Evaluation and prediction of land use/land cover changes in the Andassa watershed, Blue Nile Basin, Ethiopia

Environmental Systems Research

Volumn 6, Issue 1, 2017, Pages

  Gashaw, Temesgen ^a,c   Tulu, Taffa ^a   Argaw, Mekuria ^a   Worqlul, Abeyou W ^b  

^a ADDIS ABABA UNIVERSITY   (Ethiopia)

^b BLACKLAND RESEARCH AND EXTENSION CENTER   (United States)

^c ADIGRAT UNIVERSITY   (Ethiopia)

Author keywords

CA Markov; Change detection; Land use land cover; Prediction

Indexed keywords

CLASSIFICATION (OF INFORMATION); FORESTRY; LAND USE; MARKOV PROCESSES; WATERSHEDS;

BLUE NILE; CA-MARKOV; CHANGE DETECTION; CULTIVATED LANDS; ETHIOPIA; EVALUATION AND PREDICTIONS; LAND USE/LAND COVER; LAND-USE LAND-COVER CHANGES; NILE BASINS; SHRUBLANDS;

FORECASTING;

EID: 85190884288     PISSN: None     EISSN: 21932697     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1186/s40068-017-0094-5     Document Type: Article

References (54)

1. S. Abate Evaluating the land use and land cover dynamics in Borena Woreda of South Wollo highlands, Ethiopia J Sustain Dev Afr 2011 13 1 87 105 10.1007/s10668-010-9250-z
2. T. Abineh T. Bogale Accuracy assessment of land use land cover classification using google earth AJEP 2015 4 4 193 198 10.11648/j.ajep.20150404.14
3. S. Adhikari J. Southworth Simulating forest cover changes of Bannerghatta National Park based on a CA-Markov model: a remote sensing approach Remote Sens 2012 4 3215 3243 10.3390/rs4103215
4. A.A. Al-sharif B. Pradhan Monitoring and predicting land use change in Tripoli Metropolitan City using an integrated Markov chain and cellular automata models in GIS Arab J Geosci 2013 7 4291 4301 10.1007/s12517-013-1119-7
5. Amare B (2007) Landscape transformation and opportunities for sustainable land management along the Escarpment of Wello, Ethiopia. Ph.D. Thesis, Bern University, Bern
6. B. Amare H. Hurni Z. Gete Responses of rural households to the impacts of population and land-use changes along the Eastern Escarpment of Wello, Ethiopia Nor J Geogr 2011 65 42 53
7. A.T. Ariti J.V. Vliet P.H. Verburg Land-use and land-cover changes in the Central Rift Valley of Ethiopia: assessment of perception and adaptation of stakeholders Appl Geogr 2015 65 28 37 10.1016/j.apgeog.2015.10.002
8. J.J. Arsanjani W. Kainz A.J. Mousivand Tracking dynamic land-use change using spatially explicit Markov Chain based on cellular automata: the case of Tehran Int J Image Data Fusion 2011
9. T. Belay Land-cover/land-use changes in the Derekolli catchment of the South Welo Zone of Amhara Region, Ethiopia EASSRR 2002 18 1 1 20
10. G. Berhan The role of geo-information technology for predicting and mapping of forest cover spatio-temporal variability: Dendi district case study, Ethiopia J Sustain Dev Afr 2010 12 6 9 33
11. E. Boakye S.N. Odai K.A. Adjei F.O. Annor Landsat images for assessment of the impact of land use and land cover changes on the Barekese Catchment in Ghana Eur J Sci Res 2008 22 2 269 278
12. R. Congalton A review of assessing the accuracy of classifications of remotely sensed data Remote Sens Environ 1991 37 35 46 10.1016/0034-4257(91)90048-B
13. Congalton RG (2005) Thematic and positional accuracy assessment of digital remotely sensed data. Proceedings of the seventh annual forest inventory and analysis symposium. pp 149–154
14. R.G. Congalton K. Green Assessing the accuracy of remotely sensed data: principles and practices 1999 Boca Raton Lewis Publishers 137
15. CSA (Central Statistics Authority) The 1994 population and housing census of Ethiopia: results for Amhara region. Volume I, Part I. Statistical report on population size and characteristics 1994 Addis Ababa Central Statistics Authority
16. CSA (Central Statistics Authority) Report of the 2007 population and housing census of Ethiopia 2007 Addis Ababa Central Statistics Authority
17. T. Diress S.R. Moe P. Vedeld A. Ermias Land-use/cover dynamics in northern Afar rangelands, Ethiopia Agric Ecosyst Environ 2010 139 174 180 10.1016/j.agee.2010.07.017
18. J. Eastman IDRISI Selva manual, version 17 2012 Worcester Clark University
19. E.A. Ebrahim A. Mohamed Land use/cover dynamics and its drivers in Gelda catchment, Lake Tana watershed, Ethiopia Environ Syst Res 2017 6 4 1 13
20. G.M. Foody Status of land cover classification accuracy assessment Remote Sens Environ 2002 80 185 201 10.1016/S0034-4257(01)00295-4
21. B. Fu L. Chen K. Ma H. Zhou J. Wang The relationships between land use and soil conditions in the hilly area of the Loess Plateau in northern Shaanxi, China CATENA 2000 36 69 78 10.1016/S0341-8162(99)00084-3
22. T.G. Gebremicael Y.A. Mohamed G.D. Betrie P. van der Zaag E. Teferi Trend analysis of runoff and sediment fluxes in the Upper Blue Nile basin: a combined analysis of statistical tests, physically-based models and land use maps J Hydrol 2013 482 57 68 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2012.12.023
23. D. Gessesse J. Kleman Pattern and magnitude of deforestation in the South Central Rift Valley Region of Ethiopia Mt Res Dev 2007 27 162 168 10.1659/mrd.0730
24. Z. Gete H. Hurni Implications of land use and land cover dynamics for mountain resource degradation in the northwestern Ethiopian Highlands Mt Res Dev 2001 21 2 184 191 10.1659/0276-4741(2001)021[0184:IOLUAL]2.0.CO;2
25. A. Giriraj M. Irfan-Ullah M.S. Murthy C. Beierkuhnlein Modeling spatial and temporal forest cover change patterns (1973–2020): a case study from South Western Ghats (India) Sensors 2008 8 6132 6153 10.3390/s8106132
26. H. Hurni T. Kebede Z. Gete The implications of changes in population, land use, and land management for surface runoff in the Upper Nile Basin area of Ethiopia Mt Res Dev 2005 25 2 147 154 10.1659/0276-4741(2005)025[0147:TIOCIP]2.0.CO;2
27. C. Kamusoko M. Aniya B. Adi M. Manjoro Rural sustainability under threat in Zimbabwe–simulation of future land use/cover changes in the Bindura district based on the Markov-cellular automata model Appl Geogr 2009 29 435 447 10.1016/j.apgeog.2008.10.002
28. T. Kebrom L. Hedlund Land cover changes between 1958 and 1986 in Kalu District, Southern Wello, Ethiopia Mt Res Dev 2000 20 1 42 51 10.1659/0276-4741(2000)020[0042:LCCBAI]2.0.CO;2
29. C. Labs Clark Idrisi Selva help system 2012 Worcester Clark University
30. E. Lambin H. Geist E. Lepers Dynamics of land use and land cover change in tropical regions Annu Rev Environ Resour 2003 28 206 232 10.1146/annurev.energy.28.050302.105459
31. Li S, Jin B, Wei X, Jiang Y, Wang J (2015) Using CA-Markov model to model the spatiotemporal change of land use/cover in Fuxian Lake for decision support. International workshop on spatiotemporal computing, 13–15 July 2015, Fairfax, Virginia, USA
32. T. Lillesand R. Kiefer Remote sensing and image interpretation 2000 4 New York Wiley
33. MEA (Millennium Ecosystem Assessment) Ecosystems and human well-being: Synthesis 2005 Washington, DC Island Press
34. Mekuria A (2005) Forest conversion-soil degradation-farmers’ perception nexus implications for sustainable land use in the southwest of Ethiopia. In: Vlek P, Denich M, Martius C, Rodgers C and Giesen N (ed) Ecology and development series no. 26, p 161
35. W.B. Meyer B.L. Turner Changes in land use and land cover: a global perspective 1994 Cambridge Cambridge University Press
36. R.A. Monserud Methods for comparing global vegetation maps, Report WP-90-40 1990 Laxenburg IIASA
37. H. Mosammam J. Nia H. Khani A. Teymouri M. Kazem Monitoring land use change and measuring urban sprawl based on its spatial forms: the case of Qom city Egypt J Remote Sens Space Sci 2016
38. W. Muluneh Population growth and environmental recovery: more people, more trees; lesson learned from western Gurageland Ethiop J Soc Sci Humanit 2003 1 1 1 33
39. R. Munro J. Deckers H. Mitiku A. Grove J. Poesen J. Nyssen Soil landscapes, land cover change and erosion features of the Central Plateau region of Tigrai, Ethiopia: photo-monitoring with an interval of 30 years CATENA 2008 75 55 64 10.1016/j.catena.2008.04.009
40. N.Q. Omar M.S. Ahamad W.M. Hussin N. Samat S.Z. Ahmad Markov CA, multi regression, and multiple decision making for modeling historical changes in Kirkuk City, Iraq J Indian Soc Remote Sens 2014 42 1 165 178 10.1007/s12524-013-0311-2
41. R.G. Pontius L.C. Schneider Land-cover change model validation by an ROC method for the Ipswich watershed, Massachusetts, USA Agric Ecosyst Environ 2001 85 239 248 10.1016/S0167-8809(01)00187-6
42. J.S. Rawat M. Kumar Monitoring land use/cover change using remote sensing and GIS techniques: a case study of Hawalbagh block, district Almora, Uttarakhand, India Egypt J Remote Sens Space Sci 2015 18 77 84
43. T.H. Rientjes A.T. Haile E. Kebede C.M. Mannaerts E. Habib T.S. Steenhuis Changes in land cover, rainfall and stream flow in Upper Gilgel Abbay catchment, Blue Nile basin-Ethiopia Hydrol Earth Syst Sci 2011 15 1979 1989 10.5194/hess-15-1979-2011
44. L. Sang C. Zhang J. Yang D. Zhu W. Yun Simulation of land use spatial pattern of towns and villages based on CA–Markov model Math Comput Model 2011 54 938 943 10.1016/j.mcm.2010.11.019
45. J.J. Schulz L. Cayuela C. Echeverria J. Salas J.M. Rey Benayas Monitoring land cover change of the dryland forest landscape of Central Chile (1975–2008) Appl Geogr 2010 30 436 447 10.1016/j.apgeog.2009.12.003
46. S.K. Singh M. Sk Mustak P.K. Srivastava S. Szabó T. Islam Predicting spatial and decadal LULC changes through Cellular Automata Markov Chain models using earth observation datasets and geo-information Environ Process 2015 2 61 78 10.1007/s40710-015-0062-x
47. G. Solomon T. Ayele K. Bishop Forest cover and stream flow in a headwater of the Blue Nile: complementing observational data analysis with community perception Ambio 2010 39 4 284 294 10.1007/s13280-010-0047-y
48. G. Solomon B. Woldeamlak A.I. Ga¨rdena¨s K. Bishop Forest cover change over four decades in the Blue Nile Basin, Ethiopia: comparison of three watersheds Reg Environ Change 2014 14 253 266 10.1007/s10113-013-0483-x
49. E. Teferi S. Uhlenbrook W. Bewket J. Wenninger B. Simane The use of remote sensing to quantify wetland loss in the Choke Mountain range, Upper Blue Nile basin, Ethiopia Hydrol Earth Syst Sci 2010 14 2415 2428 10.5194/hess-14-2415-2010
50. G. Temesgen B. Amare M. Abraham Evaluation of land use/land cover changes and land degradation in Dera District, Ethiopia: GIS and remote sensing based analysis Int J Sci Res Environ Sci 2014 2 6 199 208
51. G. Temesgen B. Amare M. Abraham Population dynamics and land use/land cover changes in Dera District, Ethiopia GJBAHS 2014 3 1 137 140
52. G. Temesgen T. Taffa A. Mekuria Erosion risk assessment for prioritization of conservation measures in Geleda watershed, Blue Nile basin, Ethiopia Environ Syst Res 2017 6 1 1 14
53. S.Q. Wang X.Q. Zheng X.B. Zang Accuracy assessments of land use change simulation based on Markov-cellular automata model Procedia Environ Sci 2012 13 1238 1245 10.1016/j.proenv.2012.01.117
54. B. Woldeamlak Land cover dynamics since the 1950s in Chemoga watershed, Blue Nile basin, Ethiopia Mt Res Dev 2002 22 3 263 269 10.1659/0276-4741(2002)022[0263:LCDSTI]2.0.CO;2