메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 115, Issue 11, 2018, Pages 2600-2606

The preregistration revolution

Author keywords

Confirmatory analysis; Exploratory analysis; Methodology; Open science; Preregistration

Indexed keywords

ARTICLE; DECISION TREE; HINDSIGHT BIAS; HYPOTHESIS; INFORMATION PROCESSING; MEASUREMENT ACCURACY; MEDICAL RESEARCH; MEMORY; MOTIVATION; PREDICTION; PRIORITY JOURNAL; REPRODUCIBILITY; STATISTICAL ANALYSIS; STUDY DESIGN; HUMAN; LABORATORY PERSONNEL; MANPOWER; PREDICTIVE VALUE; RESEARCH; SCIENCE; STANDARDS;

EID: 85043783065     PISSN: 00278424     EISSN: 10916490     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1708274114     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (1104)

References (60)
  • 1
    • 0000025871 scopus 로고
    • Science and statistics
    • Box GEP (1976) Science and statistics. J Am Stat Assoc 71:791–799.
    • (1976) J Am Stat Assoc , vol.71 , pp. 791-799
    • Box, G.E.P.1
  • 2
    • 0003100554 scopus 로고
    • Robustness in the strategy of scientific model building
    • eds Launer RL, Wilkinson GN (Academic, New York)
    • Box GEP (1979) Robustness in the strategy of scientific model building. Robustness in Statistics, eds Launer RL, Wilkinson GN (Academic, New York), pp 201–236.
    • (1979) Robustness in Statistics , pp. 201-236
    • Box, G.E.P.1
  • 3
    • 84894636668 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The meaning of “significance” for different types of research
    • de Groot AD (2014) The meaning of “significance” for different types of research. Acta Psychol (Amst) 148:188–194.
    • (2014) Acta Psychol (Amst , vol.148 , pp. 188-194
    • De Groot, A.D.1
  • 4
    • 24944465930 scopus 로고
    • Context of discovery and context of justification
    • Hoyningen-Huene P (1987) Context of discovery and context of justification. Stud Hist Philos Sci 18:501–515.
    • (1987) Stud Hist Philos Sci , vol.18 , pp. 501-515
    • Hoyningen-Huene, P.1
  • 5
    • 0002644749 scopus 로고
    • Logic of discovery or psychology of research?
    • eds Lakatos I, Musgrave A (Cambridge Univ Press, Cambridge, UK)
    • Kuhn TS (1970) Logic of discovery or psychology of research? Criticism and the Growth of Knowledge, eds Lakatos I, Musgrave A (Cambridge Univ Press, Cambridge, UK), pp 1–23.
    • (1970) Criticism and The Growth of Knowledge , pp. 1-23
    • Kuhn, T.S.1
  • 7
    • 85006002074 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Detecting and avoiding likely false-positive findings–A practical guide
    • Forstmeier W, Wagenmakers E-J, Parker TH (2017) Detecting and avoiding likely false-positive findings–A practical guide. Biol Rev Camb Philos Soc 92:1941–1968.
    • (2017) Biol Rev Camb Philos Soc , vol.92 , pp. 1941-1968
    • Forstmeier, W.1    Wagenmakers, E.-J.2    Parker, T.H.3
  • 8
    • 85029593950 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A manifesto for reproducible science
    • Munafò MR, et al. (2017) A manifesto for reproducible science. Nat Hum Behav 1: 0021.
    • (2017) Nat Hum Behav , vol.1 , pp. 0021
    • Munafò, M.R.1
  • 9
    • 84869023835 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Scientific utopia: II. Restructuring incentives and practices to promote truth over publishability
    • Nosek BA, Spies JR, Motyl M (2012) Scientific utopia: II. Restructuring incentives and practices to promote truth over publishability. Perspect Psychol Sci 7: 615–631.
    • (2012) Perspect Psychol Sci , vol.7 , pp. 615-631
    • Nosek, B.A.1    Spies, J.R.2    Motyl, M.3
  • 10
    • 84940513037 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • PSYCHOLOGY. Estimating the reproducibility of psychological science
    • Open Science Collaboration (2015) PSYCHOLOGY. Estimating the reproducibility of psychological science. Science 349:aac4716.
    • (2015) Science , vol.349 , pp. aac4716
  • 11
    • 0035171838 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • False positive outcomes and design characteristics in occupational cancer epidemiology studies
    • Swaen GG, Teggeler O, van Amelsvoort LG (2001) False positive outcomes and design characteristics in occupational cancer epidemiology studies. Int J Epidemiol 30: 948–954.
    • (2001) Int J Epidemiol , vol.30 , pp. 948-954
    • Swaen, G.G.1    Teggeler, O.2    Van Amelsvoort, L.G.3
  • 12
    • 22044439243 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • HARKing: Hypothesizing after the results are known
    • Kerr NL (1998) HARKing: Hypothesizing after the results are known. Pers Soc Psychol Rev 2:196–217.
    • (1998) Pers Soc Psychol Rev , vol.2 , pp. 196-217
    • Kerr, N.L.1
  • 13
    • 0016613601 scopus 로고
    • I knew it would happen: Remembered probabilities of once–future things
    • Fischhoff B, Beyth R (1975) I knew it would happen: Remembered probabilities of once–future things. Organ Behav Hum Perform 13:1–16.
    • (1975) Organ Behav Hum Perform , vol.13 , pp. 1-16
    • Fischhoff, B.1    Beyth, R.2
  • 14
    • 2342585431 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Hindsight not equal to foresight: The effect of outcome knowledge on judgment under uncertainty. 1975
    • discussion 311–312
    • Fischhoff B (2003) Hindsight not equal to foresight: The effect of outcome knowledge on judgment under uncertainty. 1975. Qual Saf Health Care 12:304–311, discussion 311–312.
    • (2003) Qual Saf Health Care , vol.12 , pp. 304-311
    • Fischhoff, B.1
  • 16
    • 84867042708 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Motivated independence? Implicit party identity predicts political judgments among self-proclaimed independents
    • Hawkins CB, Nosek BA (2012) Motivated independence? Implicit party identity predicts political judgments among self-proclaimed Independents. Pers Soc Psychol Bull 38:1437–1452.
    • (2012) Pers Soc Psychol Bull , vol.38 , pp. 1437-1452
    • Hawkins, C.B.1    Nosek, B.A.2
  • 20
    • 84869052692 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Science or art? How aesthetic standards grease the way through the publication bottleneck but undermine science
    • Giner-Sorolla R (2012) Science or art? How aesthetic standards grease the way through the publication bottleneck but undermine science. Perspect Psychol Sci 7: 562–571.
    • (2012) Perspect Psychol Sci , vol.7 , pp. 562-571
    • Giner-Sorolla, R.1
  • 21
    • 0000876735 scopus 로고
    • Publication prejudices: An experimental study of confirmatory bias in the peer review system
    • Mahoney MJ (1977) Publication prejudices: An experimental study of confirmatory bias in the peer review system. Cognit Ther Res 1:161–175.
    • (1977) Cognit Ther Res , vol.1 , pp. 161-175
    • Mahoney, M.J.1
  • 23
    • 0025520005 scopus 로고
    • The case for motivated reasoning
    • Kunda Z (1990) The case for motivated reasoning. Psychol Bull 108:480–498.
    • (1990) Psychol Bull , vol.108 , pp. 480-498
    • Kunda, Z.1
  • 24
    • 0000245521 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Confirmation bias: A ubiquitous phenomenon in many guises
    • Nickerson RS (1998) Confirmation bias: A ubiquitous phenomenon in many guises. Rev Gen Psychol 2:175–220.
    • (1998) Rev Gen Psychol , vol.2 , pp. 175-220
    • Nickerson, R.S.1
  • 25
    • 84857964057 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Policy implications of implicit social cognition
    • Nosek BA, Riskind RG (2012) Policy implications of implicit social cognition. Soc Issues Policy Rev 6:113–147.
    • (2012) Soc Issues Policy Rev , vol.6 , pp. 113-147
    • Nosek, B.A.1    Riskind, R.G.2
  • 26
    • 34249788997 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Valuing thoughts, ignoring behavior: The introspection illusion as a source of the bias blind spot
    • Pronin E, Kugler MB (2007) Valuing thoughts, ignoring behavior: The introspection illusion as a source of the bias blind spot. J Exp Soc Psychol 43:565–578.
    • (2007) J Exp Soc Psychol , vol.43 , pp. 565-578
    • Pronin, E.1    Kugler, M.B.2
  • 27
    • 0035630521 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Calibration of ρ values for testing precise null hypotheses
    • Sellke T, Bayarri MJ, Berger JO (2001) Calibration of ρ values for testing precise null hypotheses. Am Stat 55:62–71.
    • (2001) Am Stat , vol.55 , pp. 62-71
    • Sellke, T.1    Bayarri, M.J.2    Berger, J.O.3
  • 28
    • 85047698182 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Statistical significance with comments by editors of marketing journals: The historical growth of statistical significance testing in psychology—and its future prospects
    • Hubbard R, Ryan PA (2000) Statistical significance with comments by editors of marketing journals: The historical growth of statistical significance testing in psychology—and its future prospects. Educ Psychol Meas 60:661–681.
    • (2000) Educ Psychol Meas , vol.60 , pp. 661-681
    • Hubbard, R.1    Ryan, P.A.2
  • 30
    • 80555145867 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • False-positive psychology: Undisclosed flexibility in data collection and analysis allows presenting anything as significant
    • Simmons JP, Nelson LD, Simonsohn U (2011) False-positive psychology: Undisclosed flexibility in data collection and analysis allows presenting anything as significant. Psychol Sci 22:1359–1366.
    • (2011) Psychol Sci , vol.22 , pp. 1359-1366
    • Simmons, J.P.1    Nelson, L.D.2    Simonsohn, U.3
  • 31
    • 84976291730 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The ASA’s statement on p-values: Context, process, and purpose
    • Wasserstein RL, Lazar NA (2016) The ASA’s statement on p-values: Context, process, and purpose. Am Stat 70:129–133.
    • (2016) Am Stat , vol.70 , pp. 129-133
    • Wasserstein, R.L.1    Lazar, N.A.2
  • 32
    • 85030166153 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Redefine statistical significance
    • Benjamin DJ, et al. (2017) Redefine statistical significance. Nat Hum Behav, 10.17605/OSF.IO/MKY9J.
    • (2017) Nat Hum Behav
    • Benjamin, D.J.1
  • 33
    • 0009663357 scopus 로고
    • A multiple comparison procedure for comparing several treatments with a control
    • Dunnett CW (1955) A multiple comparison procedure for comparing several treatments with a control. J Am Stat Assoc 50:1096–1121.
    • (1955) J Am Stat Assoc , vol.50 , pp. 1096-1121
    • Dunnett, C.W.1
  • 34
    • 0002196917 scopus 로고
    • Comparing individual means in the analysis of variance
    • Tukey JW (1949) Comparing individual means in the analysis of variance. Biometrics 5: 99–114.
    • (1949) Biometrics , vol.5 , pp. 99-114
    • Tukey, J.W.1
  • 35
    • 78650153359 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Simultaneous and selective inference: Current successes and future challenges
    • Benjamini Y (2010) Simultaneous and selective inference: Current successes and future challenges. Biom J 52:708–721.
    • (2010) Biom J , vol.52 , pp. 708-721
    • Benjamini, Y.1
  • 36
    • 33646159282 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Divide and conquer: A defense of functional localizers
    • discussion 1097–1099
    • Saxe R, Brett M, Kanwisher N (2006) Divide and conquer: A defense of functional localizers. Neuroimage 30:1088–1096, discussion 1097–1099.
    • (2006) Neuroimage , vol.30 , pp. 1088-1096
    • Saxe, R.1    Brett, M.2    Kanwisher, N.3
  • 37
    • 84907936683 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The statistical crisis in science
    • Gelman A, Loken E (2014) The statistical crisis in science. Am Sci 102:460.
    • (2014) Am Sci , vol.102 , pp. 460
    • Gelman, A.1    Loken, E.2
  • 38
    • 84907224761 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Social science. Publication bias in the social sciences: Unlocking the file drawer
    • Franco A, Malhotra N, Simonovits G (2014) Social Science. Publication bias in the social sciences: Unlocking the file drawer. Science 345:1502–1505.
    • (2014) Science , vol.345 , pp. 1502-1505
    • Franco, A.1    Malhotra, N.2    Simonovits, G.3
  • 39
    • 0016437295 scopus 로고
    • Consequences of prejudice against the null hypothesis
    • Greenwald AG (1975) Consequences of prejudice against the null hypothesis. Psychol Bull 82:1–20.
    • (1975) Psychol Bull , vol.82 , pp. 1-20
    • Greenwald, A.G.1
  • 40
    • 33746341926 scopus 로고
    • The file drawer problem and tolerance for null results
    • Rosenthal R (1979) The file drawer problem and tolerance for null results. Psychol Bull 86:638–641.
    • (1979) Psychol Bull , vol.86 , pp. 638-641
    • Rosenthal, R.1
  • 41
    • 33846563409 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Why most published research findings are false
    • Ioannidis JPA (2005) Why most published research findings are false. PLoS Med 2: e124.
    • (2005) PLoS Med , vol.2 , pp. e124
    • Ioannidis, J.P.A.1
  • 42
    • 84861748584 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Measuring the prevalence of questionable research practices with incentives for truth telling
    • John LK, Loewenstein G, Prelec D (2012) Measuring the prevalence of questionable research practices with incentives for truth telling. Psychol Sci 23:524–532.
    • (2012) Psychol Sci , vol.23 , pp. 524-532
    • John, L.K.1    Loewenstein, G.2    Prelec, D.3
  • 43
    • 84941992374 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Likelihood of null effects of large NHLBI clinical trials has increased over time
    • Kaplan RM, Irvin VL (2015) Likelihood of null effects of large NHLBI clinical trials has increased over time. PLoS One 10:e0132382.
    • (2015) PLoS One , vol.10 , pp. e0132382
    • Kaplan, R.M.1    Irvin, V.L.2
  • 44
    • 84973502226 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Improving transparency and reproducibility through registration: The status of intervention trials published in clinical psychology journals
    • Cybulski L, Mayo-Wilson E, Grant S (2016) Improving transparency and reproducibility through registration: The status of intervention trials published in clinical psychology journals. J Consult Clin Psychol 84:753–767.
    • (2016) J Consult Clin Psychol , vol.84 , pp. 753-767
    • Cybulski, L.1    Mayo-Wilson, E.2    Grant, S.3
  • 45
    • 85015888651 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Association between trial registration and positive study findings: Cross sectional study (Epidemiological study of randomized trials- ESORT)
    • Odutayo A, et al. (2017) Association between trial registration and positive study findings: Cross sectional study (Epidemiological Study of Randomized Trials- ESORT). BMJ 356:j917.
    • (2017) BMJ , vol.356 , pp. j917
    • Odutayo, A.1
  • 47
    • 85013639852 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A test of the diffusion model explanation for the worst performance rule using preregistration and blinding
    • Dutilh G, et al. (2017) A test of the diffusion model explanation for the worst performance rule using preregistration and blinding. Atten Percept Psychophys 79: 713–725.
    • (2017) Atten Percept Psychophys , vol.79 , pp. 713-725
    • Dutilh, G.1
  • 48
    • 84944042832 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Blind analysis: Hide results to seek the truth
    • MacCoun R, Perlmutter S (2015) Blind analysis: Hide results to seek the truth. Nature 526:187–189.
    • (2015) Nature , vol.526 , pp. 187-189
    • MacCoun, R.1    Perlmutter, S.2
  • 49
    • 84978670432 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Standard operating procedures: A safety net for pre-analysis plans
    • Lin W, Green DP (2016) Standard operating procedures: A safety net for pre-analysis plans. PS Polit Sci Polit 49:495–500.
    • (2016) PS Polit Sci Polit , vol.49 , pp. 495-500
    • Lin, W.1    Green, D.P.2
  • 50
    • 85013763791 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Guidelines for the use and interpretation of assays for monitoring autophagy (3rd edition)
    • erratum (2016) 12: 443
    • Klionsky DJ, et al. (2016) Guidelines for the use and interpretation of assays for monitoring autophagy (3rd edition). Autophagy 12:1–222, and erratum (2016) 12: 443.
    • (2016) Autophagy , vol.12 , pp. 1-222
    • Klionsky, D.J.1
  • 51
    • 0042549769 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Understanding and using the implicit association test: I. An improved scoring algorithm
    • Greenwald AG, Nosek BA, Banaji MR (2003) Understanding and using the implicit association test: I. An improved scoring algorithm. J Pers Soc Psychol 85:197–216.
    • (2003) J Pers Soc Psychol , vol.85 , pp. 197-216
    • Greenwald, A.G.1    Nosek, B.A.2    Banaji, M.R.3
  • 52
    • 84916884038 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Enhancing transparency of the research process to increase accuracy of findings: A guide for relationship researchers
    • Campbell L, Loving TJ, Lebel EP (2014) Enhancing transparency of the research process to increase accuracy of findings: A guide for relationship researchers. Pers Relatsh 21: 531–545.
    • (2014) Pers Relatsh , vol.21 , pp. 531-545
    • Campbell, L.1    Loving, T.J.2    Lebel, E.P.3
  • 53
    • 85020208643 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Long-term data as infrastructure: A comment on ihle et al
    • Cockburn A (2017) Long-term data as infrastructure: A comment on Ihle et al. Behav Ecol 28:357.
    • (2017) Behav Ecol , vol.28 , pp. 357
    • Cockburn, A.1
  • 55
    • 6144253216 scopus 로고
    • Strong inference: Certain systematic methods of scientific thinking May produce much more rapid progress than others
    • Platt JR (1964) Strong inference: Certain systematic methods of scientific thinking May produce much more rapid progress than others. Science 146:347–353.
    • (1964) Science , vol.146 , pp. 347-353
    • Platt, J.R.1
  • 56
    • 0002294347 scopus 로고
    • A simple sequentially rejective multiple test procedure
    • Holm S (1979) A simple sequentially rejective multiple test procedure. Scand J Stat 6: 65–70.
    • (1979) Scand J Stat , vol.6 , pp. 65-70
    • Holm, S.1
  • 57
    • 66849121979 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Normative dissonance in science: Results from a national survey of u.S. Scientists
    • Anderson MS, Martinson BC, De Vries R (2007) Normative dissonance in science: Results from a national survey of U.S. Scientists. J Empir Res Hum Res Ethics 2:3–14.
    • (2007) J Empir Res Hum Res Ethics , vol.2 , pp. 3-14
    • Anderson, M.S.1    Martinson, B.C.2    De Vries, R.3
  • 58
    • 84971616781 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Badges to acknowledge open practices: A simple, low-cost, effective method for increasing transparency
    • Kidwell MC, et al. (2016) Badges to acknowledge open practices: A simple, low-cost, effective method for increasing transparency. PLoS Biol 14:e1002456.
    • (2016) PLoS Biol , vol.14 , pp. e1002456
    • Kidwell, M.C.1
  • 59
    • 84923219832 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Instead of “playing the game” it is time to change the rules: Registered reports at AIMS neuroscience and beyond
    • Chambers CD, Feredoes E, Muthukumaraswamy SD, Etchells P (2014) Instead of “playing the game” it is time to change the rules: Registered reports at AIMS Neuroscience and beyond. AIMS Neurosci 1:4–17.
    • (2014) AIMS Neurosci , vol.1 , pp. 4-17
    • Chambers, C.D.1    Feredoes, E.2    Muthukumaraswamy, S.D.3    Etchells, P.4
  • 60
    • 84901708710 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Registered reports: A method to increase the credibility of published results
    • Nosek BA, Lakens D (2014) Registered reports: A method to increase the credibility of published results. Soc Psychol 45:137–141.
    • (2014) Soc Psychol , vol.45 , pp. 137-141
    • Nosek, B.A.1    Lakens, D.2


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.