Time-concentration-effect models in predicting chronic toxicity from acute toxicity data

Risk Assessment with Time to Event Models

Volumn , Issue , 2016, Pages 39-67

  Mayer, Foster L ^a   Ellersieck, Mark R ^b   Krause, Gary F ^b   Sun, Kai ^b   Lee, Gunhee ^b   Buckler, Denny R ^c  

^a U S ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY   (United States)

^b UNIVERSITY OF MISSOURI   (United States)

^c Jackson Field Research Station   (United States)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

ACUTE TOXICITY; CHRONIC TOXICITY; CONCENTRATION EFFECTS;

TOXICITY;

EID: 85051249154     PISSN: None     EISSN: None     Source Type: Book    
DOI: None     Document Type: Chapter

References (71)

1. Chen, F. and Schüürmann, G., Quantitative Structure-Activity Relationships in Environmental Sciences. VII, SETAC Press, Pensacola, FL, 1997.
2. Finney, D.J., Probit Analysis, 3rd ed., Cambridge University Press, London, UK, 1971.
3. Newman, M.C., Quantitative Methods in Aquatic Ecotoxicology, Lewis Publish ers, Boca Raton, FL, 1994.
4. Mount, D.I. and Stephan, C.E., A method for establishing acceptable limits for fish - malathion and the butoxyethanol ester of 2, 4-D, Transactions of the American Fisheries Society, 96, 185, 1967.
5. Kenaga, E.E., Predictability of chronic toxicity from acute toxicity of chemicals in fish and aquatic invertebrates, Environ. Toxicol. & Chem., 1, 347, 1982.
6. Kenaga, E.E., Aquatic test organisms and methods useful for assessment of chronic toxicity of chemicals, in Analyzing the Hazard Evaluation Process, Dick son, K.L., Maki, A.W. and Cairns, J., Jr., Eds., American Fisheries Society, Washington, D.C., 1979, 101.
7. Buikema, A.L., Jr., Niederlehner, B.R. and Cairns, J., Jr., Biological monitoring. 4. Toxicity testing, Water Research, 16, 239, 1982.
8. Shirazi, M.A. and Lowrie, L., Comparative toxicity based on similar asymp totic endpoints, Arch. Environ. Contam. & Toxicol., 17, 273, 1988.
9. Dixon, P.M. and Newman, M.C., Analyzing toxicity data using statistical models for time-to-death: an introduction, in Metal Ecotoxicology: Concepts and Applications, Newman, M.C. and Mcintosh, A.W., Eds., Lewis, Chelsea, MI, 1991, 207.
10. Newman, M.C. and Aplin, M.S., Enhancing toxicity data interpretation and prediction of ecological risk with survival time modeling: an illustration using sodium chloride toxicity to mosquitofish, Aquatic Toxicology, 23, 85, 1992.
11. Gelber, R.D., Lavin, P.T., Mehta, C.R., and Schoenfeld, D.A. Statistical analysis of toxicity testing, in Fundamentals of Aquatic Toxicology, Rand, G.M. and Petrocelli, S.R., Eds., Hemisphere, New York, NY, 1985, 110.
12. Crump, K.S., A new method for determining allowable daily intakes, Fundam. & Appl. Toxicol., 4, 854, 1984.
13. Gaylor, D.W., Quantitative risk analysis for quantal reproductive and devel opmental effects, Environ. Hlth. Perspect., 79, 243, 1989.
14. Chen, J.J. and Kodell, R.L., Quantitative risk assessment for teratological effects, J. Am. Stat. Assoc., 84, 966, 1989.
15. Hoeskstra, J.A. and Van Ewijk, P.H., Alternative for the no-observed-effect level, Environ. Toxicol. & Chem., 12, 187, 1993.
16. Hartley, H.O. and Sielken, R.L., Jr., Estimation of "safe doses" in carcinogenic experiments, Biometrics, 33, 1, 1977.
17. Mayer, F.L., Krause, G.F., Buckler, D.R., Ellersieck, M.R. and Lee, G., Predict ing chronic lethality of chemicals to fishes from acute toxicity test data: con cepts and linear regression, Environ. Toxicol. & Chem., 13, 671, 1994.
18. Litchfield, J.T., Jr. and Wilcoxon, F., A simplified method of evaluating dose effect experiments, J. Pharmacol. Exper. Ther., 96, 99, 1949.
19. Green, R.H., Estimation of tolerance over an indefinite time period, Ecologyy 46, 887, 1965.
20. Sprague, J.B., Measurement of pollutant toxicity to fish. 1. Biossay methods for acute toxicity, Water Research, 3, 793, 1969.
21. American Society for Testing and Materials, Standard practice for conducting acute toxicity tests with fishes, macro-invertebrates, and amphibians, in An nual Book of ASTM Standards, E729-80, Philadelphia, PA, 1980, 1.
22. Committee on Methods for Toxicity Tests with Aquatic Organisms, Methods for Acute Toxicity Tests with Fish, Macroinvertebrates, and Amphibians, EPA 660/3-75-009, Ecological Research Series, United States Environmental Pro tection Agency, Corvallis, OR, 1975.
23. Snedecor, G.W. and Cochran, W.G., Statistical Methods, 7th ed., Iowa State University Press, Ames, IA, 1980.
24. Lee, G., Ellersieck, M.R., Krause, G.F. and Mayer, F.L., Predicting chronic toxicity of chemicals to fishes from acute toxicity test data: multifactor probit analysis, Environ. Toxicol. & Chem., 14, 345, 1995.
25. Bliss, C.I., The relation between exposure time, concentration and toxicity in experiments on insecticides, Ann. Entomol. Soc. Amer., 33, 721, 1940.
26. Finney, D.J., Examples of the planning and interpretation of toxicity tests involving more than one factor, Ann. Appl. Biol., 29, 330, 1942.
27. Heming, T.A., Arvind, S. and Yogesh, K., Time-toxicity relationships in fish exposed to the organochlorine pesticide methoxychlor, Environmental Toxi cology and Chemistry, 3, 923, 1989.
28. Finney, D.J., Statistical Methods in Biological Assay, Charles Griffin, London, UK, 1978.
29. Mayer, F.L., Krause, G.E., Ellersieck, M.R. and Lee, G., Statistical Approach to Predicting Chronic Toxicity of Chemicals to Fishes from Acute Toxicity Test Data, PB92-169655; PB92503119 (software), National Technical Information Service, Springfield, VA, 1991.
30. Sun, K., Krause, G.F., Mayer, F.L., Ellersieck, M.R. and Basu, A.P., Predicting chronic lethality based on the theory of accelerated life testing, Environ. Tox icol. & Chem., 14, 1745, 1995.
31. Kalbfleisch, J.D. and Prentice, R.L., The Statistical Analysis of Failure Time Data, John Wiley & Sons, New York, NY, 1980.
32. Cox, D.R., Regression models and life-tables with discussion, J. Royal Stat. Soc., B, 34, 87, 1972.
33. Armitage, P. and Doll, R., Stochastic models for carcinogenesis, in Proceedings of the Fourth Berkeley Symposium on Mathematical Statistics.and Probability, Vol. 4, Neyman, J., Ed., University of California Press, Berkeley, CA, 1961, 19.
34. Newman, M.C., Keklak, M.M. and Doggett, M.S., Quantifying animal size effects on toxicity: a general approach, Aquat. Toxicol., 28, 1, 1994.
35. Lawless, J.F., Statistical Models and Methods for Lifetime Data, John Wiley & Sons, New York, NY, 1982.
36. Shirazi, M.A. and Lowrie, L., A probabilistic statement of the structure activity relationship for environmental risk analysis, Arch. Environ. Contam. & Toxicol., 19, 597, 1990.
37. Agresti, A., Categorical Data Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, New York, NY, 1990.
38. Cox, D.R. and Hinkley, D.V., A note on the efficiency of least squares estimates, J. Royal Stat. Soc.B, 30, 284, 1968.
39. Nelson, W.B., Applied Life Data Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, New York, NY, 1982.
40. Rao, C.R., Linear Statistical Inference and Its Applications, John Wiley & Sons, New York, NY, 1965.
41. Wilks, S.S., The large-sample distribution of the likelihood ratio for testing composite hypotheses, Ann. Math. & Stats., 9, 60, 1938.
42. Mount, D.I. and Brungs, W.A., A simplified dosing apparatus for toxicology studies, Water Research, 1, 21, 1967.
43. Drummond, R.A. and Dawson, W.F., An inexpensive method for simulating diel patterns of lighting in the laboratory, Trans. Amer. Fish. Soc. 99, 434, 1970.
44. American Public Health Association, American Water Works Association and Water Pollution Control Federation, Standard Methods for the Examination of Water and Wastewater, 17th ed. American Public Health Association, Washing ton, D.C., 1989.
45. Haley, T.J., Solvents and chemical intermediates, in Handbook of Toxicologyy Haley, T.J. and Berndt, W.O, Eds., Hemisphere, Washington, D.C., 1987, 504.
46. Hardin, B.L., Carbon tetrachloride poisoning - a review, Indust. Med. & Surg., 23, 93, 1954.
47. Recknagel, R.O., Glende, E.A., Jr., Dolak, J.A. and Waller, R.L., Mechanisms of carbon tetrachloride toxicity, Pharmacol. Ther. 43, 139, 1989.
48. Finney, D.J., The statistical treatment of toxicological data relating to more than one dosage factor, Ann. Appl. Biol., 30, 71, 1943.
49. Powers, E.B., The goldfish (Carassius carassius) as a test animal in the study of toxicity, Illinois Biol. Mono, 4, 127, 1917.
50. Abram, F.S.H., An application of harmonics to fish toxicology, Int. J. Air & Water Poll., 8, 325, 1964.
51. Abram, F.S.H., The definition and measurement of fish toxicity thresholds, Proceedings, Third International Conference, Advances in Water Pollution Research, Munich, West Germany, September 1966, 75, 1967.
52. Alderdice, D.F. and Brett, J.R., Some effects of kraft mill effluent on young Pacific salmon, J. Fish. Res. Bd. Can., 14, 783, 1957.
53. Breck, J.E., Relationships among models for acute toxic effects: applications to fluctuating concentrations, Environ. Toxicol. & Chem., 7, 775, 1988.
54. Mancini, J.L., A method for calculating effects on aquatic organisms, of time-varying concentrations, Water Research 17, 1355, 1983.
55. Mayer, F.L., Sun, K., Lee, G., Ellersieck, M.R. and Krause, G.F., User Guide: Acute to Chronic Estimation (ACE), EPA/600/R-98/152, United States Envi ronmental Protection Agency, Gulf Breeze, FL, 1999.
56. Neter, J., Wasserman, W. and Kutner, M.H., Applied Linear Statistical Models, 2nd ed., Irwin, Homewood, IL, 1985.
57. Giesy, J.P. and Graney, R.L., Recent developments in and intercomparisons of acute and chronic bioassays and bioindicators, Hydrobiologia, 188/189, 21, 1989.
58. Birge, W.P., Black, J.A. and Westerman, A.G., Short-term fish and amphibian embryo-larval tests for determining the effects of toxicant stress on early life stages and estimating chronic values for single compounds and complex effluents, Environ. Toxicol. & Chem., 4, 807, 1985.
59. Birge, W.P., Black, J.A., Short, T.M. and Westerman, A.G., A comparative ecological and toxicological investigation of a secondary wastewater treat ment plant effluent and its receiving stream, Environ. Toxicol. & Chem., 8, 437, 1989.
60. McKim, J.M., Evaluation of tests with early life stages of fish for predicting long-term toxicity, J. Fish. Res. Bd. Can., 34, 1148, 1977.
61. McKim, J.M., Early life stage toxicity tests, in Fundamental of Aquatic Toxicology, Rand, G.M. and Petrocelli, S.R., Eds., Hemisphere, Washington, D.C., 1985, 58.
62. Norberg, T.J. and Mount, D.I., A new fathead minnow (Pimephales promelas) subchronic toxicity test, Environ. Toxicol. & Chem., 4, 711, 1985.
63. Macek, K.J. and Sleight, B.N., III., Utility of toxicity tests with embryos and fry of fish in evaluating hazards associated with the chronic toxicity of chem icals to fishes, in Aquatic Toxicology and Hazard Evaluation (First Symposium), Mayer, F.L. and Hamelink, J.L., Eds., STP 634, American Society for Testing and Materials, Philadelphia, PA, 1977, 137.
64. Norberg-King, T.J., An evaluation of the fathead minnow seven-day sub chronic test for estimating chronic toxicity, Environ. Toxicol. & Chem., 8, 1075, 1989.
65. Woltering, D.R., The growth response in fish chronic and early life stage toxicity tests: a critical review, Aquat. Toxicol., 5, 1, 1984.
66. Mayer, F.L., Mayer, K.S. and Ellersieck, M.R., Relationship of survival to other endpoints in chronic toxicity tests with fish, Environ. Toxicol. & Chem., 5, 737, 1986.
67. Suter, G.W., II, Rosen, A.E., Linder, E. and Parkhurst, D.F., Endpoints for responses of fish to chronic toxic exposures, Environ. Toxicol. & Chem., 6, 793, 1987.
68. Ward, G.S. and Parrish, P.R., Evaluation of early lifestage toxicity tests with embryos and juveniles of sheepshead minnows (Cyprinodon variegatus), in, Aquat. Toxicol. (Third Symposium), Eaton, J.G, Parrish, P.R. and Hendricks, A.C., Eds., STP 707, American Society for Testing and Materials, Philadelphia, PA, 1980, 243.
69. Mayer, F.L., Deans, C.H. and Smith, A.G., Inter-taxa Correlations for Toxicity to Aquatic Organisms, EPA600/8-87-017, United States Environmental Protection Agency, Gulf Breeze, FL. 1987.
70. Buckler, D.R., Witt, A., Jr., Mayer, F.L., and Huckins, J.N., Acute and chronic effects of Kepone and mirex on the fathead minnow, Trans. Amer. Fish. Soc., 110, 270, 1981.
71. Mayer, F.L., Mehrle, P.M. and Dwyer, W.P., Toxaphene Effects on Reproduction, Growth, and Mortality of Brook Trout, EPA 600/3-75-013, Ecological Research Series, United States Environmental Protection Agency, Duluth, MN, 1975.