Modeling safety effects of horizontal curve design on injury severity of single-motorcycle crashes with mixed-effects logistic model

Transportation Research Record

Volumn 2637, Issue 1, 2017, Pages 38-46

  Xin, Chunfu ^a   Wang, Zhenyu ^a   Lee, Chanyoung ^a   Lin, Pei Sung ^a  

^a University of South Florida   (United States)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

BEHAVIORAL RESEARCH; MOTORCYCLES;

CURVE DESIGN; CURVE RADIUS; HORIZONTAL CURVES; INJURY SEVERITY; LOGISTICS MODEL; MIXED EFFECTS; MOTORCYCLE CRASHES; RANDOM PARAMETERS; SAFETY HAZARDS; TRANSPORTATION RESEARCHERS;

NORMAL DISTRIBUTION;

EID: 85032914184     PISSN: 03611981     EISSN: 21694052     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.3141/2637-05     Document Type: Article

References (30)

1. Lee, C. Motorcycle Crash Facts in Florida. http://ridesmartflorida.com/index.php/crash-facts. Accessed June 1, 2016.
2. Wang, Z., C. Lee, and P.-S. Lin. Modeling Injury Severity of Single-Motorcycle Crashes on Curved Roadway Segments. Presented at 93rd Annual Meeting of the Transportation Research Board, Washington, D.C., 2014.
3. Schneider, W., IV, K. Zimmerman, D. Van Boxel, and S. Vavilikolanu. Bayesian Analysis of the Effect of Horizontal Curvature on Truck Crashes Using Training and Validation Data Sets. Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board, No. 2096, 2009, pp. 41–46. https://dx.doi.org/10.3141/2096-06.
4. Shankar, V., and F. Mannering. An Exploratory Multinomial Logit Analysis of Single-Vehicle Motorcycle Accident Severity. Journal of Safety Research, Vol. 27, No. 3, 1996, pp. 183–194. https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/0022-4375(96)00010-2.
5. Mannering, F. L., V. Shankar, and C. R. Bhat. Unobserved Heterogeneity and the Statistical Analysis of Highway Accident Data. Analytic Methods in Accident Research, Vol. 11, 2016, pp. 1–16. https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.amar.2016.04.001.
6. Lord, D., and F. Mannering. The Statistical Analysis of Crash-Frequency Data: A Review and Assessment of Methodological Alternatives. Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Vol. 44, No. 5, 2010, pp. 291–305. https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.tra.2010.02.001.
7. Savolainen, P., and F. Mannering. Probabilistic Models of Motorcyclists’ Injury Severities in Single-and Multi-Vehicle Crashes. Accident Analysis and Prevention, Vol. 39, No. 5, 2007, pp. 955–963. https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.aap.2006.12.016.
8. Geedipally, S. R., P. A. Turner, and S. Patil. Analysis of Motorcycle Crashes in Texas with Multinomial Logit Model. Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board, No. 2265, 2012, pp. 62–69. http://dx.doi.org/10.3141/2265-07.
9. Eustace, D., and V. K. Indupuru. A Simplified Method for Analyzing Factors Contributing to Motorcyclists’ Fatal Injuries in Ohio. Advances in Transportation Studies, Section B 24, 2011, pp. 85–96.
10. Shaheed, M. S., and K. Gkritza. A Latent Class Analysis of Single-Vehicle Motorcycle Crash Severity Outcomes. Analytic Methods in Accident Research, Vol. 2, 2014, pp. 30–38. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.amar.2014.03.002.
11. Schneider, W. H., and P. T. Savolainen. Comparison of Severity of Motorcyclist Injury by Crash Types. Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board, No. 2265, 2012, pp. 70–80. http://dx.doi.org/10.3141/2265-08.
12. Rifaat, S. M., R. Tay, and A. De Barros. Severity of Motorcycle Crashes in Calgary. Accident Analysis and Prevention, Vol. 49, 2012, pp. 44–49. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.aap.2011.02.025.
13. Jung, S., Q. Xiao, and Y. Yoon. Evaluation of Motorcycle Safety Strategies Using the Severity of Injuries. Accident Analysis and Prevention, Vol. 59, 2013, pp. 357–364. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.aap.2013.06.030.
14. Quddus, M., R. B. Noland, and H. C. Chin. An Analysis of Motorcycle Injury and Vehicle Damage Severity Using Ordered Probit Models. Journal of Safety Research, Vol. 33, No. 4, 2002, pp. 445–462. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0022-4375(02)00051-8.
15. Chang, H.-L., and T.-H. Yeh. Risk Factors to Driver Fatalities in Single-Vehicle Crashes: Comparisons Between Non-Motorcycle Drivers and Motorcyclists. Journal of Transportation Engineering, ASCE, Vol. 132, No. 3, 2006, pp. 227–236. https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)0733-947X (2006)132:3(227).
16. Savolainen, P. T., F. L. Mannering, D. Lord, and M. A. Quddus. The Statistical Analysis of Highway Crash-Injury Severities: A Review and Assessment of Methodological Alternatives. Accident Analysis and Prevention, Vol. 43, No. 5, 2011, pp. 1666–1676. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.aap.2011.03.025.
17. Mannering, F. L., and C. R. Bhat. Analytic Methods in Accident Research: Methodological Frontier and Future Directions. Analytic Methods in Accident Research, Vol. 1, 2014, pp. 1–22. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.amar.2013.09.001.
18. Long, J. S., and J. Freese. Regression Models for Categorical Dependent Variables Using Stata. Stata Press, College Station, Tex., 2006.
19. Train, K. E. Discrete Choice Methods with Simulation. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom, 2009. https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9780511805271.
20. Williams, R. Using the Margins Command to Estimate and Interpret Adjusted Predictions and Marginal Effects. Stata Journal, Vol. 12, No. 2, 2012, p. 308.
21. Greene, W. NLOGIT 5.0. Econometric Software, Inc., Plainview, New York, 2012.
22. Washington, S. P., M. G. Karlaftis, and F. Mannering. Statistical and Econometric Methods for Transportation Data Analysis. CRC Press, Boca Raton, Fla., 2010.
23. AASHTO. Highway Safety Manual. Washington, D.C., 2010.
24. Evans, J. D. Straightforward Statistics for the Behavioral Sciences. Brooks Cole, Salt Lake City, Utah, 1996.
25. Peltzman, S. The Effects of Automobile Safety Regulation. Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 83, No. 4, 1975, pp. 677–725. https://doi.org/10.1086/260352.
26. Adams, J. G. U. Public Safety Legislation and the Risk Compensation Hypothesis: The Example of Motorcycle Helmet Legislation. Environment and Planning C: Politics and Space, Vol. 1, No. 2, 1983, pp. 193–203. https://doi.org/10.1068/c010193.
27. Lin, M.-R., S.-H. Chang, L. Pai, and P. M. Keyl. A Longitudinal Study of Risk Factors for Motorcycle Crashes Among Junior College Students in Taiwan. Accident Analysis and Prevention, Vol. 35, No. 2, 2003, pp. 243–252. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0001-4575(02)00002-7.
28. Keng, S. H. Helmet Use and Motorcycle Fatalities in Taiwan. Accident Analysis and Prevention, Vol. 37, No. 2, 2005, pp. 349–355. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.aap.2004.09.006.
29. Ulfarsson, G. F., and F. L. Mannering. Differences in Male and Female Injury Severities in Sport-Utility Vehicle, Minivan, Pickup and Passenger Car Accidents. Accident Analysis and Prevention, Vol. 36, No. 2, 2004, pp. 135–147. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0001-4575(02)00135-5.
30. Xin, C., Z. Wang, P.-S. Lin, C. Lee, and R. Guo. Safety Effects of Horizontal Curve Design on Motorcycle Crash Frequency on Rural, Two-Lane, Undivided Highways in Florida. Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board, No. 2637, 2017, pp. 1–8. http://dx.doi.org/10.3141/2637-01.