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Volumn 323, Issue 19, 2020, Pages 1893-1894

Predictive Mathematical Models of the COVID-19 Pandemic: Underlying Principles and Value of Projections

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

COMORBIDITY; CORONAVIRUS DISEASE 2019; DISEASE BURDEN; DISEASE TRANSMISSION; EPIDEMIOLOGICAL MONITORING; FORECASTING; HEALTH CARE DELIVERY; HEALTH CARE NEED; HEALTH CARE PLANNING; HEALTH CARE QUALITY; HUMAN; INFECTION CONTROL; INFECTION RATE; MATHEMATICAL MODEL; MORTALITY RATE; NOTE; PANDEMIC; PREDICTION; PRIORITY JOURNAL; RISK FACTOR; SEVERE ACUTE RESPIRATORY SYNDROME CORONAVIRUS 2; SOCIAL ISOLATION; URBAN RURAL DIFFERENCE; BETACORONAVIRUS; CORONAVIRUS INFECTION; MORTALITY; THEORETICAL MODEL; UNITED STATES; VIRUS PNEUMONIA;

EID: 85083717582     PISSN: 00987484     EISSN: 15383598     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1001/jama.2020.6585     Document Type: Note
Times cited : (267)

References (7)
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    • What makes an academic paper useful for health policy?
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  • 3
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    • April 1@AdamJKucharski. Indeed, as this (aptly titled) piece suggests, complex models may be no more reliable than simple ones if they miss key aspects of the biology. Complex models can create the illusion of realism, and make it harder to spot crucial omissions , 2020. Accessed April 13, 2020. https://twitter.com/AdamJKucharski/status/1245336665691807744
    • @AdamJKucharski. Indeed, as this (aptly titled) piece suggests, complex models may be no more reliable than simple ones if they miss key aspects of the biology. Complex models can create the illusion of realism, and make it harder to spot crucial omissions https://www.pnas.org/content/103/33/12221. April 1, 2020. Accessed April 13, 2020. https://twitter.com/AdamJKucharski/status/1245336665691807744
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    • IHME COVID-19 health service utilization forecasting team. Forecasting COVID-19 impact on hospital bed-days, ICU-days, ventilator-days and deaths by US state in the next 4 months. MedRxiv. Preprint posted March 30, 2020. doi
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    • Murray, C.J.L.1
  • 6
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    • Politico. March 26, Accessed March 31, 2020.
    • Foresti CCL. The real death toll for COVID-19 is at least 4 times the official numbers. Politico. March 26, 2020. Accessed March 31, 2020. https://www.corriere.it/politica/20-marzo-26/the-real-death-toll-for-covid-19-is-at-least-4-times-the-official-numbers-b5af0edc-6eeb-11ea-925b-a0c3cdbe1130.shtml?refresh-ce-cp
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    • Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation website. Updated April 10, 2020. Accessed April 13, 2020.
    • COVID-19 resources. Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation website. Updated April 10, 2020. Accessed April 13, 2020. http://www.healthdata.org/covid
    • COVID-19 Resources


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.