Inference in forensic identification

Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series A: Statistics in Society

Volumn 158, Issue 1, 1995, Pages 21-40

  Balding, David J ^a   Donnelly, Peter ^a  

^a QUEEN MARY UNIVERSITY OF LONDON   (United Kingdom)

Author keywords

Bayes rule; Deoxyribonucleic acid profiles; Forensic identification; Island problem; Weight of evidence

Indexed keywords

EID: 85066114109     PISSN: 09641998     EISSN: 1467985X     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.2307/2983402     Document Type: Article

References (32)

1. Balding, D. J. (1994) Estimating products in forensic identification using DNA profiles. To be published.
2. Balding, D. J. and Nichols, R. A. (1994). DNA profile match probability calculation: how to allow for population stratification, relatedness, database selection and single bands. Forens. Sci. Int., 64, 125-140.
3. Berger, J. O. and Wolpert, R. L. (1988) The Likelihood Principle. Hayward: Institute of Mathematical Statistics.
4. Berry, D. A., Evett, I. W. and Pinchin, R. (1992). Statistical inference in crime investigations using deoxyribonucleic acid profiling (with discussion). Appl. Statist., 41, 499-531.
5. Billingsley, P. (1979) Probability and Measure. New York: Wiley.
6. Brookfield, J. (1992). Law and probabilities. Nature, 355, 207-208.
7. Buffery, C., Burridge, F., Greenhalgh, M., Jones, S. and Willot, G. (1991). Allele frequency distributions of four variable number tandem repeat (VNTR) loci in the London area. Forens. Sci. Int., 52, 53-64.
8. California Reporter. (1968). People versus Collins. Calif. Rep., 66, 497.
9. Chakraborty, R. and Kidd, K. K. (1991). The utility of DNA typing in forensic work. Science, 254, 1735-1739.
10. Cullison, A. D. (1969). Identification by probabilities and trial by arithmetic (a lesson for beginners in how to be wrong with greater precision). Houston Law Rev., 6, 471.
11. Dawid A. P. (1994)The island problem: coherent use of identification evidence. In Aspects ofUncertainty:a Tribute to D. V. Lindley (eds P. R. Freeman and A. F. M. Smith), ch. II. Chichester: Wiley.
12. Donnelly, P. (1992). Discussion on Statistical inference in crime investigations using deoxyribonucleic acid profiling (by D. A. Berry, I. W. Evett and R. Pinchin). Appl. Statist., 41, 524-525.
13. Donnelly, P. (1994) The non-independence of matches at different loci in DNA profiles: quantifying the effect of close relatives on the match probability. Preprint.
14. Eggleston, R. (1983) Evidence, Proof and Probability, 2nd edn. London: Wiedenfield and Nicholson.
15. Finkelstein, M. O. and Fairley, W. B. (1970). A Bayesian approach to identification and evidence. Harvard Law Rev., 83, 489-517.
16. Jeffreys, A. J., Neumann, R. and Wilson V. (1990). Repeat unit sequence variation in minisatellites:a novel source of DNA polymorphism for studying variation and mutation by single molecule analysis. Cell, 60, 473-485.
17. Kingston, C. R. (1965). Applications of probability to criminalistics. J. Am. Statist. Ass., 60, 70-80.
18. Lander, E. S. (1991). Research on DNA typing catching up with courtroom application. Am. J. Hum. Genet., 48, 819-823.
19. Lenth, R. V. (1986). On identification by probability. J. Forens. Sci. Soc., 26, 197-213.
20. Lewontin, R. C. and Hartl, D. L. (1991). Population genetics in forensic DNA typing. Science, 254, 1745-1750.
21. Marjoram, P. and Donnelly, P. (1994). Pairwise comparisons of mitochondrial DNA sequences in subdivided populations and implications for early human evolution. Genetics, 136, 673-683.
22. Morton, N. E. (1993). DNA in court. Eur. J. Hum. Genet., 1, 172-178.
23. National Research Council of the USA (1992) DNA Technology in ForensicScience. Washington DC:National Academy Press.
24. Robertson, J., Ross, A. M. and Burgoyne, L. A. (eds) (1990) DNA in Forensic Science: Theory, Techniques and Applications. New York: Horwood.
25. Sampson, A. R. and Smith, R. L. (1985). An information theory model for the evaluation of circumstantial evidence. IEEE Trans. Syst. Man Cyber., 15, 9-16.
26. Thompson, W. C. and Schumann, E. J. (1987). Interpretation of statistical evidence in criminal trials. Law Hum. Behav., 11, 167-187.
27. Tillers, P. and Green, E. (eds) (1988) Probability and Inference in the Law of Evidence: the Limits and Uses of Bayesianism. Dordrecht: Kluwer.
28. Tribe, L. (1971). Trial by mathematics: precision and ritual in the legal process. Harvard Law Rev., 84, 1329-1393.
29. Tversky, A. and Kahneman, D. (1974). Judgment under uncertainty: heuristics and biases. Science, 185, 1124-1131.
30. Weir, B. S. (1992). Population genetics in the forensic DNA debate. Proc. Natn. Acad. Sci. USA, 89, 11654-11659.
31. Weir, B. S. (1993). Forensic population genetics and the National Research Council (NRC). Am. J. Hum. Genet., 52, 437-440.
32. Yellin, J. (1979) Review of Evidence, Proof and Probability (by R. Eggleston). J. Econ. Lit., 583.