메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn , Issue , 2018, Pages 1-310

Environmental modelling: An uncertain future?

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords


EID: 85074547884     PISSN: None     EISSN: None     Source Type: Book    
DOI: 10.1201/9781482288575     Document Type: Book
Times cited : (82)

References (545)
  • 2
    • 33847624519 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • An integrated hydrologic Bayesian multimodel combination framework: Confronting input, parameter, and model structural uncertainty in hydrologic prediction
    • Ajami, N. K., Duan, Q. & Sorooshian, S. (2007), An integrated hydrologic Bayesian multimodel combination framework: Confronting input, parameter, and model structural uncertainty in hydrologic prediction, Water Resources Research, 43, W01403, doi:10.1029/ 2005WR004745.
    • (2007) Water Resources Research , vol.43 , pp. W01403
    • Ajami, N.K.1    Duan, Q.2    Sorooshian, S.3
  • 3
    • 0034609871 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Quantifying the uncertainty in forecasts of anthropogenic climate change
    • Allen, M., Stott, P., Mitchell, J., Schnur, R. & Delworth, T. (2000), Quantifying the uncertainty in forecasts of anthropogenic climate change, Nature, 407: 617-620.
    • (2000) Nature , vol.407 , pp. 617-620
    • Allen, M.1    Stott, P.2    Mitchell, J.3    Schnur, R.4    Delworth, T.5
  • 5
    • 0027038436 scopus 로고
    • The role of the post-audit in model validation
    • Anderson, M. P. & Woessner, W. W. (1992), The role of the post-audit in model validation, Adv. In Water Resour., 15, 167-174.
    • (1992) Adv. In Water Resour , vol.15 , pp. 167-174
    • Anderson, M.P.1    Woessner, W.W.2
  • 6
    • 4444347453 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Riverine nutrient models in stakeholder dialogues
    • Andersson, L. (2004), Riverine nutrient models in stakeholder dialogues. Int. J. Water Resour. Dev., 20: 399-425.
    • (2004) Int. J. Water Resour. Dev. , vol.20 , pp. 399-425
    • Andersson, L.1
  • 7
    • 0040052402 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Sensitivity measures, ANOVA-like techniques and the use of bootstrap
    • Archer, G. E. B., Saltelli, A. & Sobol', I. M. (1997), Sensitivity measures, ANOVA-like techniques and the use of bootstrap, J. Stat. Comput. Simul., 58: 99-120.
    • (1997) J. Stat. Comput. Simul. , vol.58 , pp. 99-120
    • Archer, G.E.B.1    Saltelli, A.2    Sobol', I.M.3
  • 8
    • 0344938261 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Uncertainty and equifinality in calibrating distributed roughness coefficients in a flood propagation model with limited data
    • Aronica, G., Hankin, B. G., Beven, K. J. (1998), Uncertainty and equifinality in calibrating distributed roughness coefficients in a flood propagation model with limited data, Adv. Water Resour., 22(4): 349-365.
    • (1998) Adv. Water Resour. , vol.22 , Issue.4 , pp. 349-365
    • Aronica, G.1    Hankin, B.G.2    Beven, K.J.3
  • 9
    • 0036475447 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A tutorial on particle filters for online nonlinear/non-Gaussian Bayesian tracking
    • Arulampalam, M. S., Maskell, S., Gordon, N. & Clapp, T. (2002), A tutorial on particle filters for online nonlinear/non-Gaussian Bayesian tracking, IEEE Trans. Signal. Process., 50(2): 174-188.
    • (2002) IEEE Trans. Signal. Process. , vol.50 , Issue.2 , pp. 174-188
    • Arulampalam, M.S.1    Maskell, S.2    Gordon, N.3    Clapp, T.4
  • 11
    • 34248646786 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • On the ethical justification for the use of risk acceptance criteria
    • Aven, T. (2007), On the ethical justification for the use of risk acceptance criteria, Risk Analysis, 27: 303-312.
    • (2007) Risk Analysis , vol.27 , pp. 303-312
    • Aven, T.1
  • 12
    • 84980304530 scopus 로고
    • Model (In)Validation: A view from the courtroom
    • Bair, E. S. (1994), Model (In)Validation: A view from the courtroom, Ground Water, 32(4): 530-531.
    • (1994) Ground Water , vol.32 , Issue.4 , pp. 530-531
    • Bair, E.S.1
  • 13
    • 13744262999 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Investigating uncertainty and sensitivity in integrated, multimedia environmental models: tools for FRAMES-3MRA
    • Babendreier, J. E. & Castleton, K. J. (2005), Investigating uncertainty and sensitivity in integrated, multimedia environmental models: tools for FRAMES-3MRA, Environ. Modell. & Softw., 20: 1043-1055.
    • (2005) Environ. Modell. & Softw. , vol.20 , pp. 1043-1055
    • Babendreier, J.E.1    Castleton, K.J.2
  • 14
    • 33846341173 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Copula-based geostatistical models for groundwater quality parameters
    • Bardossy, A. (2006), Copula-based geostatistical models for groundwater quality parameters, Water Resources Research, 42: W11416, doi:10.1029/2005WR004754.
    • (2006) Water Resources Research , vol.42 , pp. W11416
    • Bardossy, A.1
  • 15
    • 0027904987 scopus 로고
    • Fuzzy nonlinear regression analysis of dose-response curve
    • Bardossy, A., Bogardi, I. & Duckstein, L. (1993), Fuzzy nonlinear regression analysis of dose-response curve, Europ. J. Oper. Res., 66: 36-51.
    • (1993) Europ. J. Oper. Res. , vol.66 , pp. 36-51
    • Bardossy, A.1    Bogardi, I.2    Duckstein, L.3
  • 17
    • 33845654946 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A rational decision rule with extreme events
    • Basili, M. (2006), A rational decision rule with extreme events, Risk Analysis, 26: 1721-1728.
    • (2006) Risk Analysis , vol.26 , pp. 1721-1728
    • Basili, M.1
  • 18
    • 0034989285 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A Markov chain Monte Carlo scheme for parameter estimation and inference in conceptual rainfall-runoff modelling
    • Bates, B. C. & Campbell, E. P. (2001), A Markov chain Monte Carlo scheme for parameter estimation and inference in conceptual rainfall-runoff modelling, Water Resources Research, 37: 937-947.
    • (2001) Water Resources Research , vol.37 , pp. 937-947
    • Bates, B.C.1    Campbell, E.P.2
  • 19
    • 0001185873 scopus 로고
    • An essay towards solving a problem in the doctrine of chances
    • Bayes, T. (1763), An essay towards solving a problem in the doctrine of chances. Phil. Trans. R. Soc. Lond., 53: 370-418.
    • (1763) Phil. Trans. R. Soc. Lond , vol.53 , pp. 370-418
    • Bayes, T.1
  • 20
    • 0023523402 scopus 로고
    • Water quality modelling: a review of the analysis of uncertainty
    • Beck, M. B. (1987), Water quality modelling: a review of the analysis of uncertainty, Water Resources Research, 23(8), 1393-1442.
    • (1987) Water Resources Research , vol.23 , Issue.8 , pp. 1393-1442
    • Beck, M.B.1
  • 21
    • 84979452357 scopus 로고
    • Uncertainty, identifiability and the propagation of prediction errors: a case study of Lake Ontario
    • Beck, M. B. & Halfon, E. (1991), Uncertainty, identifiability and the propagation of prediction errors: a case study of Lake Ontario, J. Forecasting, 10: 135-162.
    • (1991) J. Forecasting , vol.10 , pp. 135-162
    • Beck, M.B.1    Halfon, E.2
  • 23
    • 0020183162 scopus 로고
    • Regret in decision making under uncertainty
    • Bell, D. E. (1982), Regret in decision making under uncertainty, Operations Research, 30: 961-981.
    • (1982) Operations Research , vol.30 , pp. 961-981
    • Bell, D.E.1
  • 24
    • 2642517951 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Uncertainty, probability and information-gaps
    • Ben-Haim, Y. (2005), Uncertainty, probability and information-gaps, Reliability Engineering & System Safety, 85: 249-266.
    • (2005) Reliability Engineering & System Safety , vol.85 , pp. 249-266
    • Ben-Haim, Y.1
  • 27
    • 0026790628 scopus 로고
    • The generalized inverse of a nonlinear quasigeostrophic ocean circulation model
    • Bennet, A. F. & Thorburn, M. A. (1992), The generalized inverse of a nonlinear quasigeostrophic ocean circulation model, J. Phys. Oceanog., 22: 213-230.
    • (1992) J. Phys. Oceanog. , vol.22 , pp. 213-230
    • Bennet, A.F.1    Thorburn, M.A.2
  • 28
    • 84867176040 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The case for objective Bayesian analysis
    • Berger, J. (2006), The case for objective Bayesian analysis, Bayesian Analysis, 1: 385-402.
    • (2006) Bayesian Analysis , vol.1 , pp. 385-402
    • Berger, J.1
  • 29
    • 0033990556 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Application of Bayesian Monte Carlo analysis to a Lagrangian photochemical air quality model
    • Bergin, M. S. & Milford, J. B. (2000), Application of Bayesian Monte Carlo analysis to a Lagrangian photochemical air quality model, Atmos. Environ., 34: 781-792.
    • (2000) Atmos. Environ. , vol.34 , pp. 781-792
    • Bergin, M.S.1    Milford, J.B.2
  • 31
    • 0019379669 scopus 로고
    • The effect of ordering on the geomorphic effectiveness of hydrologic events. Proceedings of the International Conference on Erosion and Sediment Transport in Pacific Rim Steeplands, Christchurch, New Zealand
    • IAHS Press: Wallingford, UK
    • Beven, K. J. (1981), The effect of ordering on the geomorphic effectiveness of hydrologic events. Proceedings of the International Conference on Erosion and Sediment Transport in Pacific Rim Steeplands, Christchurch, New Zealand. Int. Assoc. Scientific Hydrology Pub., No. 132: 510-526, IAHS Press: Wallingford, UK.
    • (1981) Int. Assoc. Scientific Hydrology Pub , Issue.132 , pp. 510-526
    • Beven, K.J.1
  • 32
    • 0024471068 scopus 로고
    • Changing ideas in hydrology: the case of physically based models
    • Beven, K. J. (1989), Changing ideas in hydrology: the case of physically based models. J. Hydrol., 105: 157-172.
    • (1989) J. Hydrol , vol.105 , pp. 157-172
    • Beven, K.J.1
  • 33
    • 0027788553 scopus 로고
    • Prophecy, reality and uncertainty in distributed hydrological modelling
    • Beven, K. J. (1993), Prophecy, reality and uncertainty in distributed hydrological modelling, Adv. Water Resour.: 16, 41-51.
    • (1993) Adv. Water Resour , vol.16 , pp. 41-51
    • Beven, K.J.1
  • 34
    • 0001834298 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Equifinality and Uncertainty in Geomorphological Modelling
    • B. L. Rhoads & C. E. Thorn (Eds.), Wiley: Chichester
    • Beven, K. J. (1996), Equifinality and Uncertainty in Geomorphological Modelling, in B. L. Rhoads & C. E. Thorn (Eds.), The Scientific Nature of Geomorphology, Wiley: Chichester, 289-313.
    • (1996) The Scientific Nature of Geomorphology , pp. 289-313
    • Beven, K.J.1
  • 35
    • 0033762270 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Uniqueness of place and process representations in hydrological modelling
    • Beven, K. J. (2000), Uniqueness of place and process representations in hydrological modelling, Hydrology & Earth System Sciences, 4: 203-213.
    • (2000) Hydrology & Earth System Sciences , vol.4 , pp. 203-213
    • Beven, K.J.1
  • 37
    • 0034896615 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • How far can we go in distributed hydrological modelling?
    • Beven, K. J. (2001b), How far can we go in distributed hydrological modelling? Hydrology & Earth System Sciences, 5: 1-12.
    • (2001) Hydrology & Earth System Sciences , vol.5 , pp. 1-12
    • Beven, K.J.1
  • 38
    • 0001306257 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • On hypothesis testing in hydrology
    • Beven, K. J. (2001c), On hypothesis testing in hydrology, Hydrol. Process., 15: 1655-1657.
    • (2001) Hydrol. Process. , vol.15 , pp. 1655-1657
    • Beven, K.J.1
  • 39
    • 0035975978 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • On explanatory depth and predictive power
    • Beven, K. J. (2001d), On explanatory depth and predictive power, Hydrol. Process., 15: 3069-3072.
    • (2001) Hydrol. Process. , vol.15 , pp. 3069-3072
    • Beven, K.J.1
  • 40
    • 67049137556 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Towards a coherent philosophy for environmental modelling
    • Beven, K. J. (2002a), Towards a coherent philosophy for environmental modelling, Proc. Roy. Soc. Lond., A458: 2465-2484.
    • (2002) Proc. Roy. Soc. Lond , vol.A458 , pp. 2465-2484
    • Beven, K.J.1
  • 41
    • 0037083332 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Towards an alternative blueprint for a physically-based digitally simulated hydrologic response modelling system
    • Beven, K. J. (2002b), Towards an alternative blueprint for a physically-based digitally simulated hydrologic response modelling system, Hydrol. Process., 16: 189-206.
    • (2002) Hydrol. Process. , vol.16 , pp. 189-206
    • Beven, K.J.1
  • 42
    • 28244492298 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • On the concept of model structural error
    • Beven, K. J. (2005), On the concept of model structural error, Water Science & Technology, 52: 165-175.
    • (2005) Water Science & Technology , vol.52 , pp. 165-175
    • Beven, K.J.1
  • 43
    • 33644526990 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A manifesto for the equifinality thesis
    • Beven, K. J. (2006a), A manifesto for the equifinality thesis, J. Hydrol., 320: 18-36
    • (2006) J. Hydrol , vol.320 , pp. 18-36
    • Beven, K.J.1
  • 44
    • 33748713629 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The holy grail of scientific hydrology: Qt = H(SR)A as closure
    • Beven, K. J. (2006b), The holy grail of scientific hydrology: Qt = H(SR)A as closure, Hydrol. & Earth Syst. Sci., 10: 609-618.
    • (2006) Hydrol. & Earth Syst. Sci. , vol.10 , pp. 609-618
    • Beven, K.J.1
  • 45
    • 33748792555 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • On undermining the science?
    • Beven, K. J. (2006c), On undermining the science?, Hydrol. Process. (HPToday), 20: 3141-3146.
    • (2006) Hydrol. Process. (HPToday) , vol.20 , pp. 3141-3146
    • Beven, K.J.1
  • 46
    • 33846366974 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Working towards integrated environmental models of everywhere: uncertainty, data, and modelling as a learning process
    • Beven, K. J. (2007), Working towards integrated environmental models of everywhere: uncertainty, data, and modelling as a learning process. Hydrology & Earth System Science, 11: 460-467.
    • (2007) Hydrology & Earth System Science , vol.11 , pp. 460-467
    • Beven, K.J.1
  • 47
    • 0027009437 scopus 로고
    • The future of distributed models: model calibration and uncertainty prediction
    • Beven, K. J. & Binley, A. M. (1992), The future of distributed models: model calibration and uncertainty prediction, Hydrol. Process., 6: 279-298.
    • (1992) Hydrol. Process. , vol.6 , pp. 279-298
    • Beven, K.J.1    Binley, A.M.2
  • 48
    • 0038461320 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The use of generalised likelihood measures for uncertainty estimation in high order models of environmental systems
    • W. J. Fitzgerald, R. L. Smith, A. T. Walden & P. C. Young (Eds). Cambridge University Press
    • Beven, K. J., Freer, J., Hankin, B. & Schulz, K. (2000), The use of generalised likelihood measures for uncertainty estimation in high order models of environmental systems, in Nonlinear and Nonstationary Signal Processing, W. J. Fitzgerald, R. L. Smith, A. T. Walden & P. C. Young (Eds). Cambridge University Press, 115-151.
    • (2000) Nonlinear and Nonstationary Signal Processing , pp. 115-151
    • Beven, K.J.1    Freer, J.2    Hankin, B.3    Schulz, K.4
  • 49
    • 0035426008 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Equifinality, data assimilation, and uncertainty estimation in mechanistic modelling of complex environmental systems
    • Beven, K. J. & Freer, J. (2001), Equifinality, data assimilation, and uncertainty estimation in mechanistic modelling of complex environmental systems, J. Hydrol., 249: 11-29.
    • (2001) J. Hydrol. , vol.249 , pp. 11-29
    • Beven, K.J.1    Freer, J.2
  • 50
  • 51
    • 43449131518 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • So just why would a modeller choose to be incoherent?
    • Beven, K. J., Smith, P. J. & Freer, J. E. (2008), So just why would a modeller choose to be incoherent?, J. Hydrol., 354: 15-32.
    • (2008) J. Hydrol. , vol.354 , pp. 15-32
    • Beven, K.J.1    Smith, P.J.2    Freer, J.E.3
  • 52
    • 1542541345 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Comment on "Bayesian Recursive Parameter Estimation for Hydrologic Models" by M. Thiemann, M. Trosset, H. Gupta & S. Sorooshian
    • Beven, K. J. & Young, P. C. (2003), Comment on "Bayesian Recursive Parameter Estimation for Hydrologic Models" by M. Thiemann, M. Trosset, H. Gupta & S. Sorooshian, Water Resources Research, 39(5): doi: 10.1029/2001WR001183.
    • (2003) Water Resources Research , vol.39 , Issue.5
    • Beven, K.J.1    Young, P.C.2
  • 53
    • 33750022877 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • On the value of local measurements on prediction of pesticide transport at the field scale
    • Beven, K. J., Zhang, D. & Mermoud, A. (2006), On the value of local measurements on prediction of pesticide transport at the field scale. Vadoze Zone Journal, 5: 222-233.
    • (2006) Vadoze Zone Journal , vol.5 , pp. 222-233
    • Beven, K.J.1    Zhang, D.2    Mermoud, A.3
  • 54
    • 0026358194 scopus 로고
    • Changing responses in hydrology: assessing the uncertainty in physically-based model predictions
    • Binley, A. M., Beven, K. J., Calver, A. & Watts, L. G. (1991), Changing responses in hydrology: assessing the uncertainty in physically-based model predictions, Water Resources Research, 27: 1253-1261.
    • (1991) Water Resources Research , vol.27 , pp. 1253-1261
    • Binley, A.M.1    Beven, K.J.2    Calver, A.3    Watts, L.G.4
  • 55
    • 0037372075 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Vadose zone model uncertainty as conditioned on geophysical data
    • Binley, A. M. & Beven, K. J. (2003), Vadose zone model uncertainty as conditioned on geophysical data, Ground Water, 41: 119-127.
    • (2003) Ground Water , vol.41 , pp. 119-127
    • Binley, A.M.1    Beven, K.J.2
  • 58
    • 0037083597 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • On constraining TOPMODEL hydrograph simulations using partial saturated area information
    • Blazkova, S., Beven, K. J. & Kulasova, A. (2002), On constraining TOPMODEL hydrograph simulations using partial saturated area information, Hydrol. Process., 16: 441-458.
    • (2002) Hydrol. Process. , vol.16 , pp. 441-458
    • Blazkova, S.1    Beven, K.J.2    Kulasova, A.3
  • 59
    • 0036702622 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Flood frequency estimation by continuous simulation for a catchment treated as ungauged (with uncertainty)
    • Blazkova, S. & Beven, K. J. (2002), Flood frequency estimation by continuous simulation for a catchment treated as ungauged (with uncertainty), Water Resources Research, 38: doi: 10.1029/2001/WR000500.
    • (2002) Water Resources Research , vol.38
    • Blazkova, S.1    Beven, K.J.2
  • 60
    • 0034997416 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Land data assimilation with satellite measurements for the estimation of surface energy balance components and surface control on evaporation
    • Boni, G., Entekhabi, D. & Castelli, F. (2001), Land data assimilation with satellite measurements for the estimation of surface energy balance components and surface control on evaporation, Water Resources Research, 37: 1713-1722.
    • (2001) Water Resources Research , vol.37 , pp. 1713-1722
    • Boni, G.1    Entekhabi, D.2    Castelli, F.3
  • 61
    • 33750172875 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Measuring uncertainty importance: investigation and comparison of alternative approaches
    • Borgonovo, E. (2006), Measuring uncertainty importance: investigation and comparison of alternative approaches, Risk Analysis, 26: 1349-1361.
    • (2006) Risk Analysis , vol.26 , pp. 1349-1361
    • Borgonovo, E.1
  • 62
    • 0043205079 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Integrated approach to total maximum daily load development for the Neuse River estuary using a Bayesian probability network model (Neu-Bern)
    • Borsuk, M. E., Stow, C. A. & Reckhow, K. H. (2003), Integrated approach to total maximum daily load development for the Neuse River estuary using a Bayesian probability network model (Neu-Bern), J. Water Resour. Plann. Manag., 129: 271-282.
    • (2003) J. Water Resour. Plann. Manag. , vol.129 , pp. 271-282
    • Borsuk, M.E.1    Stow, C.A.2    Reckhow, K.H.3
  • 64
    • 31644438995 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Assessing the decline of brown trout (Salmo trutta) in Swiss rivers using a Bayesian probability network
    • Borsuk, M. E., Reichert, P., Peter, A., Schager, E. & Burkhardt-Holm, P. (2006), Assessing the decline of brown trout (Salmo trutta) in Swiss rivers using a Bayesian probability network, Ecol. Modell., 192: 224-244.
    • (2006) Ecol. Modell. , vol.192 , pp. 224-244
    • Borsuk, M.E.1    Reichert, P.2    Peter, A.3    Schager, E.4    Burkhardt-Holm, P.5
  • 65
    • 0000133998 scopus 로고
    • An analysis of transformations (with discussion)
    • Box, G. E. P. & Cox, D. R. (1964), An analysis of transformations (with discussion), J. Roy. Stat. Soc., B26: 211-252.
    • (1964) J. Roy. Stat. Soc , vol.B26 , pp. 211-252
    • Box, G.E.P.1    Cox, D.R.2
  • 68
    • 0035615625 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Communication and uncertainty management
    • Brashers, D. E. (2001), Communication and uncertainty management. J. Communication, 51(3): 477-497.
    • (2001) J. Communication , vol.51 , Issue.3 , pp. 477-497
    • Brashers, D.E.1
  • 69
    • 0033838147 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Equifinality and uncertainty in physically-based soil erosion models: application of the GLUE methodology to WEPP, the Water Erosion Prediction Project - for sites in the UK and USA
    • Brazier, R. E., Beven, K. J., Freer, J. E. & Rowan, J. S. (2000), Equifinality and uncertainty in physically-based soil erosion models: application of the GLUE methodology to WEPP, the Water Erosion Prediction Project - for sites in the UK and USA, Earth Surf. Process. Landf., 25: 825-845.
    • (2000) Earth Surf. Process. Landf. , vol.25 , pp. 825-845
    • Brazier, R.E.1    Beven, K.J.2    Freer, J.E.3    Rowan, J.S.4
  • 70
    • 19044367891 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Water distribution distribution system optimization using metamodels
    • Broad, D. R., Dandy, G. C. & Maier, H. R. (2005), Water distribution distribution system optimization using metamodels, J. Water Resour. Planning Manag. ASCE, 131: 172-180.
    • (2005) J. Water Resour. Planning Manag. ASCE , vol.131 , pp. 172-180
    • Broad, D.R.1    Dandy, G.C.2    Maier, H.R.3
  • 71
    • 4444329287 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The use of Hugin® to develop Bayesian networks as an aid to integrated water resource planning
    • Bromley, J., Jackson, N. A., Clymer, O. J., Giacomello, A. M. & Jensen, F. V. (2005), The use of Hugin® to develop Bayesian networks as an aid to integrated water resource planning, Environ. Modell. & Softw., 20: 231-242.
    • (2005) Environ. Modell. & Softw. , vol.20 , pp. 231-242
    • Bromley, J.1    Jackson, N.A.2    Clymer, O.J.3    Giacomello, A.M.4    Jensen, F.V.5
  • 72
    • 0032273615 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • General methods for monitoring convergence of iterative simulations
    • Brooks, S. P. & Gelman, A. (1998), General methods for monitoring convergence of iterative simulations, J. Comp. Graph. Stat., 7: 434-455.
    • (1998) J. Comp. Graph. Stat. , vol.7 , pp. 434-455
    • Brooks, S.P.1    Gelman, A.2
  • 73
    • 34248637616 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Socioeconomic vulnerability and adaptation to environmental risk: a case study of climate change and flooding in Bangladesh
    • Brouwer, R., Akter, S., Brander, L. & Haque, E. (2007), Socioeconomic vulnerability and adaptation to environmental risk: a case study of climate change and flooding in Bangladesh, Risk Analysis, 27: 313-326.
    • (2007) Risk Analysis , vol.27 , pp. 313-326
    • Brouwer, R.1    Akter, S.2    Brander, L.3    Haque, E.4
  • 74
    • 33845570615 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The Data Uncertainty Engine (DUE): a software tool for assessing and simulating uncertain environmental variables
    • Brown, J. D. & Heuvelink, G. (2007), The Data Uncertainty Engine (DUE): a software tool for assessing and simulating uncertain environmental variables, Computer & Geosciences, 33: 172-190.
    • (2007) Computer & Geosciences , vol.33 , pp. 172-190
    • Brown, J.D.1    Heuvelink, G.2
  • 75
    • 0037547172 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A demonstration of ensemble-based assimilation methods with a layered OGCM from the perspective of operational ocean forecasting systems
    • Brusdal, K., Brankart, J., Halberstadt, G., Evenson, G., Brasseur, P., van Leeuwen, P. J., Domborwsky, E. & Verron, J. (2003), A demonstration of ensemble-based assimilation methods with a layered OGCM from the perspective of operational ocean forecasting systems, J. Mar. Syst., 40-41: 253-289, doi:10.1016/S0924-7963(03)00021-6.
    • (2003) J. Mar. Syst , vol.40-41 , pp. 253-289
    • Brusdal, K.1    Brankart, J.2    Halberstadt, G.3    Evenson, G.4    Brasseur, P.5    van Leeuwen, P.J.6    Domborwsky, E.7    Verron, J.8
  • 77
    • 0033403384 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Stochastic representations of model uncertainties in the ECMWF Ensemble Prediction System
    • Buizza, R., Miller, M. & Palmer, T. (1999), Stochastic representations of model uncertainties in the ECMWF Ensemble Prediction System, Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., 125: 2887-2908.
    • (1999) Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. , vol.125 , pp. 2887-2908
    • Buizza, R.1    Miller, M.2    Palmer, T.3
  • 78
    • 0032439201 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Analysis scheme in the ensemble Kalman filter
    • Burgers, G., van Leeuwen, P. & Evensen, G. (1998), Analysis scheme in the ensemble Kalman filter, Mon. Weath. Rev., 126: 1719-1724.
    • (1998) Mon. Weath. Rev. , vol.126 , pp. 1719-1724
    • Burgers, G.1    van Leeuwen, P.2    Evensen, G.3
  • 80
    • 33745452078 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • An application of the UKCIP02 climate change scenarios to flood estimation by continuous simulation for a gauged catchment in the northeast of Scotland, UK (with uncertainty)
    • Cameron, D. (2006), An application of the UKCIP02 climate change scenarios to flood estimation by continuous simulation for a gauged catchment in the northeast of Scotland, UK (with uncertainty). J. Hydrol., 328: 212-226.
    • (2006) J. Hydrol. , vol.328 , pp. 212-226
    • Cameron, D.1
  • 81
    • 0034465796 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Flood frequency estimation under climate change (with uncertainty)
    • Cameron, D., Beven, K. & Naden, P. (2000), Flood frequency estimation under climate change (with uncertainty). Hydrology & Earth System Sciences, 4: 393-405.
    • (2000) Hydrology & Earth System Sciences , vol.4 , pp. 393-405
    • Cameron, D.1    Beven, K.2    Naden, P.3
  • 83
    • 33947146201 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Risk-based approaches to deal with uncertainty in a data-poor system: stakeholder involvement in hazard identification for marine national parks and marine sanctuaries in Victoria
    • Carey, J. M., Beilin, R., Boxshall, A., Burgman, M. A. & Flander, L. (2007), Risk-based approaches to deal with uncertainty in a data-poor system: stakeholder involvement in hazard identification for marine national parks and marine sanctuaries in Victoria, Australia, Risk Analysis, 27: 271-281.
    • (2007) Australia, Risk Analysis , vol.27 , pp. 271-281
    • Carey, J.M.1    Beilin, R.2    Boxshall, A.3    Burgman, M.A.4    Flander, L.5
  • 84
    • 0022923351 scopus 로고
    • Estimation of aquifer parameters under transient and steady-state conditions
    • Carrera, J. & Neumann, S. P. (1986), Estimation of aquifer parameters under transient and steady-state conditions, Water Resources Research, 22: 199-242.
    • (1986) Water Resources Research , vol.22 , pp. 199-242
    • Carrera, J.1    Neumann, S.P.2
  • 87
    • 84937730674 scopus 로고
    • Explaining the Gibbs sampler
    • Casella, B. (1992), Explaining the Gibbs sampler, The American Statistician, 46: 167-174.
    • (1992) The American Statistician , vol.46 , pp. 167-174
    • Casella, B.1
  • 88
    • 18644376836 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Uncertainty and sensitivity analysis in assessment of the thyroid cancer risk related to Chernobyl fallout in Eastern France
    • Catelinois, O., Laurier, D., Verger, P., Rogel, A., Colonna, M., Ignasiak, M., Hémon, D. & Timarche, M. (2005), Uncertainty and sensitivity analysis in assessment of the thyroid cancer risk related to Chernobyl fallout in Eastern France, Risk Analysis, 25: 243-252.
    • (2005) Risk Analysis , vol.25 , pp. 243-252
    • Catelinois, O.1    Laurier, D.2    Verger, P.3    Rogel, A.4    Colonna, M.5    Ignasiak, M.6    Hémon, D.7    Timarche, M.8
  • 89
    • 24144470136 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A comparison between the 4DVAR and the ensemble Kalman filter techniques for radar data assimilation
    • Caya, A., Sun, J., Snyder, C. (2005), A comparison between the 4DVAR and the ensemble Kalman filter techniques for radar data assimilation, Month. Weath. Rev., 133: 3081-3094.
    • (2005) Month. Weath. Rev. , vol.133 , pp. 3081-3094
    • Caya, A.1    Sun, J.2    Snyder, C.3
  • 90
    • 0000585362 scopus 로고
    • Studies for students
    • reprinted as: The method of multiple working hypotheses, J. Geol., 39, 155-165, 1931
    • Chamberlin, T. C. (1897), Studies for students, J. Geol. 5: 837-848, reprinted as: The method of multiple working hypotheses, J. Geol., 39: 155-165, 1931.
    • (1897) J. Geol. , vol.5 , pp. 837-848
    • Chamberlin, T.C.1
  • 91
    • 84928845840 scopus 로고
    • Is Bhaskar's realism realistic?
    • Chalmers, A. (1989), Is Bhaskar's realism realistic? Radical Phil., 49: 18-23.
    • (1989) Radical Phil. , vol.49 , pp. 18-23
    • Chalmers, A.1
  • 92
    • 33846853969 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Assessment of water quality management with a systematic qualitative uncertainty analysis
    • Chen, C.-F., Ma, H.-W. & Reckhow, K. H. (2007), Assessment of water quality management with a systematic qualitative uncertainty analysis, Science of the Total Environment, 374: 13-25.
    • (2007) Science of the Total Environment , vol.374 , pp. 13-25
    • Chen, C.-F.1    Ma, H.-W.2    Reckhow, K.H.3
  • 93
    • 33845866658 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Multi-period and multi-criteria model conditioning to reduce prediction uncertainty in distributed rainfall-runoff modelling within GLUE framework
    • Choi, H. T. & Beven, K. J. (2007), Multi-period and multi-criteria model conditioning to reduce prediction uncertainty in distributed rainfall-runoff modelling within GLUE framework, J. Hydrol., 332: 316-336
    • (2007) J. Hydrol. , vol.332 , pp. 316-336
    • Choi, H.T.1    Beven, K.J.2
  • 94
    • 0037083456 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Constraining soil hydraulic parameter and output uncertainty of the distributed hydrological MIKE SHE model using the GLUE framework
    • Christiaens, K., & Feyen, J. (2002), Constraining soil hydraulic parameter and output uncertainty of the distributed hydrological MIKE SHE model using the GLUE framework, Hydrol. Process., 16: 373-391.
    • (2002) Hydrol. Process. , vol.16 , pp. 373-391
    • Christiaens, K.1    Feyen, J.2
  • 95
    • 0032882781 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Evaluation of prediction intervals for expressing uncertainties in groundwater flow model predictions
    • Christensen, S. & Cooley, R. L. (1999), Evaluation of prediction intervals for expressing uncertainties in groundwater flow model predictions, Water Resources Research, 35: 2627- 2639
    • (1999) Water Resources Research , vol.35 , pp. 2627- 2639
    • Christensen, S.1    Cooley, R.L.2
  • 97
    • 12944287801 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Why environmental scientists are becoming Bayesians
    • Clark, J. S. (2006), Why environmental scientists are becoming Bayesians, Ecol. Lett., 8: 2-14.
    • (2006) Ecol. Lett. , vol.8 , pp. 2-14
    • Clark, J.S.1
  • 98
    • 23644450785 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Hierarchical Bayes for structured, variable populations: from recapture data to life-history prediction
    • Clark, J. S., Ferraz, G., Oguge, N., Hays, H. & DiCostanzo, J. (2005), Hierarchical Bayes for structured, variable populations: from recapture data to life-history prediction, Ecology, 86: 2232-2244.
    • (2005) Ecology , vol.86 , pp. 2232-2244
    • Clark, J.S.1    Ferraz, G.2    Oguge, N.3    Hays, H.4    DiCostanzo, J.5
  • 100
    • 33846354862 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Hydrological prediction in a non-stationary world
    • Clarke, R. T. (2007), Hydrological prediction in a non-stationary world, Hydro. Earth. Syst. Sci., 11(1): 408-414.
    • (2007) Hydro. Earth. Syst. Sci. , vol.11 , Issue.1 , pp. 408-414
    • Clarke, R.T.1
  • 102
    • 33947201793 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Flash flood forecasting: what are the limits of predictability?
    • Collier, C. G. (2007), Flash flood forecasting: what are the limits of predictability? Quart. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., 133: 3-23.
    • (2007) Quart. J. R. Meteorol. Soc , vol.133 , pp. 3-23
    • Collier, C.G.1
  • 105
    • 84981579302 scopus 로고
    • Important literature on the use of adjoint, variational methods and the Kalman filter in meteorology
    • Courtier, P., Derber, J., Errico, R., Louis, J.-F. & Vukicevic, T. (1993), Important literature on the use of adjoint, variational methods and the Kalman filter in meteorology, Tellus, A45: 342-257.
    • (1993) Tellus , vol.A45 , pp. 257-342
    • Courtier, P.1    Derber, J.2    Errico, R.3    Louis, J.-F.4    Vukicevic, T.5
  • 106
    • 0141586405 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A survey of concepts of independence for imprecise probabilities
    • Couso, I., Moral, S. & Walley, P. (2000), A survey of concepts of independence for imprecise probabilities, Risk Decis. & Policy, 5: 165-181.
    • (2000) Risk Decis. & Policy , vol.5 , pp. 165-181
    • Couso, I.1    Moral, S.2    Walley, P.3
  • 110
    • 0030441712 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A novel Bayesian approach to assessing impacts of rain forest logging
    • Crome, F. H. J., Thomas, M. R. & Moore, L. A. (1996), A novel Bayesian approach to assessing impacts of rain forest logging, Ecol. Applic., 6: 1104-1123.
    • (1996) Ecol. Applic. , vol.6 , pp. 1104-1123
    • Crome, F.H.J.1    Thomas, M.R.2    Moore, L.A.3
  • 111
    • 0037298763 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The assimilation of remotely-sensed soil brightness temperature imagery into a land surface model using an Ensemble Kalman Filtering: a case study based on ESTAR measurements during SGP97
    • Crow, W. T. & Wood, E. F. (2003), The assimilation of remotely-sensed soil brightness temperature imagery into a land surface model using an Ensemble Kalman Filtering: a case study based on ESTAR measurements during SGP97, Adv. Water Resour., 26(2): 137-149.
    • (2003) Adv. Water Resour. , vol.26 , Issue.2 , pp. 137-149
    • Crow, W.T.1    Wood, E.F.2
  • 112
    • 1842274908 scopus 로고
    • Bayesian estimation of frequency of hydrological events
    • IAHS Press: Wallingford
    • Cunnane, C. & Nash, J. E. (1971), Bayesian estimation of frequency of hydrological events, IAHS Pubn No., 100: 47-55, IAHS Press: Wallingford.
    • (1971) IAHS Pubn No. , vol.100 , pp. 47-55
    • Cunnane, C.1    Nash, J.E.2
  • 113
    • 0022929033 scopus 로고
    • On measurement, scale and scaling
    • Cushman, J. H. (1986), On measurement, scale and scaling, Water Resources Research, 22: 129-134.
    • (1986) Water Resources Research , vol.22 , pp. 129-134
    • Cushman, J.H.1
  • 114
    • 0022767708 scopus 로고
    • Statistical-theory of groundwater-flow and transport - pore to laboratory, laboratory to formation and formation to regional scale
    • Dagan, G. (1986), Statistical-theory of groundwater-flow and transport - pore to laboratory, laboratory to formation and formation to regional scale, Water Resources Research, 22 (suppl.): S120-S134.
    • (1986) Water Resources Research , vol.22 , pp. S120-S134
    • Dagan, G.1
  • 115
    • 0029669727 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Risk-based environmental remediation: Bayesian Monte Carlo analysis and the expected value of sample information
    • Dakins, M. E., Toll, J. E., Small, M. J. & Brand, K. P. (1996), Risk-based environmental remediation: Bayesian Monte Carlo analysis and the expected value of sample information, Risk Analysis, 16: 67-79
    • (1996) Risk Analysis , vol.16 , pp. 67-79
    • Dakins, M.E.1    Toll, J.E.2    Small, M.J.3    Brand, K.P.4
  • 116
    • 0027060517 scopus 로고
    • Application of a validation strategy to Darcy's experiment
    • Davies, P. A., Olague, N. E. & Goodrich, M. T. (1992), Application of a validation strategy to Darcy's experiment, Adv. In Water Resour., 15: 175-180
    • (1992) Adv. In Water Resour , vol.15 , pp. 175-180
    • Davies, P.A.1    Olague, N.E.2    Goodrich, M.T.3
  • 117
    • 33846868359 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Bias and data assimilation Q. J. R.
    • Dee, D. P. (2005), Bias and data assimilation Q. J. R. Meterol. Soc., 131: 3323-3343.
    • (2005) Meterol. Soc. , vol.131 , pp. 3323-3343
    • Dee, D.P.1
  • 118
    • 0000674568 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Data assimilation in the presence of forecast bias
    • Dee, D. P. & da Silva, D. M. (1998), Data assimilation in the presence of forecast bias, Quart. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., 124: 269-296.
    • (1998) Quart. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. , vol.124 , pp. 269-296
    • Dee, D.P.1    da Silva, D.M.2
  • 119
    • 33745931058 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Assessment of model uncertainty for soil moisture through ensemble verification
    • De Lannoy, G. J. M., Houser, P. R., Pauwels, V. R. N. & Verhoest, N. E. C. (2006), Assessment of model uncertainty for soil moisture through ensemble verification, JGR-Atmos., 111(D10): D10101
    • (2006) JGR-Atmos. , vol.111 , Issue.D10 , pp. D10101
    • De Lannoy, G.J.M.1    Houser, P.R.2    Pauwels, V.R.N.3    Verhoest, N.E.C.4
  • 120
    • 0347269107 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A generalized Pareto intensity-duration model of storm rainfall exploiting 2-Copulas
    • De Michele, C. & Salvadori, G. (2003), A generalized Pareto intensity-duration model of storm rainfall exploiting 2-Copulas, JGR-Atmos., 108(D2): D4067
    • (2003) JGR-Atmos , vol.108 , Issue.D2 , pp. D4067
    • De Michele, C.1    Salvadori, G.2
  • 121
    • 0035384485 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The construction of global warming and the politics of science
    • Demeritt, D. (2001), The construction of global warming and the politics of science. Annals Assoc. Am. Geog., 91: 307-337.
    • (2001) Annals Assoc. Am. Geog. , vol.91 , pp. 307-337
    • Demeritt, D.1
  • 122
    • 0027075224 scopus 로고
    • Development of Bayesian Monte Carlo techniques for water quality model uncertainty
    • Dilks, D. W., Canale, R. P. & Meier, P. G. (1992), Development of Bayesian Monte Carlo techniques for water quality model uncertainty, Ecol. Modell., 62: 149-162.
    • (1992) Ecol. Modell. , vol.62 , pp. 149-162
    • Dilks, D.W.1    Canale, R.P.2    Meier, P.G.3
  • 124
    • 0038038646 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Bayesian inference and decision theory - a framework for decision making in natural resource management
    • Dorazio, R. M. & Johnson, F. A. (2003), Bayesian inference and decision theory - a framework for decision making in natural resource management, Ecological Applications, 13: 556-563.
    • (2003) Ecological Applications , vol.13 , pp. 556-563
    • Dorazio, R.M.1    Johnson, F.A.2
  • 126
    • 0002276308 scopus 로고
    • Assessment and propagation of model uncertainty
    • Draper, D. (1995), Assessment and propagation of model uncertainty, J. Roy. Stat. Soc., B37: 45-98.
    • (1995) J. Roy. Stat. Soc , vol.B37 , pp. 45-98
    • Draper, D.1
  • 127
    • 77952771998 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Coherence and calibration: comments on subjectivity and objectivity in Bayesian analysis (Comment on articles by Berger & Goldstein)
    • Draper, D. (2006), Coherence and calibration: comments on subjectivity and objectivity in Bayesian analysis (Comment on articles by Berger & Goldstein), Bayesian Analysis, 1: 423-428.
    • (2006) Bayesian Analysis , vol.1 , pp. 423-428
    • Draper, D.1
  • 129
    • 0026445234 scopus 로고
    • Effective and efficient global optimisation for conceptual rainfall-runoff models
    • Duan, Q. S., Soorooshian, S. & Gupta, H. J. (1992), Effective and efficient global optimisation for conceptual rainfall-runoff models, Water Resources Research, 28: 1015-1031.
    • (1992) Water Resources Research , vol.28 , pp. 1015-1031
    • Duan, Q.S.1    Soorooshian, S.2    Gupta, H.J.3
  • 130
    • 0027558431 scopus 로고
    • A shuffled complex evolution approach for effective and efficient global minimization
    • Duan, Q., Gupta, V. K. & Sorooshian, S. (1993), A shuffled complex evolution approach for effective and efficient global minimization, J. Optim. Theory & Applic., 76: 501-521.
    • (1993) J. Optim. Theory & Applic. , vol.76 , pp. 501-521
    • Duan, Q.1    Gupta, V.K.2    Sorooshian, S.3
  • 131
    • 0028449781 scopus 로고
    • Optimal use of the SCE-UA global optimization method for calibrating watershed models
    • Duan, Q., Sorooshian, S. & Gupta, V. K. (1994), Optimal use of the SCE-UA global optimization method for calibrating watershed models, J. Hydrol., 158: 265-284.
    • (1994) J. Hydrol. , vol.158 , pp. 265-284
    • Duan, Q.1    Sorooshian, S.2    Gupta, V.K.3
  • 132
    • 33847274843 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Multi-model ensemble hydrologic prediction using Bayesian model averaging
    • Duan, Q., Ajami, N. K., Gao, X. & Sorooshian, S. (2007), Multi-model ensemble hydrologic prediction using Bayesian model averaging, Adv. Water Resour., 30: 1371-1386.
    • (2007) Adv. Water Resour. , vol.30 , pp. 1371-1386
    • Duan, Q.1    Ajami, N.K.2    Gao, X.3    Sorooshian, S.4
  • 133
    • 84963133436 scopus 로고
    • Rough fuzzy sets and fuzzy rough sets
    • Dubois, D. (1990), Rough fuzzy sets and fuzzy rough sets. Int. J. Gen. Syst., 17: 191-209.
    • (1990) Int. J. Gen. Syst. , vol.17 , pp. 191-209
    • Dubois, D.1
  • 135
    • 15444371779 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • An ensemble-based reanalysis approach to land data assimilation
    • Dunne, S. & Entekhabi, D. (2005), An ensemble-based reanalysis approach to land data assimilation, Water Resources Research, 41: W02013, doi: 10.1029/2004WR003449.
    • (2005) Water Resources Research , vol.41 , pp. W02013
    • Dunne, S.1    Entekhabi, D.2
  • 136
    • 33644799027 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Land surface state and flux estimation using the ensemble Kalman smoother during the Southern Great Plains 1997 field experiment
    • Dunne, S. & Entekhabi, D. (2006), Land surface state and flux estimation using the ensemble Kalman smoother during the Southern Great Plains 1997 field experiment, Water Resources Research, 42: W01407, doi: 10.1029/2005WR004334.
    • (2006) Water Resources Research , vol.42 , pp. W01407
    • Dunne, S.1    Entekhabi, D.2
  • 137
    • 85080455270 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Parliamentary Office of Science and Technology: London
    • Ely, A. (2004). Handling Uncertainty in Scientific Advice. Parliamentary Office of Science and Technology: London, 4 pp.
    • (2004) Handling Uncertainty in Scientific Advice , vol.4
    • Ely, A.1
  • 140
    • 0028586562 scopus 로고
    • TOPEX/POSEIDON tides estimated using a global inverse model
    • Egbert, G. D., Bennett, A. F. & Foreman, M. G. G. (1994), TOPEX/POSEIDON tides estimated using a global inverse model, JGR-Oceans, 99(C12): 24821-24852.
    • (1994) JGR-Oceans , vol.99 , Issue.C12 , pp. 24821-24852
    • Egbert, G.D.1    Bennett, A.F.2    Foreman, M.G.G.3
  • 141
    • 0030436475 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • An introduction to Bayesian inference for ecological research and environmental decision-making
    • Ellison, A. (1996), An introduction to Bayesian inference for ecological research and environmental decision-making, Ecol. Applic., 6: 1036-1046.
    • (1996) Ecol. Applic. , vol.6 , pp. 1036-1046
    • Ellison, A.1
  • 142
    • 33750374147 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Multicriterion decision analysis approach to assess the utility of watershed modelling for management decisions
    • Elshorbagy, A. (2006), Multicriterion decision analysis approach to assess the utility of watershed modelling for management decisions, Water Resources Research, 42, W09407, doi:10.1029/2005WR004264.
    • (2006) Water Resources Research , vol.42 , pp. W09407
    • Elshorbagy, A.1
  • 143
    • 13244265879 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Assessing uncertainties in a conceptual water balance model using Bayesian methodology
    • Engeland, K., Xu, C.-Y. & Gottschalk, L. (2005), Assessing uncertainties in a conceptual water balance model using Bayesian methodology, Hydrol. Sci. J., 50(1): 45-63.
    • (2005) Hydrol. Sci. J. , vol.50 , Issue.1 , pp. 45-63
    • Engeland, K.1    Xu, C.-Y.2    Gottschalk, L.3
  • 146
    • 0028193070 scopus 로고
    • Sequential data assimilation with a nonlinear quasi-geostrophic model using Monte Carlo methods to forecast error statistics
    • Evensen, G. (1994), Sequential data assimilation with a nonlinear quasi-geostrophic model using Monte Carlo methods to forecast error statistics, J. Geophys. Res., 99(C5): 10243-10162.
    • (1994) J. Geophys. Res. , vol.99 , Issue.C5 , pp. 10162-10243
    • Evensen, G.1
  • 147
    • 10844229034 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Sampling strategies and square root analysis schemes for the EnKF
    • Evensen, G. (2004), Sampling strategies and square root analysis schemes for the EnKF, Ocean Dynamics, 54, 539-560, doi: 10.1007/s10236-004-0099-2.
    • (2004) Ocean Dynamics , vol.54 , pp. 539-560
    • Evensen, G.1
  • 149
    • 0033942436 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • An ensemble Kalman smoother for nonlinear dynamics
    • Evensen, G. & van Leeuwen, P. V. (2000), An ensemble Kalman smoother for nonlinear dynamics, Mon. Weath. Rev., 128(6): 1852-1867, doi: 10.1175/1520-0493(2000)128 <1852:AEKSFN>2.0.CO;2.
    • (2000) Mon. Weath. Rev. , vol.128 , Issue.6 , pp. 1852-1867
    • Evensen, G.1    van Leeuwen, P.V.2
  • 150
    • 4243114210 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Using expert judgement and stakeholder values to evaluate management options
    • 9:art 13
    • Failing, L., Horn, G. & Higgins, P. (2004), Using expert judgement and stakeholder values to evaluate management options, Ecology & Society, 9:art 13 (www.ecologyandsociety.org/ vol9/iss1/art13).
    • (2004) Ecology & Society
    • Failing, L.1    Horn, G.2    Higgins, P.3
  • 151
    • 38349059224 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Developing a translational discourse to communicate uncertainty in flood risk between science and the practitioner
    • Faulkner, H., Parker, D., Green, C., & Beven, K. J. (2007), Developing a translational discourse to communicate uncertainty in flood risk between science and the practitioner, Ambio: 36(8): 692-703.
    • (2007) Ambio , vol.36 , Issue.8 , pp. 692-703
    • Faulkner, H.1    Parker, D.2    Green, C.3    Beven, K.J.4
  • 154
    • 0030289763 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Different methods are needed to propagate ignorance and variability
    • Ferson, S. & Ginzburg, L. R. (1996), Different methods are needed to propagate ignorance and variability, Reliab. Engin. & System Safety, 54: 133-144.
    • (1996) Reliab. Engin. & System Safety , vol.54 , pp. 133-144
    • Ferson, S.1    Ginzburg, L.R.2
  • 155
    • 2642539278 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Arithmetic with uncertain numbers: rigorous and (often) best possible answers
    • Ferson, S. & Hajagos, J. G. (2004), Arithmetic with uncertain numbers: rigorous and (often) best possible answers, Reliab. Engin. & System Safety, 85: 135-152.
    • (2004) Reliab. Engin. & System Safety , vol.85 , pp. 135-152
    • Ferson, S.1    Hajagos, J.G.2
  • 156
    • 0034987501 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Stochastic capture zones delineated within the Generalised Likelihood Uncertainty Estimation methodology: conditioning on head observations
    • Feyen, L., Beven, K. J., De Smedt, F. & Freer, J. E. (2001), Stochastic capture zones delineated within the Generalised Likelihood Uncertainty Estimation methodology: conditioning on head observations, Water Resources Research, 37: 625-638.
    • (2001) Water Resources Research , vol.37 , pp. 625-638
    • Feyen, L.1    Beven, K.J.2    De Smedt, F.3    Freer, J.E.4
  • 157
    • 0347294692 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Bayesian methodology for stochastic capture zone delineation incorporating transmissivity measurements and hydraulic head observations
    • Feyen, L., Ribeiro, P. J., Gomez-Hernandez, J. J., Beven, K. J. & De Smedt, F. (2003), Bayesian methodology for stochastic capture zone delineation incorporating transmissivity measurements and hydraulic head observations, J. Hydrol., 271: 156-170.
    • (2003) J. Hydrol. , vol.271 , pp. 156-170
    • Feyen, L.1    Ribeiro, P.J.2    Gomez-Hernandez, J.J.3    Beven, K.J.4    De Smedt, F.5
  • 158
    • 33845700101 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Parameter optimisation and uncertainty assessment for large-scale streamflow simulation with the LISFLOOD model
    • Feyen, L., Vrugt, J. A., O., Nuallain, B., van der Knijff, J. & De Roo, A. (2007), Parameter optimisation and uncertainty assessment for large-scale streamflow simulation with the LISFLOOD model, J. Hydrol., 332: 276-289.
    • (2007) J. Hydrol. , vol.332 , pp. 276-289
    • Feyen, L.1    Vrugt, J.A.O.2    Nuallain, B.3    van der Knijff, J.4    De Roo, A.5
  • 160
    • 33748029502 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A Bayesian geostatistical transfer function approach to tracer test analysis
    • Fienen, M. N., Luo, J. & Kitanidis, P. K. (2006), A Bayesian geostatistical transfer function approach to tracer test analysis, Water Resources Research, 42, W07426, doi:10.1029/ 2005WR004576
    • (2006) Water Resources Research , vol.42 , pp. W07426
    • Fienen, M.N.1    Luo, J.2    Kitanidis, P.K.3
  • 161
    • 33745223678 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A data assimilation method for log-normally distributed observation errors
    • Fletcher, S. J. & Zupanski, M. (2006), A data assimilation method for log-normally distributed observation errors, Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., 132: 2505-2519.
    • (2006) Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. , vol.132 , pp. 2505-2519
    • Fletcher, S.J.1    Zupanski, M.2
  • 162
    • 0030620411 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Simulation, Bayes, and bootstrap in statistical hydrology
    • Fortin, V., Bernier, J., & Bobe, B. (1997), Simulation, Bayes, and bootstrap in statistical hydrology, Water Resources Research, 33: 439-448.
    • (1997) Water Resources Research , vol.33 , pp. 439-448
    • Fortin, V.1    Bernier, J.2    Bobe, B.3
  • 163
    • 0032338535 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The role of context in the communication of uncertain beliefs
    • Fox, C. R. & Irwin, J. R. (1998), The role of context in the communication of uncertain beliefs. Basic & Applied Social Psychology, 20(1): 57-70.
    • (1998) Basic & Applied Social Psychology , vol.20 , Issue.1 , pp. 57-70
    • Fox, C.R.1    Irwin, J.R.2
  • 164
    • 34547144654 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Probabilistic climate forecasts and inductive problems
    • Frame, D. J., Faull, N. E., Joshi, M. M. & Allen, M. R. (2007), Probabilistic climate forecasts and inductive problems, Phil. Trans. R. Soc., A365: 1971-1992.
    • (2007) Phil. Trans. R. Soc , vol.A365 , pp. 1971-1992
    • Frame, D.J.1    Faull, N.E.2    Joshi, M.M.3    Allen, M.R.4
  • 165
    • 0031898095 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • On constraining the predictions of a distributed model: the incorporation of fuzzy estimates of saturated areas into the calibration process
    • Franks, S. W., Gineste, P., Beven, K. J. & Merot, P. (1998), On constraining the predictions of a distributed model: the incorporation of fuzzy estimates of saturated areas into the calibration process, Water Resources Research, 34, 787-797.
    • (1998) Water Resources Research , vol.34 , pp. 787-797
    • Franks, S.W.1    Gineste, P.2    Beven, K.J.3    Merot, P.4
  • 166
    • 0032844801 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Conditioning a multiple patch SVAT model using uncertain time-space estimates of latent heat fluxes as inferred from remotely-sensed data
    • Franks, S. W. & Beven, K. J. (1999), Conditioning a multiple patch SVAT model using uncertain time-space estimates of latent heat fluxes as inferred from remotely-sensed data, Water Resources Research, 35(9): 2751-2761.
    • (1999) Water Resources Research , vol.35 , Issue.9 , pp. 2751-2761
    • Franks, S.W.1    Beven, K.J.2
  • 167
    • 0029659801 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Bayesian estimation of uncertainty in runoff prediction and the value of data: an application of the GLUE approach
    • Freer, J. E., Beven, K. J. & Ambroise, B. (1996), Bayesian estimation of uncertainty in runoff prediction and the value of data: an application of the GLUE approach, Water Resources Research, 32(7): 2161-2173.
    • (1996) Water Resources Research , vol.32 , Issue.7 , pp. 2161-2173
    • Freer, J.E.1    Beven, K.J.2    Ambroise, B.3
  • 168
    • 4544344281 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Multivariate seasonal period model rejection within the generalised likelihood uncertainty estimation procedure
    • edited by Q. Duan, H. Gupta, S. Sorooshian, A. N. Rousseau & R. Turcotte, AGU Books: Washington
    • Freer, J. E., Beven, K. J., & Peters, N. E. (2003), Multivariate seasonal period model rejection within the generalised likelihood uncertainty estimation procedure, in Calibration of Watershed Models, edited by Q. Duan, H. Gupta, S. Sorooshian, A. N. Rousseau & R. Turcotte, AGU Books: Washington, 69-87.
    • (2003) Calibration of Watershed Models , pp. 69-87
    • Freer, J.E.1    Beven, K.J.2    Peters, N.E.3
  • 169
    • 1942438476 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Constraining Dynamic TOPMODEL responses for imprecise water table information using fuzzy rule-based performance measures
    • Freer, J. E., McMillan, H., McDonnell, J. J. & Beven, K. J. (2004), Constraining Dynamic TOPMODEL responses for imprecise water table information using fuzzy rule-based performance measures, J. Hydrol., 291: 254-277
    • (2004) J. Hydrol. , vol.291 , pp. 254-277
    • Freer, J.E.1    McMillan, H.2    McDonnell, J.J.3    Beven, K.J.4
  • 170
    • 0026896547 scopus 로고
    • Hydrogeological decision analysis: 4. The concept of data worth and its use in the development of site investigation strategies
    • Freeze, R. A., James, B., Massmann, J., Sperling, T. & Smith, L. (1992), Hydrogeological decision analysis: 4. The concept of data worth and its use in the development of site investigation strategies, Ground Water, 30: 574-588
    • (1992) Ground Water , vol.30 , pp. 574-588
    • Freeze, R.A.1    James, B.2    Massmann, J.3    Sperling, T.4    Smith, L.5
  • 171
    • 0000694159 scopus 로고
    • Transformations related to the angular and the square root
    • Freeman, M. F. & Tukey, J. W. (1950), Transformations related to the angular and the square root, Ann. Math. Statist., 21: 607-611.
    • (1950) Ann. Math. Statist. , vol.21 , pp. 607-611
    • Freeman, M.F.1    Tukey, J.W.2
  • 172
    • 0033033756 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Comparison of first-order analysis and fuzzy set approach for the evaluation of imprecision in a pesticide groundwater pollution screening model
    • Freissinet, C., Vauclin, M. & Erlich, M. (1999), Comparison of first-order analysis and fuzzy set approach for the evaluation of imprecision in a pesticide groundwater pollution screening model, J. Contam. Hydrol., 37: 21-43.
    • (1999) J. Contam. Hydrol. , vol.37 , pp. 21-43
    • Freissinet, C.1    Vauclin, M.2    Erlich, M.3
  • 175
    • 0001552444 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Post-normal science: an insight now maturing
    • Funtowicz, S. O. & Ravetz, J. R. (1999), Post-normal science: an insight now maturing, Futures, 25: 735-755.
    • (1999) Futures , vol.25 , pp. 735-755
    • Funtowicz, S.O.1    Ravetz, J.R.2
  • 176
    • 85080452409 scopus 로고
    • Reliability and the Law
    • in Buckley, D. (Ed.) (1992), McGraw-Hill: London
    • Furmston, M. P. (1992), Reliability and the Law, in Buckley, D. (Ed.) (1992), Engineering Safety, McGraw-Hill: London, 385-401.
    • (1992) Engineering Safety , pp. 385-401
    • Furmston, M.P.1
  • 177
    • 33846829888 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Parameter estimation and uncertainty analysis for a watershed model
    • Gallagher, M. & Doherty, J. (2007), Parameter estimation and uncertainty analysis for a watershed model, Environ. Modell. & Software, 22: 1000-1020.
    • (2007) Environ. Modell. & Software , vol.22 , pp. 1000-1020
    • Gallagher, M.1    Doherty, J.2
  • 179
    • 0030428424 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Automatic calibration of conceptual rainfall-runoff models: Optimization algorithms, catchment conditions, and model structure
    • Gan, T. Y. & Biftu, G. F. (1996), Automatic calibration of conceptual rainfall-runoff models: Optimization algorithms, catchment conditions, and model structure, Water Resources Research, 32: 3513-3524.
    • (1996) Water Resources Research , vol.32 , pp. 3513-3524
    • Gan, T.Y.1    Biftu, G.F.2
  • 180
    • 0004942034 scopus 로고
    • Parameter uncertainty and model predictions: a review of Monte Carlo results
    • M. B. Beck & G. van Straten (Eds.), Springer: Berlin
    • Gardner, R. H. & O'Neill, R. V. (1983), Parameter uncertainty and model predictions: a review of Monte Carlo results, in M. B. Beck & G. van Straten (Eds.), Uncertainty and Forecasting of Water Quality, Springer: Berlin, 245-257.
    • (1983) Uncertainty and Forecasting of Water Quality , pp. 245-257
    • Gardner, R.H.1    O'Neill, R.V.2
  • 181
    • 0021518209 scopus 로고
    • Stochastic relaxation, Gibbs distributions, and the Bayesian restoration of images
    • Geman, S. & Geman, D. (1984), Stochastic relaxation, Gibbs distributions, and the Bayesian restoration of images, IEEE Trans. Pattern Anal. Mach. Intell., 6: 721-741.
    • (1984) IEEE Trans. Pattern Anal. Mach. Intell. , vol.6 , pp. 721-741
    • Geman, S.1    Geman, D.2
  • 182
    • 33645807073 scopus 로고
    • Data assimilation in meteorology and oceanography
    • Ghil, M., & Manalotte-Rizzoli, P. (1991), Data assimilation in meteorology and oceanography, Adv. Geophys., 33: 141-266.
    • (1991) Adv. Geophys. , vol.33 , pp. 141-266
    • Ghil, M.1    Manalotte-Rizzoli, P.2
  • 183
    • 0000992287 scopus 로고
    • The inculcation of scientific method by example
    • Gilbert, G. K. (1886), The inculcation of scientific method by example, Am. J. Sci., 31: 284-299.
    • (1886) Am. J. Sci. , vol.31 , pp. 284-299
    • Gilbert, G.K.1
  • 184
    • 0002452338 scopus 로고
    • The origin of hypotheses
    • Gilbert, G. K. (1896), The origin of hypotheses, Science, N.S. 3: 1-13.
    • (1896) Science, N.S , vol.3 , pp. 1-13
    • Gilbert, G.K.1
  • 185
    • 33845455708 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Subjective Bayesian analysis: principles and practice
    • Goldstein, M. (2006), Subjective Bayesian analysis: principles and practice, Bayesian Analysis, 1: 403-420.
    • (2006) Bayesian Analysis , vol.1 , pp. 403-420
    • Goldstein, M.1
  • 186
    • 0027580559 scopus 로고
    • Novel approach to nonlinear/ non-Gaussian Bayesian state estimation
    • Gordon, N. J., Salmond, D. J. & Smith, A. F. M. (1993), Novel approach to nonlinear/ non-Gaussian Bayesian state estimation, Proc. Inst. Electr. Eng., 140: 107-113.
    • (1993) Proc. Inst. Electr. Eng. , vol.140 , pp. 107-113
    • Gordon, N.J.1    Salmond, D.J.2    Smith, A.F.M.3
  • 187
    • 77956889087 scopus 로고
    • Reversible jump Markov chain Monte Carlo computation and Bayesian model determination
    • Green, P. J. (1995), Reversible jump Markov chain Monte Carlo computation and Bayesian model determination, Biometrika, 82: 711-732.
    • (1995) Biometrika , vol.82 , pp. 711-732
    • Green, P.J.1
  • 188
    • 33845511172 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Deconstructing adaptive management: criteria for applications to environmental management
    • Gregory, R., Ohlson, D. & Arval, J. (2006), Deconstructing adaptive management: criteria for applications to environmental management, Ecol. Applic., 16: 2411-2425
    • (2006) Ecol. Applic. , vol.16 , pp. 2411-2425
    • Gregory, R.1    Ohlson, D.2    Arval, J.3
  • 189
    • 33846327832 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Application of ensemble-based techniques in fish stock assessment
    • Gronnevik, R. & Evensen, G. (2001), Application of ensemble-based techniques in fish stock assessment, Sarsia, 86: 517-526
    • (2001) Sarsia , vol.86 , pp. 517-526
    • Gronnevik, R.1    Evensen, G.2
  • 190
    • 33846838684 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A new analytic method for finding policy-relevant scenarios
    • Groves, D. G. & Lempert, R. J. (2007), A new analytic method for finding policy-relevant scenarios, Global Environ. Change, 17: 73-85.
    • (2007) Global Environ. Change , vol.17 , pp. 73-85
    • Groves, D.G.1    Lempert, R.J.2
  • 191
    • 0030967361 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A framework for uncertainty assessment of mechanistic forest growth models: A neural network example
    • Guan, B. T., Gertner, G. Z. & Parysov, P. (1997), A framework for uncertainty assessment of mechanistic forest growth models: A neural network example. Ecol. Modell., 98: 47-58.
    • (1997) Ecol. Modell. , vol.98 , pp. 47-58
    • Guan, B.T.1    Gertner, G.Z.2    Parysov, P.3
  • 192
    • 0022264430 scopus 로고
    • The relationship between data and the precision of parameter estimates of hydrological models
    • Gupta, V. K. & Sorooshian, S. (1985), The relationship between data and the precision of parameter estimates of hydrological models, J. Hydrol., 81: 57-77.
    • (1985) J. Hydrol. , vol.81 , pp. 57-77
    • Gupta, V.K.1    Sorooshian, S.2
  • 193
    • 55849130145 scopus 로고
    • The influence of data length, information content, and noise characteristics on model calibration, invited chapter
    • edited by H. W. Shen et al., Colorado State University Press: Fort Collins, Colorado
    • Gupta, V. K. & Sorooshian, S. (1986), The influence of data length, information content, and noise characteristics on model calibration, invited chapter in Multivariate Analysis of Hydrologic Processes, edited by H. W. Shen et al., Colorado State University Press: Fort Collins, Colorado, 434-449.
    • (1986) Multivariate Analysis of Hydrologic Processes , pp. 434-449
    • Gupta, V.K.1    Sorooshian, S.2
  • 194
    • 0031922634 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Towards improved calibration of hydrologic models: multiple and incommensurable measures of information
    • Gupta, H. V., Sorooshian, S. & Yapo, P. O. (1998), Towards improved calibration of hydrologic models: multiple and incommensurable measures of information, Water Resources Research, 34: 751-763.
    • (1998) Water Resources Research , vol.34 , pp. 751-763
    • Gupta, H.V.1    Sorooshian, S.2    Yapo, P.O.3
  • 195
    • 0000307468 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Parameter estimation of a land surface scheme using multicriteria methods
    • Gupta, H. V., Bastidas, L., Sorooshian, S., Shuttleworth, W. J. & Yang, Z. L. (1999), Parameter estimation of a land surface scheme using multicriteria methods, JGR Atmospheres, 104(D16): 19491-19503.
    • (1999) JGR Atmospheres , vol.104 , Issue.D16 , pp. 19491-19503
    • Gupta, H.V.1    Bastidas, L.2    Sorooshian, S.3    Shuttleworth, W.J.4    Yang, Z.L.5
  • 196
    • 34547687398 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Identifying the critical parameters of a cyanobacterial growth and movement model by using generalised sensitivity analysis
    • Guven, B. & Howard, A. (2007), Identifying the critical parameters of a cyanobacterial growth and movement model by using generalised sensitivity analysis, Ecol. Modell., doi:10.1016/ j.ecolmodel.2007.03.024.
    • (2007) Ecol. Modell
    • Guven, B.1    Howard, A.2
  • 197
    • 0019634240 scopus 로고
    • A probabilisticdeterministic analysis of one-dimensional ice segregation in a freezing soil column
    • Guymon, G. L., Harr, M. E., Berg, R. L. & Hromadka, T. V. (1981), A probabilisticdeterministic analysis of one-dimensional ice segregation in a freezing soil column, Cold Reg. Sci. Technol., 5: 127-140.
    • (1981) Cold Reg. Sci. Technol. , vol.5 , pp. 127-140
    • Guymon, G.L.1    Harr, M.E.2    Berg, R.L.3    Hromadka, T.V.4
  • 199
    • 0035474557 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Parameters, prediction, post-normal science and the precautionary principle - a road map for modelling for decision-making
    • Haag, D. & Kaupenjohann, M. (2001), Parameters, prediction, post-normal science and the precautionary principle - a road map for modelling for decision-making, Ecol. Modell., 144: 45-60.
    • (2001) Ecol. Modell. , vol.144 , pp. 45-60
    • Haag, D.1    Kaupenjohann, M.2
  • 201
    • 2542418586 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Handling uncertainty in the hydroinformatic process
    • Hall, J. W. (2003), Handling uncertainty in the hydroinformatic process, J. Hydroinformatics, 5: 215-232.
    • (2003) J. Hydroinformatics , vol.5 , pp. 215-232
    • Hall, J.W.1
  • 202
    • 33745727474 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Uncertainty-based sensitivity indices for imprecise probabilities
    • Hall, J. W. (2006), Uncertainty-based sensitivity indices for imprecise probabilities, Reliability Engineering & Systems Safety, 91: 1443-1451.
    • (2006) Reliability Engineering & Systems Safety , vol.91 , pp. 1443-1451
    • Hall, J.W.1
  • 203
    • 34247213405 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Probabilistic climate scenarios may misrepresent uncertainty and lead to bad adaptation decisions
    • Hall, J. W. (2007), Probabilistic climate scenarios may misrepresent uncertainty and lead to bad adaptation decisions, Hydrol. Process., 21: 1127-1129.
    • (2007) Hydrol. Process. , vol.21 , pp. 1127-1129
    • Hall, J.W.1
  • 204
    • 13244267147 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Distributed sensitivity analysis of flood inundation model calibration
    • Hall, J. W., Tarantola, S., Bates, P. D. & Horritt, M. S. (2005), Distributed sensitivity analysis of flood inundation model calibration, J. Hydraul. Eng. ASCE, 131: 117-126, doi:10.1061/ (ASCE)0733-9429(2005)131:2(117).
    • (2005) J. Hydraul. Eng. ASCE , vol.131 , pp. 117-126
    • Hall, J.W.1    Tarantola, S.2    Bates, P.D.3    Horritt, M.S.4
  • 205
    • 33847677742 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Imprecise probabilities of climate change: aggregation of fuzzy scenarios and model uncertainties
    • Hall, J., Fu, G. & Lawry, J. (2006), Imprecise probabilities of climate change: aggregation of fuzzy scenarios and model uncertainties, Climate Change, 81: 265-281 doi: 10.10007/ s10584-006-9175-6.
    • (2006) Climate Change , vol.81 , pp. 265-281
    • Hall, J.1    Fu, G.2    Lawry, J.3
  • 207
    • 84980082105 scopus 로고
    • Transmission of information
    • Hartley, R. V. L. (1928), Transmission of information, Bell System Technical J., 7: 535-563.
    • (1928) Bell System Technical J. , vol.7 , pp. 535-563
    • Hartley, R.V.L.1
  • 208
    • 77956890234 scopus 로고
    • Monte Carlo sampling methods using Markov Chains and their applications
    • Hastings, W. (1970), Monte Carlo sampling methods using Markov Chains and their applications, Biometrika, 57: 97-106.
    • (1970) Biometrika , vol.57 , pp. 97-106
    • Hastings, W.1
  • 209
    • 0028826771 scopus 로고
    • A model approach to radioactive waste disposal at Sellafield
    • Haszeldine, R. S. & McKeown, C. (1995), A model approach to radioactive waste disposal at Sellafield, Terra Nova, 7: 87-95.
    • (1995) Terra Nova , vol.7 , pp. 87-95
    • Haszeldine, R.S.1    McKeown, C.2
  • 211
    • 0141676376 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Methodology for construction, calibration and validation of a national hydrological model for Denmark
    • Henriksen, H. J., Troldborg, L., Nyegaard, P., Sonnenborg, T. O., Refsgaard, J. C. & Madsen, B. (2003), Methodology for construction, calibration and validation of a national hydrological model for Denmark, J. Hydrol., 280: 52-71.
    • (2003) J. Hydrol. , vol.280 , pp. 52-71
    • Henriksen, H.J.1    Troldborg, L.2    Nyegaard, P.3    Sonnenborg, T.O.4    Refsgaard, J.C.5    Madsen, B.6
  • 212
    • 3843143017 scopus 로고
    • A theoretical framework for simulation validation: Popper's falsificationism
    • Herskowitz, P. J. (1991), A theoretical framework for simulation validation: Popper's falsificationism. Int. J. Modell. & Simul., 11: 56-58.
    • (1991) Int. J. Modell. & Simul. , vol.11 , pp. 56-58
    • Herskowitz, P.J.1
  • 213
    • 0043045215 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • MODFLOW-2000, the US Geological Survey modular groundwater model - User guide to the observations, sensitivity, and parameter estimation processes
    • Hill, M. C., Banta, E. R., Harbaugh, A. W. & Anderan, E. R. (2000), MODFLOW-2000, the US Geological Survey modular groundwater model - User guide to the observations, sensitivity, and parameter estimation processes, US Geological Survey Open-File Report 00-184.
    • (2000) US Geological Survey Open-File Report 00-184
    • Hill, M.C.1    Banta, E.R.2    Harbaugh, A.W.3    Anderan, E.R.4
  • 215
    • 0014508253 scopus 로고
    • Illustrations of soil moisture variability in selected areas and plots of different sizes
    • Hills, R. C. and Reynolds, S. G. (1969), Illustrations of soil moisture variability in selected areas and plots of different sizes. J. Hydrol., 8: 27-47.
    • (1969) J. Hydrol. , vol.8 , pp. 27-47
    • Hills, R.C.1    Reynolds, S.G.2
  • 217
    • 44349138313 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Convex analysis of flood inundation model uncertainties and info-gap flood management decisions
    • Nijmegen, The Netherlands
    • Hine, D. J. and Hall, J. W. (2005), Convex analysis of flood inundation model uncertainties and info-gap flood management decisions, Proceedings ISSSH Stochastic Hydraulics 2005, Nijmegen, The Netherlands.
    • (2005) Proceedings ISSSH Stochastic Hydraulics 2005
    • Hine, D.J.1    Hall, J.W.2
  • 219
    • 36148984223 scopus 로고
    • Darcy's law and structural explanation in hydrology
    • Philosophy of Science Association
    • Hofmann, J. R. & Hofmann, P. A. (1992), Darcy's law and structural explanation in hydrology, PSA 1992, 1: 23-35, Philosophy of Science Association.
    • (1992) PSA 1992 , vol.1 , pp. 23-35
    • Hofmann, J.R.1    Hofmann, P.A.2
  • 220
    • 13544267455 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A simple method for computation of fuzzy linear regression
    • Hojati, M., Bector, C. R. & Smimou, K. (2005), A simple method for computation of fuzzy linear regression, Europ. J. Oper. Res., 166: 172-184.
    • (2005) Europ. J. Oper. Res. , vol.166 , pp. 172-184
    • Hojati, M.1    Bector, C.R.2    Smimou, K.3
  • 222
    • 85080380587 scopus 로고
    • Assessing the Birkenes model of stream acidification using a multi-signal calibration methodology
    • Hooper, R. P., Stone, A., Christophersen, N., de Grosbois, E. & Seip, H. (1986), Assessing the Birkenes model of stream acidification using a multi-signal calibration methodology, Water Resources Research, 22: 1444-145.
    • (1986) Water Resources Research , vol.22 , pp. 1145-1444
    • Hooper, R.P.1    Stone, A.2    Christophersen, N.3    de Grosbois, E.4    Seip, H.5
  • 223
    • 0019392712 scopus 로고
    • An approach to the preliminary analysis of environmental systems
    • Hornberger, G. M. & Spear, R. C. (1981), An approach to the preliminary analysis of environmental systems, J. Environmental Management, 12: 7-18.
    • (1981) J. Environmental Management , vol.12 , pp. 7-18
    • Hornberger, G.M.1    Spear, R.C.2
  • 224
    • 0022264619 scopus 로고
    • Shenandoah watershed study: calibration of a topography-based, variable contributing area hydrological model to a small forested catchment
    • Hornberger, G. M., Beven, K. J., Cosby, B. J. & Sappington, D. E. (1985), Shenandoah watershed study: calibration of a topography-based, variable contributing area hydrological model to a small forested catchment, Water Resources Research, 21: 1841-1850.
    • (1985) Water Resources Research , vol.21 , pp. 1841-1850
    • Hornberger, G.M.1    Beven, K.J.2    Cosby, B.J.3    Sappington, D.E.4
  • 226
    • 0035871638 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Predicting flood plain inundation: raster-based modelling versus the finite element approach
    • Horritt, M. S. & Bates, P. D. (2001), Predicting flood plain inundation: raster-based modelling versus the finite element approach, Hydrol. Process., 15: 825-842.
    • (2001) Hydrol. Process. , vol.15 , pp. 825-842
    • Horritt, M.S.1    Bates, P.D.2
  • 227
    • 0035129828 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A sequential ensemble Kalman filter for atmospheric data assimilation
    • Houtekamer, P. L. & Mitchell, H. L. (2001), A sequential ensemble Kalman filter for atmospheric data assimilation, Month. Weath. Rev., 129: 123-137.
    • (2001) Month. Weath. Rev. , vol.129 , pp. 123-137
    • Houtekamer, P.L.1    Mitchell, H.L.2
  • 231
    • 22444452396 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Unified notation for data assimilation: operational, sequential and variational
    • Ide, K., Courtier, P., Ghil, M. & Lorenc, A. C. (1997), Unified notation for data assimilation: operational, sequential and variational, J. Meteorol. Soc. Japan, 75 (1B): 181-189.
    • (1997) J. Meteorol. Soc. Japan , vol.75 , Issue.1 , pp. 181-189
    • Ide, K.1    Courtier, P.2    Ghil, M.3    Lorenc, A.C.4
  • 232
    • 84933516758 scopus 로고
    • A distribution-free approach to inducing rank correlation among input variables
    • Iman, R. L. & Conover, W. J. (1982), A distribution-free approach to inducing rank correlation among input variables, Communications in Statistics, Ser. B, 311-334.
    • (1982) Communications in Statistics, Ser. B , pp. 311-334
    • Iman, R.L.1    Conover, W.J.2
  • 233
    • 34247370602 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Summary for policy makers, WMO: Geneva
    • Inter-governmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). (2007), Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Summary for policy makers, WMO: Geneva.
    • (2007) Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis
  • 234
    • 33745856621 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Response surfaces and sensitivity analyses for an environmental model of dose calculations
    • Iooss, B., van Dorpe, F. & Devictor, N. (2006), Response surfaces and sensitivity analyses for an environmental model of dose calculations, Reliability Surfaces & System Safety, 91: 1241-1251.
    • (2006) Reliability Surfaces & System Safety , vol.91 , pp. 1241-1251
    • Iooss, B.1    van Dorpe, F.2    Devictor, N.3
  • 235
    • 24644462256 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Data-based modelling of runoff and chemical tracer concentrations in the Haute-Mentue (Switzerland) Research Catchment
    • Iorgulescu, I., Beven, K. J. & Musy, A. (2005), Data-based modelling of runoff and chemical tracer concentrations in the Haute-Mentue (Switzerland) Research Catchment, Hydrol. Process., 19: 2257-2574.
    • (2005) Hydrol. Process. , vol.19 , pp. 2257-2574
    • Iorgulescu, I.1    Beven, K.J.2    Musy, A.3
  • 236
    • 34247629997 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Flow, mixing, and displacement in using a databased hydrochemical model to predict conservative tracer data
    • Iorgulescu, I., K. J. Beven, & A. Musy. (2007), Flow, mixing, and displacement in using a databased hydrochemical model to predict conservative tracer data, Water Resources Research, 43: W03401, doi:10.1029/2005WR004019.
    • (2007) Water Resources Research , vol.43 , pp. W03401
    • Iorgulescu, I.1    Beven, K.J.2    Musy, A.3
  • 237
    • 3342920504 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • International Organisation for Standardization, ISO/IEC Guide 73
    • ISO. (2002), Risk Management Vocabulary, International Organisation for Standardization, ISO/IEC Guide 73.
    • (2002) Risk Management Vocabulary
  • 238
    • 33947631996 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Application of Markov Chain Monte Carlo calibration and uncertainty framework to a process-based integrated nitrogen model (INCA)
    • SAMO-04-37
    • Jackson, B. M., Wheater, H. S., McIntyre, N. & Whitehead, P. (2004), Application of Markov Chain Monte Carlo calibration and uncertainty framework to a process-based integrated nitrogen model (INCA). Proc. Sensitivity Analysis of Model Outputs, SAMO-04-37.
    • (2004) Proc. Sensitivity Analysis of Model Outputs
    • Jackson, B.M.1    Wheater, H.S.2    McIntyre, N.3    Whitehead, P.4
  • 239
    • 34249082149 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Development of a possibilistic method for the evaluation of predictive uncertainty in rainfall-runoff modelling
    • Jacquin, A. P. & Shamseldin, A. Y. (2007), Development of a possibilistic method for the evaluation of predictive uncertainty in rainfall-runoff modelling, Water Resources Research, 43: W04425, doi:10.1029/2006WR005072.
    • (2007) Water Resources Research , vol.43 , pp. W04425
    • Jacquin, A.P.1    Shamseldin, A.Y.2
  • 242
    • 58749112533 scopus 로고
    • The Great Midwest Flood of 1993
    • Department of Commerce, NOAA, National Weather Service, Silver Spring, Maryland
    • Josephson, D. H. (1994), The Great Midwest Flood of 1993, Natural Disaster Survey Report, Department of Commerce, NOAA, National Weather Service, Silver Spring, Maryland.
    • (1994) Natural Disaster Survey Report
    • Josephson, D.H.1
  • 244
    • 85024429815 scopus 로고
    • New approach to linear filtering and prediction problems
    • Kalman, R. (1960), New approach to linear filtering and prediction problems, J. Basic Eng., 82D: 35-45.
    • (1960) J. Basic Eng , vol.82D , pp. 35-45
    • Kalman, R.1
  • 246
    • 0019540987 scopus 로고
    • On the quantitative definition of risk
    • Kaplan, S. & Garrick, B. J. (1981), On the quantitative definition of risk, Risk Analysis, 1: 11-27.
    • (1981) Risk Analysis , vol.1 , pp. 11-27
    • Kaplan, S.1    Garrick, B.J.2
  • 247
    • 33646495330 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Bayesian analysis of input uncertainty in hydrological modeling: 2. Application
    • Kavetski, D., Kuczera, G. & Franks, S. W. (2005), Bayesian analysis of input uncertainty in hydrological modeling: 2. Application, Water Resources Research, 42: W03408, doi: 10.1029/2005WR004376.
    • (2005) Water Resources Research , vol.42 , pp. W03408
    • Kavetski, D.1    Kuczera, G.2    Franks, S.W.3
  • 249
    • 0025589441 scopus 로고
    • Set membership approach to identification and prediction of lake eutrophication
    • Keesman, K. & van Straten, G. (1990), Set membership approach to identification and prediction of lake eutrophication, Water Resources Research, 26: 2643-2652.
    • (1990) Water Resources Research , vol.26 , pp. 2643-2652
    • Keesman, K.1    van Straten, G.2
  • 251
    • 0035648165 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Bayesian calibration of mathematical models
    • Kennedy, M. C. & O'Hagan, A. (2001), Bayesian calibration of mathematical models, J. Roy. Statist. Soc., D63(3): 425-450.
    • (2001) J. Roy. Statist. Soc , vol.D63 , Issue.3 , pp. 425-450
    • Kennedy, M.C.1    O'Hagan, A.2
  • 252
    • 17844379254 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Multi-objective calibration with Pareto preference ordering. An application to rainfall-runoff model calibration
    • Khu, S.-T. & Madsen, H. (2005), Multi-objective calibration with Pareto preference ordering. An application to rainfall-runoff model calibration, Water Resources Research, 41, doi: 10.1029/2004WR003041.
    • (2005) Water Resources Research , vol.41
    • Khu, S.-T.1    Madsen, H.2
  • 253
    • 33646532065 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Getting the right answers for the right reasons: linking measurements, analyses and models to advance the science of hydrology
    • Kirchner, J. W. (2006), Getting the right answers for the right reasons: linking measurements, analyses and models to advance the science of hydrology, Water Resources Research, 42, W03S04, doi. 10.1029/2005WR004362.
    • (2006) Water Resources Research , vol.42 , pp. W03S04
    • Kirchner, J.W.1
  • 254
    • 0035842374 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Catchment-scale advection and dispersion as a mechanism for fractal scaling in stream tracer concentrations
    • Kirchner, J. W., Feng, X. & Neal, C. (2001), Catchment-scale advection and dispersion as a mechanism for fractal scaling in stream tracer concentrations, J. Hydrol., 254: 82-101.
    • (2001) J. Hydrol. , vol.254 , pp. 82-101
    • Kirchner, J.W.1    Feng, X.2    Neal, C.3
  • 257
    • 0032136251 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Validation in simulation: various positions in the philosophy of science
    • Kleindorfer, G. B., O'Neill, L. & Ganeshan, R. (1998), Validation in simulation: various positions in the philosophy of science, Management Science, 44: 1087-1099.
    • (1998) Management Science , vol.44 , pp. 1087-1099
    • Kleindorfer, G.B.1    O'Neill, L.2    Ganeshan, R.3
  • 258
    • 0022841192 scopus 로고
    • Operational testing of hydrologic simulation models
    • Klemes, V. (1986), Operational testing of hydrologic simulation models, Hydrol. Sci. J., 31: 13- 24.
    • (1986) Hydrol. Sci. J. , vol.31 , pp. 13- 24
    • Klemes, V.1
  • 259
    • 0028648434 scopus 로고
    • A comparison of algorithms for global characterisation of confidence regions for nonlinear models
    • Klepper, O. & Hendrix, E. M. T. (1994), A comparison of algorithms for global characterisation of confidence regions for nonlinear models, Environmental Toxicology & Chemistry, 13(12): 1887-1899.
    • (1994) Environmental Toxicology & Chemistry , vol.13 , Issue.12 , pp. 1887-1899
    • Klepper, O.1    Hendrix, E.M.T.2
  • 262
    • 0004066308 scopus 로고
    • Houghton-Mifflin Co. (reprinted University of Chicago Press, 1971)
    • Knight, F. H. (1921), Risk, Uncertainty and Profit, Houghton-Mifflin Co. (reprinted University of Chicago Press, 1971).
    • (1921) Risk, Uncertainty and Profit
    • Knight, F.H.1
  • 263
    • 0027069894 scopus 로고
    • Groundwater models cannot be validated?
    • Konikow, L. F. & Bredehoeft, J. D. (1992), Groundwater models cannot be validated?, Adv. Water Resour., 15, 75-83.
    • (1992) Adv. Water Resour , vol.15 , pp. 75-83
    • Konikow, L.F.1    Bredehoeft, J.D.2
  • 264
    • 2142847337 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Hydrology laboratory research modelling system (HL-RMS) of the US National Weather Service
    • Koren, V., Reed, S., Smith, M., Zhang, Z. & Seo, D. J., Hydrology laboratory research modelling system (HL-RMS) of the US National Weather Service, J. Hydrol., 291: 297-318.
    • J. Hydrol , vol.291 , pp. 297-318
    • Koren, V.1    Reed, S.2    Smith, M.3    Zhang, Z.4    Seo, D.J.5
  • 266
    • 0032853041 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Bayesian theory of probabilistic forecasting via deterministic hydrologic model
    • Krzysztofovitz, R. (1999), Bayesian theory of probabilistic forecasting via deterministic hydrologic model, Water Resources Research, 35: 2739-2750.
    • (1999) Water Resources Research , vol.35 , pp. 2739-2750
    • Krzysztofovitz, R.1
  • 267
    • 0036846999 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Bayesian system for probabilistic river stage forecasting
    • Krzysztofowicz, R. (2002a), Bayesian system for probabilistic river stage forecasting, J. Hydrol., 268: 16-40.
    • (2002) J. Hydrol. , vol.268 , pp. 16-40
    • Krzysztofowicz, R.1
  • 268
    • 0036843383 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Probabilistic floods forecast: bounds and approximations
    • Krzysztofowicz, R. (2002b), Probabilistic floods forecast: bounds and approximations, J. Hydrol., 268: 41-55.
    • (2002) J. Hydrol. , vol.268 , pp. 41-55
    • Krzysztofowicz, R.1
  • 269
    • 0032214428 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Monte Carlo assessment of parameter uncertainty in conceptual catchment models: the Metropolis algorithm
    • Kuczera, G. & Parent, E. (1998), Monte Carlo assessment of parameter uncertainty in conceptual catchment models: the Metropolis algorithm, J. Hydrol., 211: 69-85.
    • (1998) J. Hydrol. , vol.211 , pp. 69-85
    • Kuczera, G.1    Parent, E.2
  • 270
    • 33750474092 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Towards a Bayesian total error analysis of conceptual rainfall-runoff models: Characterising model error using stormdependent parameters
    • Kuczera, G., Kavetski, D., Franks, S. & Thyer, M. (2006), Towards a Bayesian total error analysis of conceptual rainfall-runoff models: Characterising model error using stormdependent parameters, J. Hydrol., 331: 161-177.
    • (2006) J. Hydrol. , vol.331 , pp. 161-177
    • Kuczera, G.1    Kavetski, D.2    Franks, S.3    Thyer, M.4
  • 271
    • 1242265668 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Change detection in hydrological records - a review of the methodology
    • Kundzewicz, Z. W. & Robson, A. J. (2000), Change detection in hydrological records - a review of the methodology, Hydrol. Sci. J., 49(1): 7-19.
    • (2000) Hydrol. Sci. J. , vol.49 , Issue.1 , pp. 7-19
    • Kundzewicz, Z.W.1    Robson, A.J.2
  • 272
    • 34248348659 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The role of model selection in describing stochastic ecological processes
    • Kuparinen, A., Snäll, T., Vänskä, S. & O'Hara, R. (2007), The role of model selection in describing stochastic ecological processes, Oikos, 116: 966-974.
    • (2007) Oikos , vol.116 , pp. 966-974
    • Kuparinen, A.1    Snäll, T.2    Vänskä, S.3    O'Hara, R.4
  • 274
    • 0344938263 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Use of spatially distributed water table observations to constrain uncertainty in a rainfall-runoff model.
    • Lamb, R., Beven, K. J. & Myrabø, S. (1998), Use of spatially distributed water table observations to constrain uncertainty in a rainfall-runoff model., Adv. Water Resour., 22: 305-317.
    • (1998) Adv. Water Resour. , vol.22 , pp. 305-317
    • Lamb, R.1    Beven, K.J.2    Myrabø, S.3
  • 276
    • 0000834243 scopus 로고
    • Mémoire sur la probabilité des causes par les événements
    • Laplace, P. S. (1774), Mémoire sur la probabilité des causes par les événements. Mémoires de l'Académie de Science de Paris, 6: 621-656.
    • (1774) Mémoires de l'Académie de Science de Paris , vol.6 , pp. 621-656
    • Laplace, P.S.1
  • 277
    • 34547699243 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Impact of time series data on calibration and prediction uncertainty for a deterministic hydrogeochemical model
    • Larssen, T., Høgåsen, T. & Cosby, B. J. (2007), Impact of time series data on calibration and prediction uncertainty for a deterministic hydrogeochemical model, Ecol. Modell., doi: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2007.03.016.
    • (2007) Ecol. Modell
    • Larssen, T.1    Høgåsen, T.2    Cosby, B.J.3
  • 279
    • 0037083335 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A modular approach to addressing model design, scale, and parameter estimation issues in distributed hydrological modelling
    • Leavesley, G. H., Markstrom, S. L., Restrepo, P. J. & Viger, R. J. (2002), A modular approach to addressing model design, scale, and parameter estimation issues in distributed hydrological modelling, Hydrol. Process., 16: 173-187.
    • (2002) Hydrol. Process. , vol.16 , pp. 173-187
    • Leavesley, G.H.1    Markstrom, S.L.2    Restrepo, P.J.3    Viger, R.J.4
  • 280
    • 0002027441 scopus 로고
    • An adaptive flood warning scheme for the River Nith at Dumfries
    • in W. R. White & J. Watts (Eds.), Wiley, Chichester
    • Lees, M., Young, P. C., Ferguson, S., Beven, K. J. & Burns, J. (1994), An adaptive flood warning scheme for the River Nith at Dumfries, in W. R. White & J. Watts (Eds.), River Flood Hydraulics, 65-75, Wiley, Chichester.
    • (1994) River Flood Hydraulics , pp. 65-75
    • Lees, M.1    Young, P.C.2    Ferguson, S.3    Beven, K.J.4    Burns, J.5
  • 281
    • 0036891145 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The use of seasonal climate forecasting in policymaking: lessons from Northeast Brazil
    • Lemos, M. C., Finan, T. J., Fox, R. W., Nelson, D. R. & Tucker, J. (2002), The use of seasonal climate forecasting in policymaking: lessons from Northeast Brazil. Climatic Change, 55(4): 479-507.
    • (2002) Climatic Change , vol.55 , Issue.4 , pp. 479-507
    • Lemos, M.C.1    Finan, T.J.2    Fox, R.W.3    Nelson, D.R.4    Tucker, J.5
  • 283
    • 33845360384 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Model weights and the foundations of multimodel inference
    • Link, W. A. & Barker, R. J. (2006), Model weights and the foundations of multimodel inference, Ecology, 87: 2626-2635.
    • (2006) Ecology , vol.87 , pp. 2626-2635
    • Link, W.A.1    Barker, R.J.2
  • 284
    • 0347052813 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Model uncertainty and choices made by modelers: lessons learned from the International Atomic Energy Agency model intercomparisons
    • Linkov, I. & Burmistrov, D. (2003), Model uncertainty and choices made by modelers: lessons learned from the International Atomic Energy Agency model intercomparisons. Risk Analysis, 23: 1335-1346.
    • (2003) Risk Analysis , vol.23 , pp. 1335-1346
    • Linkov, I.1    Burmistrov, D.2
  • 285
    • 0032359151 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Sequential Monte Carlo methods for dynamic systems
    • Liu, J. S. & Chen, R. (1998), Sequential Monte Carlo methods for dynamic systems, J. Am. Stat. Assoc., 93: 1032-1044.
    • (1998) J. Am. Stat. Assoc. , vol.93 , pp. 1032-1044
    • Liu, J.S.1    Chen, R.2
  • 286
    • 26944495254 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Gaussian error propagation applied to ecological data: post-ice-storm-down woody biomass
    • Lo, E. (2005), Gaussian error propagation applied to ecological data: post-ice-storm-down woody biomass, Ecol. Monog., 75: 451-466.
    • (2005) Ecol. Monog. , vol.75 , pp. 451-466
    • Lo, E.1
  • 287
    • 0031792817 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The Project for Intercomparison of Land-surface Parameterization Schemes (PILPS), phase 2c Red-Arkansas River basin experiment. 3. Spatial and temporal analysis of water fluxes
    • Lohmann, D. & 28 others. (1998), The Project for Intercomparison of Land-surface Parameterization Schemes (PILPS), phase 2c Red-Arkansas River basin experiment. 3. Spatial and temporal analysis of water fluxes, Global & Planetary Change, 19: 161-179.
    • (1998) Global & Planetary Change , vol.19 , pp. 161-179
    • Lohmann, D.1
  • 288
    • 84975888044 scopus 로고
    • Analysis methods for numerical weather prediction
    • Lorenc, A. C. (1986), Analysis methods for numerical weather prediction, Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., 112: 1177-1194.
    • (1986) Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. , vol.112 , pp. 1177-1194
    • Lorenc, A.C.1
  • 289
    • 22444455819 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Development of an operational variational assimilation scheme
    • Lorenc, A. C. (1997), Development of an operational variational assimilation scheme, J.
    • (1997) J. Meteorol. Soc. Japan , vol.75 , Issue.1 , pp. 339-346
    • Lorenc, A.C.1
  • 290
    • 0347079589 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modelling of error covariances by 4D-Var data assimilation
    • Lorenc, A. C. (2003a), Modelling of error covariances by 4D-Var data assimilation, Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., 129: 3167-3182.
    • (2003) Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc , vol.129 , pp. 3167-3182
    • Lorenc, A.C.1
  • 291
    • 0347709927 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The potential of the ensemble Kalman filter for NWP - a comparison with 4d-Var
    • Lorenc, A. C. (2003b), The potential of the ensemble Kalman filter for NWP - a comparison with 4d-Var, Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., 129: 3183-3203.
    • (2003) Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. , vol.129 , pp. 3183-3203
    • Lorenc, A.C.1
  • 293
    • 0000853495 scopus 로고
    • The predictability of a flow which possesses many scales of motion
    • Lorenz, E. (1963), The predictability of a flow which possesses many scales of motion, Tellus, 21: 289-307.
    • (1963) Tellus , vol.21 , pp. 289-307
    • Lorenz, E.1
  • 294
    • 0004154108 scopus 로고
    • University of Washington Press: Seattle
    • Lorenz, E. (1993), The Essence of Chaos, University of Washington Press: Seattle.
    • (1993) The Essence of Chaos
    • Lorenz, E.1
  • 295
    • 0041730605 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Assessing the value of climate forecast information for pastoralists: evidence from southern Ethiopia and northern Kenya
    • Luseno, W. K., McPeak, J. G., Barrett, C. B., Little, P. D. & Gebru, G. (2003), Assessing the value of climate forecast information for pastoralists: evidence from southern Ethiopia and northern Kenya. World Development, 31: 1477-1494.
    • (2003) World Development , vol.31 , pp. 1477-1494
    • Luseno, W.K.1    McPeak, J.G.2    Barrett, C.B.3    Little, P.D.4    Gebru, G.5
  • 296
    • 0037300813 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Parameter estimation in distributed hydrological catchment modelling using automatic calibration with multiple objectives
    • Madsen, H. (2003), Parameter estimation in distributed hydrological catchment modelling using automatic calibration with multiple objectives, Adv. Water Resour., 26: 205-216.
    • (2003) Adv. Water Resour. , vol.26 , pp. 205-216
    • Madsen, H.1
  • 297
    • 0345476329 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Comparison of extended and ensemble Kalman filter for data assimilation in coastal area modelling
    • Madsen, H. & Cañizares, R. (1999), Comparison of extended and ensemble Kalman filter for data assimilation in coastal area modelling, Int. J. Numer. Methods Fluids, 31: 961-981.
    • (1999) Int. J. Numer. Methods Fluids , vol.31 , pp. 961-981
    • Madsen, H.1    Cañizares, R.2
  • 298
    • 33746045241 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • On the use of Pareto optimisation for multi-criteria calibration of hydrological models
    • M. F. P. Bierkens, J. C. Gehrels and K. Kovar (Eds.), IAHS Pub. No. 304, IAHS Press: Wallingford
    • Madsen, H. & Khu, S.-T. (2006), On the use of Pareto optimisation for multi-criteria calibration of hydrological models, in Calibration and Reliability in Groundwater Modelling: from Uncertainty to Decision Making, M. F. P. Bierkens, J. C. Gehrels and K. Kovar (Eds.), IAHS Pub. No. 304: 93-99, IAHS Press: Wallingford.
    • (2006) Calibration and Reliability in Groundwater Modelling: from Uncertainty to Decision Making , pp. 93-99
    • Madsen, H.1    Khu, S.-T.2
  • 299
    • 0036256969 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Using a Bayesian approach to parameter estimation; comparison of the GLUE and MCMC methods
    • Makowski, D., Wallach D., Tremblay M. (2002), Using a Bayesian approach to parameter estimation; comparison of the GLUE and MCMC methods, Agronomie, 22 (2): 191-203.
    • (2002) Agronomie , vol.22 , Issue.2 , pp. 191-203
    • Makowski, D.1    Wallach, D.2    Tremblay, M.3
  • 301
    • 33748808177 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Hydrological forecasting uncertainty assessment: incoherence of the GLUE methodology
    • Mantovan, P. & Todini, E. (2006), Hydrological forecasting uncertainty assessment: incoherence of the GLUE methodology, J. Hydrol., 330: 368-381.
    • (2006) J. Hydrol. , vol.330 , pp. 368-381
    • Mantovan, P.1    Todini, E.2
  • 302
    • 0037001561 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Land data assimilation and estimation of soil moisture using measurements from the Southern Great Plains 1997 field experiment
    • Margulis, S. A., McLaughlin, D., Entekhabi, D. & Dunne, S. (2002), Land data assimilation and estimation of soil moisture using measurements from the Southern Great Plains 1997 field experiment, Water Resources Research, 38(12): W01299, doi:10.1029/ 2001WR001114.
    • (2002) Water Resources Research , vol.38 , Issue.12 , pp. W01299
    • Margulis, S.A.1    McLaughlin, D.2    Entekhabi, D.3    Dunne, S.4
  • 303
    • 0024830122 scopus 로고
    • Monte Carlo analysis and Bayesian decision theory for assessing the effects of waste sites on groundwater
    • Marin, C., Medina M. & Butcher, J. (1989), Monte Carlo analysis and Bayesian decision theory for assessing the effects of waste sites on groundwater, J. Contam. Hydrol., 5: 1-13.
    • (1989) J. Contam. Hydrol. , vol.5 , pp. 1-13
    • Marin, C.1    Medina, M.2    Butcher, J.3
  • 304
    • 0037339103 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Uncertainty of weekly nitrate-nitrogen forecasts using Artificial Neural Networks
    • Markus, M., Tsai, C. W.-S. & Demissie, M. (2003), Uncertainty of weekly nitrate-nitrogen forecasts using Artificial Neural Networks, J. Environ. Eng, ASCE, 129: 267-274
    • (2003) J. Environ. Eng, ASCE , vol.129 , pp. 267-274
    • Markus, M.1    Tsai, C.W.-S.2    Demissie, M.3
  • 305
    • 1642295818 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A comparative study of Markov chain Monte Carlo methods for conceptual rainfall-runoff modelling
    • Marshall, L., Nott, D. & Sharma, A. (2004), A comparative study of Markov chain Monte Carlo methods for conceptual rainfall-runoff modelling, Water Resources Research, 40: W02501
    • (2004) Water Resources Research , vol.40 , pp. W02501
    • Marshall, L.1    Nott, D.2    Sharma, A.3
  • 306
    • 13944249993 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The power of expert opinion in ecological models using Bayesian methods: impact of grazing on birds
    • Martin, T. G., Kuhnert, P. M., Mengersen, K. & Possingham, H. P. (2005), The power of expert opinion in ecological models using Bayesian methods: impact of grazing on birds. Ecol. Applic., 15: 266-280.
    • (2005) Ecol. Applic. , vol.15 , pp. 266-280
    • Martin, T.G.1    Kuhnert, P.M.2    Mengersen, K.3    Possingham, H.P.4
  • 307
    • 0031599142 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Mersenne twister: a 623-dimensionally equidistributed uniform pseudorandom number generator
    • Matsumoto, M. & Nishimura, T. (1998), Mersenne twister: a 623-dimensionally equidistributed uniform pseudorandom number generator, ACM Trans. Model. Comput. Simul., 8: 3.
    • (1998) ACM Trans. Model. Comput. Simul. , vol.8 , pp. 3
    • Matsumoto, M.1    Nishimura, T.2
  • 310
    • 36549035410 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Risk communication in emergency response to a simulated extreme flood
    • McCarthy, S., Tunstall, S., Parker D., Faulkner, H. & Howe, J. (2007), Risk communication in emergency response to a simulated extreme flood, Environmental Hazards, 7(3): 179-192.
    • (2007) Environmental Hazards , vol.7 , Issue.3 , pp. 179-192
    • McCarthy, S.1    Tunstall, S.2    Parker, D.3    Faulkner, H.4    Howe, J.5
  • 313
    • 34547216771 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Probabilistic climate change predictions applying Bayesian model averaging
    • Min, S.-K., Simonis, D. & Hense, A. (2007), Probabilistic climate change predictions applying Bayesian model averaging, Phil. Trans. R. Soc., A365: 2103-2116.
    • (2007) Phil. Trans. R. Soc , vol.A365 , pp. 2103-2116
    • Min, S.-K.1    Simonis, D.2    Hense, A.3
  • 314
    • 25844526502 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Large sample behaviors of the generalized likelihood uncertainty estimation (GLUE) in assessing the uncertainty of rainfall-runoff simulations
    • Montanari, A. (2005), Large sample behaviors of the generalized likelihood uncertainty estimation (GLUE) in assessing the uncertainty of rainfall-runoff simulations, Water Resources Research, 41, W08406, doi:10.1029/2004WR003826.
    • (2005) Water Resources Research , vol.41 , pp. W08406
    • Montanari, A.1
  • 315
    • 2542555104 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A stochastic approach for assessing the uncertainty of rainfall-runoff simulations
    • Montanari, A. & Brath, A. (2004), A stochastic approach for assessing the uncertainty of rainfall-runoff simulations, Water Resources Research, 40, W01106, doi:10.1029/ 2003WR002540.
    • (2004) Water Resources Research , vol.40 , pp. W01106
    • Montanari, A.1    Brath, A.2
  • 316
    • 2342650186 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The 3MRA risk assessment framework - a flexible approach for performing multimedia, multipathway and multireceptor risk assessments under uncertainty
    • Marin, C. M., Guvanasen V. & Saleem Z. A. (2003), The 3MRA risk assessment framework - a flexible approach for performing multimedia, multipathway and multireceptor risk assessments under uncertainty, Human & Econ. Risk Assess, 9: 1655-1678.
    • (2003) Human & Econ. Risk Assess , vol.9 , pp. 1655-1678
    • Marin, C.M.1    Guvanasen, V.2    Saleem, Z.A.3
  • 317
    • 31644442912 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The cost of uniqueness in groundwater model calibration
    • Moore, C. & Doherty, J. (2006), The cost of uniqueness in groundwater model calibration, Adv. Water Resour., 29: 605-623.
    • (2006) Adv. Water Resour. , vol.29 , pp. 605-623
    • Moore, C.1    Doherty, J.2
  • 319
    • 11944268965 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Dual state-parameter estimation of hydrological models using ensemble Kalman filter
    • Moradkhani, H., Sorooshian, S., Gupta, H. V. & Hauser, P. R. (2005a), Dual state-parameter estimation of hydrological models using ensemble Kalman filter, Adv. Water Resour., 28: 135-147.
    • (2005) Adv. Water Resour. , vol.28 , pp. 135-147
    • Moradkhani, H.1    Sorooshian, S.2    Gupta, H.V.3    Hauser, P.R.4
  • 320
    • 20844449766 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Uncertainty assessement of hydrologic model states and parameters: sequential data assimilation using particle filter
    • Moradkhani, H., Hsu, K., Gupta, H. V. & Sorooshian, S. (2005b), Uncertainty assessement of hydrologic model states and parameters: sequential data assimilation using particle filter, Water Resources Research, 41: W05012, doi: 10.1029/2004WR003604.
    • (2005) Water Resources Research , vol.41 , pp. W05012
    • Moradkhani, H.1    Hsu, K.2    Gupta, H.V.3    Sorooshian, S.4
  • 322
    • 0000206161 scopus 로고
    • A predictive model for the assessment of soil erosion risk
    • Morgan, R. P. (1994), A predictive model for the assessment of soil erosion risk. J. Agric. Engin. Res., 30: 245-253.
    • (1994) J. Agric. Engin. Res. , vol.30 , pp. 245-253
    • Morgan, R.P.1
  • 323
    • 0000673676 scopus 로고
    • Mathematical models: questions of trustworthiness
    • Morton, A. (1993), Mathematical models: questions of trustworthiness, Brit. J. Phil. Sci., 44: 659-674.
    • (1993) Brit. J. Phil. Sci. , vol.44 , pp. 659-674
    • Morton, A.1
  • 324
    • 28244484333 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Sources of uncertainty in economic analysis of the Water Framework Directive
    • Mysiak, J. & Sigel, K. (2005), Sources of uncertainty in economic analysis of the Water Framework Directive, Water Sci. & Techn., 52: 161-166.
    • (2005) Water Sci. & Techn. , vol.52 , pp. 161-166
    • Mysiak, J.1    Sigel, K.2
  • 325
    • 0014776873 scopus 로고
    • River flow forecasting through conceptual models 1. A discussion of principles
    • Nash, J. E. & Sutcliffe, J. V. (1970), River flow forecasting through conceptual models 1. A discussion of principles, J. Hydrol., 10: 282-290.
    • (1970) J. Hydrol. , vol.10 , pp. 282-290
    • Nash, J.E.1    Sutcliffe, J.V.2
  • 328
    • 0025474361 scopus 로고
    • Universal scaling of hydraulic conductivities and dispersivities in geologic media
    • Neuman, S. P. (1990), Universal scaling of hydraulic conductivities and dispersivities in geologic media, Water Resources Research, 26: 1749-1758.
    • (1990) Water Resources Research , vol.26 , pp. 1749-1758
    • Neuman, S.P.1
  • 330
    • 34547163331 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Challenges in using probabilistic climate change information for impact assessments: an example from the water sector
    • New, M., Lopez, A., Dessai, D. & Hense, A. (2007), Challenges in using probabilistic climate change information for impact assessments: an example from the water sector, Proc. Roy. Soc., A365: 2117-2131.
    • (2007) Proc. Roy. Soc , vol.A365 , pp. 2117-2131
    • New, M.1    Lopez, A.2    Dessai, D.3    Hense, A.4
  • 331
    • 29344470544 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The role of public participation in managing uncertainty in the implementation of the Water Framework Directive
    • Newig, J., Pahl-Wostl, C. & Sigle, K. (2005), The role of public participation in managing uncertainty in the implementation of the Water Framework Directive, European Environment, 15: 333-343.
    • (2005) European Environment , vol.15 , pp. 333-343
    • Newig, J.1    Pahl-Wostl, C.2    Sigle, K.3
  • 332
    • 0018911642 scopus 로고
    • The geomorphological effectiveness of floods - a contribution stimulated by two recent floods in mid-Wales
    • Newson, M. D. (1980), The geomorphological effectiveness of floods - a contribution stimulated by two recent floods in mid-Wales, Earth Surf. Process., 5: 1-16.
    • (1980) Earth Surf. Process. , vol.5 , pp. 1-16
    • Newson, M.D.1
  • 333
    • 0001081951 scopus 로고
    • Spatial variability of field-measured soil-water properties
    • Nielsen, D. R., Biggar, J. W. and Erh, K. T. (1973), Spatial variability of field-measured soil-water properties, Hilgardia, 42: 215-259.
    • (1973) Hilgardia , vol.42 , pp. 215-259
    • Nielsen, D.R.1    Biggar, J.W.2    Erh, K.T.3
  • 334
    • 0037772380 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Simulation of high latitude hydrological processes in the Torne- Kalix basin: PILPS, phase 2(e) 2. Comparison of model results with observations
    • Nijssen, B. & 25 others. (2003), Simulation of high latitude hydrological processes in the Torne- Kalix basin: PILPS, phase 2(e) 2. Comparison of model results with observations, Global & Planetary Change, 38: 31-53.
    • (2003) Global & Planetary Change , vol.38 , pp. 31-53
    • Nijssen, B.1
  • 337
    • 2642573771 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Probabilistic sensitivity analysis of complex models: a Bayesian approach
    • Oakley, J. & O'Hagan, A. (2004), Probabilistic sensitivity analysis of complex models: a Bayesian approach, J. Roy. Statist. Soc., B66: 751-769.
    • (2004) J. Roy. Statist. Soc , vol.B66 , pp. 751-769
    • Oakley, J.1    O'Hagan, A.2
  • 338
    • 33745699573 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Bayesian analysis of computer code outputs: a tutorial
    • O'Hagan, A. (2006a), Bayesian analysis of computer code outputs: a tutorial, Reliability Engin. & System Safety, 91: 1290-1300.
    • (2006) Reliability Engin. & System Safety , vol.91 , pp. 1290-1300
    • O'Hagan, A.1
  • 339
    • 77952784340 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Science, subjectivity and software (Comment on articles by Berger & Goldstein)
    • O'Hagan, A. (2006b), Science, subjectivity and software (Comment on articles by Berger & Goldstein), Bayesian Analysis, 1: 445-450.
    • (2006) Bayesian Analysis , vol.1 , pp. 445-450
    • O'Hagan, A.1
  • 342
    • 28544438571 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Local stakeholders' acceptance of model-generated data used as a communication tool in water management: the Rönneå study
    • Olsson, J. A. & Berg, K. (2005), Local stakeholders' acceptance of model-generated data used as a communication tool in water management: the Rönneå study, Ambio, 34: 507-512.
    • (2005) Ambio , vol.34 , pp. 507-512
    • Olsson, J.A.1    Berg, K.2
  • 343
    • 33845949988 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Possibilities and problems with the use of models as a communication tool in water resources management
    • Olsson, J. A. & Andersson, L. (2007), Possibilities and problems with the use of models as a communication tool in water resources management, Water Resour. Manag., 21: 97-110.
    • (2007) Water Resour. Manag. , vol.21 , pp. 97-110
    • Olsson, J.A.1    Andersson, L.2
  • 344
    • 0033082586 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A comparison of techniques for the estimation of model prediction uncertainty
    • Omlin, M. & Reichert P. (1999), A comparison of techniques for the estimation of model prediction uncertainty, Ecol. Modell., 115: 45-59.
    • (1999) Ecol. Modell. , vol.115 , pp. 45-59
    • Omlin, M.1    Reichert, P.2
  • 345
    • 0028763687 scopus 로고
    • Verification, validation and confirmation of numerical models in the earth sciences
    • Oreskes, N., Shrader-Frechette, K. & Belitz, K. (1994), Verification, validation and confirmation of numerical models in the earth sciences, Science, 263, 641-646.
    • (1994) Science , vol.263 , pp. 641-646
    • Oreskes, N.1    Shrader-Frechette, K.2    Belitz, K.3
  • 346
    • 33644611001 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A random search methodology for examining parametric uncertainty in water quality models
    • Osidele, O. O., Zeng, W. & Beck, M. B. (2006), A random search methodology for examining parametric uncertainty in water quality models, Water Sci. & Techn., 53(1): 33-40.
    • (2006) Water Sci. & Techn. , vol.53 , Issue.1 , pp. 33-40
    • Osidele, O.O.1    Zeng, W.2    Beck, M.B.3
  • 347
    • 0037277145 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Investigating the uncertainty in predicting responses to atmospheric deposition using the Model of Acidification of Groundwater in Catchments (MAGIC) within a Generalised Likelihood Uncertainty Estimation (GLUE) framework
    • Page, T., Beven, K. J., Freer, J. & Jenkins, A. (2003), Investigating the uncertainty in predicting responses to atmospheric deposition using the Model of Acidification of Groundwater in Catchments (MAGIC) within a Generalised Likelihood Uncertainty Estimation (GLUE) framework, Water, Air, Soil Pollution, 142: 71-94.
    • (2003) Water, Air, Soil Pollution , vol.142 , pp. 71-94
    • Page, T.1    Beven, K.J.2    Freer, J.3    Jenkins, A.4
  • 348
    • 1842562354 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Uncertainty in modelled estimates of acid deposition across Wales: a GLUE approach
    • Page, T., Whyatt, D., Beven, K. J. & Metcalfe, S. E. (2004), Uncertainty in modelled estimates of acid deposition across Wales: a GLUE approach. Atmos. Environ., 38: 2079-2090.
    • (2004) Atmos. Environ. , vol.38 , pp. 2079-2090
    • Page, T.1    Whyatt, D.2    Beven, K.J.3    Metcalfe, S.E.4
  • 349
    • 33846670892 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modelling the chloride signal at the Plynlimon Catchments, Wales using a modified dynamic TOPMODEL
    • Page, T., Beven, K. J. & Freer, J. (2007), Modelling the chloride signal at the Plynlimon Catchments, Wales using a modified dynamic TOPMODEL. Hydrol. Process., 21, 292-307.
    • (2007) Hydrol. Process , vol.21 , pp. 292-307
    • Page, T.1    Beven, K.J.2    Freer, J.3
  • 350
    • 0036960075 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Towards sustainability in the water sector: the importance of human actors and processes of social learning
    • Pahl-Wostl, C. (2002), Towards sustainability in the water sector: the importance of human actors and processes of social learning. Aquatic Sciences, 64: 394-411.
    • (2002) Aquatic Sciences , vol.64 , pp. 394-411
    • Pahl-Wostl, C.1
  • 351
    • 33845930247 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Transitions towards adaptive management of water facing climate and global change
    • Pahl-Wostl, C. (2007), Transitions towards adaptive management of water facing climate and global change, Water Resour. Manag., 21: 49-62.
    • (2007) Water Resour. Manag. , vol.21 , pp. 49-62
    • Pahl-Wostl, C.1
  • 352
    • 33747340673 scopus 로고
    • Random Variables and Stochastic Processes, McGraw-Hill: NY
    • Papoulis, A. (1965), Probability, Random Variables and Stochastic Processes, McGraw-Hill: NY.
    • (1965) Probability
    • Papoulis, A.1
  • 353
    • 33745445005 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Ignorance is bliss: 7 reasons not to use uncertainty analysis
    • Pappenberger, F. & Beven, K. J. (2006), Ignorance is bliss: 7 reasons not to use uncertainty analysis, Water Resources Research, 42: W05302, doi:10.1029/2005WR004820, 2006.
    • (2006) Water Resources Research , vol.42 , pp. W05302
    • Pappenberger, F.1    Beven, K.J.2
  • 354
    • 33751112709 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Decision tree for choosing an uncertainty analysis methodology: a wiki experiment http:// www.floodrisknet.org.uk/methods http://www.floodrisk.net
    • Pappenberger, F., Harvey, H., Beven K., Hall, J. & Meadowcroft, I. (2006a), Decision tree for choosing an uncertainty analysis methodology: a wiki experiment http:// www.floodrisknet.org.uk/methods http://www.floodrisk.net, Hydrol. Process., 20: 3793- 3798.
    • (2006) Hydrol. Process. , vol.20 , pp. 3793- 3798
    • Pappenberger, F.1    Harvey, H.2    Beven, K.3    Hall, J.4    Meadowcroft, I.5
  • 355
  • 357
    • 33846144757 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Grasping the unavoidable subjectivity in calibration of flood inundation models: a vulnerability weighted approach
    • Pappenberger, F., Beven, K. J., Frodsham, K., Romanovicz, R. & Matgen, P. (2006d), Grasping the unavoidable subjectivity in calibration of flood inundation models: a vulnerability weighted approach. J. Hydrol., 333: 275-287.
    • (2006) J. Hydrol. , vol.333 , pp. 275-287
    • Pappenberger, F.1    Beven, K.J.2    Frodsham, K.3    Romanovicz, R.4    Matgen, P.5
  • 358
    • 0024090481 scopus 로고
    • Random number generators: good ones are hard to find
    • Park, S. K. & Miller K. W. (1988), Random number generators: good ones are hard to find, Comm. ACM, 31: 1192-1201.
    • (1988) Comm. ACM , vol.31 , pp. 1192-1201
    • Park, S.K.1    Miller, K.W.2
  • 359
    • 0030482830 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Validation of catchment models for predicting land-use and climate change impacts. 2. Case study for a Mediterranean catchment
    • Parkin, G., O'Donnell, G., Ewen, J., Bathurst, J. C., O'Connell, P. E. & Lavabre, J. (1996), Validation of catchment models for predicting land-use and climate change impacts. 2. Case study for a Mediterranean catchment, J. Hydrol., 175, 595-613.
    • (1996) J. Hydrol , vol.175 , pp. 595-613
    • Parkin, G.1    O'Donnell, G.2    Ewen, J.3    Bathurst, J.C.4    O'Connell, P.E.5    Lavabre, J.6
  • 360
    • 14944382940 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Communicating uncertainty: lessons learned and suggestions for climate change assessment
    • Patt, A. & Dessai, S. (2005), Communicating uncertainty: lessons learned and suggestions for climate change assessment. Comptes Rendus Géoscience, 337(4): 425-441.
    • (2005) Comptes Rendus Géoscience , vol.337 , Issue.4 , pp. 425-441
    • Patt, A.1    Dessai, S.2
  • 361
    • 0027009866 scopus 로고
    • Bayesian methods for model uncertainty analysis with application to future sea level rise
    • Patwaedhan, A. & Small, M. J. (1992), Bayesian methods for model uncertainty analysis with application to future sea level rise, Risk Analysis, 12: 513-523.
    • (1992) Risk Analysis , vol.12 , pp. 513-523
    • Patwaedhan, A.1    Small, M.J.2
  • 364
    • 0242535102 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Uncertainty and the management of multistate ecosystems: an apparently rational route to collapse
    • Peterson, G. D., Carpenter, S. R. & Brock, W. A. (2003), Uncertainty and the management of multistate ecosystems: an apparently rational route to collapse, Ecology, 84: 1403-1411.
    • (2003) Ecology , vol.84 , pp. 1403-1411
    • Peterson, G.D.1    Carpenter, S.R.2    Brock, W.A.3
  • 365
    • 0019206572 scopus 로고
    • Field heterogeneity: some basic issues
    • Philip, J. R. (1980), Field heterogeneity: some basic issues. Water Resources Research, 16: 443-448.
    • (1980) Water Resources Research , vol.16 , pp. 443-448
    • Philip, J.R.1
  • 366
    • 31544456597 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Constraints on climate change from a multi-thousand member ensemble of simulations
    • Piani, C., Frame, D. J., Stainforth, D. A. & Allen, M. R. (2005), Constraints on climate change from a multi-thousand member ensemble of simulations, Geophysical Review Letters, 32: L23825.
    • (2005) Geophysical Review Letters , vol.32 , pp. L23825
    • Piani, C.1    Frame, D.J.2    Stainforth, D.A.3    Allen, M.R.4
  • 367
    • 0002770137 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Who decides? Forecasts and responsibilities in the (1997) Red River Floods
    • Pielke, R. A., Jr. (1999), Who decides? Forecasts and responsibilities in the (1997) Red River Floods, Appl. Behav. Sci. Rev., 7: 83-101.
    • (1999) Appl. Behav. Sci. Rev. , vol.7 , pp. 83-101
    • Pielke, R.A.1
  • 368
    • 0344708499 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Best practices in prediction for decision-making: lessons from the atmospheric and earth sciences
    • Pielke, R. A., Jr & Conant, R. T. (2003), Best practices in prediction for decision-making: lessons from the atmospheric and earth sciences, Ecology, 84(6): 1351-1358.
    • (2003) Ecology , vol.84 , Issue.6 , pp. 1351-1358
    • Pielke, R.A.1    Conant, R.T.2
  • 369
    • 0036172489 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Overlooked issues in the US National Climate and IPCC Assessments
    • Pielke, R. A., Sr. (2002), Overlooked issues in the US National Climate and IPCC Assessments, Climate Change, 52: 1-11.
    • (2002) Climate Change , vol.52 , pp. 1-11
    • Pielke, R.A.1
  • 370
    • 0031177891 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modelling the hydrological response of Mediterranean catchments, Prades, Catalonia - the use of distributed models as aids to hypothesis formulation
    • Piñol, J., Beven, K. J. & Freer, J. (1997), Modelling the hydrological response of Mediterranean catchments, Prades, Catalonia - the use of distributed models as aids to hypothesis formulation, Hydrol. Process., 11(9): 1287-1306.
    • (1997) Hydrol. Process. , vol.11 , Issue.9 , pp. 1287-1306
    • Piñol, J.1    Beven, K.J.2    Freer, J.3
  • 371
    • 14744271447 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modelling the effect of fire-exclusion and prescribed fire on wildfire size in Mediterranean ecosystems
    • Piñol, J., Beven, K. J. & Viegas, D. X. (2004), Modelling the effect of fire-exclusion and prescribed fire on wildfire size in Mediterranean ecosystems. Ecol. Model., 183, 397-409.
    • (2004) Ecol. Model. , vol.183 , pp. 397-409
    • Piñol, J.1    Beven, K.J.2    Viegas, D.X.3
  • 372
    • 34547700379 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Conditioning uncertainty in ecological models: assessing the impact of fire management strategies
    • Piñol, J., Castellnou, M. & Beven, K. J. (2007), Conditioning uncertainty in ecological models: assessing the impact of fire management strategies, Ecol. Model., 207: 34-44, doi:10.1016/ j.ecolmodel.2007.03.020
    • (2007) Ecol. Model , vol.207 , pp. 34-44
    • Piñol, J.1    Castellnou, M.2    Beven, K.J.3
  • 373
    • 84889940749 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • UCODE_2005 and three postprocessors - computer codes for universal sensitivity analysis, inverse modelling and uncertainty evaluation
    • Washington, DC
    • Poeter, E. P., Hill, M. C., Banta, E. R. & Mehl, S. W. (2005), UCODE_2005 and three postprocessors - computer codes for universal sensitivity analysis, inverse modelling and uncertainty evaluation. US Geological Survey Techniques & Methods Report TM 6-A11, Washington, DC.
    • (2005) US Geological Survey Techniques & Methods Report TM 6-A11
    • Poeter, E.P.1    Hill, M.C.2    Banta, E.R.3    Mehl, S.W.4
  • 374
    • 0442293846 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Inference for deterministic simulation models: the Bayesian melding approach
    • Poole, D. & Raftery, A. E. (2000), Inference for deterministic simulation models: the Bayesian melding approach, J. Am. Statist. Assoc., 95: 1244-1255.
    • (2000) J. Am. Statist. Assoc. , vol.95 , pp. 1244-1255
    • Poole, D.1    Raftery, A.E.2
  • 376
    • 0003696915 scopus 로고
    • 2nd Edition, Oxford University Press: Oxford
    • Popper, K. R. (1979), Objective Knowledge, 2nd Edition, Oxford University Press: Oxford.
    • (1979) Objective Knowledge
    • Popper, K.R.1
  • 377
    • 0000002378 scopus 로고
    • Earth models obtained by Monte Carlo inversion
    • Press, F. (1968), Earth models obtained by Monte Carlo inversion, J. Geophys. Res., 73: 5223-5234.
    • (1968) J. Geophys. Res. , vol.73 , pp. 5223-5234
    • Press, F.1
  • 381
    • 0037438981 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • On Monte Carlo methods for Bayesian inference
    • Qian, S. S., Stow, C. A. & Borsuk, M. E. (2003), On Monte Carlo methods for Bayesian inference, Ecol. Modell., 159: 269-277
    • (2003) Ecol. Modell. , vol.159 , pp. 269-277
    • Qian, S.S.1    Stow, C.A.2    Borsuk, M.E.3
  • 382
    • 69749110316 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Overview of global data assimilation developments in numerical weatherprediction centres
    • Rabier, F. (2005), Overview of global data assimilation developments in numerical weatherprediction centres, Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., 131: 3215-3233
    • (2005) Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc , vol.131 , pp. 3215-3233
    • Rabier, F.1
  • 384
    • 0035873696 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Sensitivity analysis in model calibration: GSA-GLUE approach
    • Ratto, M., Tarantola, S. & Saltelli, A. (2001), Sensitivity analysis in model calibration: GSA-GLUE approach, Comp. Phys. Comms., 136: 212-224.
    • (2001) Comp. Phys. Comms. , vol.136 , pp. 212-224
    • Ratto, M.1    Tarantola, S.2    Saltelli, A.3
  • 385
    • 40549124562 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Accelerated estimation of sensitivity indices using Sate-Dependent Parameter Models
    • K. M. Hanson & F. M. Hemez (Eds.), Los Alamos National Laboratory, NM
    • Ratto, M., Tarantola, S., Saltelli, A. & Young, P. C. (2005), Accelerated estimation of sensitivity indices using Sate-Dependent Parameter Models, in K. M. Hanson & F. M. Hemez (Eds.), Sensitivity Analysis of Model Output, Los Alamos National Laboratory, NM: 61-70.
    • (2005) Sensitivity Analysis of Model Output , pp. 61-70
    • Ratto, M.1    Tarantola, S.2    Saltelli, A.3    Young, P.C.4
  • 387
    • 0033306413 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Water quality prediction and probability network models
    • Reckhow, K. H. (1999), Water quality prediction and probability network models, Can. J. Fish Aquat. Sci., 56: 1150-1158.
    • (1999) Can. J. Fish Aquat. Sci. , vol.56 , pp. 1150-1158
    • Reckhow, K.H.1
  • 388
    • 0030616293 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Parameterisation, calibration and validation of distributed hydrological models
    • Refsgaard, J.-C. (1997), Parameterisation, calibration and validation of distributed hydrological models, J. Hydrol., 198: 69-97.
    • (1997) J. Hydrol. , vol.198 , pp. 69-97
    • Refsgaard, J.-C.1
  • 391
    • 0036557496 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A taxonomy and treatment of uncertainty for ecology and conservation biology
    • Regan, H. M., Colyvan, M. & Burgman, M. A. (2002), A taxonomy and treatment of uncertainty for ecology and conservation biology, Ecol. Applic., 12: 618-628.
    • (2002) Ecol. Applic. , vol.12 , pp. 618-628
    • Regan, H.M.1    Colyvan, M.2    Burgman, M.A.3
  • 393
    • 0030620062 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • On the usefulness of overparameterised ecological models
    • Reichert, P. & Omlin M. (1997), On the usefulness of overparameterised ecological models, Ecol. Modell., 95: 289-299.
    • (1997) Ecol. Modell. , vol.95 , pp. 289-299
    • Reichert, P.1    Omlin, M.2
  • 394
    • 13744257142 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Does high forecast uncertainty preclude effective decision support?
    • Reichert, P. & Borsuk, M. E. (2005), Does high forecast uncertainty preclude effective decision support? Environ. Modell. Softw., 20: 991-1101.
    • (2005) Environ. Modell. Softw. , vol.20 , pp. 991-1101
    • Reichert, P.1    Borsuk, M.E.2
  • 395
    • 0034870111 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Downscaling of radiobrightness measurements for soil moisture estimation: a four-dimensional variational data assimilation approach
    • Reichle, R., Entekhabi, D. & McLaughlin, D. B. (2001), Downscaling of radiobrightness measurements for soil moisture estimation: a four-dimensional variational data assimilation approach, Water Resources Research, 37: 2353-2364.
    • (2001) Water Resources Research , vol.37 , pp. 2353-2364
    • Reichle, R.1    Entekhabi, D.2    McLaughlin, D.B.3
  • 396
    • 0036322061 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Hydrologic data assimilation with the ensemble Kalman filter
    • Reichle, R., McLaughlin, D. B. & Entekhabi, D. (2002), Hydrologic data assimilation with the ensemble Kalman filter, Month. Weath. Rev., 130: 103-114.
    • (2002) Month. Weath. Rev. , vol.130 , pp. 103-114
    • Reichle, R.1    McLaughlin, D.B.2    Entekhabi, D.3
  • 397
    • 32544431726 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Including model uncertainty in risk-informed decision making
    • Reinert, J. M. & Apostolakis, G. E. (2006), Including model uncertainty in risk-informed decision making, Annals of Nuclear Energy, 33: 354-369.
    • (2006) Annals of Nuclear Energy , vol.33 , pp. 354-369
    • Reinert, J.M.1    Apostolakis, G.E.2
  • 398
    • 33847237299 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Use of a Gaussian copula for multivariate extreme value analysis: some case studies in hydrology
    • Renard, B. & Lang, M. (2007), Use of a Gaussian copula for multivariate extreme value analysis: some case studies in hydrology, Adv. Water Resour., 30: 897-912.
    • (2007) Adv. Water Resour. , vol.30 , pp. 897-912
    • Renard, B.1    Lang, M.2
  • 399
    • 34247647193 scopus 로고
    • Capillary conduction of liquids through porous mediums
    • Richards, L. A. (1931), Capillary conduction of liquids through porous mediums, Physics, 1: 318-333
    • (1931) Physics , vol.1 , pp. 318-333
    • Richards, L.A.1
  • 402
    • 43949153069 scopus 로고
    • Simple conditions for the convergence of the Gibbs sampler and Metropolis-Hastings algorithms
    • Roberts, G. O., & Smith, A. F. M. (1994), Simple conditions for the convergence of the Gibbs sampler and Metropolis-Hastings algorithms, Stoch. Process. Applic., 49: 207-216.
    • (1994) Stoch. Process. Applic. , vol.49 , pp. 207-216
    • Roberts, G.O.1    Smith, A.F.M.2
  • 403
    • 0013037129 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Optimal scaling for various Metropolis-Hastings algorithms
    • Roberts, G. O., & Rosenthal, J. S. (2001), Optimal scaling for various Metropolis-Hastings algorithms, Stat. Sci., 16: 351-367.
    • (2001) Stat. Sci. , vol.16 , pp. 351-367
    • Roberts, G.O.1    Rosenthal, J.S.2
  • 405
    • 0002304708 scopus 로고
    • Evaluation of predictive uncertainty in nonlinear hydrological models using a Bayesian approach
    • V. Barnett & K. F. Turkman (Eds.) Wiley: Chichester
    • Romanowicz, R., Beven, K. J. & Tawn, J. (1994), Evaluation of predictive uncertainty in nonlinear hydrological models using a Bayesian approach, in V. Barnett & K. F. Turkman (Eds.) Statistics for the Environment II . Water Related Issues, Wiley: Chichester, 297-317.
    • (1994) Statistics for the Environment II . Water Related Issues , pp. 297-317
    • Romanowicz, R.1    Beven, K.J.2    Tawn, J.3
  • 406
    • 0001942155 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Bayesian calibration of flood inundation models
    • M. G. Anderson, D. E. Walling & P. D. Bates (Eds.)
    • Romanowicz, R., Beven, K. J. & Tawn, J. (1996), Bayesian calibration of flood inundation models, in M. G. Anderson, D. E. Walling & P. D. Bates (Eds.), Floodplain Processes, 333-360.
    • (1996) Floodplain Processes , pp. 333-360
    • Romanowicz, R.1    Beven, K.J.2    Tawn, J.3
  • 407
    • 0032054749 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Dynamic real-time prediction of flood inundation probabilities
    • Romanowicz, R. & Beven, K. J. (1998), Dynamic real-time prediction of flood inundation probabilities, Hydrol. Sci. J., 43: 181-196.
    • (1998) Hydrol. Sci. J. , vol.43 , pp. 181-196
    • Romanowicz, R.1    Beven, K.J.2
  • 408
    • 1542756371 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Bayesian estimation of flood inundation probabilities as conditioned on event inundation maps
    • Romanowicz, R. & Beven, K. J. (2003), Bayesian estimation of flood inundation probabilities as conditioned on event inundation maps, Water Resources Research, 39:W01073 doi:10.1029/2001WR001056.
    • (2003) Water Resources Research , vol.39 , pp. W01073
    • Romanowicz, R.1    Beven, K.J.2
  • 409
    • 33746624237 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Data assimilation and adaptive forecasting of water levels in the River Severn catchment, UK
    • Romanowicz, R., Young, P. C. & Beven, K. J. (2006), Data assimilation and adaptive forecasting of water levels in the River Severn catchment, UK, Water Resources Research, 42: W06407, doi:10.1029/2005WR004373
    • (2006) Water Resources Research , vol.42 , pp. W06407
    • Romanowicz, R.1    Young, P.C.2    Beven, K.J.3
  • 410
    • 0016772780 scopus 로고
    • Point estimates for probability moments
    • Rosenblueth, E. (1975), Point estimates for probability moments, Proc.Natl. Acad. Sci. USA, 72: 3812-3814.
    • (1975) Proc.Natl. Acad. Sci. USA , vol.72 , pp. 3812-3814
    • Rosenblueth, E.1
  • 412
    • 33847615314 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Probabilistic inference for future climate using an ensemble of climate model evaluations
    • Rougier, J. (2007), Probabilistic inference for future climate using an ensemble of climate model evaluations, Climate Change, 81: 247-264.
    • (2007) Climate Change , vol.81 , pp. 247-264
    • Rougier, J.1
  • 413
    • 34547236491 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Inference in ensemble experiments
    • Rougier, J. & Sexton D. M. H. (2007), Inference in ensemble experiments, Phil. Trans. R. Soc., A365: 2133-2143.
    • (2007) Phil. Trans. R. Soc , vol.A365 , pp. 2133-2143
    • Rougier, J.1    Sexton, D.M.H.2
  • 414
    • 1842739566 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The boy who cried wolf revisited: the impact of false alarm intolerance on cost-loss scenarios
    • Roulston, M. S. & Smith, L. A. (2004), The boy who cried wolf revisited: the impact of false alarm intolerance on cost-loss scenarios, Weather and Forecasting, 19: 391-397.
    • (2004) Weather and Forecasting , vol.19 , pp. 391-397
    • Roulston, M.S.1    Smith, L.A.2
  • 416
    • 0030274304 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Testing ecological models: the meaning of validation
    • Rykiel, E. J. (1996), Testing ecological models: the meaning of validation, Ecological Modelling, 90: 229-244.
    • (1996) Ecological Modelling , vol.90 , pp. 229-244
    • Rykiel, E.J.1
  • 417
    • 0001857840 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Streamflow forecasting based on artificial neural networks. Artificial Neural Networks in Hydrology
    • R. S. Govindaraju & A. Ramachandra Rao (Eds.), The Netherlands
    • Salas, J. D., Markus, M. & Tokar, A. S. (2000), Streamflow forecasting based on artificial neural networks. Artificial Neural Networks in Hydrology, R. S. Govindaraju & A. Ramachandra Rao (Eds.), Kluwer, Dordrecht, The Netherlands, 23-51.
    • (2000) Kluwer, Dordrecht , pp. 23-51
    • Salas, J.D.1    Markus, M.2    Tokar, A.S.3
  • 420
    • 33750188256 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Uncertain numbers and uncertainty in the selection of input distributions - consequences for a probabilistic risk assessment of contaminated land
    • Sander, P., Bergbäck, B. & öberg, T. (2006), Uncertain numbers and uncertainty in the selection of input distributions - consequences for a probabilistic risk assessment of contaminated land, Risk Analysis, 26: 1363-1375.
    • (2006) Risk Analysis , vol.26 , pp. 1363-1375
    • Sander, P.1    Bergbäck, B.2    Öberg, T.3
  • 421
    • 0002900835 scopus 로고
    • The theory of statistical decision
    • Savage, L. J. (1951), The theory of statistical decision, J. Am. Stat. Assoc., 46: 55-67.
    • (1951) J. Am. Stat. Assoc. , vol.46 , pp. 55-67
    • Savage, L.J.1
  • 424
    • 0023692273 scopus 로고
    • An evaluation of the equilibrium calculations within acidification models: the effect of uncertainty in measured chemical components
    • Schecher, W. D. & Driscoll, C. T. (1988), An evaluation of the equilibrium calculations within acidification models: the effect of uncertainty in measured chemical components, Water Resources Research, 24: 533-540.
    • (1988) Water Resources Research , vol.24 , pp. 533-540
    • Schecher, W.D.1    Driscoll, C.T.2
  • 425
    • 0031581547 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Water flow modelling in the unsaturated zone with imprecise parameters using a fuzzy approach
    • Schulz, K. & Huwe, B. (1997), Water flow modelling in the unsaturated zone with imprecise parameters using a fuzzy approach, J. Hydrol., 201: 211-229.
    • (1997) J. Hydrol. , vol.201 , pp. 211-229
    • Schulz, K.1    Huwe, B.2
  • 426
    • 0033118690 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Parameter uncertainty in chemical equilibirium calculations using fuzzy set theory
    • Schulz, K., Huwe, B. & Peiffer, S. (1999), Parameter uncertainty in chemical equilibirium calculations using fuzzy set theory, J. Hydrol., 217: 119-134.
    • (1999) J. Hydrol. , vol.217 , pp. 119-134
    • Schulz, K.1    Huwe, B.2    Peiffer, S.3
  • 427
    • 0033494215 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Equifinality and the problem of robust calibration in nitrogen budget simulations
    • Schulz, K., Beven, K. & Huwe, B. (1999), Equifinality and the problem of robust calibration in nitrogen budget simulations, Soil Sci. Soc. Amer. J., 63(6): 1934-1941.
    • (1999) Soil Sci. Soc. Amer. J. , vol.63 , Issue.6 , pp. 1934-1941
    • Schulz, K.1    Beven, K.2    Huwe, B.3
  • 428
    • 0043233414 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Towards simplified robust model structures in land surface - atmosphere flux predictions
    • Schulz, K., & Beven, K. J. (2003), Towards simplified robust model structures in land surface - atmosphere flux predictions, Hydrol. Process., 17, 2259-2277.
    • (2003) Hydrol. Process , vol.17 , pp. 2259-2277
    • Schulz, K.1    Beven, K.J.2
  • 431
    • 0042092515 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Real-time variational assimilation of hydrologic and hydrometeorological data into operational hydrological forecasting
    • Seo, D. J., Koren, V. & Cajina. (2003), Real-time variational assimilation of hydrologic and hydrometeorological data into operational hydrological forecasting, J. Hydrometerol., 4: 627-641.
    • (2003) J. Hydrometerol. , vol.4 , pp. 627-641
    • Seo, D.J.1    Koren, V.2    Cajina3
  • 432
    • 33750713351 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A fuzzy decision tree to predict phosphorus export at the catchment scale
    • Schärer, M., Page, T., Beven, K. J. (2006), A fuzzy decision tree to predict phosphorus export at the catchment scale. J.Hydrol., 331: 484-494.
    • (2006) J.Hydrol. , vol.331 , pp. 484-494
    • Schärer, M.1    Page, T.2    Beven, K.J.3
  • 436
    • 0000698239 scopus 로고
    • Idealized laws, antirealism and applied science: a case in hydrogeology
    • Shrader-Frechette, K. (1989), Idealized laws, antirealism and applied science: a case in hydrogeology, Synthese, 81, 329-352.
    • (1989) Synthese , vol.81 , pp. 329-352
    • Shrader-Frechette, K.1
  • 437
    • 34547803268 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Analysis and propagation of uncertainties due to stage discharge relationship: a fuzzy set approach
    • in press
    • Shrestha, R. R., Bardossy, A. & Nestmann, F. (2007), Analysis and propagation of uncertainties due to stage discharge relationship: a fuzzy set approach, Hydrol. Sci. J., in press.
    • (2007) Hydrol. Sci. J.
    • Shrestha, R.R.1    Bardossy, A.2    Nestmann, F.3
  • 439
    • 85080410565 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Uncertainty in flood forecasting
    • Balbanis, P., Lambroso, D. & Samuels, P., Innovation, Advances and Implementation of Flood Forecasting Technology, Proceedings of the ACTIF meeting, Tromsø on CD, HRWallingford: Wallingford, UK
    • Skaugen, T., Langsholt E. G., Hisdla, H., Langsrud, Ø., Follestad, T. & Høst, G. (2005), Uncertainty in flood forecasting, in Balbanis, P., Lambroso, D. & Samuels, P., Innovation, Advances and Implementation of Flood Forecasting Technology, Proceedings of the ACTIF meeting, Tromsø on CD (ISBN 978-1-898485-12-4), HRWallingford: Wallingford, UK.
    • (2005)
    • Skaugen, T.1    Langsholt, E.G.2    Hisdla, H.3    Langsrud, Ø.4    Follestad, T.5    Høst, G.6
  • 441
    • 0001823409 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Disentangling Uncertainty and Error: on the predictability of nonlinear systems
    • A Mees (Ed.), Springer: Berlin
    • Smith, L. A. (2000), Disentangling Uncertainty and Error: on the predictability of nonlinear systems, in A Mees (Ed.), Nonlinear Dynamics & Statistics, Springer: Berlin, 31-64.
    • (2000) Nonlinear Dynamics & Statistics , pp. 31-64
    • Smith, L.A.1
  • 443
    • 33744789669 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Discharge-dependent pollutant dispersion in rivers: estimation of ADZ parameters with surrogate data
    • Smith, P. J., Beven, K. J., Tawn, J., Blazkova, S. & Merta, L. (2006), Discharge-dependent pollutant dispersion in rivers: estimation of ADZ parameters with surrogate data. Water Resources Research, 42: W04412, doi:10.1029/2005WR004008.
    • (2006) Water Resources Research , vol.42 , pp. W04412
    • Smith, P.J.1    Beven, K.J.2    Tawn, J.3    Blazkova, S.4    Merta, L.5
  • 444
    • 39749173002 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The detection of structural inadequacy in processbased hydrological models: a particle filtering approach
    • Smith, P. J., Beven, K. J. & Tawn, J. (2007), The detection of structural inadequacy in processbased hydrological models: a particle filtering approach, Water Resources Research, 44(1), W01410 doi: 10.1029/2006WR005205.
    • (2007) Water Resources Research , vol.44 , Issue.1 , pp. W01410
    • Smith, P.J.1    Beven, K.J.2    Tawn, J.3
  • 446
    • 0034926426 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Global sensitivity indices for nonlinear mathematical models and their Monte Carlo estimates
    • Sobol', I. M. (2001), Global sensitivity indices for nonlinear mathematical models and their Monte Carlo estimates. Mathematics and Computers in Simulation, 55: 271-280.
    • (2001) Mathematics and Computers in Simulation , vol.55 , pp. 271-280
    • Sobol', I.M.1
  • 447
    • 0034302772 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Reducing uncertainty in site characterization using Bayes Monte Carlo methods
    • Sohn M. D., Small M. J., & Pantazidou M. (2000), Reducing uncertainty in site characterization using Bayes Monte Carlo methods, J. Environ. Eng. ASCE, 126: 893-902
    • (2000) J. Environ. Eng. ASCE , vol.126 , pp. 893-902
    • Sohn, M.D.1    Small, M.J.2    Pantazidou, M.3
  • 448
    • 0003963907 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Editions Odile Jacob, Paris, also published with a discussion of the reaction generated by the original French edition as Intellectual Impostures, Profile Books, London, 1998
    • Sokal, A. & Bricmont, D. (1997), Impostures Intellectuelles, Editions Odile Jacob, Paris, also published with a discussion of the reaction generated by the original French edition as Intellectual Impostures, Profile Books, London, 1998.
    • (1997) Impostures Intellectuelles
    • Sokal, A.1    Bricmont, D.2
  • 449
    • 2542623205 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Data assimilation in hydrodynamic modeling: on the treatment of nonlinearity and bias
    • Sørensen, J. V. T., Madsen, H. & Madsen, H. (2004), Data assimilation in hydrodynamic modeling: on the treatment of nonlinearity and bias. Stoch. Envir. Res. Risk Ass., 18: 228-244.
    • (2004) Stoch. Envir. Res. Risk Ass. , vol.18 , pp. 228-244
    • Sørensen, J.V.T.1    Madsen, H.2    Madsen, H.3
  • 450
    • 0027503733 scopus 로고
    • Calibration of rainfall-runoff models: application of global optimization to the Sacramento soil moisture accounting model
    • Sorooshian, S., Duan, Q. & Gupta, V. K. (1993), Calibration of rainfall-runoff models: application of global optimization to the Sacramento soil moisture accounting model, Water Resources Research, 29: 1185-1194.
    • (1993) Water Resources Research , vol.29 , pp. 1185-1194
    • Sorooshian, S.1    Duan, Q.2    Gupta, V.K.3
  • 451
    • 0031446992 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Large simulation models: calibration, uniqueness and goodness of fit
    • Spear, R. C. (1997), Large simulation models: calibration, uniqueness and goodness of fit, Environ. Modell. Software, 12: 219-228.
    • (1997) Environ. Modell. Software , vol.12 , pp. 219-228
    • Spear, R.C.1
  • 452
    • 0018834317 scopus 로고
    • Eutrophication in Peel Inlet. II. Identification of critical uncertainties via generalized sensitivity analysis
    • Spear, R. C. & Hornberger, G. M. (1980), Eutrophication in Peel Inlet. II. Identification of critical uncertainties via generalized sensitivity analysis, Water Resources Research, 14: 43-49.
    • (1980) Water Resources Research , vol.14 , pp. 43-49
    • Spear, R.C.1    Hornberger, G.M.2
  • 453
    • 0028322711 scopus 로고
    • Parameter uncertainty and interaction in complex environmental models
    • Spear, R. C. Grieb, T. M. & Shang, N. (1994), Parameter uncertainty and interaction in complex environmental models, Water Resources Research, 30: 3159-3170.
    • (1994) Water Resources Research , vol.30 , pp. 3159-3170
    • Spear R.C.Grieb, T.M.1    Shang, N.2
  • 454
    • 34547165887 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Confidence, uncertainty and decision-support relevance in climate predictions
    • Stainforth, D. A., Allen M. R., Tredger E. R. & Smith L. A. (2007a), Confidence, uncertainty and decision-support relevance in climate predictions, Phil. Trans. R. Soc., A365: 2145-2161.
    • (2007) Phil. Trans. R. Soc , vol.A365 , pp. 2145-2161
    • Stainforth, D.A.1    Allen, M.R.2    Tredger, E.R.3    Smith, L.A.4
  • 455
    • 34547176663 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Issues in the interpretation of climate model ensembles to inform decisions
    • Stainforth, D. A., Downing T. E., Washington R., Lopez A. & New M. (2007b), Issues in the interpretation of climate model ensembles to inform decisions, Phil. Trans. R. Soc., A365: 2163-2177.
    • (2007) Phil. Trans. R. Soc , vol.A365 , pp. 2163-2177
    • Stainforth, D.A.1    Downing, T.E.2    Washington R.Lopez, A.3    New, M.4
  • 456
    • 0016047106 scopus 로고
    • Mathematical simulation of subsurface flow contributions to snowmelt runoff
    • Stephenson, G. R. & Freeze, R. A. (1974), Mathematical simulation of subsurface flow contributions to snowmelt runoff, Reynolds Creek, Idaho, Water Resources Research, 10(2): 284-298.
    • (1974) Reynolds Creek, Idaho, Water Resources Research , vol.10 , Issue.2 , pp. 284-298
    • Stephenson, G.R.1    Freeze, R.A.2
  • 458
    • 0002516156 scopus 로고
    • Fuzzy measures and fuzzy integrals: a survey
    • M. M. Gupta, G. N. Saridis & B. R. Gaines (Eds.), North-Holland: Amsterdam
    • Sugeno, M. (1977), Fuzzy measures and fuzzy integrals: a survey, in M. M. Gupta, G. N. Saridis & B. R. Gaines (Eds.), Fuzzy Automata and Decision Processes, North-Holland: Amsterdam, 89-102.
    • (1977) Fuzzy Automata and Decision Processes , pp. 89-102
    • Sugeno, M.1
  • 459
    • 3342908137 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The risk associated with aquifer remediation
    • IAHS Press: Wallingford, UK
    • Sykes, J. F., Harvey, D. J. M. & Wilger, C. (1996), The risk associated with aquifer remediation, IAHS Publication, 237: 533-542, IAHS Press: Wallingford, UK.
    • (1996) IAHS Publication , vol.237 , pp. 533-542
    • Sykes, J.F.1    Harvey, D.J.M.2    Wilger, C.3
  • 461
    • 34547212829 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Advancing the identification and evaluation of distributed rainfall-runoff models using global sensitivity analysis
    • Tang, Y., Reed, P., van Werkhoven, K. & Wagener, T. (2007a), Advancing the identification and evaluation of distributed rainfall-runoff models using global sensitivity analysis, Water Resources Research, 43, W06415, doi:10.1029/2006WR005813.
    • (2007) Water Resources Research , vol.43 , pp. W06415
    • Tang, Y.1    Reed, P.2    van Werkhoven, K.3    Wagener, T.4
  • 462
    • 33846807795 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Comparing sensitivity analysis methods to advance lumped watershed model identification and evaluation
    • Tang, Y., Reed, P., Wagener, T. & van Werkhoven, K. (2007b), Comparing sensitivity analysis methods to advance lumped watershed model identification and evaluation, Hydro. Earth. Sys. Sci., 11: 793-817.
    • (2007) Hydro. Earth. Sys. Sci. , vol.11 , pp. 793-817
    • Tang, Y.1    Reed, P.2    Wagener, T.3    van Werkhoven, K.4
  • 465
    • 33846632419 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Environmental time series analysis and forecasting with the Captain toolbox
    • Taylor, C. J., Pedregal, D. J., Young, P. C. & Tych, W. (2007), Environmental time series analysis and forecasting with the Captain toolbox, Environ. Modell. & Softw., 22: 797-814.
    • (2007) Environ. Modell. & Softw. , vol.22 , pp. 797-814
    • Taylor, C.J.1    Pedregal, D.J.2    Young, P.C.3    Tych, W.4
  • 466
    • 14544287376 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Quantifying uncertainty in projections of regional climate change: a Bayesian approach to the analysis of multimodel ensembles
    • Tebaldi, C., Smith R. L., Nychka D. & Mearns L. O. (2005), Quantifying uncertainty in projections of regional climate change: a Bayesian approach to the analysis of multimodel ensembles, J. Clim., 18: 1524-1540.
    • (2005) J. Clim. , vol.18 , pp. 1524-1540
    • Tebaldi, C.1    Smith, R.L.2    Nychka, D.3    Mearns, L.O.4
  • 467
    • 34547177691 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The use of the multi-model ensemble in probabilisitic climate projections
    • Tebaldi, C. & Knutti, R. (2007), The use of the multi-model ensemble in probabilisitic climate projections, Phil. Trans. R. Soc., A365: 2053-2075.
    • (2007) Phil. Trans. R. Soc , vol.A365 , pp. 2053-2075
    • Tebaldi, C.1    Knutti, R.2
  • 469
    • 12544249789 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A method for evaluating the importance of system state observations to model predictions, with application to the Death Valley regional groundwater flow system
    • Tiedeman, C. R., Ely, D. M., Hill, M. C. & O'Brian, G. M. (2004), A method for evaluating the importance of system state observations to model predictions, with application to the Death Valley regional groundwater flow system, Water Resources Research, 40: W12411, doi:10.1029/2004WR003313.
    • (2004) Water Resources Research , vol.40 , pp. W12411
    • Tiedeman, C.R.1    Ely, D.M.2    Hill, M.C.3    O'Brian, G.M.4
  • 471
    • 0040136237 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Using phase-state modelling for inferring forecasting uncertainty in nonlinear stochastic decision schemes
    • Todini, E. (1999), Using phase-state modelling for inferring forecasting uncertainty in nonlinear stochastic decision schemes, J. Hydroinformatics, 1(2): 75-82.
    • (1999) J. Hydroinformatics , vol.1 , Issue.2 , pp. 75-82
    • Todini, E.1
  • 472
    • 7244232811 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Role and treatment of uncertainty in real-time flood forecasting
    • Todini, E. (2004), Role and treatment of uncertainty in real-time flood forecasting, Hydrological Process., 18: 2743-2746.
    • (2004) Hydrological Process. , vol.18 , pp. 2743-2746
    • Todini, E.1
  • 473
    • 0035065659 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Applying Bayesian statistics to organism-based environmental reconstruction
    • Toivonen, H. T. T., Mannila, H., Korhola, A. & Olander, H. (2001), Applying Bayesian statistics to organism-based environmental reconstruction, Ecol. Applic., 11: 618-630.
    • (2001) Ecol. Applic. , vol.11 , pp. 618-630
    • Toivonen, H.T.T.1    Mannila, H.2    Korhola, A.3    Olander, H.4
  • 474
    • 0003872930 scopus 로고
    • The CXTFIT code for estimating transport parameters from laboratory or field tracer experiments - Version 2.0. USSal
    • Lab., Res. Rep. No. 137
    • Toride, N., Leij, F. J. & van Genuchten, MTh. 1995, The CXTFIT code for estimating transport parameters from laboratory or field tracer experiments - Version 2.0. USSal. Lab., Res. Rep. No. 137, 121pp.
    • (1995) , pp. 121
    • Toride, N.1    Leij, F.J.2    van Genuchten, MTh.3
  • 475
    • 0001509508 scopus 로고
    • Ensemble forecasting at NMC: the generation of perturbations
    • Toth, Z. & Kalnay, E. (1993), Ensemble forecasting at NMC: the generation of perturbations, Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 74: 23127-2330.
    • (1993) Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc. , vol.74 , pp. 23127-23330
    • Toth, Z.1    Kalnay, E.2
  • 476
    • 33846869913 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Accounting for an imperfect model in 4D-Var
    • Trémolet, Y. (2006), Accounting for an imperfect model in 4D-Var, Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., 132: 2483-2504.
    • (2006) Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. , vol.132 , pp. 2483-2504
    • Trémolet, Y.1
  • 477
    • 33845656109 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • When does information about probability count in choices under risk
    • Tyszka, T. & Zaleskiewicz, T. (2006), When does information about probability count in choices under risk, Risk Analysis, 26: 1623-1636.
    • (2006) Risk Analysis , vol.26 , pp. 1623-1636
    • Tyszka, T.1    Zaleskiewicz, T.2
  • 478
    • 35448931688 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • An approach for determining the technical adequacy of probabilisitic risk assessment results for risk-informed activities. Regulatory Guide 1.200
    • Washington: DC
    • US Nuclear Regulatory Commission. (2004), An approach for determining the technical adequacy of probabilisitic risk assessment results for risk-informed activities. Regulatory Guide 1.200, Washington: DC.
    • (2004)
  • 479
    • 34047185270 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Advantages and challenges of Bayesian networks in environmental modelling
    • Uusitalo, L. (2007), Advantages and challenges of Bayesian networks in environmental modelling, Ecol. Modell., 203, 312-318.
    • (2007) Ecol. Modell , vol.203 , pp. 312-318
    • Uusitalo, L.1
  • 481
    • 33845937696 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Towards transition management of European water resources
    • Van der Brugge, R., & Rotmans, J. (2007), Towards transition management of European water resources, Water Resour. Manag., 21: 249-267.
    • (2007) Water Resour. Manag. , vol.21 , pp. 249-267
    • Van der Brugge, R.1    Rotmans, J.2
  • 483
    • 0036174283 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A way out of the credibility crisis of models used in integrated environmental assessment
    • Van der Sluijs, J. P. (2002), A way out of the credibility crisis of models used in integrated environmental assessment, Futures, 34: 133-146.
    • (2002) Futures , vol.34 , pp. 133-146
    • Van der Sluijs, J.P.1
  • 486
    • 18644368044 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Combining quantitative and qualitative measures of uncertainty in model-based environmental assessment: the NUSAP system
    • Van der Sluijs, J. P., Craye, M., Funtowicz, S., Kloprogge, P., Ravetz, J. R. & Risbey, J. (2005b), Combining quantitative and qualitative measures of uncertainty in model-based environmental assessment: the NUSAP system, Risk Analysis, 25: 481-492.
    • (2005) Risk Analysis , vol.25 , pp. 481-492
    • Van der Sluijs, J.P.1    Craye, M.2    Funtowicz, S.3    Kloprogge, P.4    Ravetz, J.R.5    Risbey, J.6
  • 489
    • 0000261492 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Data assimilation and inverse methods in terms of a probabilisitic formulation
    • Van Leeuwen, P. V. & Evensen, G. (1998), Data assimilation and inverse methods in terms of a probabilisitic formulation, Mon. Weath. Rev., 124: 2898-2913, doi: 10.1175/1520- 0493(1996)124<2898:DAAIMI>2.0.CO;2.
    • (1998) Mon. Weath. Rev. , vol.124 , pp. 2898-2913
    • Van Leeuwen, P.V.1    Evensen, G.2
  • 490
    • 22344433424 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Bayesian calibration of process-based forest models: bridging the gap between models and data
    • Van Oijen, M., Rougier, J. & Smith, R. (2005), Bayesian calibration of process-based forest models: bridging the gap between models and data, Tree Physiology, 25: 915- 927.
    • (2005) Tree Physiology , vol.25 , pp. 915- 927
    • Van Oijen, M.1    Rougier, J.2    Smith, R.3
  • 491
    • 84979368472 scopus 로고
    • Uncertainty propagation and speculation in projective forecasts of environmental change
    • Van Straten, G. & Keesman, K. J. (1991), Uncertainty propagation and speculation in projective forecasts of environmental change, J. Forecasting, 10: 163-190.
    • (1991) J. Forecasting , vol.10 , pp. 163-190
    • Van Straten, G.1    Keesman, K.J.2
  • 492
    • 0029509178 scopus 로고
    • Belief networks for modelling and assessment of environmental change
    • Varis, O. (1955), Belief networks for modelling and assessment of environmental change, Environmetrics, 6: 439-444.
    • (1955) Environmetrics , vol.6 , pp. 439-444
    • Varis, O.1
  • 493
    • 0031432577 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Bayesian decision analysis for environmental and resource management
    • Varis, O. (1997), Bayesian decision analysis for environmental and resource management, Environ. Modell. & Software, 12: 177-185.
    • (1997) Environ. Modell. & Software , vol.12 , pp. 177-185
    • Varis, O.1
  • 494
    • 0030660524 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Joint use of multiple environmental assessment models by a Bayesian meta-model: the Baltic salmon case
    • Varis, O. & Kuikka, S. (1997), Joint use of multiple environmental assessment models by a Bayesian meta-model: the Baltic salmon case, Ecol. Modell., 102: 341-351.
    • (1997) Ecol. Modell. , vol.102 , pp. 341-351
    • Varis, O.1    Kuikka, S.2
  • 495
    • 0030389633 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Parametric empirical Bayes methods for ecological applications
    • Ver Hoef, J. M. (1996), Parametric empirical Bayes methods for ecological applications, Ecol. Applic., 6: 1047-1055.
    • (1996) Ecol. Applic. , vol.6 , pp. 1047-1055
    • Ver Hoef, J.M.1
  • 498
    • 0036998958 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Toward improved identifiability of hydrologic model parameters: the information content of experimental data
    • Vrugt, J. A., Bouten, W., Gupta, H. V. & Sorooshian, S. (2002), Toward improved identifiability of hydrologic model parameters: the information content of experimental data, Water Resources Research, 38(12): doi:10.1029/2001WR001118.
    • (2002) Water Resources Research , vol.38 , Issue.12
    • Vrugt, J.A.1    Bouten, W.2    Gupta, H.V.3    Sorooshian, S.4
  • 499
    • 1542757127 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A shuffled complex evolution Metropolis algorithm for optimization and uncertainty assessment of hydrologic model parameters
    • Vrugt, J. A., Gupta, H. V., Bouten, W. & Sorooshian, S. (2003), A shuffled complex evolution Metropolis algorithm for optimization and uncertainty assessment of hydrologic model parameters, Water Resources Research, 39: doi:10.1029/2002WR001642.
    • (2003) Water Resources Research , vol.39
    • Vrugt, J.A.1    Gupta, H.V.2    Bouten, W.3    Sorooshian, S.4
  • 500
    • 33746200035 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Real-time data assimilation for operational ensemble streamflow forecasting
    • Vrugt, J. A., Gupta, H. V., O'Nuallain, B., & Bouten, W. (2006), Real-time data assimilation for operational ensemble streamflow forecasting, J. Hydrometeorol., 7: 548-565.
    • (2006) J. Hydrometeorol. , vol.7 , pp. 548-565
    • Vrugt, J.A.1    Gupta, H.V.2    O'Nuallain, B.3    Bouten, W.4
  • 501
    • 33846489175 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Improved evolutionary optimisation from genetically adaptive multimethod search
    • Vrugt, J. A. & Robinson, B. A. (2007a), Improved evolutionary optimisation from genetically adaptive multimethod search, Proc. Nation. Acad. Sci.: 104(3): 708-711, doi: 10.1073/ pnas0610471104.
    • (2007) Proc. Nation. Acad. Sci , vol.104 , Issue.3 , pp. 708-711
    • Vrugt, J.A.1    Robinson, B.A.2
  • 502
    • 33847624077 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Treatment of uncertainty using ensemble methods: comparison of sequential data assimilation and Bayesian model averaging
    • Vrugt, J. A. & Robinson, B. A. (2007b), Treatment of uncertainty using ensemble methods: comparison of sequential data assimilation and Bayesian model averaging, Water Resources Research, 43: W01411, doi: 10.1029/2005WR004838.
    • (2007) Water Resources Research , vol.43 , pp. W01411
    • Vrugt, J.A.1    Robinson, B.A.2
  • 503
    • 33846366975 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Eutrophication control in river-systems: an application of INCA-P to the River Lugg
    • Wade, A. J., Butterfield, D., Griffiths, T. & Whitehead, P. G. (2007), Eutrophication control in river-systems: an application of INCA-P to the River Lugg, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 11: 584-600.
    • (2007) Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. , vol.11 , pp. 584-600
    • Wade, A.J.1    Butterfield, D.2    Griffiths, T.3    Whitehead, P.G.4
  • 504
    • 0037442971 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Towards reduced uncertainty in conceptual rainfall-runoff modelling: Dynamic identifiability analysis
    • Wagener, T., McIntyre, N., Lees, M. J., Wheater, H. S., & Gupta, H. V. (2003), Towards reduced uncertainty in conceptual rainfall-runoff modelling: Dynamic identifiability analysis, Hydrol. Process., 17: 455-476.
    • (2003) Hydrol. Process. , vol.17 , pp. 455-476
    • Wagener, T.1    McIntyre, N.2    Lees, M.J.3    Wheater, H.S.4    Gupta, H.V.5
  • 505
    • 0035367203 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • One-dimensional soil moisture profile retrieval by assimilation of near surface observations: a comparison of retrieval algorithms
    • Walker, J. P., Wilgoose, G. R. & Kalman, J. D., One-dimensional soil moisture profile retrieval by assimilation of near surface observations: a comparison of retrieval algorithms, Adv. Water Resour., 24: 631-650.
    • Adv. Water Resour , vol.24 , pp. 631-650
    • Walker, J.P.1    Wilgoose, G.R.2    Kalman, J.D.3
  • 507
    • 0034190746 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Towards a unified theory of imprecise probabilitiy
    • Walley, P. (2000), Towards a unified theory of imprecise probabilitiy, Int. J. Approx. Reason., 24: 125-148.
    • (2000) Int. J. Approx. Reason. , vol.24 , pp. 125-148
    • Walley, P.1
  • 509
    • 85080421843 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The evidential reasoning approach for multiple attribute decision analysis using interval belief degrees
    • Wang, Y.-M., Yang, J.-B., Xu, D.-L. & Chin, K.-S. (2005), The evidential reasoning approach for multiple attribute decision analysis using interval belief degrees, European J. Operational Research, 182: 1249-1312.
    • (2005) European J. Operational Research , vol.182 , pp. 1249-1312
    • Wang, Y.-M.1    Yang, J.-B.2    Xu, D.-L.3    Chin, K.-S.4
  • 510
    • 33746783853 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Environmental impact assessment using the evidential reasoning approach
    • Wang, Y.-M., Yang, J.-B., & Xu, D.-L. (2006), Environmental impact assessment using the evidential reasoning approach, European J. Operational Research, 174: 1885- 1913.
    • (2006) European J. Operational Research , vol.174 , pp. 1885- 1913
    • Wang, Y.-M.1    Yang, J.-B.2    Xu, D.-L.3
  • 512
    • 33750368306 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Particle filtering and ensemble Kalman filtering for state updating with hydrological conceptual rainfall-runoff models
    • Weerts, A. H. & E. l. Serafy, G. Y. H. (2006), Particle filtering and ensemble Kalman filtering for state updating with hydrological conceptual rainfall-runoff models, Water Resources Research, 42: W09403, doi: 10.1029/20045WR004903.
    • (2006) Water Resources Research , vol.42 , pp. W09403
    • Weerts, A.H.1    Serafy, G.Y.H.2
  • 513
    • 34247624860 scopus 로고
    • Trans-science
    • Weinberg, A. (1972), Trans-science, Minerva, 10: 209-22.
    • (1972) Minerva , vol.10 , pp. 209-222
    • Weinberg, A.1
  • 514
    • 33846621027 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Can there be science-based precaution?
    • Weiss, C. (2006), Can there be science-based precaution?, Environ. Res. Lett., 1, doi: 10.1088/ 1748-9326/1/1/014003 (7p).
    • (2006) Environ. Res. Lett , vol.1 , pp. 7
    • Weiss, C.1
  • 515
    • 0018654878 scopus 로고
    • Water quality in river systems: Monte-Carlo analysis
    • Whitehead, P. G. & Young, P. C., 1979, Water quality in river systems: Monte-Carlo analysis, Water Resources Research, 15: 451-459.
    • (1979) Water Resources Research , vol.15 , pp. 451-459
    • Whitehead, P.G.1    Young, P.C.2
  • 516
    • 0028387642 scopus 로고
    • Neural Networks - applications in industry, business and science
    • Widrow, B., Rumelhart, D. E. & Lehr, M. A. (1994), Neural Networks - applications in industry, business and science, Comm. ACM, 37: 93-105.
    • (1994) Comm. ACM , vol.37 , pp. 93-105
    • Widrow, B.1    Rumelhart, D.E.2    Lehr, M.A.3
  • 517
    • 0041985115 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Hierarchical Bayesian models for predicting the spread of ecological processes
    • Wikle, C. K. (2003), Hierarchical Bayesian models for predicting the spread of ecological processes, Ecology, 84: 1382-1394.
    • (2003) Ecology , vol.84 , pp. 1382-1394
    • Wikle, C.K.1
  • 518
    • 33645749499 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A framework for assessing uncertainties in climate change impacts: low-flow scenarios for the River Thames, UK
    • Wilby, R. L. and Harris I. (2006), A framework for assessing uncertainties in climate change impacts: low-flow scenarios for the River Thames, UK, Water Resources Research, 42: W02419, doi:10.1029/WR2005WR004065.
    • (2006) Water Resources Research , vol.42 , pp. W02419
    • Wilby, R.L.1    Harris, I.2
  • 519
    • 0002063018 scopus 로고
    • Probabilistic arithmetic I: numerical methods for calculation convolutions and dependency bounds
    • Williamson, R. C. & Downs, T. (1990), Probabilistic arithmetic I: numerical methods for calculation convolutions and dependency bounds, Int. J. Approx. Reason., 4: 89-158.
    • (1990) Int. J. Approx. Reason. , vol.4 , pp. 89-158
    • Williamson, R.C.1    Downs, T.2
  • 520
    • 0030428940 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Bayesian environmental policy decisions: two case studies
    • Wolfson, L. J., Kadane, J. B. & Mitchell, M. J. (1996), Bayesian environmental policy decisions: two case studies, Ecological Applications, 6: 1056-1066.
    • (1996) Ecological Applications , vol.6 , pp. 1056-1066
    • Wolfson, L.J.1    Kadane, J.B.2    Mitchell, M.J.3
  • 521
    • 2442448558 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Learning to predict large-scale coral bleaching from past events: a Bayesian approach using remotely sensed data, in-situ data, and environmental proxies
    • Wooldridge, S., & Done, T. (2004), Learning to predict large-scale coral bleaching from past events: a Bayesian approach using remotely sensed data, in-situ data, and environmental proxies, Coral Reefs, 23: 96-108.
    • (2004) Coral Reefs , vol.23 , pp. 96-108
    • Wooldridge, S.1    Done, T.2
  • 522
    • 10844286071 scopus 로고
    • Uncertainty and environmental learning: reconceiving science and policy in the preventative paradigm
    • Wynne, B. (1992), Uncertainty and environmental learning: reconceiving science and policy in the preventative paradigm, Global Environ. Change, 2: 111-127.
    • (1992) Global Environ. Change , vol.2 , pp. 111-127
    • Wynne, B.1
  • 523
    • 34248171887 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Regionalization of constraints on expected watershed response behavior for improved predictions in ungauged basins
    • Yadav, M., Wagener, T. & Gupta, H. V. (2007), Regionalization of constraints on expected watershed response behavior for improved predictions in ungauged basins, Adv. Water Resour., 30: 1756-1774.
    • (2007) Adv. Water Resour. , vol.30 , pp. 1756-1774
    • Yadav, M.1    Wagener, T.2    Gupta, H.V.3
  • 524
    • 0022796815 scopus 로고
    • Arithmetic and other operations on Dempster-Shafer structures
    • Yager, R. R. (1986), Arithmetic and other operations on Dempster-Shafer structures, Int. J. Man-Mach. Stud., 25: 357-366.
    • (1986) Int. J. Man-Mach. Stud. , vol.25 , pp. 357-366
    • Yager, R.R.1
  • 525
    • 34250670714 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Hydrological modelling of the Chaohe Basin in China: statistical model formulation and Bayesian inference
    • Yang, J., Reichert, P., Abbaspour, K. C. & Yang, H. (2007), Hydrological modelling of the Chaohe Basin in China: statistical model formulation and Bayesian inference, J. Hydrol., doi: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2007.04.006.
    • (2007) J. Hydrol
    • Yang, J.1    Reichert, P.2    Abbaspour, K.C.3    Yang, H.4
  • 526
    • 0036822609 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Variational inverse parameter estimation in a long-term tidal transport model
    • Yang, Z. & Hamrick, J. M. (2002), Variational inverse parameter estimation in a long-term tidal transport model, Water Resources Research, 38(10): W01204, doi:10.1029/20- 01WR001121.
    • (2002) Water Resources Research , vol.38 , Issue.10 , pp. W01204
    • Yang, Z.1    Hamrick, J.M.2
  • 527
    • 0030162090 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Calibration of conceptual rainfall-runoff models: sensitivity to calibration data
    • Yapo, P. O., Gupta, H. & Sorooshian, S. (1996), Calibration of conceptual rainfall-runoff models: sensitivity to calibration data, J. Hydrol., 181: 23-48.
    • (1996) J. Hydrol. , vol.181 , pp. 23-48
    • Yapo, P.O.1    Gupta, H.2    Sorooshian, S.3
  • 528
    • 0032579570 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Multi-objective global optimisation for hydrologic models
    • Yapo, P. O., Gupta, H. & Sorooshian, S. (1998), Multi-objective global optimisation for hydrologic models, J. Hydrol., 204: 83-97.
    • (1998) J. Hydrol. , vol.204 , pp. 83-97
    • Yapo, P.O.1    Gupta, H.2    Sorooshian, S.3
  • 529
    • 2942700220 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Maximum likelihood Bayesian averaging of spatial variability models in unsaturated fractured tuff
    • Ye, M., Neuman, S. P. & Meyer, P. D. (2004), Maximum likelihood Bayesian averaging of spatial variability models in unsaturated fractured tuff, Water Resources Research, 40: W05113, doi: 10.1029/2003WR002557.
    • (2004) Water Resources Research , vol.40 , pp. W05113
    • Ye, M.1    Neuman, S.P.2    Meyer, P.D.3
  • 530
    • 11144257048 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Parameter estimation for leaky aquifers using the extended Kalman filter and considering model and data measurement uncertainties
    • Yeh, H. D. & Huang, Y. C. (2005), Parameter estimation for leaky aquifers using the extended Kalman filter and considering model and data measurement uncertainties, J. Hydrol., 302: 28-45.
    • (2005) J. Hydrol. , vol.302 , pp. 28-45
    • Yeh, H.D.1    Huang, Y.C.2
  • 531
    • 0003099021 scopus 로고
    • The validity and credibility of models for badly-defined systems
    • M. B. Beck & G. van Straten (Eds.), Springer- Verlag: Berlin
    • Young, P. C. (1983), The validity and credibility of models for badly-defined systems, in M. B. Beck & G. van Straten (Eds.), Uncertainty and Forecasting of Water Quality, Springer- Verlag: Berlin, 69-98.
    • (1983) Uncertainty and Forecasting of Water Quality , pp. 69-98
    • Young, P.C.1
  • 533
    • 0032051939 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Data-based mechanistic modelling of environmental, ecological, economic and engineering systems
    • Young, P. C. (1998), Data-based mechanistic modelling of environmental, ecological, economic and engineering systems, Environmental Modelling & Software, 13: 105-122.
    • (1998) Environmental Modelling & Software , vol.13 , pp. 105-122
    • Young, P.C.1
  • 534
    • 0001891299 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Data-based mechanistic modelling and validation of rainfall-flow processes
    • Anderson, M. G. & Bates, P. D. (Eds.), Wiley: Chichester
    • Young, P. C. (2001), Data-based mechanistic modelling and validation of rainfall-flow processes, in Anderson, M. G. & Bates, P. D. (Eds.), Model Validation: Perspectives in Hydrological Science, Wiley: Chichester, 117-161.
    • (2001) Model Validation: Perspectives in Hydrological Science , pp. 117-161
    • Young, P.C.1
  • 535
    • 85056917022 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Advances in Real Time Forecasting
    • Young, P. C. (2002), Advances in Real Time Forecasting, Phil. Trans. Roy. Soc. Lond., A360: 1430-1450.
    • (2002) Phil. Trans. Roy. Soc. Lond , vol.A360 , pp. 1430-1450
    • Young, P.C.1
  • 536
    • 0042732130 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Top-down and data-based mechanistic modelling of rainfall-flow dynamics at the catchment scale
    • Young, P. C. (2003), Top-down and data-based mechanistic modelling of rainfall-flow dynamics at the catchment scale, Hydrol. Process., 17: 2195-2217.
    • (2003) Hydrol. Process. , vol.17 , pp. 2195-2217
    • Young, P.C.1
  • 537
    • 17644388302 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Data-based mechanistic modelling and the simplification of environmental systems
    • J. Wainwright & M. Mulligan (Eds.), Wiley: Chichester
    • Young, P. C., Chotai, A. & Beven, K. J. (2004), Data-based mechanistic modelling and the simplification of environmental systems, in J. Wainwright & M. Mulligan (Eds.), Environmental Modelling: Finding Simplicity in Complexity, Wiley: Chichester, 371-388.
    • (2004) Environmental Modelling: Finding Simplicity in Complexity , pp. 371-388
    • Young, P.C.1    Chotai, A.2    Beven, K.J.3
  • 539
    • 0000383506 scopus 로고
    • Solute transport and dispersion in channels
    • K. J. Beven and M. J. Kirkby (Eds.), Wiley: Chichester
    • Young, P. C. and Wallis, S. G. (1993), Solute transport and dispersion in channels, in K. J. Beven and M. J. Kirkby (Eds.), Channel Network Hydrology, Wiley: Chichester, 129-175.
    • (1993) Channel Network Hydrology , pp. 129-175
    • Young, P.C.1    Wallis, S.G.2
  • 541
    • 34248666540 scopus 로고
    • Fuzzy Sets
    • Zadeh, L. (1965), Fuzzy Sets, Control, 8: 338-353.
    • (1965) Control , vol.8 , pp. 338-353
    • Zadeh, L.1
  • 542
    • 21744440313 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • From imprecise to granular probabilities
    • Zadeh, L. (2004), From imprecise to granular probabilities, Fuzzy Sets & Systems, 154: 370-374.
    • (2004) Fuzzy Sets & Systems , vol.154 , pp. 370-374
    • Zadeh, L.1
  • 543
    • 18144388681 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Towards a generalised theory of uncertainty (GTU) - an outline
    • Zadeh, L. (2005), Towards a generalised theory of uncertainty (GTU) - an outline, Information Sciences, 172: 1-40.
    • (2005) Information Sciences , vol.172 , pp. 1-40
    • Zadeh, L.1
  • 544
    • 0032878758 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Equifinality, sensitivity and uncertainty in the estimation of critical loads
    • Zak, S. & Beven, K. J. (1999), Equifinality, sensitivity and uncertainty in the estimation of critical loads, Science of the Total Environment, 236: 191-214.
    • (1999) Science of the Total Environment , vol.236 , pp. 191-214
    • Zak, S.1    Beven, K.J.2
  • 545
    • 33750022305 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A comparison of nonlinear least square and GLUE for model calibration and uncertainty estimation for pesticide transport in soils
    • Zhang, D., Beven, K. J. & Mermoud, A. (2006), A comparison of nonlinear least square and GLUE for model calibration and uncertainty estimation for pesticide transport in soils. Adv. Water Resour., 29: 1924-1933.
    • (2006) Adv. Water Resour. , vol.29 , pp. 1924-1933
    • Zhang, D.1    Beven, K.J.2    Mermoud, A.3


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.