates.
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18
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2642695860
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I thank R. Lee, S. Horiuchi, K. Wachter, and J. Campisi for helpful comments
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I thank R. Lee, S. Horiuchi, K. Wachter, and J. Campisi for helpful comments.
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