Uncertainty in the estimation of critical loads: A practical methodology

Water, Air, and Soil Pollution

Volumn 98, Issue 3-4, 1997, Pages 297-316

  Zak, Susan K ^b   Beven, Keith ^a   Reynolds, Brian ^b  

^a CENTRE FOR ECOLOGY AND HYDROLOGY   (United Kingdom)

^b LANCASTER UNIVERSITY   (United Kingdom)

Author keywords

Acid deposition; Ecosystem; GLUE; PROFILE

Indexed keywords

ACIDS; COMPUTER SIMULATION; ECOSYSTEMS; ESTIMATION; GROUNDWATER POLLUTION; MATHEMATICAL MODELS; MONTE CARLO METHODS; PUBLIC POLICY; SOIL POLLUTION; SURFACE WATER RESOURCES;

ACID DEPOSITION; GENERALIZED LIKELIHOOD UNCERTAINTY ESTIMATION (GLUE) APPROACH;

ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT;

SURFACE WATER;

ACID DEPOSITION; CRITICAL LOAD; FOREST SOIL; SOIL POLLUTION;

ACID RAIN; ARTICLE; ECOSYSTEM; ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT ASSESSMENT; FOREST; PREDICTION; WATER CONTAMINATION;

DYFED; PLYNLIMON; UK; WALES;

EID: 0031239216     PISSN: 00496979     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1007/BF02047040     Document Type: Article

References (30)

1. Alveteg, M., Sverdrup, H. and Warfvinge, P.: 1995, Water, Air and Soil Pallut. 79, 377.
2. Andersen, S., Christophersen, N., Mulder, J., Seip, H. M. and Vogt, R. D.: 1990, 'Aluminium Solubility in the Various Soil Horizons in an Acidified Catchement', in J. B. Mason (ed.), The Surface Water Acidification Programme, Cambridge, p. 155.
3. Beven, K.: 1989, Journal of Hydrology 105, 157.
4. Beven, K. and Binley, A.: 1992, Hydrological Processes 6, 279.
5. Beven, K.: 1003, Advances in Water Resources 16, 41.
6. Binley, A. and Beven, K.: 1991, 'Physically-Based Modelling of Catchment Hydrology: A Likelihood Approach to Reducing Predictive Uncertainty' in Farmer, D. G. and Rycroft, M. J. (eds.), Computer Modelling in the Environmental Sciences, Conference Papers, Institute of Mathematics and its Application, S. Conf. Series 28, p. 75.
7. Cosby, B. J., Hornberger, G. M. and Wright, R. F: 1985, Water Resources Research 21(1), 51.
8. Chapman, P. J.: 1994, 'Hydrochemical Processes Influencing Episodic Stream Water Chemistry in a Small Headwater Catchment, Plynlimon, Mid-Wales', Unpublished Thesis, University of London.
9. Freer, J., Beven, K. J. and Ambroise, B.: 1996, Water Resources Research (in press).
10. Goulding, K. W.T. and Blake, L.: 1993, 'Testing the PROFILE Model on Long-Term Data', in Proc. Critical Loads: Concepts and Applications, Institute of Terrestrial Ecology, Grange-over-Sands, HMSSO, 28, p. 68.
11. Hodson, M., Langan, S. and Wilson, M.: 1996, Applied Geochemistry, (in press).
12. Hornberger, G. M., Cosby, B. J. and Wright, R. F.: 1989, 'Estimating Uncertainty in Long-Term Reconstruction', In Kämari, J, and D. F. Brakke (eds.), Regional Acidification Models, p. 279.
13. Hornnung, M., Reynolds, B. and Hatton, A. A.: 1985, Applied Geography 5, 71.
14. Hornung, M., Adamson, J. K., Reynolds, B. and Stevens, P. A.: 1986, Journal of the Geological Society 143, 627.
15. Hornung, M., Bull, K. R., Cresser, M., Hall, J., Langan, S. J., Loveland, P. and Smith, C.: 1995, Environ. Pollut. 90, 301.
16. Jönsson, C., Warfvinge, P. and Sverdrup, H.: 1995, Water, Air and Soil Pollut. 81, 1.
17. Nilsson, J. and Grennfelt, P. (ed.): 1988, Critical Loads for Sulphur and Nitrogen, Report from a workshop held at Skokloster, Sweden, 19-24 March, Nordic Council of Ministers.
18. Reynolds, B., Howard, D. C. and Hornung, M.: 1995, 'Dynamic and Landscape Modelling of Critical Loads: A Demonstration Project', Project Report T07072S1, April.
19. Reynolds, B., Hornung, M. and Hughes, S.: 1989, Hydrol. Sci. J. 34(6), 667.
20. Romanowicz, P., Beven, K. and Tawn, J: 1994, 'Evaluation of Predictive Uncertainty in Nonlinear Hydrological Models Using a Bayesian Approach', in V Barnett anf K. F. Turkman (eds.), Statistics for the Environment. II Water Issues, Wiley and Sons, Chichester, p. 297.
21. Spear, R. C. and Hornberger, G. M.: 1980, Water Research 14, 43.
22. Sverdrup, H. and Warfvinge, P.: 1988, 'Assessment of Critical Loads of Acid Deposition on Forest Soils', J. Nilsson and P. Grennfelt (eds.), Critical Loads for Sulphur and Nitrogen, report for a workshop held at Skokloster, Sweden 19-24 March, 1988. Copenhagen, Nordic Council of Ministers, Miljörapport 1988, 15, p. 81.
23. Sverdrup, H., Warfvinge, P. and Jönsson, C.: 1993a, 'Critical Loads of Acidity for Forest Soils, Groundwater and First-Order Streams in Sweden', Proc. Critical Loads: Concepts and Applications, Institute of Terrestrial Ecology, Grange-over-Sands, HMSO, 28, p. 54.
24. Sverdrup, H., Warfvinge, P., Frogner, T., Haöya, A. O., Johansson, M. and Andersen, B.: 1992a, AMBIO 21(5), 348.
25. Sverdrup, H., Warfvinge, P., Rabenhorst, M., Janicki, A., Morgan, R. and Bowman, M.: 1992b, Environ. Pollut. 77, 195.
26. Sverdrup, H., Alveteg, M., Langan, S. and Pacés, T.: 1995, 'Biogeochemical Modelling of Small Catchments Using PROFILE and SAFE', in Trudgill, S. (ed.), Solute Modelling in Catchment Systems, Wiley and Sons, Chichester, p. 75.
27. Sverdrup, H. and Warfvinge, P.: 1995, 'Effect of Soil Acidification of Growth of Trees and Plants as Expressed by the (Ca+Mg+K)/Al Ratio', Lund Institute of Technology, Lund, Sweden, Reports in Ecology and Environmental Engineering, 2nd edition.
28. van Straten, G. and Keesman, K.: 1991, Journal of Forecasting 10, 163.
29. Warfvinge, P. and Sverdrup, H.: 1992, Water, Air and Soil Pollut. 63, 119.
30. Warfvinge, P., Falkengren-Grerup, U. and Sverdrup, H.: 1993, Environ. Pollut. 80, 1.