Flash Flood Risk and the Paradox of Urban Development

Natural Hazards Review

Volumn 19, Issue 1, 2018, Pages

  Cutter, Susan L ^a   Emrich, Christopher T ^b   Gall, Melanie ^c   Reeves, Rachel ^a  

^a UNIVERSITY OF SOUTH CAROLINA   (United States)

^b UNIVERSITY OF CENTRAL FLORIDA   (United States)

^c ARIZONA STATE UNIVERSITY   (United States)

Author keywords

Development paradoxes; Flash floods; Residential recovery; Social sciences; South Carolina

Indexed keywords

FLOOD DAMAGE; FLOOD INSURANCE; HAZARDS; HOUSING; INSURANCE; LAND USE; LAWS AND LEGISLATION; RAIN; RISK MANAGEMENT; SOCIAL SCIENCES; URBAN GROWTH; ZONING;

CATASTROPHIC CONSEQUENCES; DEVELOPMENT PARADOXES; DEVELOPMENT PATTERNS; FLASH FLOOD; HISTORIC DEVELOPMENT; LAND USE REGULATIONS; SOUTH CAROLINA; SPATIAL VARIABILITY;

FLOODS;

ANTECEDENT CONDITIONS; CATASTROPHIC EVENT; FLASH FLOOD; FLOOD DAMAGE; HAZARD ASSESSMENT; LAND USE PLANNING; LOCAL GOVERNMENT; MITIGATION; RESIDENTIAL DEVELOPMENT; RISK ASSESSMENT; SOCIAL STRUCTURE; SPATIAL VARIATION; URBAN DEVELOPMENT;

SOUTH CAROLINA; UNITED STATES;

EID: 85029911568     PISSN: 15276988     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1061/(ASCE)NH.1527-6996.0000268     Document Type: Article

References (61)

1. Alfieri, L., and, Thielen, J. (2015). " A European precipitation index for extreme rain-storm and flash flood early warning." Meteorol. Appl., 22 (1), 3-13. 10.1002/met.1328
2. Arlikatti, S., Lindell, M., Prater, C., and, Zhang, Y. (2006). " Risk area accuracy and hurricane evacuation expectations of coastal residents." Environ. Behav., 38 (2), 226-247 10.1177/0013916505277603.
3. Burby, R. J. (2006). " Hurricane Katrina and the paradoxes of government disaster policy: Bring about wise governmental decisions for hazardous areas." Ann. Am. Acad. Political Soc. Sci., 604 (1), 171-191 10.1177/0002716205284676.
4. Central Midlands Council of Governments. (2016). " An all-natural hazard risk assessment and hazard mitigation plan for the Central Midlands Region of South Carolina." http://www.centralmidlands.org/pdf/CMHMP%202016%20-%20Final.pdf (Feb. 3, 2017).
5. Chakraborty, J., Collins, T. W., Montgomery, M. C., and, Grineski, S. E. (2014). " Social and spatial inequalities in exposure to flood risk in Miami, Florida." Nat. Hazard. Rev., 15 (3), 1.
6. City of Columbia. (2017). " City floodplain & floodway regulations." https://www.columbiasc.net/floodplain/regulations (Jan. 31, 2017).
7. Cutter, S. L., Emrich, C. T., Mitchell, J. T., Piegorsch, W. W., Smith, M. M., and, Weber, L. (2014). Hurricane Katrina and the forgotten coast of Mississippi, Cambridge University Press, New York.
8. Cutter, S. L., Emrich, C. T., Morath, D., and, Dunning, C. M. (2013). " A method for including social vulnerability into flood risk management planning." J. Flood Risk Manage., 6 (4), 332-344. 10.1111/jfr3.12018
9. Cutter, S. L., and, Morath, D. P. (2013). " The evolution of the social vulnerability index (SoVI)." Measuring vulnerability to natural hazards, 2nd Ed., J. Birkmann., ed., United Nations University Press, Bonn, Germany, 304-321.
10. Dixon, L., Clancy, N., Seabury, S. A., and, Overton, A. (2006). The National Flood Insurance Program's market penetration rate: Estimates and policy implications, RAND, Santa Monica, CA.
11. Dow, K. (2000). " Social dimensions of gradients in urban ecosystems." Urban Ecosyst., 4 (4), 255-275. 10.1023/A:1015767231137
12. Edgar, W. B. (1988). South Carolina: The WPA guide to the Palmetto state, University of South Carolina Press, Columbia, SC.
13. Edgar, W. B. (1998). South Carolina: A history, University of South Carolina Press, Columbia, SC.
14. Elliott, J. R. (2015). " Natural hazards and residential mobility: General patterns and racially unequal outcomes in the United States." Soc. Forces, 93 (4), 1723-1747 10.1093/sf/sou120.
15. Emrich, C. T., and, Cutter, S. L. (2011). " Social vulnerability to climate-sensitive hazards in the southern United States." Weather Clim. Soc., 3 (3), 193-208. 10.1175/2011WCAS1092.1
16. Feaster, T. D., Shelton, J. M., and, Robbins, J. C. (2015). " Preliminary peak stage and streamflow data at selected USGS streamgaging stations for the South Carolina flood of October 2015 (version 1.1 November 2015)." https://pubs.er.usgs.gov/publication/ofr20151201 (Mar. 12, 2016).
17. FEMA. (2016 a). " Policy statistics South Carolina as of 01/31/2016." http://bsa.nfipstat.fema.gov/reports/1011.htm#SCT (Mar. 30, 2016).
18. FEMA. (2016 b). " Policy statistics South Carolina as of 09/30/2016." http://bsa.nfipstat.fema.gov/reports/1011.htm#SCT (Dec. 1, 2016).
19. FEMA. (2016 c). " Policy statistics South Carolina as of 12/31/2016." http://bsa.nfipstat.fema.gov/reports/1011.htm#SCT (Feb. 9, 2017).
20. FEMA. (2017 a). " Elevation certificate." https://www.fema.gov/elevation-certificate (Jan. 31, 2017).
21. FEMA. (2017 b). " Community rating system." https://www.fema.gov/media-library-data/1476294162726-4795edc7fe5cde0c997bc4389d1265bd/CRS-List-of-Communites-10-01-2016.pdf (Feb. 1, 2017).
22. Flynn, S. E. (2016). " The South Carolina deluge: Lessons from a watershed disaster." https://globalresilience.northeastern.edu/wp-content/uploads/2016/08/S-Flynn-South-Carolina-Deluge-Resilience-Lessons-from-a-Watershed-Disaster-Northeastern-Univ-Aug16.pdf (Feb. 9, 2017).
23. Gills Creek Watershed Association. (2016). " Gills Creek historical timeline." http://www.gillscreekwatershed.org/gills-creek-watershed-historical-timeline.html (Mar. 29, 2016).
24. Gochis, D., et al. (2015). " The great Colorado flood of September 2013." Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 96 (9), 1461-1487. 10.1175/BAMS-D-13-00241.1
25. Hapuarachchi, H. A. P., Wang, Q. J., and, Pagano, T. C. (2011). " A review of advances in flash flood forecasting." Hydrol. Processes, 25 (18), 2771-2784. 10.1002/hyp.8040
26. Helsley, A. J. (2015). Columbia, South Carolina: A history, History Press, Charleston, SC.
27. IBHS (Insurance Institute for Business and Home Safety). (2015). " Rating the states: 2015. An assessment of residential building code and enforcement systems for life safety and property protection in hurricane-prone regions." http://disastersafety.org/wp-content/uploads/2015/07/rating-the-states-2015-public.pdf (Jan. 31, 2017).
28. IBHS (Insurance Institute for Business and Home Safety). (2017). " South Carolina." https://disastersafety.org/south-carolina (Jan. 31, 2017).
29. Jonkman, S. N., and, Kelman, I. (2005). " An analysis of the causes and circumstances of flood disaster deaths." Disasters, 29 (1), 75-97. 10.1111/j.0361-3666.2005.00275.x
30. Kellens, W., Terpstra, T., and, De Maeyer, P. (2013). " Perception and communication of flood risks: A systematic review of empirical research." Risk Anal., 33 (1), 24-49. 10.1111/j.1539-6924.2012.01844.x
31. King, R. O. (2012). " National Flood Insurance Program: Background, challenges, and financial status." Rep. No. R40650, Congressional Research Service, Washington, DC.
32. King, R. O. (2013). " The National Flood Insurance Program: Status and remaining issues for Congress." Rep. No. R42860, Congressional Research Service, Washington, DC.
33. Knocke, E. T., and, Kolivras, K. N. (2007). " Flash flood awareness in Southwest Virginia." Risk Anal., 27 (1), 155-169. 10.1111/j.1539-6924.2006.00866.x
34. Lazrus, H., Morss, R. E., Demuth, J. L., Lazo, J. K., and, Bostrom, A. (2016). " Know what to do if you encounter a flash flood: Mental models analysis for improving flash flood risk communication and public decision making." Risk Anal., 36 (2), 411-427. 10.1111/risa.12480
35. Michel-Kerjan, E., Lemoyne de Forges, S., and, Kunreuther, H. (2012). " Policy tenure under the U.S. National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP)." Risk Anal., 32 (4), 644-658. 10.1111/j.1539-6924.2011.01671.x
36. Montz, B. E., and, Gruntfest, E. (2002). " Flash flood mitigation: Recommendations for research and applications." Environ. Hazards, 4 (1), 15-22 10.1016/S1464-2867(02)00011-6.
37. Musser, J. W., Watson, K. M., Painter, J. A., and, Gotvald, A. J. (2016). " Flood-inundation maps of selected areas affected by the flood of October 2015 in central and coastal South Carolina." https://pubs.er.usgs.gov/publication/ofr20161019 (Oct. 16, 2015).
38. NASEM (National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, Medicine). (2017). " Project information: Urban flooding in the United States." https://www8.nationalacademies.org/cp/projectview.aspx?key=49844 (Apr. 20, 2017).
39. NOAA (National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration). (2015). " Flooding in South Carolina." www.floodsafety.noaa.gov/states/sc-flood.shtml (Feb. 2, 2017).
40. NRC (National Research Council). (2015). " Affordability of national flood insurance program premiums." Rep. 1, National Academies Press, Washington, DC.
41. Ogden, F. L., Sharif, H. O., Senarath, S. U. S., Smith, J. A., Baeck, M. L., and, Richardson, J. R. (2000). " Hydrologic analysis of the Fort Collins, Colorado flash flood of 1997." J. Hydrol., 228 (1-2), 82-100. 10.1016/S0022-1694(00)00146-3
42. Pescaroli, G., and, Alexander, D. (2015). " A definition of cascading disasters and cascading effects: Going beyond 'toppling dominos' metaphor." Planet@Risk, 2 (3), 58-67.
43. Petrolia, D. R., Landry, C. E., and, Coble, K. H. (2013). " Risk preferences, risk perceptions, and flood insurance." Land Econ., 89 (2), 227-245. 10.3368/le.89.2.227
44. Richland County. (2017). " Floodplain mapping and local hazards." http://www.rcgov.us/Government/Departments/Planning/FloodplainManagement/Mapping.aspx (Feb. 2, 2017).
45. Rufat, S., Tate, E., Burton, C. G., and, Maroof, A. S. (2015). " Social vulnerability to floods: Review of case studies and implications for measurement." Int. J. Disaster Risk Manage., 14 (Part 4), 470-486 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2015.09.013.
46. Ruin, I., et al. (2014). " Social and hydrological responses to extreme precipitations: An interdisciplinary strategy for postflood investigation." Weather Clim. Soc., 6 (1), 135-153. 10.1175/WCAS-D-13-00009.1
47. Ruin, I., Creutin, J. D., Anquetin, S., and, Lutoff, C. (2008). " Human exposure to flash floods-Relation between flood parameters and human vulnerability during a storm of September 2002 in southern France." J. Hydrol., 361 (1), 199-213. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2008.07.044
48. Salsi, L. S., and, Sims, M. (2003). Columbia: History of a southern capital, Arcadia Publishing, Charleston, SC.
49. SCDHEC (South Carolina Department of Health and Environmental Control). (2015). " 2015 S.C. flood dam response and recovery." https://www.scdhec.gov/HomeAndEnvironment/DisasterPreparedness/FloodUpdates/ (Oct. 16, 2015).
50. Shain, A. (2016). " Devasting Columbia flood a wake-up call for region." http://www.postandcourier.com/archives/devastating-columbia-flood-a-wake-up-call-for-region/article-67356844-1df1-5162-8b5f-8214c31ee59c.html (Apr. 18, 2017).
51. SHELDUS (Spatial Hazard Events and Losses Database). (2016). " The spatial hazard events and losses database for the United States." Hazards & Vulnerability Research Institute, Univ. of South Carolina, Columbia, SC.
52. South Carolina Disaster Recovery Office. (2016). " South Carolina action plan for disaster recovery." https://www.sccommerce.com/sites/default/files/hud-submittal-action-plan-160719.pdf (Aug. 28, 2017).
53. Špitalar, M., Gourley, J. J., Lutoff, C., Kirstetter, P.-E., Brilly, M., and, Carr, N. (2014). " Analysis of flash flood parameters and human impacts in the US from 2006-2012." J. Hydrol., 519, 863-870 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2014.07.004.
54. Sutton, J., League, C., Sellnow, T. L., and, Sellnow, D. D. (2015). " Terse messaging and public health in the midst of natural disasters: The case of the Boulder floods." Health Commun., 30 (2), 135-143. 10.1080/10410236.2014.974124
55. Terti, G., Ruin, I., Anquetin, S., and, Gourley, J. J. (2015). " Dynamic vulnerability factors for impact-based flash flood prediction." Nat. Hazards, 79, 1481-1497 10.1007/s11069-015-1910-8.
56. Tobin, G. A. (1995). " The levee love affair: A stormy relationship? " J. Am. Water Resour. Assoc., 31 (3), 359-367 10.1111/j.1752-1688.1995.tb04025.x.
57. USGS. (2015). " National water information system, stream gauge Saluda River below Lake Murray dam near Columbia, SC." http://waterdata.usgs.gov/nwis/uv?cb-00060=on&cb-00065=on&cb-00010=on&cb-00045=on&format=gif-default&site-no=02168504&period=&begin-date=2015-10-01&end-date=2015-10-10 (Oct. 16, 2015).
58. USGS. (2016). " Peak streamflow for the nation. USGS 02169570 Gills Creek at Columbia, SC." http://nwis.waterdata.usgs.gov/nwis/peak?site-no=02169570&agency-cd=USGS&format=html (Mar. 29, 2016).
59. Wachinger, G., Renn, O., Begg, C., and, Kuhlicke, C. (2013). " The risk perception paradox-Implications for governance and communication of natural hazards." Risk Anal., 33 (6), 1049-1065. 10.1111/j.1539-6924.2012.01942.x
60. Wilhelmi, O. V., and, Morss, R. E. (2013). " Integrated analysis of societal vulnerability in an extreme precipitation event: A Fort Collins case study." Environ. Sci. Policy, 26, 49-62 10.1016/j.envsci.2012.07.005.
61. Zhang, Y., Prater, C., and, Lindell, M. (2004). " Risk area accuracy and evacuation from Hurricane Bret." Nat. Hazard. Rev., 10.1061/(ASCE)1527-6988(2004)5:3(115), 115-120.